Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$9,209
$422 in 24h
Trades
297
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$3,171
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 14:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $77 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $335 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $140 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $347 | $284 | +$63 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $66 | $1.0K | $978 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $62 | $336 | $274 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | $694 | $692 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $104 | $104 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $313 | $1.4K | $1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $16 | $518 | $502 |
| unranked | 35 | $435 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +1,768 | $313 | $313 | 23 | 07-06 00:35 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +1,267 | $973 | $973 | 5 | 06-24 15:04 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +967 | $749 | $749 | 5 | 06-28 22:24 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +794 | $632 | $632 | 4 | 07-01 21:20 |
| Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | +780 | $149 | $149 | 7 | 07-07 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | +755 | $654 | $654 | 4 | 07-03 16:47 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +488 | $401 | $401 | 2 | 06-30 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | +450 | $363 | $363 | 2 | 06-16 22:38 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +385 | $76 | $76 | 21 | 07-03 12:19 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +348 | $264 | $264 | 5 | 06-27 09:20 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +282 | $223 | $223 | 15 | 07-04 02:29 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-08 03:27 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +168 | $132 | $132 | 5 | 06-13 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +135 | $22 | $22 | 27 | 07-03 12:19 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +134 | $99 | $193 | 5 | 07-04 02:29 |
| Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | +100 | $18 | $116 | 15 | 07-05 19:33 |
| Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-16 10:04 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +92 | $71 | $71 | 4 | 06-24 08:40 |
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +73 | $65 | $675 | 5 | 06-24 00:10 |
| Busy-Precision 0xac25…147a | Yes | +55 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 11:40 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-04 02:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 13:54 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $14 | 3 | 07-02 01:37 |
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $16 | 5 | 07-06 00:35 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-30 11:30 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $17 | 3 | 06-14 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 16:46 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 07-08 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x77d6…3998 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 14:17 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 11:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $52 | 2 | 06-23 19:17 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x15b43d… |
| 07-08 14:39:10 | Evil-Doughnut 0xb4bd…2bda | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x15b43d… |
| 07-07 23:36:34 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x5305a4… |
| 07-07 23:36:34 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x5305a4… |
| 07-07 20:46:26 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5d9ca4… |
| 07-07 20:46:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5d9ca4… |
| 07-07 11:38:20 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9cbb11… |
| 07-07 11:38:20 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9cbb11… |
| 07-06 14:17:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x9c5364… |
| 07-06 14:17:25 | (anonymous) 0x77d6…3998 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9c5364… |
| 07-06 00:35:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xe6227b… |
| 07-06 00:35:44 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xe6227b… |
| 07-06 00:35:44 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xe6227b… |
| 07-05 19:33:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x80ec4f… |
| 07-05 19:33:19 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x80ec4f… |
| 07-05 19:33:19 | Burly-Racer 0xcf34…9a33 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x80ec4f… |
| 07-05 16:33:07 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 45 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x91b097… |
| 07-05 16:33:07 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 45 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x91b097… |
| 07-04 02:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xcde730… |
| 07-04 02:29:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xcde730… |
| 07-04 02:29:46 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 55 | 87¢ | $47 | 0xcde730… |
| 07-04 02:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xcde730… |
| 07-03 16:47:17 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 13¢ | $65 | 0xb82852… |
| 07-03 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 500 | 87¢ | $435 | 0xb82852… |
| 07-03 16:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x66ca0f… |
| 07-03 16:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x66ca0f… |
| 07-03 16:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x66ca0f… |
| 07-03 16:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 140 | 86¢ | $120 | 0xf80897… |
| 07-03 16:28:07 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xf80897… |
| 07-03 16:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xf80897… |
| 07-03 15:56:13 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xb9fb8b… |
| 07-03 15:56:13 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xb9fb8b… |
| 07-03 15:56:13 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xb9fb8b… |
| 07-03 12:19:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc57378… |
| 07-03 12:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc57378… |
| 07-03 12:19:20 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 90 | 86¢ | $78 | 0xc57378… |
| 07-03 12:19:20 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc57378… |
| 07-02 12:32:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x25bd15… |
| 07-02 12:32:41 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x25bd15… |
| 07-02 01:37:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xc4454b… |
| 07-02 01:37:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc4454b… |
| 07-02 01:37:17 | Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xc4454b… |
| 07-02 01:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0xc4454b… |
| 07-01 21:20:53 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 16¢ | $32 | 0x47246e… |
| 07-01 21:20:53 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 210 | 84¢ | $176 | 0x47246e… |
| 07-01 21:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x47246e… |
| 07-01 18:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xd71e93… |
| 07-01 18:12:56 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xd71e93… |
| 06-30 22:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0x9e1d74… |
| 06-30 22:12:29 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 192 | 83¢ | $160 | 0x9e1d74… |
| 06-30 22:12:29 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0x9e1d74… |
| 06-30 22:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9e1d74… |
| 06-30 16:46:10 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xb42a91… |
| 06-30 16:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xb42a91… |
| 06-30 16:46:02 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | SELL | 41 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x720af0… |
| 06-30 16:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x720af0… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 296 | 81¢ | $241 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-30 11:30:46 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | BUY | 46 | 19¢ | $9 | 0xaa2b53… |
| 06-28 22:24:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 26 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xfd6346… |
| 06-28 22:24:38 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 76 | 79¢ | $59 | 0xfd6346… |
| 06-28 22:24:38 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xfd6346… |
| 06-28 19:08:23 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x0fb7b9… |
| 06-28 19:08:23 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 91 | 79¢ | $72 | 0x0fb7b9… |
| 06-28 19:08:23 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0fb7b9… |
| 06-27 09:20:56 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x65f11e… |
| 06-27 09:20:56 | Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | BUY | 62 | 76¢ | $47 | 0x65f11e… |
| 06-27 09:20:56 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x65f11e… |
| 06-27 09:20:56 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 24¢ | $23 | 0x65f11e… |
| 06-27 08:51:08 | Likable-Bijou 0x6d54…45eb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf31806… |
| 06-27 08:51:08 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 26 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xf31806… |
| 06-27 08:51:08 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xf31806… |
| 06-27 08:50:56 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xe5513a… |
| 06-27 08:50:56 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xe5513a… |
| 06-26 18:36:56 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xa2798b… |
| 06-26 18:36:56 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xa2798b… |
| 06-24 23:24:47 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 20¢ | $60 | 0xfe6355… |
| 06-24 23:24:47 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfe6355… |
| 06-24 23:24:47 | (anonymous) 0xc0c7…3826 | Yes | SELL | 329 | 20¢ | $65 | 0xfe6355… |
| 06-24 23:24:47 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfe6355… |
| 06-24 15:04:47 | (anonymous) 0xc0c7…3826 | Yes | BUY | 329 | 21¢ | $69 | 0x956ee1… |
| 06-24 15:04:47 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 329 | 79¢ | $260 | 0x956ee1… |
| 06-24 14:51:37 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 231 | 79¢ | $182 | 0x770857… |
| 06-24 14:51:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 181 | 79¢ | $143 | 0x770857… |
| 06-24 14:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x770857… |
| 06-24 09:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x6cc04d… |
| 06-24 09:31:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x6cc04d… |
| 06-24 08:40:44 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xf66921… |
| 06-24 08:40:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xf66921… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 394 | 78¢ | $305 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 70 | 22¢ | $15 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-24 00:10:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 192 | 77¢ | $148 | 0x46ca80… |
| 06-23 19:17:31 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x3d3bb3… |