Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222ac…47fdb5
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$195
Unrealized P&L
-$489
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
313
Trades
2,087
lifetime
Volume
$26.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.46K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 11-02 07:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Politics
37% 26% -$1,026
Crypto
27% 52% +$8
Other
20% 40% -$80
Sports
16% 71% +$904
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +4,501 $1,210 22¢ $1.0K -$197 11-02 07:34
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,227 $371 29¢ $350 -$22 11-02 07:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -202 -$28 14¢ $-27 +$1 10-09 11:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -270 -$122 8¢ $-23 +$99 10-31 00:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -122 $6 6¢ $-7 -$13 09-27 22:35
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +226 $18 3¢ $6 -$12 10-28 20:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +38 $6 14¢ $5 $0 10-22 09:27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +185 $69 2¢ $5 -$64 10-30 10:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -6 -$3 80¢ $-4 -$2 06-07 02:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $1 40¢ $4 +$3 10-30 09:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? Yes +13 $4 29¢ $4 $0 10-31 00:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -138 -$12 2¢ $-2 +$10 05-01 12:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +69 $178 3¢ $2 -$176 09-30 23:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +31 $35 6¢ $2 -$33 11-01 05:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -69 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-08 20:06
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +5 $0 28¢ $1 +$2 10-31 00:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -44 -$5 3¢ $-1 +$4 05-08 20:09
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +291 $22 0¢ $1 -$20 10-09 11:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -28 $34 3¢ $-1 -$35 10-30 04:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-19 23:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4 $43 16¢ $1 -$43 11-01 05:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 -$6 6¢ $-1 +$6 05-29 21:48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +8 $9 6¢ $0 -$9 10-31 00:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$6 80¢ $0 +$7 10-21 23:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 11-01 05:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $1 36¢ $-0 -$1 10-31 23:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +1 -$3 36¢ $0 +$3 11-01 05:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 20:12