Realized P&L
+$36.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.46K
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved
370
Trades
7,714
lifetime
Volume
$3.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$405
Open exposure
$242.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 11-08 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
73%
80%
+$27,938
Politics
15%
70%
+$4,510
Crypto
12%
85%
+$3,575
Tech
0%
67%
+$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk
• peak 110 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November? | No | +20,886 | $20,381 | 99¢ | $20.7K | +$327 | 11-06 11:24 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +20,000 | $18,900 | 97¢ | $19.4K | +$540 | 10-14 22:49 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | No | +17,736 | $17,480 | 99¢ | $17.6K | +$114 | 11-07 03:19 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | No | +15,812 | $15,520 | 99¢ | $15.6K | +$127 | 11-06 21:12 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +14,866 | $13,736 | 94¢ | $14.0K | +$312 | 10-21 05:22 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in November? | No | +13,795 | $13,399 | 97¢ | $13.4K | +$23 | 11-05 13:44 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November? | No | +12,969 | $12,497 | 99¢ | $12.8K | +$310 | 11-04 15:06 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | +12,600 | $11,042 | 92¢ | $11.7K | +$613 | 11-05 12:17 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November? | No | +11,752 | $11,125 | 95¢ | $11.1K | -$7 | 11-06 13:07 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in November? | No | +11,000 | $10,843 | 99¢ | $10.9K | +$30 | 11-04 16:44 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | +13,304 | $13,663 | 76¢ | $10.0K | -$3,619 | 11-04 16:34 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +10,000 | $9,000 | 92¢ | $9.2K | +$150 | 07-05 12:40 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November? | No | +8,011 | $7,735 | 98¢ | $7.8K | +$87 | 11-07 13:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | No | +8,022 | $7,560 | 92¢ | $7.4K | -$140 | 11-08 11:26 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,425 | $7,096 | 97¢ | $7.2K | +$106 | 10-19 07:22 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | No | +7,311 | $7,099 | 98¢ | $7.1K | +$44 | 11-06 08:01 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in November? | No | +7,868 | $7,264 | 90¢ | $7.1K | -$191 | 11-06 14:24 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | +5,033 | $3,684 | 93¢ | $4.7K | +$987 | 08-03 23:54 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | -4,504 | -$9,802 | 98¢ | $-4410 | +$5,392 | 10-30 09:20 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | No | +4,414 | $4,332 | 98¢ | $4.3K | +$12 | 11-06 23:33 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November? | No | +3,840 | $3,344 | 93¢ | $3.6K | +$227 | 11-06 13:30 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | No | +3,190 | $3,062 | 97¢ | $3.1K | +$46 | 11-06 12:22 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -2,966 | -$2,869 | 99¢ | $-2928 | -$59 | 08-13 01:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? | No | +3,000 | $2,913 | 96¢ | $2.9K | -$46 | 11-05 08:03 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November? | No | +3,438 | $3,053 | 71¢ | $2.4K | -$613 | 11-04 09:49 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | +2,527 | $2,393 | 96¢ | $2.4K | +$37 | 11-04 14:14 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,125 | $3,781 | 78¢ | $2.4K | -$1,359 | 08-25 07:51 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November? | No | +2,615 | $2,557 | 90¢ | $2.3K | -$212 | 11-05 21:07 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +2,169 | $2,074 | 98¢ | $2.1K | +$49 | 10-17 11:07 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | +1,817 | $1,604 | 98¢ | $1.8K | +$176 | 06-03 13:04 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 378 | $183.6K | 90,243 | 96,292 | -6,049 | No | +$742 | 03-24 11:09 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 28 | $95.1K | 58,175 | 39,087 | +19,088 | No | +$2,056 | 04-28 15:25 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 65 | $90.8K | 46,574 | 48,422 | -1,848 | No | +$2,473 | 06-18 03:42 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148 | 26 | $82.7K | 41,951 | 41,951 | +0 | No | +$743 | 08-10 20:58 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | 34 | $81.6K | 42,233 | 46,737 | -4,504 | open | — | 10-30 09:20 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 204 | $80.3K | 41,475 | 42,292 | -817 | Yes | -$643 | 02-19 14:18 |
| will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026 | 63 | $64.4K | 32,814 | 32,814 | +0 | No | +$1,068 | 07-28 17:02 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | 56 | $62.6K | 33,444 | 34,336 | -892 | No | +$1,398 | 06-21 14:16 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | 116 | $58.0K | 60,782 | 0 | +60,782 | No | +$2,765 | 06-21 22:24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 28 | $57.3K | 29,764 | 28,846 | +918 | open | — | 10-30 09:24 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 58 | $55.8K | 36,150 | 31,227 | +4,923 | Yes | +$4,903 | 03-10 02:12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | 12 | $49.0K | 24,863 | 24,863 | +0 | No | +$640 | 07-29 01:53 |
| will wti dip to 60 in august 2026 | 51 | $48.4K | 51,572 | 0 | +51,572 | No | +$3,220 | 08-14 07:35 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 91 | $44.6K | 32,693 | 28,984 | +3,708 | Yes | -$1,200 | 03-29 22:02 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | 103 | $39.9K | 23,384 | 23,384 | +0 | No | +$3,182 | 06-19 01:35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | 26 | $39.7K | 20,000 | 20,000 | +0 | No | +$238 | 07-24 14:31 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 8 | $38.1K | 18,631 | 20,121 | -1,490 | No | +$456 | 06-15 06:34 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | 32 | $36.2K | 13,653 | 23,261 | -9,608 | No | +$521 | 06-17 22:57 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | 35 | $33.9K | 27,000 | 13,696 | +13,304 | open | — | 11-04 16:34 |
| us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499 | 44 | $33.4K | 34,150 | 0 | +34,150 | No | +$737 | 01-29 15:28 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 31 | $32.7K | 16,861 | 16,861 | +0 | No | +$806 | 05-27 12:50 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 55 | $32.5K | 15,700 | 17,700 | -2,000 | No | -$3 | 03-27 15:10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | 41 | $31.7K | 32,382 | 0 | +32,382 | No | +$720 | 08-14 07:11 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | 35 | $30.9K | 15,541 | 15,540 | +0 | No | +$115 | 10-29 07:10 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294 | 18 | $27.5K | 28,459 | 5,500 | +22,959 | No | +$1,785 | 03-25 15:15 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 36 | $27.3K | 14,239 | 14,239 | +0 | No | +$1,072 | 03-30 10:49 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | 20 | $26.4K | 17,054 | 9,628 | +7,426 | No | +$148 | 08-14 06:32 |
| will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316 | 342 | $26.3K | 25,641 | 1,453 | +24,188 | No | +$776 | 02-20 14:54 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | 312 | $25.2K | 13,308 | 13,308 | +0 | No | +$177 | 05-29 21:06 |
| will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175 | 15 | $25.2K | 12,744 | 12,744 | +0 | No | +$258 | 07-31 01:54 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||