Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-11 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$0

Politics

27% 50% +$4

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+3	$3	90¢	$3	$-0	06-11 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	$-0	06-11 19:29
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-08 18:58
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-12 17:42
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-04 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	21	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-15 08:04
epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	3	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-01 14:35
bun stu wol 2026 03 01 stu	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 15:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	23	$15	9	7	+3	open	—	05-09 20:08
fl1 olm lyo 2026 03 01 olm	2	$13	10	8	+1	open	—	03-01 21:04
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 09:50
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 atm1	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	02-18 20:11
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	11	$9	4	5	-1	open	—	06-08 18:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 14:12
Trump out as President by May 31?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 19:51
fl1 olm lyo 2026 03 01 lyo	2	$8	11	4	+7	open	—	03-01 21:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$7	5	3	+2	open	—	06-11 19:29
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	04-24 05:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$4	3	1	+2	Yes	+$0	04-24 13:58
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 19:30
nhl dal cal 2026 03 03	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-04 03:17
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-11 08:42
nhl tb car 2026 02 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 00:23
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?	2	$2	34	32	+1	open	—	04-23 11:09
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 15:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 02:25
nhl cbj nyr 2026 03 02	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 00:20
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$2	18	18	+0	open	—	03-14 15:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 13:44
nhl nj stl 2026 02 28	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-28 23:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 23:23
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 18:06
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-01 14:37
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-26 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:42:16	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x760c46…
06-11 23:23:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f92f9…
06-11 19:29:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x44ee30…
06-11 17:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6131e0…
06-11 17:36:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x92632a…
06-11 17:34:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x747ec7…
06-11 08:42:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa37588…
06-11 08:41:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf09da8…
06-11 08:38:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4f3fee…
06-09 17:51:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xca4057…
06-09 17:28:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x5027bc…
06-09 17:24:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x82b2cd…
06-09 17:12:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfcfd51…
06-08 18:58:24	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8142e7…
06-08 12:25:28	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xca98c5…
06-08 03:59:18	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd5093e…
06-07 23:15:49	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x97d186…
06-07 21:38:19	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x401886…
06-07 21:11:45	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x890021…
06-07 20:28:55	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55056f…
06-07 18:21:45	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf2935…
06-07 07:18:07	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36bd49…
06-04 20:46:00	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2b2adf…
06-04 12:15:40	ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57a71f…
06-04 02:02:22	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6e4e12…
06-03 04:41:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1ffd1b…
06-02 16:40:32	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6fbaad…
06-02 00:03:21	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f5b1c…
06-01 18:11:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x458abb…
06-01 18:11:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0xdb9c25…
06-01 13:53:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc7f94b…
06-01 13:44:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c802a…
06-01 13:23:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x19bc76…
06-01 13:21:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x188c10…
06-01 13:12:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf3f88f…
05-31 13:48:58	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23ffeb…
05-31 09:42:29	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55b1f9…
05-25 18:06:01	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc9b044…
05-25 17:51:56	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x432e06…
05-22 20:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4e20d8…
05-22 14:08:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7eb657…
05-13 18:14:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x49a184…
05-10 14:02:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb680de…
05-10 14:01:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6dd6be…
05-10 13:56:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe5b68b…
05-09 23:47:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x431c8d…
05-09 20:08:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4f6007…
05-09 14:20:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x37de0b…
05-09 11:22:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xad8d73…
05-09 11:19:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x98a8c4…
05-09 11:10:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3fd99d…
05-09 11:10:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9d8d7a…
05-09 11:04:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd5c538…
05-09 11:03:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd301a1…
05-09 11:03:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5260e6…
05-09 11:02:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xee26d1…
05-09 11:00:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x28d9b2…
05-09 10:59:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdcd819…
05-09 10:59:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdf1655…
05-09 10:58:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8d4077…
05-07 11:14:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36c9f8…
05-07 11:13:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3af707…
05-07 11:08:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01410d…
05-07 11:08:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf01dc…
05-07 11:07:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e91cb…
05-07 11:06:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8db82c…
05-07 11:06:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbad798…
05-06 08:46:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x827375…
05-06 06:38:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x800a23…
05-04 19:51:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbdac01…
05-01 12:24:26	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xce5522…
04-30 21:05:26	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9c676…
04-30 21:05:26	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1e7bd…
04-29 02:25:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x27036e…
04-29 01:10:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x621d35…
04-28 15:51:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27927c…
04-28 15:40:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57947a…
04-24 13:58:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xeca30c…
04-24 13:58:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7158d0…
04-24 13:56:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x761abc…
04-24 05:13:58	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdfb2b5…
04-23 11:09:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x44260c…
04-22 11:50:06	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9cfc5…
04-21 14:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe5b3eb…
04-20 14:54:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc79879…
04-20 14:25:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe92a0a…
04-20 13:18:52	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1c22f4…
04-19 01:09:54	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x4597f3…
04-10 13:50:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c362a…
04-10 13:34:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe65720…
04-10 12:38:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd53744…
04-10 12:31:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd18ee4…
04-10 12:31:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x833179…
04-10 10:01:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x258315…
04-10 09:58:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xcfd7fd…
04-10 08:09:49	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe7a1d…
04-07 19:30:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x91c420…
04-07 00:42:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3450a0…
04-06 21:58:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8094a…
04-05 12:01:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e7323…