Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b276…f5da22
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$291
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
61
Trades
16,289
lifetime
Volume
$48.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-30 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
62% 44% $-7
Politics
28% 69% +$5
Tech
5% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 843 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +175 $97 100¢ $175 +$78 06-26 15:03
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +99 $65 100¢ $98 +$34 06-22 11:48
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +90 $60 99¢ $89 +$29 06-15 16:25
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +91 $67 97¢ $89 +$22 06-19 01:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +115 $40 74¢ $85 +$45 06-28 14:29
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +94 $69 81¢ $76 +$7 06-24 21:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +80 $63 90¢ $71 +$9 06-20 02:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +72 $47 100¢ $71 +$25 06-22 10:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +68 $51 97¢ $66 +$15 06-21 01:17
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +83 $71 76¢ $63 $-7 06-24 10:05
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +60 $50 100¢ $60 +$10 06-01 16:50
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +47 $35 99¢ $46 +$11 06-20 18:08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +52 $43 80¢ $42 $-1 06-11 14:07
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +45 $36 84¢ $38 +$2 06-30 08:04
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +47 $30 72¢ $34 +$3 06-27 04:50
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +30 $20 99¢ $30 +$10 06-21 02:38
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +59 $26 48¢ $28 +$2 06-23 20:15
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +53 $27 52¢ $27 +$0 06-23 19:35
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +43 $22 58¢ $25 +$3 06-28 07:13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +30 $21 80¢ $24 +$2 06-28 19:30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +32 $21 74¢ $23 +$3 06-26 03:22
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +28 $23 84¢ $23 +$0 06-17 14:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +91 $54 26¢ $23 $-31 06-27 14:26
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +30 $22 74¢ $22 +$0 06-22 19:45
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +23 $17 93¢ $22 +$5 06-25 04:26
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +24 $20 90¢ $22 +$1 06-27 14:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +45 $24 48¢ $21 $-3 06-20 08:45
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +35 $16 58¢ $20 +$4 06-26 02:04
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +24 $10 79¢ $19 +$9 06-12 17:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +34 $15 52¢ $18 +$3 06-17 00:46