Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$4,410
$422 in 24h
Trades
136
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$3,171
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 10:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $30 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $116 | $848 | $732 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $71 | $321 | $250 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $14 | $87 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $66 | $592 | $527 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $31 | $238 | $207 |
| Median | 4 | — | $198 | $198 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $103 | $103 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $111 | $1.1K | $963 |
| unranked | 15 | $18 | $200 | $182 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +800 | $618 | $618 | 3 | 06-11 07:44 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +707 | $530 | $530 | 3 | 06-09 13:48 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +584 | $456 | $456 | 3 | 06-14 13:03 |
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +516 | $111 | $111 | 10 | 06-14 13:03 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +286 | $218 | $218 | 4 | 06-14 19:21 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-08 03:27 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +188 | $146 | $146 | 4 | 06-13 12:38 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +168 | $132 | $132 | 5 | 06-13 21:17 |
| Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-16 10:04 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +81 | $62 | $62 | 3 | 06-10 06:41 |
| Busy-Precision 0xac25…147a | Yes | +55 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 20:56 |
| Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 18:08 |
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 06:41 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:51 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $17 | 3 | 06-14 18:08 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 19:58 |
| Burly-Racer 0xcf34…9a33 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 14:48 |
| Evil-Doughnut 0xb4bd…2bda | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 12:09 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 11:06 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 10:04:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x119dc7… |
| 06-16 10:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x119dc7… |
| 06-16 10:04:06 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x081419… |
| 06-16 10:04:06 | Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | BUY | 95 | 80¢ | $76 | 0x081419… |
| 06-16 10:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x081419… |
| 06-15 23:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x85dc55… |
| 06-15 23:33:01 | Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x85dc55… |
| 06-14 19:21:45 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 263 | 76¢ | $200 | 0xe05a8b… |
| 06-14 19:21:45 | Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | BUY | 263 | 76¢ | $200 | 0xe05a8b… |
| 06-14 18:08:48 | Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xab4657… |
| 06-14 18:08:48 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xab4657… |
| 06-14 18:08:48 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xab4657… |
| 06-14 13:03:25 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 21¢ | $42 | 0xef916a… |
| 06-14 13:03:25 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | SELL | 108 | 79¢ | $85 | 0xef916a… |
| 06-14 13:03:25 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 308 | 79¢ | $243 | 0xef916a… |
| 06-14 08:37:33 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xf494d3… |
| 06-14 08:37:33 | Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xf494d3… |
| 06-14 06:54:13 | Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x20f076… |
| 06-14 06:54:13 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x20f076… |
| 06-13 21:18:15 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xbba3dd… |
| 06-13 21:18:15 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbba3dd… |
| 06-13 21:17:18 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa987c8… |
| 06-13 21:17:18 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x4c5141… |
| 06-13 21:17:18 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xa987c8… |
| 06-13 21:17:18 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x4c5141… |
| 06-13 18:35:57 | Reflecting-Marker 0xd2fa…ed3e | No | BUY | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0xe05730… |
| 06-13 18:35:57 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xe05730… |
| 06-13 18:35:57 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xe05730… |
| 06-13 12:38:28 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | BUY | 128 | 78¢ | $100 | 0x6ae91f… |
| 06-13 12:38:28 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 128 | 22¢ | $28 | 0x6ae91f… |
| 06-13 02:29:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xa89cd4… |
| 06-13 02:29:10 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xa89cd4… |
| 06-13 02:29:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xa89cd4… |
| 06-12 13:41:13 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xa3d14c… |
| 06-12 13:41:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xa3d14c… |
| 06-12 11:38:04 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb3580b… |
| 06-12 11:38:04 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xb3580b… |
| 06-12 11:37:25 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xdcdace… |
| 06-12 11:37:25 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xdcdace… |
| 06-12 11:37:25 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xdcdace… |
| 06-12 11:37:24 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x3c82fd… |
| 06-12 11:37:24 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x3c82fd… |
| 06-12 11:06:10 | Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x6e09fc… |
| 06-12 11:06:10 | Utilized-Principle 0x3d12…4b82 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x6e09fc… |
| 06-11 11:40:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 28¢ | $12 | 0xfd107c… |
| 06-11 11:40:49 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xfd107c… |
| 06-11 11:40:49 | Busy-Precision 0xac25…147a | Yes | BUY | 55 | 28¢ | $15 | 0xfd107c… |
| 06-11 11:40:49 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x7b5b84… |
| 06-11 11:40:49 | Utilized-Principle 0x3d12…4b82 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x7b5b84… |
| 06-11 07:44:04 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 200 | 78¢ | $156 | 0x918fa5… |
| 06-11 07:44:04 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 200 | 78¢ | $156 | 0x918fa5… |
| 06-11 06:51:16 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x8d6588… |
| 06-11 06:51:16 | Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x8d6588… |
| 06-11 06:27:48 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x1e002f… |
| 06-11 06:27:48 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 450 | 78¢ | $351 | 0x1e002f… |
| 06-11 06:27:48 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 439 | 78¢ | $342 | 0x1e002f… |
| 06-10 13:31:52 | Awkward-Coevolution 0x2d27…234d | No | SELL | 6 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xa0239d… |
| 06-10 13:31:52 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xa0239d… |
| 06-10 06:41:52 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 47 | 77¢ | $36 | 0xf2bf9c… |
| 06-10 06:41:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xf2bf9c… |
| 06-10 06:41:52 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xf2bf9c… |
| 06-09 23:53:39 | Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | SELL | 27 | 73¢ | $19 | 0xffb28b… |
| 06-09 23:53:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xffb28b… |
| 06-09 18:21:36 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0xa9d9d2… |
| 06-09 18:21:36 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xa9d9d2… |
| 06-09 18:21:33 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xe24ede… |
| 06-09 18:21:33 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xe24ede… |
| 06-09 13:48:51 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 193 | 77¢ | $149 | 0x80711f… |
| 06-09 13:48:51 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 193 | 77¢ | $149 | 0x80711f… |
| 06-09 09:30:36 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x496381… |
| 06-09 09:30:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x496381… |
| 06-09 08:53:04 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x99f0bc… |
| 06-09 08:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x99f0bc… |
| 06-09 08:52:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x3caf56… |
| 06-09 08:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x3caf56… |
| 06-09 08:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xbde194… |
| 06-09 08:52:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xbde194… |
| 06-09 05:11:51 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 235 | 77¢ | $181 | 0x50828b… |
| 06-09 05:11:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x50828b… |
| 06-09 05:11:51 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 166 | 77¢ | $128 | 0x50828b… |
| 06-09 05:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x50828b… |
| 06-08 03:27:58 | Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | BUY | 134 | 25¢ | $34 | 0x0ddf0e… |
| 06-08 03:27:58 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 234 | 75¢ | $175 | 0x0ddf0e… |
| 06-08 03:27:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x0ddf0e… |
| 06-07 14:48:30 | Burly-Racer 0xcf34…9a33 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xba05b9… |
| 06-07 14:48:30 | Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xba05b9… |
| 06-07 09:44:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xf4af5c… |
| 06-07 09:44:22 | Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | BUY | 43 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xf4af5c… |
| 06-07 09:41:18 | Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | BUY | 22 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xe0c7aa… |
| 06-07 09:41:18 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 22 | 75¢ | $16 | 0xe0c7aa… |
| 06-05 19:58:16 | Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf481ad… |
| 06-05 19:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xf481ad… |
| 06-05 17:40:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x56d971… |
| 06-05 17:40:22 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 42 | 78¢ | $32 | 0x56d971… |
| 06-05 17:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x56d971… |
| 06-05 17:32:40 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 280 | 74¢ | $207 | 0xd7e63e… |
| 06-05 17:32:40 | Woozy-Scenery 0x8367…1e2e | No | SELL | 280 | 74¢ | $207 | 0xd7e63e… |
| 06-05 15:10:04 | Woozy-Scenery 0x8367…1e2e | No | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x4be30e… |
| 06-05 15:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x4be30e… |
| 06-05 14:23:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xe52ba4… |