Realized P&L
+$18.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
610
Trades
10,912
lifetime
Volume
$6.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$625
Open exposure
$36.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
59% 83% +$16,913
Politics
33% 88% +$11,445
Crypto
5% 91% +$5,533
Sports
2% 89% -$17,003
Tech
1% 90% +$1,889
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +18,957 $12,031 82¢ $15.5K +$3,475 10-28 22:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +9,552 $8,069 94¢ $9.0K +$958 10-28 20:09
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +2,499 $2,016 99¢ $2.5K +$453 10-28 07:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,000 $2,430 80¢ $2.4K -$45 10-28 21:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,004 $1,454 84¢ $1.7K +$229 10-28 20:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10,316 $4,916 15¢ $1.5K -$3,420 10-18 07:25
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1,060 $568 94¢ $991 +$423 08-16 15:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +4,763 $2,483 18¢ $867 -$1,616 09-20 14:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,059 $492 18¢ $535 +$43 10-29 00:38
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +200 $112 98¢ $195 +$83 08-05 01:35
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +9,188 $74 2¢ $156 +$82 09-20 02:10
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +150 $115 84¢ $127 +$11 09-26 08:23
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +111 $51 88¢ $97 +$46 08-15 09:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $88 92¢ $93 +$5 09-17 12:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +105 $69 72¢ $76 +$7 10-19 16:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -70 -$25 90¢ $-64 -$38 06-02 16:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -59 -$56 99¢ $-59 -$2 06-03 17:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 99¢ $-50 -$3 06-03 17:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$45 99¢ $-49 -$4 06-03 17:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$44 98¢ $-49 -$6 06-03 17:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$40 98¢ $-49 -$8 06-02 20:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$30 96¢ $-48 -$18 06-02 15:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $6 42¢ $-41 -$47 09-11 13:57
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$33 96¢ $-34 $0 06-04 00:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +70 $16 46¢ $32 +$16 10-27 16:24
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +2,499 $225 1¢ $30 -$195 10-06 05:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$22 97¢ $-29 -$7 06-03 00:19
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 Yes +100 $35 28¢ $28 -$7 09-28 14:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $40 55¢ $27 -$13 10-27 13:37
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +30 $26 84¢ $25 $0 10-13 17:51