Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
open
Total volume
$2,405
$13,948 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$34,080
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2026-09-06
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 22:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $205 | $951 | $745 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $109 | $109 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 5 | — | $123 | $123 |
| Below median | 7 | $50 | $16 | +$33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 12 | $146 | $630 | $484 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jittery-Roar 0x7362…a780 | No | +454 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Rectangular-Session 0xc8c7…3726 | Yes | +371 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 05-16 16:26 |
| Amusing-Hostel 0xc0ce…db56 | No | +308 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-15 21:15 |
| General-Councilman 0xacea…8b97 | No | +200 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 05-13 23:48 |
| Rude-Destination 0xa5c7…5a8d | Yes | +186 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 08:54 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +165 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-14 00:24 |
| Noted-Kidney 0x43cb…81b2 | No | +110 | $64 | $111 | 3 | 05-16 22:29 |
| Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | +94 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 05-16 16:27 |
| Zigzag-Steward 0x0e2c…9294 | No | +29 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-16 16:29 |
| Periodic-Principal 0xa580…0b4c | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 22:37 |
| Complete-Anchovy 0xad42…5d73 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 16:24 |
| Troubled-Rations 0x9b5b…c757 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:07 |
| Squeaky-Listening 0x68b2…a397 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 14:29 |
| Spherical-Number 0x29dc…7081 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 16:46 |
| Watery-Armrest 0xaf95…d975 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 14:54 |
| Frightened-Slash 0x6676…b216 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 14:36 |
| Powerful-Fill 0x651a…3da9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 12:35 |
| Yawning-Ocelot 0x4da5…93ff | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 16:51 |
| Impractical-Chemistry 0x034a…d14b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:50:34 | Noisy-Underwire 0x1e12…7bd7 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0x13f6b1… |
| 05-16 22:29:41 | Political-Ball 0xc410…ca00 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xad4583… |
| 05-16 22:29:41 | Noted-Kidney 0x43cb…81b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x050571… |
| 05-16 22:13:07 | Political-Ball 0xc410…ca00 | No | SELL | 1 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xf0e93d… |
| 05-16 21:27:21 | Political-Ball 0xc410…ca00 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x1261c7… |
| 05-16 20:57:29 | Downright-Drummer 0x3dbb…9fc3 | Yes | SELL | 135 | 44¢ | $59 | 0x3aded5… |
| 05-16 20:25:22 | Loud-Honor 0x7811…5546 | No | SELL | 199 | 55¢ | $109 | 0xb541de… |
| 05-16 20:25:21 | Loud-Honor 0x7811…5546 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x91fda8… |
| 05-16 19:19:08 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 1,334 | 56¢ | $750 | 0x6f1564… |
| 05-16 19:19:05 | Noted-Kidney 0x43cb…81b2 | No | SELL | 39 | 58¢ | $23 | 0xe3a001… |
| 05-16 19:18:58 | Potable-Tiara 0x43e2…150a | No | SELL | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x6673ad… |
| 05-16 19:18:58 | Focused-Defeat 0xff6e…176e | No | SELL | 31 | 58¢ | $18 | 0xf2d0d4… |
| 05-16 19:18:45 | Noted-Kidney 0x43cb…81b2 | No | BUY | 151 | 58¢ | $87 | 0x188345… |
| 05-16 19:18:44 | Focused-Defeat 0xff6e…176e | No | BUY | 31 | 58¢ | $18 | 0x9771f8… |
| 05-16 19:18:42 | Focused-Defeat 0xff6e…176e | No | SELL | 31 | 58¢ | $18 | 0xb268c8… |
| 05-16 17:21:30 | Focused-Defeat 0xff6e…176e | No | SELL | 200 | 58¢ | $116 | 0x86b235… |
| 05-16 17:20:03 | Formal-Training 0x6c37…44fd | No | SELL | 200 | 58¢ | $116 | 0x7db745… |
| 05-16 16:46:34 | Spherical-Number 0x29dc…7081 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x56a205… |
| 05-16 16:29:42 | Zigzag-Steward 0x0e2c…9294 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xb49b14… |
| 05-16 16:27:56 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | BUY | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x11590c… |
| 05-16 16:26:58 | Rectangular-Session 0xc8c7…3726 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 41¢ | $100 | 0x64c99e… |
| 05-16 14:54:48 | Watery-Armrest 0xaf95…d975 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x2127ef… |
| 05-16 14:36:46 | Frightened-Slash 0x6676…b216 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xf00452… |
| 05-16 14:29:50 | Squeaky-Listening 0x68b2…a397 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x169855… |
| 05-16 14:29:41 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | BUY | 80 | 60¢ | $48 | 0x00f767… |
| 05-15 21:15:33 | Amusing-Hostel 0xc0ce…db56 | No | BUY | 308 | 65¢ | $200 | 0xc27950… |
| 05-15 16:51:23 | Yawning-Ocelot 0x4da5…93ff | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xc22b64… |
| 05-15 16:26:11 | Spherical-Number 0x29dc…7081 | No | BUY | 4 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xa48a97… |
| 05-15 16:24:54 | Zigzag-Steward 0x0e2c…9294 | No | BUY | 13 | 65¢ | $8 | 0xeffb9a… |
| 05-15 16:24:47 | Rectangular-Session 0xc8c7…3726 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 36¢ | $46 | 0x5b27e5… |
| 05-15 16:24:47 | Complete-Anchovy 0xad42…5d73 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xfc13f1… |
| 05-15 12:35:36 | Powerful-Fill 0x651a…3da9 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x25a6c1… |
| 05-15 09:00:05 | Jittery-Roar 0x7362…a780 | No | BUY | 454 | 66¢ | $300 | 0x7263d8… |
| 05-14 22:37:07 | Periodic-Principal 0xa580…0b4c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x7f17a0… |
| 05-14 22:37:02 | Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xbce0fa… |
| 05-14 08:33:56 | Whispered-Memory 0x21d5…6afc | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xc8191a… |
| 05-14 08:33:54 | Punctual-Lipid 0x027c…b158 | No | SELL | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x963d01… |
| 05-14 01:02:00 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xbc507c… |
| 05-14 00:24:19 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 165 | 66¢ | $109 | 0x1c0bfd… |
| 05-14 00:07:57 | Troubled-Rations 0x9b5b…c757 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xcec70e… |
| 05-13 23:48:35 | General-Councilman 0xacea…8b97 | No | BUY | 200 | 61¢ | $122 | 0x288238… |
| 05-13 12:33:14 | Repentant-Trench 0x2ed3…3e37 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x237a5f… |
| 05-13 08:54:27 | Rude-Destination 0xa5c7…5a8d | Yes | BUY | 186 | 27¢ | $50 | 0xe05a0f… |
| 05-13 05:02:26 | Impractical-Chemistry 0x034a…d14b | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x755704… |