Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
656
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$544
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-24 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-1
Sports
24% 0% $-20
Other
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +565 $76 20¢ $110 +$34 07-24 00:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +635 $104 12¢ $74 $-30 07-13 07:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +234 $51 30¢ $71 +$20 07-19 23:06
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +2,185 $104 $70 $-34 07-24 00:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +383 $63 16¢ $59 $-4 07-24 00:45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +653 $47 $46 $-1 07-24 00:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +787 $86 $43 $-43 07-24 00:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -123 $-22 28¢ $-34 $-11 07-24 00:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +132 $15 11¢ $15 $-0 07-24 00:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -72 $-41 $-6 +$35 07-24 00:48
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -10 $-7 36¢ $-4 +$3 05-29 21:48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +28 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 07-19 23:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -6 $-3 57¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 02:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-6 29¢ $-3 +$3 05-29 21:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -10 $-3 24¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 21:48