Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$273,854
$124 in 24h
Trades
1,730
Unique wallets
448
Liquidity
$72,185
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 15:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $61.9K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $207.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 41 | $3.5K | $101.8K | $98.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 54 | $2.5K | $44.7K | $42.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 108 | $14.0K | $26.7K | $12.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 245 | $8.9K | $5.5K | +$3.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $180 | $61.7K | $61.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $1.1K | $17.7K | $16.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $1.1K | $5.8K | $4.8K |
| Median | 55 | $95 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| Below median | 78 | $245 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $150 | $967 | $817 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $653 | $5.5K | $4.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $3.5K | $23.3K | $19.8K |
| unranked | 222 | $22.0K | $58.3K | $36.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +57,149 | $8,002 | $8,002 | 4 | 06-02 02:11 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +52,089 | $44,825 | $44,825 | 15 | 07-04 10:24 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +24,002 | $3,229 | $3,229 | 10 | 06-28 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | +20,000 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 15 | 07-12 08:13 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +15,000 | $12,989 | $12,989 | 5 | 06-24 07:02 |
| Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | +12,713 | $10,806 | $10,806 | 14 | 06-23 05:30 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +11,503 | $10,258 | $10,258 | 23 | 07-16 09:31 |
| Murky-Toll 0x1cd2…7f85 | No | +10,870 | $10,000 | $10,000 | 1 | 07-20 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d5…66ba | Yes | +10,766 | $1,092 | $1,092 | 10 | 07-02 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | +9,907 | $793 | $793 | 16 | 07-23 11:40 |
| Acidic-Taxi 0x9765…436b | Yes | +7,618 | $967 | $967 | 13 | 07-04 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x682b…2854 | Yes | +6,317 | $940 | $940 | 4 | 06-07 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +5,662 | $5,096 | $5,096 | 3 | 07-13 16:22 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +5,467 | $4,920 | $5,020 | 3 | 07-03 09:47 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +5,068 | $4,450 | $4,450 | 138 | 07-27 15:26 |
| Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | +5,000 | $4,500 | $4,500 | 6 | 07-04 10:24 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +4,854 | $562 | $562 | 81 | 07-23 17:30 |
| Inferior-Fry 0x91aa…19b8 | No | +4,807 | $4,308 | $4,308 | 6 | 07-19 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x636c…1e07 | Yes | +4,768 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-04 10:24 |
| Abandoned-Documentation 0xbb87…c478 | No | +3,830 | $3,256 | $3,256 | 5 | 06-04 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +3,667 | $576 | $576 | 3 | 06-08 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8afb…7f1c | Yes | +3,518 | $528 | $528 | 1 | 06-10 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +3,467 | $3,160 | $5,618 | 22 | 07-23 06:55 |
| Profitable-Hockey 0xd775…34b3 | Yes | +3,279 | $346 | $346 | 5 | 07-24 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dd3…7c76 | Yes | +3,099 | $465 | $465 | 2 | 06-04 15:23 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +3,000 | $2,680 | $2,680 | 2 | 07-01 23:02 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +3,000 | $2,610 | $2,610 | 4 | 07-01 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,655 | $2,201 | $5,449 | 21 | 06-05 19:10 |
| Cavernous-Terminal 0x9cf8…7f09 | Yes | +2,500 | $291 | $295 | 5 | 07-20 19:23 |
| Knowledgeable-Twist 0xb811…5434 | Yes | +2,071 | $275 | $275 | 3 | 07-04 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | +1,958 | $150 | $150 | 52 | 07-26 19:19 |
| Unequaled-Thump 0x771d…440e | No | +1,750 | $1,595 | $1,595 | 4 | 07-24 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd31…97a4 | No | +1,350 | $1,183 | $2,002 | 8 | 07-19 07:49 |
| Palatable-Opposite 0x7458…fecf | No | +1,113 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-30 03:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x09f2…7090 | Yes | +1,106 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 07-24 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | +1,073 | $144 | $144 | 4 | 06-10 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4035…91aa | No | +1,067 | $927 | $927 | 1 | 06-07 00:27 |
| Pastel-Method 0x606d…1aaf | No | +1,026 | $903 | $903 | 1 | 06-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +1,000 | $960 | $2,680 | 21 | 07-27 15:26 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +1,000 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 06-21 07:10 |
| Soggy-Reorganisation 0x68dc…a9c8 | No | +1,000 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 05-28 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | +1,000 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-18 15:29 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +1,000 | $130 | $130 | 7 | 06-24 07:02 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +968 | $397 | $1,363 | 6 | 07-23 11:40 |
| Alienated-Pearl-Telephone 0x0c20…f82d | Yes | +898 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-31 22:18 |
| Damp-Pheromone 0xf0d9…94c6 | Yes | +800 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 07-01 14:25 |
| Wide-Howard 0x6447…3aa3 | Yes | +756 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 06-28 18:04 |
| Rash-Dozen 0x5848…b529 | No | +705 | $613 | $613 | 9 | 06-29 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x979d…fcfa | Yes | +700 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-19 03:26 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +668 | $620 | $620 | 2 | 07-23 17:33 |
| Motionless-Commonsense 0x122c…821f | Yes | +666 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 00:57 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +601 | $465 | $4,133 | 15 | 06-19 08:21 |
| Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | +600 | $546 | $546 | 1 | 07-09 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x48e9…872c | Yes | +579 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-31 17:33 |
| Imaginative-Generation 0x7207…1c60 | No | +543 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-22 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6a2…c9b7 | No | +509 | $453 | $453 | 3 | 07-05 21:52 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +501 | $448 | $448 | 5 | 07-11 19:15 |
| Tedious-Bean 0xb36b…7804 | Yes | +467 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-23 05:30 |
| Easy-Haversack 0x3388…1ad9 | Yes | +449 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-07 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb299…d48c | Yes | +385 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 05:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 15:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 926 | 92¢ | $852 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 15:26:58 | Detailed-Basin 0x45dd…1e20 | No | BUY | 168 | 92¢ | $155 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 15:26:58 | Melodic-Disease 0xb73e…7204 | No | SELL | 1,201 | 92¢ | $1,105 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 15:26:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 15:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x8981…ce82 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 15:26:58 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x9fae7d… |
| 07-27 14:31:18 | Another-Behest 0x8865…e276 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xe2ec6c… |
| 07-27 14:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xe2ec6c… |
| 07-27 13:40:48 | (anonymous) 0xd67b…70c1 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x8f5cee… |
| 07-27 13:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x8f5cee… |
| 07-27 13:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x29b53e… |
| 07-27 13:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x5b48…5046 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x29b53e… |
| 07-27 12:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd3b8e9… |
| 07-27 12:13:25 | Faithful-Thinking 0x191f…052a | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd3b8e9… |
| 07-27 11:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x3b7a…4673 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x06b3f4… |
| 07-27 11:57:18 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x06b3f4… |
| 07-27 09:19:37 | (anonymous) 0x0f68…efca | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x029c6c… |
| 07-27 09:19:37 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x029c6c… |
| 07-27 07:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x9900dc… |
| 07-27 07:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x3b7a…4673 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x9900dc… |
| 07-27 05:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x0f68…efca | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x5e197d… |
| 07-27 05:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x5e197d… |
| 07-27 03:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xe97541… |
| 07-27 03:54:36 | Pointed-Date 0x2ed3…a20c | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xe97541… |
| 07-27 00:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x8108…85e9 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x413051… |
| 07-27 00:30:21 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x413051… |
| 07-26 23:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x42a7b4… |
| 07-26 23:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x95c9…3418 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x42a7b4… |
| 07-26 23:23:43 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xf9b75e… |
| 07-26 23:23:43 | Biodegradable-Ore 0x4f87…40fb | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xf9b75e… |
| 07-26 20:53:04 | Pointed-Date 0x2ed3…a20c | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xdafd19… |
| 07-26 20:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xdafd19… |
| 07-26 19:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x1183ee… |
| 07-26 19:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x47fe…6fa3 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x1183ee… |
| 07-26 19:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…3296 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x4968c2… |
| 07-26 19:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x8108…85e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x4968c2… |
| 07-26 19:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4968c2… |
| 07-26 18:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcc887d… |
| 07-26 18:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x95c9…3418 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcc887d… |
| 07-26 18:23:19 | Biodegradable-Ore 0x4f87…40fb | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x683af1… |
| 07-26 18:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x683af1… |
| 07-26 18:08:28 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1a32a… |
| 07-26 18:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x576b…728c | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1a32a… |
| 07-26 17:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x32a5…50fa | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xc882e3… |
| 07-26 17:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xc882e3… |
| 07-26 17:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xb682…996a | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x466f45… |
| 07-26 17:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x466f45… |
| 07-26 16:58:22 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x482d31… |
| 07-26 16:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x34a0…0b6e | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x482d31… |
| 07-26 16:28:36 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x6da536… |
| 07-26 16:28:36 | (anonymous) 0xa7ad…8890 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x6da536… |
| 07-26 16:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x8b4fc0… |
| 07-26 16:16:18 | Fumbling-Fiesta 0xcb99…15d6 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x8b4fc0… |
| 07-26 15:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x5c542f… |
| 07-26 15:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x36e3…b39c | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x5c542f… |
| 07-26 14:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x839a28… |
| 07-26 14:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x576b…728c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x839a28… |
| 07-26 12:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2cf861… |
| 07-26 12:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x32a5…50fa | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x2cf861… |
| 07-26 12:46:06 | (anonymous) 0x47fe…6fa3 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x0ca5c6… |
| 07-26 12:46:06 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0ca5c6… |
| 07-26 12:17:52 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xda9aa6… |
| 07-26 12:17:52 | (anonymous) 0xf3d5…f05d | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xda9aa6… |
| 07-26 12:17:52 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xda9aa6… |
| 07-26 11:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x36e3…b39c | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xfbef8d… |
| 07-26 11:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbef8d… |
| 07-26 10:30:28 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x761a10… |
| 07-26 10:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x2fa9…9fc5 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x761a10… |
| 07-26 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x34a0…0b6e | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xc6561b… |
| 07-26 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc6561b… |
| 07-26 08:35:54 | (anonymous) 0x3743…883f | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x07e24f… |
| 07-26 08:35:54 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x07e24f… |
| 07-26 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xa7ad…8890 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x061c2d… |
| 07-26 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x061c2d… |
| 07-26 07:35:09 | (anonymous) 0xb466…4b27 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x90b288… |
| 07-26 07:35:09 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x90b288… |
| 07-26 07:32:28 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xd059d9… |
| 07-26 07:32:28 | Thin-Drummer 0x0d37…82cd | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xd059d9… |
| 07-26 06:18:42 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcc599c… |
| 07-26 06:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x5b1b…2fd0 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcc599c… |
| 07-26 05:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x0b38…c289 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa9a870… |
| 07-26 05:31:36 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa9a870… |
| 07-26 05:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xacf7bd… |
| 07-26 05:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xf3d5…f05d | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xacf7bd… |
| 07-26 03:30:30 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xe99cd3… |
| 07-26 03:30:30 | Intelligent-Entirety 0x59d9…2e54 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xe99cd3… |
| 07-26 03:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x2fa9…9fc5 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xbc972d… |
| 07-26 03:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbc972d… |
| 07-26 02:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x4689…f31c | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x475b67… |
| 07-26 02:53:28 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x475b67… |
| 07-26 02:39:09 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x654445… |
| 07-26 02:39:09 | Violent-Chaos 0x95e7…38f1 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x654445… |
| 07-26 02:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xacf458… |
| 07-26 02:30:21 | Thin-Drummer 0x0d37…82cd | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xacf458… |
| 07-26 02:24:28 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x5893e8… |
| 07-26 02:24:28 | (anonymous) 0xed81…f8f1 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x5893e8… |
| 07-26 02:08:49 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x096ba7… |
| 07-26 02:08:49 | Wild-Material 0x6481…befb | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x096ba7… |
| 07-26 01:18:54 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x9133e4… |
| 07-26 01:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xc1f1…97bf | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x9133e4… |