(anonymous) 0x255e4b…bffed1 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
132
Trades
578
lifetime
Volume
$618
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$4
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 10-31 10:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
57% 59% -$7
Politics
25% 46% +$9
Crypto
16% 61% -$2
Sports
3% 44% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 08-26 11:05
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 08-26 10:51
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? No — +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 08-24 02:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -15 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 05-13 16:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 08-26 10:52
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 08-26 10:49
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 08-26 10:52
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -39 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-13 17:28
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +11 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-01 16:03