Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$24,707
$90 in 24h
Trades
462
Unique wallets
87
Liquidity
$1,680
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 07:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $661
vs crowd: 12% YES on $20.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $25 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $1.6K | $9.9K | $8.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $300 | $1.8K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $583 | $230 | +$353 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $661 | — | +$661 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $128 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $250 | $4 | +$246 |
| Median | 10 | $37 | $365 | $328 |
| Below median | 8 | $125 | $147 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $52 | — | +$52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $911 | $11.1K | $10.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $18 | $515 | $498 |
| unranked | 37 | $362 | $3.2K | $2.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +7,038 | $911 | $911 | 35 | 07-24 07:51 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +5,502 | $588 | $734 | 16 | 07-19 07:29 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +4,269 | $3,761 | $3,761 | 9 | 07-02 00:30 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +3,879 | $3,364 | $3,364 | 22 | 07-19 07:24 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +3,253 | $2,862 | $2,862 | 5 | 07-01 00:00 |
| Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | +2,360 | $2,093 | $2,093 | 6 | 07-19 07:29 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +2,069 | $1,795 | $1,795 | 11 | 07-07 19:45 |
| Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | +1,184 | $1,036 | $1,036 | 3 | 06-28 16:46 |
| Pristine-Demur 0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | +942 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-18 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc880…8380 | Yes | +614 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +612 | $544 | $544 | 5 | 07-23 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b7c…09f9 | Yes | +520 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-13 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc6…20fc | Yes | +500 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-31 21:11 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 07-24 07:51 |
| Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 3 | 07-22 15:15 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +400 | $45 | $45 | 33 | 07-22 11:00 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +375 | $329 | $329 | 23 | 07-22 15:15 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +370 | $48 | $48 | 10 | 06-23 08:24 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +194 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 06-30 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe12f…9aa0 | Yes | +188 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-02 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | +165 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-16 13:32 |
| Married-Temper 0xf95d…e957 | Yes | +150 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-01 09:52 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +132 | $117 | $117 | 3 | 07-16 13:32 |
| Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-13 06:58 |
| Bitter-Interchange 0xb424…3b71 | Yes | +104 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-09 21:19 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-09 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x09d9…7574 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-18 07:49 |
| Decimal-Precipitation 0x5b71…5f5a | Yes | +91 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-17 22:28 |
| Knowledgeable-Chalet 0x953d…b279 | Yes | +81 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:37 |
| Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 09:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +57 | $38 | $878 | 13 | 07-07 22:32 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | Yes | +57 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b33…c467 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +46 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-04 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x577b…c221 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 11:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-13 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 15:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $24 | 7 | 06-24 00:08 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-21 08:06 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $10 | $40 | 6 | 06-16 21:36 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $8 | 5 | 06-12 13:50 |
| Fatal-Ranch 0xdba2…3497 | No | +11 | $10 | $30 | 5 | 06-13 21:37 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $51 | 12 | 06-13 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6601…24bd | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 09:52 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 17:12 |
| Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aa1…37eb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 17:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 07:51:52 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 320 | 10¢ | $32 | 0xafbd73… |
| 07-24 07:51:52 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xafbd73… |
| 07-23 17:14:28 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xf671dd… |
| 07-23 17:14:28 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0xf671dd… |
| 07-23 16:22:01 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 180 | 89¢ | $160 | 0xc13f73… |
| 07-23 16:22:01 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 180 | 11¢ | $20 | 0xc13f73… |
| 07-22 15:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x8bd683… |
| 07-22 15:15:43 | Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x8bd683… |
| 07-22 15:15:43 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8bd683… |
| 07-22 11:33:48 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 270 | 10¢ | $27 | 0xa929f6… |
| 07-22 11:33:48 | Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | BUY | 270 | 90¢ | $243 | 0xa929f6… |
| 07-22 11:00:04 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x009aac… |
| 07-22 11:00:04 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x009aac… |
| 07-22 11:00:04 | Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | BUY | 220 | 90¢ | $198 | 0x009aac… |
| 07-19 18:06:58 | (anonymous) 0xad95…b322 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x166575… |
| 07-19 18:06:58 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x166575… |
| 07-19 13:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x5aa1…37eb | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3131a2… |
| 07-19 13:15:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3131a2… |
| 07-19 13:15:13 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | SELL | 130 | 89¢ | $116 | 0xd1f97e… |
| 07-19 13:15:13 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 130 | 89¢ | $116 | 0xd1f97e… |
| 07-19 07:29:34 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0f347c… |
| 07-19 07:29:34 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 499 | 10¢ | $50 | 0x0f347c… |
| 07-19 07:29:34 | Last-Stepson 0x6c92…1322 | No | BUY | 719 | 90¢ | $647 | 0x0f347c… |
| 07-19 07:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x0152…de86 | No | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x0f347c… |
| 07-19 07:24:25 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x83bb7d… |
| 07-19 07:24:25 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x83bb7d… |
| 07-19 07:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x83bb7d… |
| 07-17 22:28:40 | Decimal-Precipitation 0x5b71…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xb11fc5… |
| 07-17 22:28:40 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 91 | 89¢ | $81 | 0xb11fc5… |
| 07-17 10:16:22 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xd7f6ff… |
| 07-17 10:16:22 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd7f6ff… |
| 07-17 09:56:15 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x537575… |
| 07-17 09:56:15 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x537575… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 32 | 86¢ | $27 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:32:11 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xf74297… |
| 07-16 13:31:11 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xe20c7a… |
| 07-16 13:31:11 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe20c7a… |
| 07-16 13:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 88 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xe20c7a… |
| 07-15 17:12:55 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x08cab6… |
| 07-15 17:12:55 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x08cab6… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | No | SELL | 94 | 91¢ | $86 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 9¢ | $22 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 91 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-15 16:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb9bbd4… |
| 07-13 06:58:05 | (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | SELL | 104 | 91¢ | $95 | 0xb29e35… |
| 07-13 06:58:05 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb29e35… |
| 07-13 06:58:05 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xb29e35… |
| 07-10 21:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x66a9df… |
| 07-10 21:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x6601…24bd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x66a9df… |
| 07-09 20:38:02 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd9c662… |
| 07-09 20:38:02 | (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | SELL | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0xd9c662… |
| 07-07 23:08:50 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc807b4… |
| 07-07 23:08:50 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc807b4… |
| 07-07 23:06:01 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2b2dc3… |
| 07-07 23:06:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2b2dc3… |
| 07-07 23:03:05 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96e975… |
| 07-07 23:03:05 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96e975… |
| 07-07 22:58:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3db1ac… |
| 07-07 22:58:31 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3db1ac… |
| 07-07 22:32:01 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 136 | 90¢ | $122 | 0xf63b5d… |
| 07-07 22:32:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 95 | 90¢ | $86 | 0xf63b5d… |
| 07-07 22:32:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf63b5d… |
| 07-07 21:48:28 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 160 | 90¢ | $143 | 0x03782a… |
| 07-07 21:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x03782a… |
| 07-07 21:48:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x03782a… |
| 07-07 21:48:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x03782a… |
| 07-07 21:48:28 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x03782a… |
| 07-07 20:56:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x254b3c… |
| 07-07 20:56:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x254b3c… |
| 07-07 19:45:40 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $445 | 0xa2048b… |
| 07-07 19:45:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 195 | 89¢ | $174 | 0xa2048b… |
| 07-07 19:45:40 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xa2048b… |
| 07-07 19:45:40 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 715 | 89¢ | $636 | 0xa2048b… |
| 07-07 19:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x6b03d7… |
| 07-07 19:45:25 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x6b03d7… |
| 07-07 19:45:05 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x604f12… |
| 07-07 19:45:05 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x604f12… |
| 07-07 19:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x604f12… |
| 07-07 19:45:05 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 108 | 90¢ | $98 | 0x604f12… |
| 07-07 19:45:05 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 91 | 90¢ | $82 | 0x604f12… |
| 07-07 17:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x001f14… |
| 07-07 17:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x001f14… |
| 07-07 17:21:13 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x4b1f52… |
| 07-07 17:21:13 | (anonymous) 0x0b33…c467 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x4b1f52… |
| 07-07 17:21:13 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x4b1f52… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | SELL | 332 | 9¢ | $30 | 0x4b519b… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 271 | 9¢ | $24 | 0x4b519b… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x3ddc…0efd | No | SELL | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x4b519b… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | (anonymous) 0xad95…b322 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4b519b… |
| 07-03 18:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:43 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:43 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x6c85c4… |
| 07-03 18:44:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3b253… |
| 07-03 18:44:32 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xf3b253… |