Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,320
$46 in 24h
Trades
354
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$6,013
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 00:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $18 | $158 | $140 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $37 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $134 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $33 | $155 | $122 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $177 | $165 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $58 | $56 |
| Median | 5 | $9 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 11 | $125 | $214 | $89 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $17 | $15 | +$2 |
| unranked | 16 | $34 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | +2,185 | $104 | $118 | 45 | 07-24 00:44 |
| Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | +1,393 | $1,367 | $1,367 | 19 | 07-02 02:29 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +677 | $632 | $2,249 | 40 | 07-24 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +319 | $277 | $277 | 13 | 06-09 17:23 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +198 | $7 | $16 | 5 | 07-06 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaddf…2a28 | Yes | +76 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 23:35 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +61 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 22:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 07-02 03:29 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-15 00:16 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +50 | $48 | $151 | 17 | 07-24 00:50 |
| Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 06-16 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:21 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-30 22:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +32 | $31 | $33 | 3 | 07-24 00:53 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +29 | $1 | $2 | 6 | 07-24 00:44 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-24 00:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +22 | $16 | $110 | 6 | 06-26 05:54 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 03:52 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-30 22:57 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-04 11:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-03 04:03 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 11:20 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-13 18:55 |
| 0xdd52274BC6cF1EB642AE3d852B87038A67c5A779 0x9b21…d050 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 00:17 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 06-25 15:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 00:53:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xd2d2fa… |
| 07-24 00:53:27 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xd2d2fa… |
| 07-24 00:50:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x9b480d… |
| 07-24 00:50:07 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9b480d… |
| 07-24 00:50:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x9b480d… |
| 07-24 00:50:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9b480d… |
| 07-24 00:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x71e84a… |
| 07-24 00:44:40 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x71e84a… |
| 07-24 00:44:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 223 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x375ba8… |
| 07-24 00:44:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x375ba8… |
| 07-24 00:44:36 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x375ba8… |
| 07-24 00:44:36 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 305 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x375ba8… |
| 07-24 00:44:36 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x375ba8… |
| 07-22 20:50:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x349bfc… |
| 07-22 20:50:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x349bfc… |
| 07-22 00:53:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfc8a3e… |
| 07-22 00:53:10 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xfc8a3e… |
| 07-22 00:49:22 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf3f8d9… |
| 07-22 00:49:22 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xf3f8d9… |
| 07-22 00:49:22 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf3f8d9… |
| 07-21 05:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x82a856… |
| 07-21 05:21:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x82a856… |
| 07-20 15:46:49 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4abc5d… |
| 07-20 15:46:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 69 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4abc5d… |
| 07-19 23:07:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6735bb… |
| 07-19 23:07:12 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6735bb… |
| 07-19 23:07:12 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6735bb… |
| 07-18 21:23:37 | Phony-Software 0x4708…9580 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf783ae… |
| 07-18 21:23:37 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0xf783ae… |
| 07-16 07:29:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab0f40… |
| 07-16 07:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x7821…8b47 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab0f40… |
| 07-16 05:31:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 115 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x800ea3… |
| 07-16 05:31:52 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x800ea3… |
| 07-15 00:17:07 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7c281e… |
| 07-15 00:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x7821…8b47 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7c281e… |
| 07-15 00:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x96e5ce… |
| 07-15 00:17:01 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x96e5ce… |
| 07-15 00:16:59 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8642f3… |
| 07-15 00:16:59 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8642f3… |
| 07-15 00:16:59 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x8642f3… |
| 07-13 18:55:11 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdf4a72… |
| 07-13 18:55:11 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xdf4a72… |
| 07-13 18:55:11 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdf4a72… |
| 07-13 15:36:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4bd126… |
| 07-13 15:36:38 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4bd126… |
| 07-13 12:14:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6c9ba1… |
| 07-13 12:14:32 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x6c9ba1… |
| 07-13 07:30:37 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x3eb5c1… |
| 07-13 07:30:37 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x3eb5c1… |
| 07-13 07:30:32 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9b6293… |
| 07-13 07:30:32 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x9b6293… |
| 07-11 23:31:23 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x2bb1a9… |
| 07-11 23:31:23 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x2bb1a9… |
| 07-11 23:31:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bb1a9… |
| 07-11 13:53:43 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x23b25d… |
| 07-11 13:53:43 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x23b25d… |
| 07-11 13:53:43 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x23b25d… |
| 07-11 13:53:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x23b25d… |
| 07-09 20:29:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x495af4… |
| 07-09 20:29:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x495af4… |
| 07-08 20:47:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2352e8… |
| 07-08 20:47:11 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2352e8… |
| 07-08 20:47:11 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2352e8… |
| 07-08 20:47:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2352e8… |
| 07-08 00:49:55 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x07590b… |
| 07-08 00:49:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x07590b… |
| 07-08 00:49:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x23a75c… |
| 07-08 00:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x23a75c… |
| 07-08 00:49:49 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x23a75c… |
| 07-07 14:04:08 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x086def… |
| 07-07 14:04:08 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x086def… |
| 07-06 21:52:04 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2eb532… |
| 07-06 21:52:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2eb532… |
| 07-06 21:51:37 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2806ab… |
| 07-06 21:51:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2806ab… |
| 07-06 21:15:31 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x951cc5… |
| 07-06 21:15:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x951cc5… |
| 07-06 06:11:43 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9ea65c… |
| 07-06 06:11:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x9ea65c… |
| 07-06 05:17:35 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcf2397… |
| 07-06 05:17:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcf2397… |
| 07-06 05:17:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x14a1da… |
| 07-06 05:17:29 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x14a1da… |
| 07-06 05:17:29 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x14a1da… |
| 07-06 05:17:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 66 | 97¢ | $65 | 0x6db07f… |
| 07-06 05:17:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6db07f… |
| 07-06 05:17:26 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6db07f… |
| 07-06 05:17:26 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6db07f… |
| 07-03 04:03:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x92a909… |
| 07-03 04:03:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x92a909… |
| 07-03 04:03:07 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x92a909… |
| 07-03 04:03:07 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x92a909… |
| 07-03 02:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1f88a5… |
| 07-03 02:32:43 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 149 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x1f88a5… |
| 07-03 02:32:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x1f88a5… |
| 07-03 02:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 151 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xa514e8… |
| 07-03 02:32:32 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa514e8… |
| 07-03 02:32:32 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 158 | 98¢ | $155 | 0xa514e8… |
| 07-02 07:51:50 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a6d25… |
| 07-02 07:51:50 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 286 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x3a6d25… |