Flamboyant-Porch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,067

lifetime

Volume

$200.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 08-12 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 0% $-1

Sports

8% 0% $-19

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total home 1pt5	5	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-26 16:05
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 2pt5	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-27 15:40
cs2 vsc red7 2026 06 27	7	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-27 11:14
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 2pt5	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-07 03:28
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total away 2pt5	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-29 12:01
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-30 06:11
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total home 0pt5	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-05 13:22
dota2 navi mouz 2026 06 26 game2	4	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-26 10:11
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 9pt5	5	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-26 15:28
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	2	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-25 06:47
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	4	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-24 06:41
lol es1 anb 2026 06 12 game1	6	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 17:25
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 21:23
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	8	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-01 08:03
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	20	$1.6K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	06-12 12:56
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-23 23:10
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-01 00:28
dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14 game2	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-15 11:40
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals deniz undav gte1	2	$1.5K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	06-25 15:14
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	4	$1.4K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-26 10:53
cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-05 10:04
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	3	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-23 01:40
lol g2 kc 2026 06 07	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-07 14:01
lol ewi hmble 2026 06 11	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-11 17:27
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game2	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-29 05:53
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	36	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-30 16:12
cs2 bb3 nem 2026 07 03	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-03 09:02
dota2 vp 1win 2026 07 08 game1	2	$1.3K	985	985	+0	open	—	07-08 10:15
dota2 pr1 yes 2026 06 27	5	$1.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-27 06:10
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots pedro porro gte1	9	$1.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-14 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 19:27:27	btc updown 5m 1786562700	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xe0df09…
08-12 19:05:24	btc updown 5m 1786561500	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x0819f8…
08-12 18:23:49	btc updown 5m 1786558800	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x79833c…
08-12 17:43:28	btc updown 5m 1786556400	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x5a08c7…
08-12 16:36:03	btc updown 5m 1786552500	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xb5c553…
08-12 16:28:27	btc updown 5m 1786551900	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x715247…
08-12 16:23:03	btc updown 5m 1786551600	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x663336…
08-12 16:03:40	btc updown 5m 1786550400	Down	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x1aa09a…
08-12 15:53:58	btc updown 5m 1786549800	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xfe0043…
08-12 14:23:31	btc updown 5m 1786544400	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xed8ac9…
08-12 14:15:43	btc updown 5m 1786544100	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x59e9a8…
08-12 14:06:15	btc updown 5m 1786543500	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xe1ffc7…
08-12 13:57:28	btc updown 5m 1786542900	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x073b54…
08-12 13:23:49	btc updown 5m 1786540800	Up	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0xa1a6ad…
08-12 13:06:57	btc updown 5m 1786539900	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xdce314…
08-12 12:23:10	btc updown 5m 1786537200	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xc8b1bf…
08-12 12:13:22	btc updown 5m 1786536600	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x109df2…
08-12 12:04:04	btc updown 5m 1786536000	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x05fda0…
08-12 11:37:37	btc updown 5m 1786534500	Up	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x5e8965…
08-12 11:33:06	btc updown 5m 1786534200	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc6bb2e…
08-12 11:18:40	btc updown 5m 1786533300	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xe31306…
08-12 10:36:16	btc updown 5m 1786530900	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xf7081b…
08-12 10:06:42	btc updown 5m 1786529100	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xac64db…
08-12 09:53:21	btc updown 5m 1786528200	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xd819f3…
08-12 08:21:45	btc updown 5m 1786522800	Up	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x08e776…
08-12 08:03:37	btc updown 5m 1786521600	Down	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x5de879…
08-12 06:35:36	btc updown 5m 1786516500	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8f42d4…
08-12 06:16:13	btc updown 5m 1786515300	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xf3a3b1…
08-12 05:36:27	btc updown 5m 1786512900	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x3c925c…
08-12 04:56:55	btc updown 5m 1786510500	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe3c83a…
08-12 04:53:07	btc updown 5m 1786510200	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcdb3b1…
08-09 17:47:36	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0x7ec696…
08-09 15:38:09	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0xafeafa…
08-05 00:46:41	lecornu out as french pm by august 31 2026 20260728190223391	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x8a9717…
08-05 00:46:36	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x71d5e7…
08-03 18:31:27	will jacky rosen vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926672	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x4d8926…
08-03 18:31:20	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0xc3c7be…
08-03 14:03:35	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x3d4ff3…
08-03 07:31:51	will jacky rosen vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926672	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6a427c…
08-03 06:59:59	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xabcb2a…
08-03 06:59:29	lecornu out as french pm by august 31 2026 20260728190223391	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x85f677…
08-03 04:36:41	ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xa4f602…
08-03 03:27:56	ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x784261…
08-03 02:00:50	will xagusd reach 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x69b1bd…
08-03 01:57:30	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x098f9e…
08-02 04:25:51	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x5afe6e…
08-02 04:19:48	will xagusd reach 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x857f23…
08-02 01:08:14	will trump say shit in august 20260728220215905	No	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xabe637…
08-02 00:47:41	will trump say shit in august 20260728220215905	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xcd1127…
08-02 00:26:11	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x021e87…
08-02 00:16:36	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x736e14…
08-01 21:52:47	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xcf9111…
08-01 21:36:41	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x209f92…
08-01 20:04:59	will mason miller be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533482	No	SELL	76	68¢	$52	0xad23ab…
08-01 04:12:17	will mason miller be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533482	No	BUY	76	78¢	$59	0x290c05…
07-31 16:41:35	will trump say sucker in august 20260728220215908	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x2f0933…
07-31 16:40:45	ed quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt77	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$65	0xcf1cdd…
07-31 04:42:08	ed quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt77	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x9b7d39…
07-31 02:09:00	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x394a87…
07-31 02:08:32	will the minnesota 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827336	No	SELL	200	71¢	$143	0x24ebe8…
07-30 06:20:27	iran successfully targets shipping on august 15 2026 20260729163314535	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xa3861c…
07-30 05:00:03	iran successfully targets shipping on august 15 2026 20260729163314535	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xb27e2c…
07-30 03:42:32	will the minnesota 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827336	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x3741ff…
07-30 03:34:57	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x89e4d2…
07-30 03:27:41	will trump say sucker in august 20260728220215908	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xfc8d5e…
07-30 02:59:33	wti closes above 83 on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x8429f8…
07-30 02:56:11	wti closes above 83 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x612a53…
07-30 02:42:11	will trump say midterm election in august 20260728220215923	No	SELL	132	6¢	$8	0x3eba5b…
07-30 02:42:08	will trump say midterm election in august 20260728220215923	No	BUY	132	6¢	$8	0xdcecba…
07-29 21:31:12	will the biggest pot at the final table be 100m chips 20260727214610647	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x80df55…
07-29 20:17:24	will the biggest pot at the final table be 100m chips 20260727214610647	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8ae8d1…
07-28 22:31:25	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xc39b07…
07-28 22:31:08	dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt47	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xb3a41b…
07-28 22:04:19	will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153975	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1c487a…
07-28 21:53:43	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x310f44…
07-28 21:53:25	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xd7d7df…
07-28 21:53:05	will the ornn h100 index hit 3pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709170850327	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xcee084…
07-28 21:52:46	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa389a7…
07-28 21:18:46	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x278fa5…
07-28 21:17:37	sofi quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt11	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x232157…
07-28 21:14:10	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x51497e…
07-28 21:14:04	will amzn dip to 208 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xaa6dfc…
07-28 21:13:58	sndk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 34pt52	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xfa734a…
07-28 20:10:04	nxpi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt53	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x02f3e2…
07-28 19:30:52	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xa87e45…
07-28 19:30:46	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x625b62…
07-28 19:30:40	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xd53e78…
07-28 19:30:28	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x8f81f7…
07-28 18:31:29	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xf971cd…
07-28 18:08:04	will coin dip to 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x88aa4d…
07-28 18:07:32	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xcbbff5…
07-28 18:07:26	real quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 neg0pt02	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xb16880…
07-28 18:07:20	will trump say turtle in july 20260702143051793	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x083fdd…
07-28 18:07:08	will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2f9b7b…
07-28 18:06:49	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x7d5c59…
07-28 18:06:35	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xa51d73…
07-28 18:06:14	aptv quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt43	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x8f0671…
07-28 18:06:05	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x1eb2cf…
07-28 18:05:56	will hood dip to 75 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xb52ecf…
07-28 18:04:50	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf77894…