Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$132,955
$124 in 24h
Trades
598
Unique wallets
185
Liquidity
$72,185
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 19:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $45.0K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $108.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $3.3K | $56.5K | $53.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $1.6K | $13.6K | $12.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $11.2K | $14.8K | $3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 97 | $3.9K | $4.0K | $102 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $180 | $44.8K | $44.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $815 | $2.4K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $671 | $671 |
| Median | 13 | $62 | $981 | $918 |
| Below median | 21 | $169 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | — | $667 | $667 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $304 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $3.3K | $10.5K | $7.2K |
| unranked | 100 | $15.2K | $25.4K | $10.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +57,149 | $8,002 | $8,002 | 4 | 06-02 02:11 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +50,000 | $43,000 | $43,000 | 10 | 06-02 13:43 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +23,644 | $3,189 | $3,189 | 5 | 06-04 00:37 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +12,000 | $10,379 | $10,379 | 4 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | +11,626 | $9,882 | $9,882 | 7 | 06-13 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc369…cd62 | Yes | +9,179 | $1,377 | $1,377 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x682b…2854 | Yes | +6,317 | $940 | $940 | 4 | 06-07 08:08 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +6,000 | $780 | $780 | 2 | 06-03 20:55 |
| Abandoned-Documentation 0xbb87…c478 | No | +3,830 | $3,256 | $3,256 | 5 | 06-04 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +3,667 | $576 | $576 | 3 | 06-08 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8afb…7f1c | Yes | +3,518 | $528 | $528 | 1 | 06-10 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dd3…7c76 | Yes | +3,099 | $465 | $465 | 2 | 06-04 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,655 | $2,201 | $5,449 | 21 | 06-05 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2b0…8bd0 | Yes | +1,860 | $279 | $279 | 1 | 06-05 09:08 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +1,525 | $1,324 | $1,324 | 8 | 06-14 05:39 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,382 | $187 | $187 | 22 | 06-14 18:58 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,306 | $1,118 | $1,118 | 24 | 06-14 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | +1,073 | $144 | $144 | 4 | 06-10 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4035…91aa | No | +1,067 | $927 | $927 | 1 | 06-07 00:27 |
| Soggy-Reorganisation 0x68dc…a9c8 | No | +1,000 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 05-28 13:46 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +941 | $779 | $2,786 | 7 | 06-10 00:57 |
| Alienated-Pearl-Telephone 0x0c20…f82d | Yes | +898 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-31 22:18 |
| Knowledgeable-Twist 0xb811…5434 | Yes | +667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 10:32 |
| Motionless-Commonsense 0x122c…821f | Yes | +666 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x48e9…872c | Yes | +579 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-31 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x204e…0f56 | No | +500 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 06-01 09:01 |
| Soft-Fork 0xfdba…36c4 | No | +500 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 06-08 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfaa0…a394 | No | +500 | $435 | $435 | 1 | 06-01 06:03 |
| Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | +480 | $62 | $62 | 6 | 06-03 20:56 |
| Easy-Haversack 0x3388…1ad9 | Yes | +449 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-07 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe843…5bbf | No | +374 | $322 | $322 | 2 | 05-29 03:15 |
| Subtle-Fahrenheit 0x2b91…a535 | No | +317 | $273 | $273 | 1 | 05-29 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4fc…6ff9 | No | +300 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| Downright-Juice 0x57d4…ac0d | No | +300 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 06-01 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7afc…5ca2 | No | +300 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | +300 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b64…1c02 | No | +300 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| Crafty-Cloakroom 0x16c8…cb07 | Yes | +293 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-07 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | +250 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 06-04 03:46 |
| Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | +200 | $28 | $28 | 10 | 06-11 06:48 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +162 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-03 14:29 |
| Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | Yes | +160 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-03 04:10 |
| Far-Off-Pitch 0xf7ca…c72f | No | +160 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 05-30 10:26 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +159 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 06-05 19:10 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +158 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-03 20:55 |
| Aged-Location 0x1ec7…94ee | No | +131 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 06-11 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2760…fb73 | Yes | +129 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-12 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x23ff…8f58 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-04 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3447…49eb | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-13 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a6…92dd | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-01 16:32 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-04 03:46 |
| Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | +100 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-11 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2de2…bac1 | No | +80 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 06-10 00:57 |
| Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | +77 | $66 | $134 | 3 | 06-13 16:53 |
| New-Airforce 0x8b73…4e3a | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 15:16 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +57 | $7 | $42 | 23 | 06-12 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd15f…7ee4 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 17:07 |
| Hairy-Bicycle 0x81bb…3049 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-28 12:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 19:22:19 | Grown-Cot 0xce27…da5d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1dd96c… |
| 06-14 19:22:19 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x1dd96c… |
| 06-14 18:58:36 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xc21f1f… |
| 06-14 18:58:36 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xc21f1f… |
| 06-14 05:39:19 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x8eec7e… |
| 06-14 05:39:19 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x8eec7e… |
| 06-13 16:53:18 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x678ce3… |
| 06-13 16:53:18 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x678ce3… |
| 06-13 16:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x678ce3… |
| 06-13 16:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x9aa1…4ac0 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x678ce3… |
| 06-13 16:53:18 | Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x678ce3… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x3447…49eb | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | BUY | 300 | 85¢ | $255 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 7,728 | 85¢ | $6,569 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xa4fc…6ff9 | No | BUY | 300 | 85¢ | $255 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x7afc…5ca2 | No | BUY | 300 | 85¢ | $255 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xc369…cd62 | Yes | BUY | 9,179 | 15¢ | $1,377 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x0b64…1c02 | No | BUY | 300 | 85¢ | $255 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 10:43:25 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x3d2e30… |
| 06-13 01:55:07 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x6ba6f6… |
| 06-13 01:55:07 | (anonymous) 0xe77b…2e29 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x6ba6f6… |
| 06-12 18:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x3477…1066 | No | SELL | 400 | 85¢ | $341 | 0x686ff0… |
| 06-12 18:25:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x686ff0… |
| 06-12 18:25:27 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x686ff0… |
| 06-12 18:25:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x686ff0… |
| 06-12 18:25:27 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 261 | 85¢ | $222 | 0x686ff0… |
| 06-12 17:14:42 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xf2e4f5… |
| 06-12 17:14:42 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xf2e4f5… |
| 06-12 16:32:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x316e72… |
| 06-12 16:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x2760…fb73 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x316e72… |
| 06-12 16:32:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 27 | 86¢ | $23 | 0x316e72… |
| 06-12 10:18:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xc2168d… |
| 06-12 10:18:24 | Neighboring-Meal 0x0b26…f3ef | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xc2168d… |
| 06-12 00:21:15 | Blushing-Bifocals 0xb1c2…7ced | No | SELL | 29 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x642f1c… |
| 06-12 00:21:15 | Awesome-Tomatillo 0xc6a7…5049 | Yes | SELL | 212 | 12¢ | $26 | 0x642f1c… |
| 06-12 00:21:15 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x642f1c… |
| 06-12 00:21:15 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 53 | 88¢ | $47 | 0x642f1c… |
| 06-12 00:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x642f1c… |
| 06-11 21:21:28 | Arctic-Ginseng 0x8372…b075 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 12¢ | $15 | 0xb39c1c… |
| 06-11 21:21:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0xb39c1c… |
| 06-11 21:21:28 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb39c1c… |
| 06-11 21:21:28 | Blushing-Bifocals 0xb1c2…7ced | No | SELL | 71 | 88¢ | $63 | 0xb39c1c… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | BUY | 89 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 282 | 87¢ | $245 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | (anonymous) 0xd15f…7ee4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 17:07:40 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x0d1e90… |
| 06-11 16:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x2dd4…3fb3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xd881bf… |
| 06-11 16:29:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd881bf… |
| 06-11 16:29:07 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 81 | 86¢ | $69 | 0xd881bf… |
| 06-11 12:19:15 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xeb1caa… |
| 06-11 12:19:15 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xeb1caa… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Aged-Location 0x1ec7…94ee | No | BUY | 131 | 86¢ | $112 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-11 06:48:04 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x644e7d… |
| 06-10 22:25:48 | (anonymous) 0xe77b…2e29 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x17fdd0… |
| 06-10 22:25:48 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x17fdd0… |
| 06-10 21:39:58 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xce761f… |
| 06-10 21:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xce761f… |
| 06-10 20:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xd7fc…9d0c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x52b341… |
| 06-10 20:15:31 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x52b341… |
| 06-10 14:53:07 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x64e169… |
| 06-10 14:53:07 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x64e169… |
| 06-10 13:37:04 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x869384… |
| 06-10 13:37:04 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x869384… |
| 06-10 13:15:00 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x478591… |
| 06-10 13:15:00 | Scrawny-Gazebo 0x41f8…864f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x478591… |
| 06-10 12:59:22 | Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | BUY | 3,513 | 85¢ | $2,986 | 0xd70a1b… |
| 06-10 12:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x8afb…7f1c | Yes | BUY | 3,518 | 15¢ | $528 | 0xd70a1b… |
| 06-10 12:59:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd70a1b… |
| 06-10 12:35:34 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf22eae… |
| 06-10 12:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf22eae… |
| 06-10 03:43:06 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 95 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xb4fd17… |
| 06-10 03:43:06 | Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | Yes | SELL | 95 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xb4fd17… |
| 06-10 02:33:58 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xd38f74… |
| 06-10 02:33:58 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd38f74… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xede5…2807 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 37 | 85¢ | $32 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | Motionless-Commonsense 0x122c…821f | Yes | BUY | 666 | 15¢ | $100 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xdbcd…bd86 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x2de2…bac1 | No | BUY | 80 | 85¢ | $68 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | Klutzy-Alpaca 0x775c…419a | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | BUY | 297 | 85¢ | $253 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-10 00:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x4100…e10a | No | BUY | 62 | 85¢ | $52 | 0xf02087… |
| 06-09 07:00:13 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x6d307a… |
| 06-09 07:00:13 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6d307a… |
| 06-09 05:09:31 | Incredible-Gazebo 0x866e…2d1e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x0a4e2c… |
| 06-09 05:09:31 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x0a4e2c… |
| 06-09 05:08:37 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x0f8233… |