Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$18,959
$422 in 24h
Trades
576
Unique wallets
111
Liquidity
$3,171
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 22:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $32
vs crowd: 16% YES on $15.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $132 | $3.5K | $3.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $1.0K | $4.3K | $3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $279 | $4.9K | $4.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $951 | $297 | +$654 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $342 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $85 | $352 | $267 |
| Median | 11 | $18 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| Below median | 14 | $95 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $733 | $3.1K | $2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $55 | $643 | $588 |
| unranked | 48 | $1.1K | $3.4K | $2.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +4,975 | $724 | $724 | 48 | 08-18 05:07 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +1,906 | $276 | $276 | 10 | 08-17 18:02 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +1,683 | $1,392 | $1,392 | 7 | 08-16 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ba5…ed33 | Yes | +1,569 | $325 | $325 | 2 | 07-31 17:00 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +1,480 | $1,250 | $1,250 | 20 | 08-07 20:32 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +1,267 | $973 | $973 | 5 | 06-24 15:04 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,060 | $918 | $918 | 8 | 08-18 20:00 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +967 | $749 | $749 | 5 | 06-28 22:24 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +902 | $718 | $718 | 43 | 08-09 23:34 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +882 | $162 | $162 | 51 | 08-04 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | +808 | $664 | $664 | 4 | 07-31 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | +806 | $698 | $698 | 5 | 08-10 14:38 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +701 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 08-04 17:36 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +671 | $563 | $563 | 3 | 08-03 23:53 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +550 | $502 | $502 | 5 | 08-18 22:21 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $459 | $459 | 2 | 08-18 05:07 |
| Disastrous-Questionnaire 0x2c36…4666 | Yes | +490 | $77 | $274 | 10 | 07-31 17:00 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +488 | $401 | $401 | 2 | 06-30 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | +422 | $94 | $94 | 5 | 07-17 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x65a7…a216 | Yes | +367 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 08-01 18:29 |
| Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a9…25d5 | No | +364 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-26 08:41 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +348 | $264 | $264 | 5 | 06-27 09:20 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +300 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-31 17:00 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +258 | $211 | $211 | 9 | 07-13 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbe0…32cd | Yes | +215 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 08-09 07:11 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-08 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | +110 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-18 22:32 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +104 | $83 | $83 | 6 | 07-21 11:27 |
| Untrue-Concentrate 0x80e5…2418 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-16 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 07-22 11:33 |
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +73 | $65 | $675 | 5 | 06-24 00:10 |
| Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | +53 | $5 | $10 | 4 | 08-18 20:00 |
| Acceptable-Randomization 0x1289…42aa | Yes | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-11 11:35 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-09 14:29 |
| Fussy-Dad 0xa59c…bb62 | No | +45 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 08-14 09:18 |
| Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 08:57 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +38 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-31 18:39 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +37 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-01 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-12 20:10 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb81f…ace4 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-18 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $8 | 7 | 08-02 16:12 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 13:28 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-12 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +15 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 08-18 20:00 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 16:12 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $17 | 3 | 06-14 18:08 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-18 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +9 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 08-10 14:38 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-31 23:05 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 7 | 08-10 22:59 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +1 | $-14 | $57 | 30 | 08-01 18:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 22:32:06 | (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | BUY | 110 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x919f72… |
| 08-18 22:32:06 | (anonymous) 0x5de7…bc2f | Yes | SELL | 110 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x919f72… |
| 08-18 22:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x5de7…bc2f | Yes | BUY | 110 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x05f762… |
| 08-18 22:21:01 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x05f762… |
| 08-18 22:21:01 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x05f762… |
| 08-18 20:00:19 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0xf21e91… |
| 08-18 20:00:19 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xf21e91… |
| 08-18 20:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf21e91… |
| 08-18 05:07:09 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 400 | 92¢ | $368 | 0x773ee6… |
| 08-18 05:07:09 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 600 | 8¢ | $48 | 0x773ee6… |
| 08-18 05:07:09 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x773ee6… |
| 08-17 18:02:36 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x348686… |
| 08-17 18:02:36 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x348686… |
| 08-17 17:26:58 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x2691b2… |
| 08-17 17:26:58 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x2691b2… |
| 08-17 17:26:34 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0xa11b94… |
| 08-17 17:26:34 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xa11b94… |
| 08-17 17:26:34 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xa11b94… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 376 | 91¢ | $342 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 9¢ | $22 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-16 00:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1b1d3e… |
| 08-14 21:17:28 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xc436d4… |
| 08-14 21:17:28 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xc436d4… |
| 08-14 21:17:28 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc436d4… |
| 08-14 09:18:22 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 45 | 87¢ | $39 | 0x7359fe… |
| 08-14 09:18:22 | Fussy-Dad 0xa59c…bb62 | No | BUY | 45 | 87¢ | $39 | 0x7359fe… |
| 08-13 23:40:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xae5e5d… |
| 08-13 23:40:40 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xae5e5d… |
| 08-13 23:38:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x465cd0… |
| 08-13 23:38:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x465cd0… |
| 08-13 23:38:52 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | No | SELL | 53 | 86¢ | $46 | 0x465cd0… |
| 08-12 20:29:58 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 200 | 88¢ | $176 | 0xa8966a… |
| 08-12 20:29:58 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0xa8966a… |
| 08-12 20:29:52 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x6a6b04… |
| 08-12 20:29:52 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x6a6b04… |
| 08-12 20:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xf8c69e… |
| 08-12 20:10:46 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xf8c69e… |
| 08-12 20:05:40 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfe98f4… |
| 08-12 20:05:40 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfe98f4… |
| 08-12 20:04:16 | Failing-Manhunt 0x8199…bb6d | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xb37d8f… |
| 08-12 20:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xb37d8f… |
| 08-12 20:04:16 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 130 | 88¢ | $114 | 0xb37d8f… |
| 08-10 22:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdeb738… |
| 08-10 22:59:15 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xdeb738… |
| 08-10 22:59:15 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 140 | 87¢ | $122 | 0xdeb738… |
| 08-10 22:59:15 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xdeb738… |
| 08-10 22:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdeb738… |
| 08-10 14:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x514a5a… |
| 08-10 14:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 51 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x514a5a… |
| 08-10 14:38:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x514a5a… |
| 08-10 14:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x514a5a… |
| 08-10 14:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x514a5a… |
| 08-09 23:34:43 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 120 | 84¢ | $101 | 0x275e00… |
| 08-09 23:34:43 | Failing-Manhunt 0x8199…bb6d | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x275e00… |
| 08-09 23:34:43 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 16¢ | $24 | 0x275e00… |
| 08-09 18:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xdf9fb0… |
| 08-09 18:44:51 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xdf9fb0… |
| 08-09 07:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xdbe0…32cd | Yes | BUY | 200 | 14¢ | $28 | 0xb31ece… |
| 08-09 07:11:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0xb31ece… |
| 08-09 07:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xdbe0…32cd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc0ee4a… |
| 08-09 07:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc0ee4a… |
| 08-09 07:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc0ee4a… |
| 08-07 20:32:00 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0xc59fdc… |
| 08-07 20:32:00 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xc59fdc… |
| 08-06 17:35:00 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xe6d7d4… |
| 08-06 17:35:00 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xe6d7d4… |
| 08-06 17:34:15 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x3fbe21… |
| 08-06 17:34:15 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x3fbe21… |
| 08-06 15:02:18 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x69c45a… |
| 08-06 15:02:18 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x69c45a… |
| 08-06 14:15:32 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 13¢ | $32 | 0x3b8267… |
| 08-06 14:15:32 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 250 | 87¢ | $218 | 0x3b8267… |
| 08-05 22:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfb6d7d… |
| 08-05 22:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfb6d7d… |
| 08-05 22:00:20 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0xfb6d7d… |
| 08-05 22:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfb6d7d… |
| 08-05 10:15:18 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x1c5f2b… |
| 08-05 10:15:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x1c5f2b… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 152 | 87¢ | $132 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 20:54:12 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xe4bfa2… |
| 08-04 17:36:42 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 14¢ | $35 | 0xa5c0d2… |
| 08-04 17:36:42 | Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | BUY | 700 | 86¢ | $599 | 0xa5c0d2… |
| 08-04 17:36:42 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa5c0d2… |
| 08-04 17:36:42 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 160 | 14¢ | $22 | 0xa5c0d2… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | No | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 16¢ | $32 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 16¢ | $40 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:41 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 586 | 84¢ | $492 | 0xe5e2dc… |
| 08-03 23:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x2792f3… |
| 08-03 23:53:38 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x2792f3… |
| 08-03 23:53:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x2792f3… |