Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$11,270
$422 in 24h
Trades
410
Unique wallets
87
Liquidity
$3,171
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-29 18:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $89 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $437 | $1.8K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $199 | $2.6K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $584 | $433 | +$151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $66 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $81 | $352 | $271 |
| Median | 10 | $15 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 9 | $94 | $405 | $311 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $405 | $1.4K | $988 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $16 | $601 | $586 |
| unranked | 40 | $616 | $2.0K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +2,300 | $405 | $405 | 30 | 07-28 21:20 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +1,267 | $973 | $973 | 5 | 06-24 15:04 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +967 | $749 | $749 | 5 | 06-28 22:24 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +794 | $632 | $632 | 4 | 07-01 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | +755 | $654 | $654 | 4 | 07-03 16:47 |
| Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | +750 | $134 | $217 | 9 | 07-24 10:59 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +628 | $121 | $121 | 39 | 07-22 13:35 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +602 | $475 | $475 | 34 | 07-22 11:33 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +556 | $451 | $451 | 11 | 07-29 18:08 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +488 | $401 | $401 | 2 | 06-30 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | +450 | $363 | $363 | 2 | 06-16 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ba5…ed33 | Yes | +425 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-20 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | +422 | $94 | $94 | 5 | 07-17 07:32 |
| Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a9…25d5 | No | +364 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-26 08:41 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +348 | $264 | $264 | 5 | 06-27 09:20 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +258 | $211 | $211 | 9 | 07-13 06:25 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-08 03:27 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +104 | $83 | $83 | 6 | 07-21 11:27 |
| Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-16 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 07-22 11:33 |
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +73 | $65 | $675 | 5 | 06-24 00:10 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +54 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-22 13:35 |
| Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-11 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | +53 | $35 | $279 | 5 | 07-29 18:08 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-09 14:29 |
| Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 08:57 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 13:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +28 | $-2 | $148 | 27 | 07-24 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +27 | $-8 | $51 | 29 | 07-20 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb81f…ace4 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-18 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-22 13:35 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-12 16:34 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:51 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $17 | 3 | 06-14 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 06:25 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $12 | 3 | 07-16 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $12 | 3 | 07-16 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x77d6…3998 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +2 | $2 | $10 | 3 | 07-16 13:33 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 11:06 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 16:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $52 | 2 | 06-23 19:17 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | SELL | 47 | 83¢ | $39 | 0xe01c1a… |
| 07-29 18:08:14 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 47 | 83¢ | $39 | 0xe01c1a… |
| 07-28 21:23:22 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x574669… |
| 07-28 21:23:22 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x574669… |
| 07-28 21:20:31 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0xa74476… |
| 07-28 21:20:31 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa74476… |
| 07-26 08:41:10 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 164 | 17¢ | $28 | 0x989cb7… |
| 07-26 08:41:10 | Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a9…25d5 | No | BUY | 364 | 82¢ | $300 | 0x989cb7… |
| 07-24 10:59:49 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 82¢ | $123 | 0xf20bff… |
| 07-24 10:59:49 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 18¢ | $27 | 0xf20bff… |
| 07-24 10:59:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x3fa93c… |
| 07-24 10:59:33 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x3fa93c… |
| 07-24 10:59:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x65ddf3… |
| 07-24 10:59:27 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x65ddf3… |
| 07-22 13:35:21 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 54 | 83¢ | $44 | 0x1109f7… |
| 07-22 13:35:21 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x1109f7… |
| 07-22 13:35:21 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x1109f7… |
| 07-22 13:35:21 | (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1109f7… |
| 07-22 11:33:58 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x55880f… |
| 07-22 11:33:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x55880f… |
| 07-22 11:33:58 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x55880f… |
| 07-21 20:46:06 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x04aba6… |
| 07-21 20:46:06 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x04aba6… |
| 07-21 16:30:48 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0bf968… |
| 07-21 16:30:48 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0bf968… |
| 07-21 11:27:33 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x1274bf… |
| 07-21 11:27:33 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x1274bf… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 23¢ | $41 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x1ba5…ed33 | Yes | BUY | 425 | 24¢ | $100 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | BUY | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 26¢ | $9 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-20 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x09d9…7574 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x41e5e1… |
| 07-19 18:23:25 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xad4f2a… |
| 07-19 18:23:25 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xad4f2a… |
| 07-19 18:23:24 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x8fae93… |
| 07-19 18:23:24 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8fae93… |
| 07-18 08:57:03 | Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x87104a… |
| 07-18 08:57:03 | (anonymous) 0xb81f…ace4 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x87104a… |
| 07-18 08:57:03 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x87104a… |
| 07-18 08:16:16 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x123205… |
| 07-18 08:16:16 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x123205… |
| 07-18 06:37:25 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x05cb41… |
| 07-18 06:37:25 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x05cb41… |
| 07-18 06:37:25 | Busy-Precision 0xac25…147a | Yes | SELL | 55 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x05cb41… |
| 07-17 22:57:33 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x9bc434… |
| 07-17 22:57:33 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x9bc434… |
| 07-17 22:45:52 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x9b43ea… |
| 07-17 22:45:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9b43ea… |
| 07-17 22:22:39 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0x7766c9… |
| 07-17 22:22:39 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0x7766c9… |
| 07-17 20:07:48 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0xa05d30… |
| 07-17 20:07:48 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0xa05d30… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 16 | 74¢ | $12 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 194 | 26¢ | $50 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 98 | 27¢ | $26 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:49 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x13895f… |
| 07-17 07:32:06 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd531aa… |
| 07-17 07:32:06 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd531aa… |
| 07-17 07:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x5a21b6… |
| 07-17 07:31:54 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x5a21b6… |
| 07-17 07:31:54 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x5a21b6… |
| 07-16 22:35:41 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0e7dda… |
| 07-16 22:35:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0e7dda… |
| 07-16 13:33:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x8e216d… |
| 07-16 13:33:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x8e216d… |
| 07-16 13:33:25 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x8e216d… |
| 07-16 13:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x8e216d… |
| 07-16 13:30:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x97f658… |
| 07-16 13:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x97f658… |
| 07-16 13:30:58 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x97f658… |
| 07-16 13:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x97f658… |
| 07-14 17:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x9d59…3210 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xd51118… |
| 07-14 17:18:17 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd51118… |
| 07-14 17:18:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd51118… |
| 07-13 06:25:47 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x99a511… |
| 07-13 06:25:47 | (anonymous) 0x9d59…3210 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x99a511… |
| 07-13 06:25:47 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 41 | 83¢ | $34 | 0x99a511… |
| 07-12 16:34:28 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x116a17… |
| 07-12 16:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x116a17… |
| 07-12 16:34:28 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x116a17… |
| 07-12 12:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x26b0eb… |
| 07-12 12:06:58 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x26b0eb… |
| 07-12 10:21:32 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf9c606… |
| 07-12 10:21:32 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf9c606… |
| 07-12 08:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x3cd8cb… |
| 07-12 08:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x3cd8cb… |
| 07-12 06:18:25 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x8a99c0… |
| 07-12 06:18:25 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x8a99c0… |
| 07-12 06:18:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x8a99c0… |
| 07-11 12:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe83c62… |
| 07-11 12:59:32 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0xe83c62… |
| 07-11 12:59:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe83c62… |
| 07-11 11:35:56 | Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | BUY | 53 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x650dc7… |
| 07-11 11:35:56 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x650dc7… |
| 07-11 11:35:56 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 18 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x650dc7… |