Thorny-Carpeting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

20,466

lifetime

Volume

$61.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-10 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

63% 44% $-7

Politics

28% 69% +$5

Tech

5% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 512 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	370	$1.2K	2,140	416	+1,724	open	—	05-26 20:54
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	204	$790	1,248	457	+790	open	—	07-12 20:18
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	194	$695	1,278	159	+1,118	open	—	05-20 00:28
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	118	$533	895	262	+633	open	—	05-30 18:35
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	188	$504	740	352	+388	open	—	06-29 10:02
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	147	$478	705	273	+432	open	—	05-28 23:53
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	108	$468	685	298	+387	open	—	06-13 22:02
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	122	$428	753	181	+572	open	—	05-19 21:33
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	163	$399	619	238	+380	open	—	06-27 10:06
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	88	$382	461	268	+193	open	—	07-31 07:15
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	137	$359	546	225	+321	open	—	07-22 12:06
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	118	$356	450	260	+190	open	—	06-23 09:51
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	105	$354	587	113	+475	open	—	05-20 01:36
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	101	$348	432	280	+151	open	—	07-24 18:44
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	106	$333	586	189	+397	open	—	06-03 19:22
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	113	$331	546	135	+411	open	—	05-19 00:57
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	95	$329	546	129	+417	open	—	05-19 21:41
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	96	$318	480	218	+262	open	—	07-27 21:58
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	101	$317	512	244	+268	open	—	06-29 17:43
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	129	$316	492	258	+234	open	—	07-26 17:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	160	$306	472	145	+327	open	—	06-24 07:03
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	93	$297	468	167	+301	open	—	06-29 21:05
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	89	$294	463	153	+310	open	—	05-19 07:10
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	75	$291	466	152	+314	open	—	05-25 02:33
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	97	$290	470	162	+309	open	—	06-23 19:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	84	$289	418	196	+221	open	—	07-12 02:00
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	105	$288	455	155	+300	open	—	06-24 23:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	91	$280	351	232	+119	open	—	06-21 20:11
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	90	$276	433	161	+272	open	—	06-14 14:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	70	$274	436	179	+257	open	—	05-22 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:34:12	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x9fe5e3…
08-10 07:27:45	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x7a1dd3…
08-10 07:08:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x2c35e0…
08-10 06:50:40	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x09df86…
08-10 06:20:10	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbabd2a…
08-10 06:15:31	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0b3807…
08-10 05:32:51	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xad13d3…
08-10 05:23:42	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xcfb09c…
08-10 04:32:18	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xd2fd25…
08-10 04:13:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xcd6e4c…
08-10 04:12:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x88b96b…
08-10 03:51:34	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x008fbd…
08-10 03:16:52	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x758048…
08-10 03:16:16	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xf5f74c…
08-10 03:10:01	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd88b91…
08-10 02:51:43	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x8c83ca…
08-10 02:35:06	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xa17d89…
08-10 02:03:16	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf542ee…
08-10 01:53:16	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x16ab24…
08-10 01:04:45	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xf2a6d3…
08-10 00:39:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd71034…
08-10 00:35:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9a9736…
08-10 00:32:19	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x7f3cb9…
08-10 00:31:57	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xea5422…
08-10 00:31:39	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x3c08de…
08-10 00:27:19	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd12068…
08-10 00:12:30	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xa5e3ab…
08-10 00:02:48	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x414e3b…
08-09 23:56:34	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x865238…
08-09 23:35:13	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0412ae…
08-09 22:58:39	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcc4236…
08-09 22:43:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9e75f6…
08-09 22:39:15	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa6685a…
08-09 22:28:36	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xc36c01…
08-09 19:34:40	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x92ca2f…
08-09 19:32:16	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xe66b19…
08-09 19:30:00	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x0afdc2…
08-09 19:22:52	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb21629…
08-09 18:48:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xde0158…
08-09 17:48:36	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xadeab9…
08-09 17:43:42	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x777d81…
08-09 17:07:24	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x4f0ec7…
08-09 17:04:52	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x07512f…
08-09 16:35:09	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb570a1…
08-09 16:24:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1f8d86…
08-09 15:42:54	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67e24e…
08-09 15:41:49	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfc3f25…
08-09 15:02:24	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1ff8da…
08-09 14:54:34	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x17963f…
08-09 14:50:01	will ukraine re enter huliaipole by october 31 2026 20260805160946469	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x44c570…
08-09 14:31:31	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x9cbfdf…
08-09 14:30:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6a70a0…
08-09 14:30:39	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfcb8c6…
08-09 14:30:12	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3ff951…
08-09 14:00:30	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x15d9d5…
08-09 13:59:42	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x86a038…
08-09 13:27:22	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8ae61d…
08-09 13:23:46	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x02ef32…
08-09 13:15:54	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x6c5c83…
08-09 12:34:57	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x398b18…
08-09 11:40:28	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x38c8c2…
08-09 10:52:40	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe59c88…
08-09 10:52:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe117f8…
08-09 10:46:31	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x81d31e…
08-09 10:46:27	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd0681f…
08-09 10:39:22	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdc08fe…
08-09 10:07:48	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x2c212f…
08-09 10:00:01	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xc93d3b…
08-09 09:47:25	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x28ed63…
08-09 08:59:12	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x6a56f3…
08-09 08:50:00	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x227697…
08-09 08:36:42	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xc3ea09…
08-09 08:24:28	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xb293d5…
08-09 08:13:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xd32468…
08-09 08:12:27	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x059a84…
08-09 07:21:40	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc27bbd…
08-09 07:10:52	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x762949…
08-09 07:06:19	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x00d96a…
08-09 06:50:46	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x0dd44d…
08-09 06:44:49	will ukraine re enter huliaipole by october 31 2026 20260805160946469	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x87ec6a…
08-09 05:59:40	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xadc1fe…
08-09 05:58:55	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x6a3a3a…
08-09 05:36:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9f6961…
08-09 05:22:51	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x9e2cd3…
08-09 05:04:58	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe5a2e1…
08-09 04:59:19	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xba5932…
08-09 04:18:52	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x865179…
08-09 03:38:28	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xb0b658…
08-09 02:59:37	will danny devito attend the us open finals 20260807052019167	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf498c1…
08-09 02:54:21	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x325de9…
08-09 02:53:22	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4bd69d…
08-09 02:27:52	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x8f3500…
08-09 02:18:19	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x568fbf…
08-09 02:05:54	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xb34103…
08-09 01:41:51	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x0598cd…
08-09 00:50:52	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x991f4f…
08-08 22:52:00	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xf3c8fd…
08-08 22:44:34	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xaa8dbd…
08-08 22:37:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5698ff…
08-08 21:32:22	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x4cb85d…