Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
258
lifetime
Volume
$7.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$310
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-12 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
84% 0% $-1
Other
15%
Sports
0% 0% $-20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +561 $102 12¢ $67 $-34 06-07 19:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +501 $66 10¢ $48 $-19 06-11 19:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -295 $-65 12¢ $-37 +$28 06-10 06:34
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +418 $50 $33 $-17 06-09 17:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -99 $-24 24¢ $-23 +$1 06-07 19:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +114 $26 18¢ $21 $-5 06-03 18:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +105 $20 18¢ $19 $-1 06-12 06:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +422 $16 $15 $-2 06-11 18:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +250 $13 $14 +$1 06-12 17:43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -10 $-7 59¢ $-6 +$0 05-29 21:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-6 56¢ $-6 +$1 05-29 21:48
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -368 $-3 $-3 $-1 05-30 14:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -10 $-3 28¢ $-3 +$0 05-29 21:48
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -338 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-07 02:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -6 $-3 47¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 02:31
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -321 $-1 $-2 $-1 06-07 02:38
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -339 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-03 18:53
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -235 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-12 07:02
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -90 $0 $-1 $-1 06-07 02:36
Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -146 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-03 18:54
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-03 18:52
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +5 $-2 12¢ $1 +$2 06-10 06:33
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -55 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-12 07:03