Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$11,101
$172 in 24h
Trades
426
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$2,591
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 00:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+45.1¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $894
vs crowd: 44% YES on $7.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $221 | $952 | $730 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $1.0K | $1.1K | $57 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $1.2K | $1.5K | $271 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $813 | $663 | +$150 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $797 | $98 | +$699 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $221 | $173 | +$48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $207 | $124 | +$82 |
| Median | 7 | $179 | $771 | $592 |
| Below median | 14 | $237 | $587 | $350 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $34 | $218 | $184 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $294 | $921 | $626 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $29 | $46 | $16 |
| unranked | 34 | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +2,680 | $864 | $864 | 17 | 06-22 05:29 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +1,582 | $527 | $527 | 6 | 06-11 20:45 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +1,000 | $679 | $679 | 1 | 06-11 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5950…8c48 | Yes | +870 | $270 | $270 | 5 | 06-18 14:16 |
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +755 | $211 | $211 | 7 | 07-03 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | +616 | $451 | $451 | 7 | 07-06 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1876…1ad5 | No | +540 | $371 | $371 | 4 | 06-18 13:48 |
| Essential-Subset 0x1ed8…37c1 | Yes | +540 | $175 | $175 | 7 | 06-02 19:29 |
| Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a9…25d5 | No | +411 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-01 19:27 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +358 | $219 | $1,053 | 24 | 07-06 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x770a…7d17 | Yes | +318 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 06-05 00:39 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +300 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-11 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | +289 | $98 | $98 | 13 | 07-01 17:05 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +285 | $90 | $90 | 21 | 07-03 08:58 |
| Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | +270 | $188 | $326 | 9 | 07-05 18:35 |
| Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | +263 | $176 | $224 | 5 | 07-01 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc6…20fc | Yes | +260 | $89 | $89 | 3 | 06-12 11:38 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | Yes | +200 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 06-11 22:33 |
| Reflecting-Marker 0xd2fa…ed3e | No | +200 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 05-29 09:01 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +194 | $130 | $130 | 14 | 07-03 17:25 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +179 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 06-11 22:33 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +159 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 06-09 05:12 |
| Ironclad-Solicitor 0x0ba8…e4e4 | Yes | +150 | $40 | $121 | 3 | 07-03 19:11 |
| Cavernous-Day 0xf268…ab74 | No | +145 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-16 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8c…f98a | No | +145 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-15 22:23 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +132 | $95 | $95 | 4 | 07-01 17:05 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +103 | $68 | $128 | 4 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +91 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 06-11 20:45 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | +80 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 06-25 07:38 |
| Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | +78 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 07-03 08:56 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +73 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-09 09:30 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | Yes | +63 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-18 02:14 |
| Early-Dwelling 0xefab…258e | Yes | +58 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-03 15:39 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $118 | 5 | 06-30 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 07-03 23:05 |
| Overdue-Premeditation 0xdccb…ea1a | No | +43 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 08:46 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-03 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 05:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-02 08:30 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $11 | 4 | 06-05 19:20 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | +13 | $6 | $10 | 2 | 06-30 22:23 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $7 | $38 | 6 | 06-12 11:38 |
| Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-03 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x577b…c221 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 16:30 |
| Ready-Configuration 0xe448…92d7 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 08:06 |
| Likable-Bijou 0x6d54…45eb | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 06:42 |
| Smug-Effacement 0xaf13…72ca | Yes | +5 | $2 | $5 | 3 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | +3 | $2 | $24 | 6 | 06-01 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 14:44 |
| Adorable-Mirror 0x00a1…0304 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 21:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $-0 | $80 | 5 | 06-13 10:59 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +1 | $-1 | $33 | 4 | 06-05 10:37 |
| Awkward-Coevolution 0x2d27…234d | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 2 | 05-31 02:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 00:15:13 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 70 | 74¢ | $52 | 0xf14509… |
| 07-06 00:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 70 | 74¢ | $52 | 0xf14509… |
| 07-05 18:35:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xf0e0ce… |
| 07-05 18:35:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0xf0e0ce… |
| 07-05 18:35:25 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xf0e0ce… |
| 07-05 18:34:55 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | SELL | 38 | 72¢ | $27 | 0x2f3cf9… |
| 07-05 18:34:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x2f3cf9… |
| 07-03 23:05:29 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x420c9a… |
| 07-03 23:05:29 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x420c9a… |
| 07-03 19:11:04 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 27¢ | $40 | 0x5ae82c… |
| 07-03 19:11:04 | Ironclad-Solicitor 0x0ba8…e4e4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x5ae82c… |
| 07-03 17:25:01 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc02493… |
| 07-03 17:25:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc02493… |
| 07-03 16:40:50 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x342c4e… |
| 07-03 16:40:50 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x342c4e… |
| 07-03 16:40:50 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 24 | 74¢ | $18 | 0x342c4e… |
| 07-03 16:40:38 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x0eea54… |
| 07-03 16:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x0eea54… |
| 07-03 15:58:02 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x5f6cb9… |
| 07-03 15:58:02 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x5f6cb9… |
| 07-03 15:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x072957… |
| 07-03 15:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 48 | 74¢ | $36 | 0x072957… |
| 07-03 15:39:32 | Early-Dwelling 0xefab…258e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 26¢ | $15 | 0x072957… |
| 07-03 14:34:07 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x381f0b… |
| 07-03 14:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x381f0b… |
| 07-03 11:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x4a41cd… |
| 07-03 11:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4a41cd… |
| 07-03 08:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x86f4f9… |
| 07-03 08:58:11 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x86f4f9… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | BUY | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 400 | 73¢ | $292 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-03 08:56:22 | Ironclad-Solicitor 0x0ba8…e4e4 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 27¢ | $81 | 0x34b4ef… |
| 07-02 13:17:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x7023c4… |
| 07-02 13:17:37 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x7023c4… |
| 07-02 01:37:05 | Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x0b9b1c… |
| 07-02 01:37:05 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x0b9b1c… |
| 07-02 01:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x0b9b1c… |
| 07-02 01:37:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0b9b1c… |
| 07-01 23:08:35 | Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xd849f2… |
| 07-01 23:08:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xd849f2… |
| 07-01 22:46:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x71aaa3… |
| 07-01 22:46:38 | Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x71aaa3… |
| 07-01 19:52:32 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xe3975b… |
| 07-01 19:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xe3975b… |
| 07-01 19:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xe3975b… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 17 | 73¢ | $13 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a9…25d5 | No | BUY | 411 | 73¢ | $300 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 294 | 27¢ | $79 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 27¢ | $12 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 19:27:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa553b3… |
| 07-01 17:05:58 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 86 | 72¢ | $62 | 0xa6ea42… |
| 07-01 17:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 86 | 28¢ | $24 | 0xa6ea42… |
| 07-01 17:05:26 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x37bc4e… |
| 07-01 17:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x37bc4e… |
| 07-01 17:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x87fccd… |
| 07-01 17:05:14 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x87fccd… |
| 07-01 16:09:17 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 15 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x453645… |
| 07-01 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x453645… |
| 07-01 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x453645… |
| 07-01 16:09:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x453645… |
| 07-01 15:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf43a0d… |
| 07-01 15:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xf43a0d… |
| 07-01 15:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xf43a0d… |
| 07-01 14:47:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x6814fb… |
| 07-01 14:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $13 | 0x6814fb… |
| 07-01 14:44:35 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa00fc4… |
| 07-01 14:44:35 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xa00fc4… |
| 07-01 14:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x4bb2dd… |
| 07-01 14:44:34 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x4bb2dd… |
| 07-01 14:44:34 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x4bb2dd… |
| 07-01 14:44:34 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 48 | 70¢ | $34 | 0x4bb2dd… |
| 07-01 02:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xd87e…e87d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 32¢ | $12 | 0xc26e4c… |
| 07-01 02:28:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xc26e4c… |
| 07-01 02:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc26e4c… |
| 07-01 00:05:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x862059… |
| 07-01 00:05:11 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x862059… |
| 06-30 22:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x4127a9… |
| 06-30 22:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x4127a9… |
| 06-30 16:44:35 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xda4fc0… |
| 06-30 16:44:35 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | SELL | 88 | 36¢ | $31 | 0xda4fc0… |
| 06-30 16:44:35 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xda4fc0… |
| 06-30 15:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xe70f5f… |
| 06-30 15:57:13 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xe70f5f… |
| 06-30 15:50:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 19 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xc62185… |
| 06-30 15:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xc62185… |
| 06-30 15:50:59 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 66 | 62¢ | $41 | 0xc62185… |
| 06-30 15:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xc62185… |
| 06-30 12:19:44 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x13cd38… |
| 06-30 12:19:44 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x13cd38… |
| 06-30 12:19:44 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x13cd38… |
| 06-30 10:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x86c274… |
| 06-30 10:30:08 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x86c274… |
| 06-30 10:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xf1f062… |
| 06-30 10:29:52 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0xf1f062… |