Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$11,981
$90 in 24h
Trades
171
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$1,680
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 10:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $324
vs crowd: 13% YES on $10.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $15 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $958 | $4.8K | $3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $73 | $139 | $66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $309 | $194 | +$115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $324 | — | +$324 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $92 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $106 | — | +$106 |
| Median | 5 | $6 | $97 | $91 |
| Below median | 6 | $105 | $25 | +$80 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $629 | $7.2K | $6.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $14 | $164 | $150 |
| unranked | 15 | $64 | $462 | $398 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +4,499 | $629 | $629 | 21 | 06-12 10:50 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +3,033 | $2,648 | $2,648 | 4 | 06-11 18:09 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +3,005 | $2,641 | $2,641 | 4 | 06-11 07:42 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +2,700 | $324 | $324 | 3 | 06-11 18:09 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +2,232 | $1,903 | $1,903 | 13 | 06-10 20:38 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +1,444 | $1,241 | $1,241 | 7 | 06-09 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc880…8380 | Yes | +614 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc6…20fc | Yes | +500 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-31 21:11 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +290 | $251 | $251 | 2 | 06-01 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe12f…9aa0 | Yes | +188 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-02 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | +180 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| Early-Dwelling 0xefab…258e | Yes | +173 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-09 15:55 |
| Bitter-Interchange 0xb424…3b71 | Yes | +104 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-09 21:19 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-01 18:53 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-09 05:11 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +96 | $82 | $82 | 4 | 06-05 15:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +73 | $9 | $17 | 4 | 06-11 07:42 |
| Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 09:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +57 | $42 | $286 | 6 | 06-11 07:42 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | Yes | +57 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 11:54 |
| Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +46 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-04 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $20 | 13 | 06-12 10:50 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $7 | 4 | 06-12 10:50 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $10 | $31 | 3 | 06-06 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x09d9…7574 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 07:46 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 18:54 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:40 |
| Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 06:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 10:50:55 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x96cd49… |
| 06-12 10:50:55 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x96cd49… |
| 06-12 10:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x96cd49… |
| 06-11 18:09:01 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 700 | 12¢ | $84 | 0x8c88d1… |
| 06-11 18:09:01 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 700 | 88¢ | $616 | 0x8c88d1… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 87¢ | $21 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 279 | 88¢ | $245 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 12¢ | $120 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 1,500 | 88¢ | $1,319 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 122 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 07:42:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x825911… |
| 06-11 06:27:36 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 288 | 88¢ | $253 | 0xe7e6cf… |
| 06-11 06:27:36 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 300 | 88¢ | $264 | 0xe7e6cf… |
| 06-11 06:27:36 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe7e6cf… |
| 06-11 06:27:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 116 | 87¢ | $101 | 0xa294b6… |
| 06-11 06:27:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xa294b6… |
| 06-11 06:27:27 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa294b6… |
| 06-11 06:27:27 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 205 | 87¢ | $178 | 0xa294b6… |
| 06-11 06:27:27 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xa294b6… |
| 06-11 05:24:24 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x771563… |
| 06-11 05:24:24 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x771563… |
| 06-11 05:24:24 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x771563… |
| 06-11 05:24:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x1c9951… |
| 06-11 05:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1c9951… |
| 06-11 04:15:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xb16804… |
| 06-11 04:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb16804… |
| 06-11 04:15:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xac2291… |
| 06-11 04:15:52 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xac2291… |
| 06-10 20:38:27 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x30ce7c… |
| 06-10 20:38:27 | (anonymous) 0xc880…8380 | Yes | BUY | 614 | 16¢ | $100 | 0x30ce7c… |
| 06-10 20:38:27 | (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | BUY | 180 | 84¢ | $151 | 0x30ce7c… |
| 06-10 20:38:27 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 245 | 84¢ | $206 | 0x30ce7c… |
| 06-10 20:38:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 179 | 83¢ | $149 | 0x30ce7c… |
| 06-09 23:53:51 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 34 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xa56ee7… |
| 06-09 23:53:51 | Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | SELL | 34 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xa56ee7… |
| 06-09 21:19:19 | Bitter-Interchange 0xb424…3b71 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 15¢ | $16 | 0xba7b33… |
| 06-09 21:19:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xba7b33… |
| 06-09 21:19:19 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 93 | 85¢ | $79 | 0xba7b33… |
| 06-09 16:54:49 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 400 | 85¢ | $340 | 0xb81b05… |
| 06-09 16:54:49 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 400 | 15¢ | $60 | 0xb81b05… |
| 06-09 15:55:58 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 127 | 85¢ | $108 | 0xab21c5… |
| 06-09 15:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xab21c5… |
| 06-09 15:55:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xab21c5… |
| 06-09 15:55:58 | Early-Dwelling 0xefab…258e | Yes | BUY | 173 | 14¢ | $25 | 0xab21c5… |
| 06-09 09:14:58 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xbaa278… |
| 06-09 09:14:58 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbaa278… |
| 06-09 09:04:49 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xae58d4… |
| 06-09 09:04:49 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xae58d4… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 1,301 | 87¢ | $1,131 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 13¢ | $26 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 05:11:42 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 567 | 87¢ | $493 | 0xe093d1… |
| 06-09 00:45:27 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | SELL | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x4f96d5… |
| 06-09 00:45:27 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x4f96d5… |
| 06-08 20:24:13 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 250 | 15¢ | $38 | 0x86d8d4… |
| 06-08 20:24:13 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 250 | 85¢ | $212 | 0x86d8d4… |
| 06-08 12:06:36 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x20b922… |
| 06-08 12:06:36 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x20b922… |
| 06-07 09:51:21 | Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x7636e9… |
| 06-07 09:51:21 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x7636e9… |
| 06-07 09:51:21 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 32 | 84¢ | $27 | 0x7636e9… |
| 06-07 09:38:43 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 15¢ | $45 | 0x6077b9… |
| 06-07 09:38:43 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 15¢ | $45 | 0x6077b9… |
| 06-06 13:25:43 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 16¢ | $48 | 0xd9524d… |
| 06-06 13:25:43 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 300 | 84¢ | $252 | 0xd9524d… |
| 06-06 06:45:30 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xc06ec9… |
| 06-06 06:45:30 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xc06ec9… |
| 06-06 06:45:30 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xc06ec9… |
| 06-06 06:45:30 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xc06ec9… |
| 06-05 18:54:39 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe918f1… |
| 06-05 18:54:39 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xe918f1… |
| 06-05 18:54:39 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xe918f1… |
| 06-05 18:54:39 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe918f1… |
| 06-05 17:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe8a0d3… |
| 06-05 17:40:16 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe8a0d3… |
| 06-05 17:40:16 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 413 | 88¢ | $363 | 0xe8a0d3… |
| 06-05 17:40:16 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 400 | 12¢ | $48 | 0xe8a0d3… |
| 06-05 17:37:13 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xe098fd… |
| 06-05 17:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe098fd… |
| 06-05 17:37:13 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe098fd… |
| 06-05 17:32:31 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 444 | 88¢ | $391 | 0x7f4949… |
| 06-05 17:32:31 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 444 | 12¢ | $53 | 0x7f4949… |
| 06-05 17:32:06 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa12151… |
| 06-05 17:32:06 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 619 | 87¢ | $538 | 0xa12151… |
| 06-05 17:32:06 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa12151… |
| 06-05 17:32:06 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 590 | 13¢ | $77 | 0xa12151… |
| 06-05 17:28:54 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x1732eb… |
| 06-05 17:28:54 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x1732eb… |
| 06-05 17:25:21 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 43 | 84¢ | $36 | 0x1c8abf… |
| 06-05 17:25:21 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x1c8abf… |
| 06-05 16:43:48 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 16¢ | $48 | 0xfc0149… |
| 06-05 16:43:48 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 300 | 84¢ | $252 | 0xfc0149… |
| 06-05 15:46:07 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1926d5… |
| 06-05 15:46:07 | Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x1926d5… |
| 06-05 15:45:31 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6b6d75… |
| 06-05 15:45:31 | Studious-Way 0x4907…cdc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x6b6d75… |
| 06-05 15:45:31 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6b6d75… |