Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
-$707
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
212
Trades
1,678
lifetime
Volume
$61.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$5.24K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-20 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
46% 44% -$73
Other
40% 54% +$379
Crypto
12% 36% -$467
Sports
2% 33% +$269
Tech
1% 33% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,300 $2,902 92¢ $3.0K +$118 10-09 23:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $750 88¢ $885 +$135 09-22 11:05
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +600 $382 66¢ $399 +$17 10-20 18:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +300 $273 97¢ $291 +$18 06-24 14:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $330 38¢ $187 -$142 09-17 00:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$132 13¢ $-129 +$2 10-07 08:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,118 $681 11¢ $117 -$564 07-11 14:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -200 -$122 32¢ $-65 +$57 06-19 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $290 8¢ $45 -$245 07-10 23:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +300 $110 14¢ $40 -$70 05-01 18:35
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +300 $96 13¢ $39 -$57 06-11 22:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $50 2¢ $10 -$40 07-03 22:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +200 $16 2¢ $5 -$11 06-08 03:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +100 $14 3¢ $3 -$11 06-09 05:11
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 06-05 11:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$95 18¢ $0 +$95 08-26 23:50