Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$19,620
$90 in 24h
Trades
367
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$1,680
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 18:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $578
vs crowd: 13% YES on $17.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $22 | $4.5K | $4.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $1.4K | $8.6K | $7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $287 | $1.6K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $545 | $228 | +$317 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $578 | — | +$578 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $128 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $239 | — | +$239 |
| Median | 7 | $36 | $364 | $328 |
| Below median | 6 | $105 | $30 | +$75 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $52 | — | +$52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $776 | $10.9K | $10.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $13 | $285 | $272 |
| unranked | 28 | $331 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +5,688 | $772 | $772 | 29 | 07-03 15:55 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +4,641 | $506 | $651 | 12 | 07-03 15:39 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +4,269 | $3,761 | $3,761 | 9 | 07-02 00:30 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +3,578 | $3,093 | $3,093 | 19 | 07-03 12:17 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +3,253 | $2,862 | $2,862 | 5 | 07-01 00:00 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +1,641 | $1,446 | $1,446 | 5 | 06-18 07:49 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +1,569 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 10 | 07-02 08:48 |
| Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | +1,184 | $1,036 | $1,036 | 3 | 06-28 16:46 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +942 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-18 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc880…8380 | Yes | +614 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b7c…09f9 | Yes | +520 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-13 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc6…20fc | Yes | +500 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-31 21:11 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +370 | $48 | $48 | 10 | 06-23 08:24 |
| Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | +332 | $42 | $42 | 5 | 06-18 13:27 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +284 | $33 | $33 | 20 | 07-03 12:17 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +257 | $224 | $224 | 16 | 07-03 17:25 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +250 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-02 11:31 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +194 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 06-30 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe12f…9aa0 | Yes | +188 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-02 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | +180 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +177 | $152 | $152 | 8 | 06-16 21:36 |
| Married-Temper 0xf95d…e957 | Yes | +150 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-01 09:52 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +130 | $112 | $112 | 3 | 07-02 01:37 |
| Bitter-Interchange 0xb424…3b71 | Yes | +104 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-09 21:19 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-09 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x09d9…7574 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-18 07:49 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +81 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 09:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +57 | $40 | $529 | 10 | 06-30 11:27 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | Yes | +57 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +46 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-04 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x577b…c221 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 11:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-13 21:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $24 | 7 | 06-24 00:08 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-21 08:06 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $10 | $40 | 6 | 06-16 21:36 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $8 | 5 | 06-12 13:50 |
| Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | +11 | $10 | $30 | 5 | 06-13 21:37 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $51 | 12 | 06-13 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-03 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-03 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 09:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 18:44:43 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:43 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3b253… |
| 07-03 18:44:32 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xf3b253… |
| 07-03 18:44:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3b253… |
| 07-03 17:25:07 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x88527c… |
| 07-03 17:25:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x88527c… |
| 07-03 15:55:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x042bc6… |
| 07-03 15:55:16 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 110 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x042bc6… |
| 07-03 15:55:16 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x042bc6… |
| 07-03 15:39:14 | Early-Dwelling 0xefab…258e | Yes | SELL | 173 | 9¢ | $16 | 0x92a548… |
| 07-03 15:39:14 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 173 | 9¢ | $16 | 0x92a548… |
| 07-03 12:17:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x046e4c… |
| 07-03 12:17:52 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x046e4c… |
| 07-02 13:18:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4279f9… |
| 07-02 13:18:07 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4279f9… |
| 07-02 13:18:07 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x4279f9… |
| 07-02 11:31:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3ef77b… |
| 07-02 11:31:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3ef77b… |
| 07-02 11:31:46 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x3ef77b… |
| 07-02 08:48:26 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x245373… |
| 07-02 08:48:26 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x245373… |
| 07-02 08:48:26 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x245373… |
| 07-02 01:37:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x783513… |
| 07-02 01:37:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x783513… |
| 07-02 01:37:28 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 26 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x783513… |
| 07-02 01:37:28 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x783513… |
| 07-02 01:37:28 | Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x783513… |
| 07-02 00:30:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 245 | 10¢ | $24 | 0x843e64… |
| 07-02 00:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x843e64… |
| 07-02 00:30:58 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 220 | 90¢ | $198 | 0x843e64… |
| 07-01 18:13:40 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x176a95… |
| 07-01 18:13:40 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x176a95… |
| 07-01 18:13:22 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x59305f… |
| 07-01 18:13:22 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x59305f… |
| 07-01 09:55:02 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x457079… |
| 07-01 09:55:02 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x457079… |
| 07-01 09:53:20 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x669e22… |
| 07-01 09:53:20 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x669e22… |
| 07-01 09:52:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x79cafa… |
| 07-01 09:52:43 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x79cafa… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 500 | 10¢ | $50 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | Married-Temper 0xf95d…e957 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 10¢ | $15 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 09:52:34 | Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | BUY | 737 | 90¢ | $663 | 0x84a4db… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xf385…aa41 | No | SELL | 170 | 87¢ | $148 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 68 | 86¢ | $58 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 04:52:53 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa2cbda… |
| 07-01 00:00:38 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 249 | 89¢ | $221 | 0x794c1b… |
| 07-01 00:00:38 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 249 | 11¢ | $27 | 0x794c1b… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | BUY | 75 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x61f49e… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 251 | 11¢ | $28 | 0x61f49e… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | Yes | SELL | 347 | 11¢ | $38 | 0x61f49e… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x61f49e… |
| 06-30 12:04:16 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe15cee… |
| 06-30 12:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe15cee… |
| 06-30 11:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2dc75f… |
| 06-30 11:27:22 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 194 | 88¢ | $171 | 0x2dc75f… |
| 06-30 11:27:22 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x2dc75f… |
| 06-30 11:27:22 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2dc75f… |
| 06-30 11:27:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 112 | 88¢ | $99 | 0x2dc75f… |
| 06-28 20:31:08 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x144211… |
| 06-28 20:31:08 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x144211… |
| 06-28 20:31:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x144211… |
| 06-28 16:46:46 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 250 | 14¢ | $35 | 0x437cdf… |
| 06-28 16:46:46 | Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | BUY | 250 | 86¢ | $215 | 0x437cdf… |
| 06-28 11:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x577b…c221 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x0deaec… |
| 06-28 11:55:08 | Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | BUY | 36 | 86¢ | $31 | 0x0deaec… |
| 06-28 10:54:59 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xd8e7da… |
| 06-28 10:54:59 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd8e7da… |
| 06-28 10:54:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd8e7da… |
| 06-28 10:54:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x26bf95… |
| 06-28 10:54:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x26bf95… |
| 06-28 03:34:17 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x49c8ab… |
| 06-28 03:34:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x49c8ab… |
| 06-28 03:32:19 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x85c988… |
| 06-28 03:32:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x85c988… |
| 06-28 03:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd704d3… |
| 06-28 03:31:04 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd704d3… |
| 06-27 21:34:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x63202a… |
| 06-27 21:34:26 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 76 | 85¢ | $64 | 0x63202a… |
| 06-27 21:34:26 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x63202a… |
| 06-27 21:34:26 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x63202a… |
| 06-26 20:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xad236c… |
| 06-26 20:31:28 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 49 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xad236c… |
| 06-26 20:31:28 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xad236c… |
| 06-25 16:13:34 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x16c600… |
| 06-25 16:13:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x16c600… |
| 06-24 14:50:28 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x51d6b6… |
| 06-24 14:50:28 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x51d6b6… |
| 06-24 14:50:28 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x51d6b6… |