Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
264
lifetime
Volume
$325
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-23 16:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$0
Politics
27% 50% +$4
Crypto
6%
Sports
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 07-02 12:30
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-23 16:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 06-30 00:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 07-13 21:52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 14:46
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-17 22:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 07-14 17:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-19 12:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-07 17:21
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 07-15 00:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-07 17:21
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 07-04 16:35
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-26 20:32
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-0 07-13 11:38