Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b276…f5da22
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$70
Unrealized P&L
+$480
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
1,535
Trades
25,870
lifetime
Volume
$79.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 09-01 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Other
62% 54% -$19
Politics
27% 59% +$72
Tech
7% 58% +$42
Pop-Culture
2% 77% +$34
Sports
1% 53% -$10
Crypto
0% 50% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +267 $201 97¢ $259 +$58 06-20 02:53
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +233 $176 87¢ $203 +$27 07-31 00:50
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +191 $139 90¢ $172 +$33 08-11 23:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +145 $51 96¢ $140 +$89 07-11 17:45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +153 $99 80¢ $123 +$23 08-16 14:16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +87 $60 81¢ $71 +$10 08-02 10:43
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison No +62 $50 97¢ $59 +$9 07-23 06:41
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +56 $26 84¢ $47 +$21 08-15 17:28
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +51 $33 90¢ $46 +$13 06-16 12:27
Discord IPO before 2027? No +49 $20 94¢ $46 +$26 08-16 23:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +54 $24 82¢ $44 +$20 06-17 00:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +45 $36 96¢ $43 +$7 07-27 19:59
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +51 $21 80¢ $41 +$20 07-25 06:22
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +43 $24 90¢ $39 +$15 07-08 01:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +39 $32 94¢ $37 +$5 06-21 19:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +36 $15 92¢ $33 +$18 07-15 15:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +35 $16 94¢ $33 +$17 07-24 16:14
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +35 $28 90¢ $32 +$4 08-14 08:20
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +35 $24 89¢ $31 +$7 07-13 12:43
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +31 $10 97¢ $30 +$21 07-02 14:45
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +32 $23 95¢ $30 +$7 07-06 17:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +233 $52 13¢ $30 -$22 07-31 07:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +32 $21 95¢ $30 +$10 07-21 01:26
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +33 $24 90¢ $30 +$5 07-22 10:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +153 $48 20¢ $30 -$18 08-02 12:21
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +36 $16 80¢ $29 +$13 06-26 02:04
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +35 $18 83¢ $29 +$10 06-28 07:13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +30 $21 94¢ $28 +$6 07-25 04:59
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +38 $8 69¢ $26 +$18 08-28 22:13
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No +28 $17 92¢ $26 +$9 08-06 13:09