Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$1.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$502
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-02 02:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59%
Other
40%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,057 $480 44¢ $470 $-10 06-19 22:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +31 $10 27¢ $8 $-2 07-02 01:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +81 $10 10¢ $8 $-2 07-02 01:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes +50 $10 15¢ $8 $-2 07-02 01:37
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 06-19 22:40
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 06-19 22:40
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $3 20¢ $1 $-1 06-13 06:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +27 $1 $1 $-0 07-02 01:33
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +56 $1 $1 $-0 07-02 01:33
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 07-02 01:04