Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$150
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$8.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$311
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-02 19:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-1
Other
16%
Sports
10% 0% $-20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,439 $68 $54 $-14 07-03 04:04
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +98 $29 40¢ $40 +$11 06-30 00:49
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +141 $35 22¢ $32 $-4 07-01 03:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -296 $-64 11¢ $-31 +$33 06-23 01:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -193 $-39 16¢ $-30 +$9 06-18 05:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +451 $64 $29 $-35 06-28 05:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +561 $102 $23 $-79 06-07 19:57
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +1,032 $74 $19 $-55 07-03 04:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +121 $27 12¢ $15 $-12 07-03 04:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -90 $-12 11¢ $-9 +$2 06-23 02:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +97 $7 $6 $-1 06-28 00:26
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -10 $-7 56¢ $-6 +$1 05-29 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +42 $13 14¢ $6 $-8 06-27 02:22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-6 38¢ $-4 +$2 05-29 21:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -6 $-3 54¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 02:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -10 $-3 24¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 21:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +24 $4 10¢ $2 $-2 07-03 04:00