Authentic-Flexibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

837

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-13 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-1

Sports

19% 0% $-20

Crypto

18% — —

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	25	$1.5K	1,568	1,568	+0	open	—	05-30 14:08
bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	26	$1.0K	1,211	1,076	+135	open	—	08-10 12:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.0K	758	758	+0	open	—	03-02 18:07
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$607	551	551	+0	open	—	03-04 01:25
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$468	281	281	+0	open	—	03-06 19:25
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$432	396	396	+0	open	—	07-15 21:39
will iran strike bahrain in march	2	$414	215	215	+0	open	—	03-03 14:19
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	15	$410	299	299	+0	open	—	07-12 03:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$375	225	225	+0	open	—	02-28 08:26
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	15	$364	404	392	+12	open	—	07-14 19:35
bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	14	$350	372	372	+0	open	—	08-11 13:10
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	14	$310	260	258	+3	open	—	07-10 19:21
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	7	$287	313	313	+0	open	—	08-12 04:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	12	$276	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	05-11 18:59
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	13	$275	201	201	+0	open	—	07-09 23:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	13	$268	706	706	+0	open	—	06-18 05:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	31	$238	2,730	2,730	+0	open	—	07-11 05:49
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	18	$227	655	199	+456	open	—	08-01 22:14
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	7	$219	210	210	+0	open	—	08-13 05:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	18	$200	687	704	-16	open	—	08-01 22:15
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$200	606	0	+606	open	—	01-31 13:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	25	$189	1,360	0	+1,360	open	—	07-28 22:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	29	$186	1,053	1,305	-252	open	—	08-08 00:32
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	10	$181	115	115	+0	open	—	07-06 21:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	33	$174	1,142	406	+736	open	—	08-01 22:13
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$172	1,314	0	+1,314	open	—	05-09 17:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	32	$157	1,335	1,335	+0	open	—	07-31 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$152	630	145	+485	open	—	08-01 22:35
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	1	$150	256	0	+256	open	—	03-03 08:45
will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	3	$128	77	77	+0	open	—	07-05 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 06:20:33	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0xdc9b62…
08-13 06:05:16	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe6200f…
08-13 05:01:31	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	SELL	57	64¢	$36	0xc45e2d…
08-13 02:28:37	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x66b205…
08-13 01:45:34	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	SELL	101	52¢	$52	0x6a85db…
08-13 01:14:01	btc updown 15m 1786583700	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb9676f…
08-13 00:49:33	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x93c04c…
08-13 00:46:19	btc updown 15m 1786581900	Down	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x3a24e1…
08-13 00:44:27	btc updown 15m 1786581900	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa6c58c…
08-13 00:44:27	btc updown 15m 1786581900	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x923dd4…
08-13 00:37:54	btc updown 15m 1786581000	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xeaeee3…
08-13 00:34:49	btc updown 15m 1786581000	Up	SELL	48	30¢	$14	0xbf21d5…
08-13 00:32:42	btc updown 15m 1786581000	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3abacf…
08-13 00:18:37	btc updown 15m 1786580100	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1d50cd…
08-13 00:17:18	btc updown 15m 1786580100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae0520…
08-13 00:16:51	btc updown 15m 1786580100	Up	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0xb8972a…
08-13 00:15:06	btc updown 15m 1786580100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x547b68…
08-13 00:13:55	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x679a2f…
08-13 00:12:27	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	SELL	52	58¢	$30	0x3dea6f…
08-13 00:05:33	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Up	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x7fd3b6…
08-13 00:01:49	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9528f5…
08-13 00:01:10	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x83b87c…
08-13 00:00:06	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc61818…
08-12 23:51:30	btc updown 15m 1786578300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcb425d…
08-12 23:49:54	btc updown 15m 1786578300	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xaa81b6…
08-12 23:46:43	btc updown 15m 1786578300	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6bd1d2…
08-12 23:45:58	btc updown 15m 1786578300	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x54a9b2…
08-12 23:45:37	btc updown 15m 1786578300	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0d9a5b…
08-12 23:41:27	btc updown 15m 1786577400	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x8368b3…
08-12 23:33:34	btc updown 15m 1786577400	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xedee83…
08-12 23:26:57	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x15b42a…
08-12 23:23:34	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xa35e89…
08-12 23:21:52	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xaa2eed…
08-12 23:20:13	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x809834…
08-12 23:18:40	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xdb649f…
08-12 23:15:51	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0x9dbe06…
08-12 23:15:16	btc updown 15m 1786576500	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x474134…
08-12 23:12:22	btc updown 15m 1786575600	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x3e7a62…
08-12 23:09:25	btc updown 15m 1786575600	Up	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0xee1f32…
08-12 23:07:09	btc updown 15m 1786575600	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd74769…
08-12 23:06:37	btc updown 15m 1786575600	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x25d9d7…
08-12 23:00:58	btc updown 15m 1786575600	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x406bb9…
08-12 22:49:33	btc updown 15m 1786574700	Up	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x7d8d87…
08-12 22:48:42	btc updown 15m 1786574700	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x093318…
08-12 22:47:55	btc updown 15m 1786574700	Down	SELL	31	53¢	$16	0xd8ce79…
08-12 22:42:52	btc updown 15m 1786574700	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0c4e46…
08-12 22:42:52	btc updown 15m 1786574700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x00a42b…
08-12 22:30:16	btc updown 15m 1786573800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2ed138…
08-12 22:25:40	btc updown 15m 1786573800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf8716c…
08-12 22:25:33	btc updown 15m 1786573800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x06e779…
08-12 22:25:28	btc updown 15m 1786573800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4aabf5…
08-12 22:25:24	btc updown 15m 1786573800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x36d19f…
08-12 22:24:18	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	SELL	22	52¢	$12	0x9a2220…
08-12 22:22:06	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x874c3e…
08-12 22:21:13	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0xba9242…
08-12 22:19:49	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0d9776…
08-12 22:17:33	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	SELL	59	70¢	$41	0x0666c4…
08-12 22:14:01	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4932c8…
08-12 22:13:12	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x32788f…
08-12 22:13:04	btc updown 15m 1786572900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb5ef3a…
08-12 22:09:07	btc updown 15m 1786572000	Down	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x9fcde1…
08-12 22:06:40	btc updown 15m 1786572000	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc6594d…
08-12 21:58:28	btc updown 15m 1786571100	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x499cb9…
08-12 20:31:13	btc updown 15m 1786566600	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3a6012…
08-12 20:25:22	btc updown 15m 1786565700	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8bdaed…
08-12 20:10:46	btc updown 15m 1786564800	Down	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0xc0fbeb…
08-12 20:01:19	btc updown 15m 1786564800	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x2c9d4c…
08-12 19:54:07	btc updown 15m 1786563900	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x23f8c9…
08-12 19:52:31	btc updown 15m 1786563900	Up	SELL	34	53¢	$18	0x6dc11b…
08-12 19:50:49	btc updown 15m 1786563900	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x75f674…
08-12 19:50:03	btc updown 15m 1786563900	Down	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x52538f…
08-12 19:48:49	btc updown 15m 1786563900	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5f2460…
08-12 19:42:27	btc updown 15m 1786563000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa29e49…
08-12 19:37:54	btc updown 5m 1786563300	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7c5fcc…
08-12 19:36:57	btc updown 5m 1786563300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6fc7b5…
08-12 04:50:52	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	110	35¢	$38	0x1c5528…
08-11 20:25:57	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaf3383…
08-11 20:23:30	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x85165e…
08-11 19:58:58	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Up	SELL	105	47¢	$49	0xbbfeec…
08-11 19:15:21	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xa2adf2…
08-11 19:08:46	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	98	60¢	$59	0x30f459…
08-11 16:14:51	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xadeb48…
08-11 13:10:42	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0x3a8270…
08-11 12:48:55	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x22e0a9…
08-11 06:46:25	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0xbe36dd…
08-11 03:45:36	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x26ec9e…
08-11 03:22:39	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	84	42¢	$35	0xef362f…
08-11 01:43:49	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x099a5a…
08-11 01:42:48	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x75a0a7…
08-11 00:01:22	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcd092b…
08-10 23:08:01	btc updown 5m 1786403100	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x877c2e…
08-10 22:58:16	btc updown 5m 1786402500	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xeb02cb…
08-10 22:53:30	btc updown 5m 1786402200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x62c40c…
08-10 21:48:36	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x4b64bc…
08-10 20:44:57	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x8b8d29…
08-10 19:51:36	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	57	40¢	$23	0x9d4203…
08-10 16:55:45	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x6e294c…
08-10 16:19:54	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	43	55¢	$23	0x79a1cd…
08-10 16:05:39	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xd25ed8…
08-10 12:54:25	bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1fd48b…