Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$46,202
Trades
748
Unique wallets
199
Liquidity
$3,241
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.4¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $6.9K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $40.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $203 | $9.4K | $9.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $2.2K | $15.2K | $12.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $2.3K | $7.7K | $5.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 109 | $2.5K | $674 | +$1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $1.6K | $5.3K | $3.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $277 | $8.7K | $8.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $130 | $473 | $343 |
| Median | 13 | $85 | $46 | +$39 |
| Below median | 27 | $204 | $267 | $63 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $534 | $227 | +$307 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $1.1K | $751 | +$306 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $120 | $9.2K | $9.1K |
| unranked | 96 | $3.2K | $7.9K | $4.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superior-Degradation 0xa8d9…48a6 | Yes | +8,485 | $1,612 | $1,612 | 6 | 06-15 21:50 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +8,300 | $6,699 | $6,699 | 2 | 06-14 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | +7,271 | $5,895 | $5,895 | 31 | 06-20 13:34 |
| Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | +6,996 | $5,548 | $5,548 | 31 | 06-20 16:26 |
| Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | +3,954 | $712 | $712 | 18 | 06-20 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c2…3048 | No | +3,330 | $2,677 | $6,185 | 29 | 06-18 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd060…ce4f | Yes | +2,766 | $589 | $589 | 3 | 06-18 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x06fb…5231 | Yes | +2,723 | $517 | $517 | 1 | 06-10 15:34 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +2,328 | $1,865 | $1,865 | 38 | 06-17 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c1…473e | Yes | +2,018 | $405 | $405 | 6 | 06-16 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e67…9a3e | Yes | +1,449 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-20 13:34 |
| Vibrant-Lifestyle 0x4747…c29e | Yes | +1,372 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 06-11 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c71…2e65 | Yes | +967 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 06-15 13:19 |
| Flustered-Peace 0xbe8b…517c | Yes | +894 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-17 06:42 |
| Wide-Prospect 0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | +889 | $722 | $722 | 2 | 06-15 21:50 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | No | +646 | $509 | $509 | 36 | 06-17 14:13 |
| Fatal-Stain 0x7492…1e71 | Yes | +500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-20 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x17a7…2925 | No | +500 | $400 | $400 | 4 | 06-11 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f70…95f5 | Yes | +497 | $99 | $99 | 6 | 06-15 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x90d3…b477 | Yes | +479 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 13:14 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +475 | $100 | $100 | 49 | 06-17 14:49 |
| Firm-Ukulele 0xb855…c1be | Yes | +474 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-18 04:36 |
| Unequaled-Bowl 0xf410…ca73 | Yes | +462 | $83 | $83 | 3 | 06-20 07:02 |
| Giddy-Loquat 0x8371…5f47 | Yes | +437 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-30 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa1…bf73 | Yes | +435 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd449…450f | No | +396 | $309 | $309 | 7 | 06-17 10:12 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +396 | $310 | $414 | 15 | 06-20 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a47…fcf3 | Yes | +384 | $84 | $84 | 5 | 06-14 10:20 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | No | +363 | $291 | $291 | 2 | 06-16 01:12 |
| Sparkling-Filly 0x32d0…6070 | No | +336 | $275 | $275 | 1 | 06-08 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb892…fd3a | Yes | +335 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-15 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x0885…bcdc | Yes | +333 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-03 22:18 |
| Unaware-Extremist 0xb14f…aeec | Yes | +263 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 06-19 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x51f0…186c | Yes | +250 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | +248 | $200 | $200 | 7 | 06-18 20:20 |
| Hateful-Sow 0x630f…5501 | Yes | +245 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-19 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe306…e8a3 | Yes | +222 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-18 03:35 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +207 | $161 | $161 | 1 | 06-16 22:18 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | +200 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-18 10:48 |
| AlexLiu 0x6cd5…f2cf | No | +200 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 06-09 08:09 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +196 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 06-17 17:38 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +187 | $149 | $176 | 13 | 06-17 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x68d4…0a9c | Yes | +183 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-13 11:34 |
| Unpleasant-Dust 0xc44d…935c | No | +165 | $132 | $132 | 3 | 06-10 21:03 |
| Same-Captain 0xd3e7…bf64 | No | +158 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 06-18 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b9a…9093 | Yes | +154 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 06-20 08:56 |
| Double-Exaggeration 0x8328…feb3 | Yes | +150 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 13:20 |
| Teeming-Ritual 0xdebb…eedb | No | +145 | $112 | $112 | 2 | 06-17 06:56 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | +138 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 06-20 15:09 |
| Secondary-Sector 0x4109…ad6b | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 13:02 |
| Confused-Dead 0x05dd…305c | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-18 10:48 |
| Nutty-Washcloth 0x4f5e…1773 | No | +119 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-29 06:42 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 05-30 15:43 |
| Unequaled-Bowl 0xf410…ca73 | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-17 06:42 |
| Arctic-Vanadyl 0xc33d…0d40 | No | +80 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 06-16 07:55 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +51 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-11 14:14 |
| Angelic-Purity 0xa461…878a | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-19 20:05 |
| Flimsy-Captor 0x0056…ee7a | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-13 05:21 |
| Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-20 13:20 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +43 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-16 22:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 16:26:38 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x3a9a11… |
| 06-20 16:26:38 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 16 | 79¢ | $13 | 0x3a9a11… |
| 06-20 15:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xdc20…b12c | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xeb30af… |
| 06-20 15:10:40 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 48 | 79¢ | $38 | 0xeb30af… |
| 06-20 15:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xe9da…8d1b | Yes | SELL | 26 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x6ce16c… |
| 06-20 15:09:41 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 26 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x6ce16c… |
| 06-20 14:11:02 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x4d187e… |
| 06-20 14:11:02 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x4d187e… |
| 06-20 13:34:23 | Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x178d8b… |
| 06-20 13:34:23 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x178d8b… |
| 06-20 13:34:05 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 62 | 80¢ | $50 | 0xd2e381… |
| 06-20 13:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 370 | 80¢ | $296 | 0xd2e381… |
| 06-20 13:34:05 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 1,017 | 79¢ | $803 | 0xd2e381… |
| 06-20 13:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x4e67…9a3e | Yes | BUY | 1,449 | 21¢ | $300 | 0xd2e381… |
| 06-20 13:20:56 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 20¢ | $14 | 0x9d9458… |
| 06-20 13:20:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x9d9458… |
| 06-20 13:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x9d9458… |
| 06-20 13:20:56 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x9d9458… |
| 06-20 13:17:49 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbf5951… |
| 06-20 13:17:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbf5951… |
| 06-20 13:13:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x121579… |
| 06-20 13:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x2b3d…eb49 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x121579… |
| 06-20 12:20:19 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 85 | 20¢ | $17 | 0xa8c47b… |
| 06-20 12:20:19 | Fatal-Stain 0x7492…1e71 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0xa8c47b… |
| 06-20 12:20:19 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 415 | 80¢ | $332 | 0xa8c47b… |
| 06-20 09:13:16 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x308074… |
| 06-20 09:13:16 | Flimsy-Captor 0x0056…ee7a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x308074… |
| 06-20 08:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x9b9a…9093 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xcc9ecf… |
| 06-20 08:56:17 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 66 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xcc9ecf… |
| 06-20 08:26:23 | Irritating-Shaw-Altitude 0x9ebc…f08b | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x315148… |
| 06-20 08:26:23 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x315148… |
| 06-20 08:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x00e5…17de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x80a7bc… |
| 06-20 08:24:26 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x80a7bc… |
| 06-20 08:24:08 | Irritating-Shaw-Altitude 0x9ebc…f08b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x8d9f1b… |
| 06-20 08:24:08 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x8d9f1b… |
| 06-20 07:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 59 | 81¢ | $48 | 0x5a4cb6… |
| 06-20 07:06:26 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | SELL | 59 | 81¢ | $48 | 0x5a4cb6… |
| 06-20 07:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 164 | 82¢ | $135 | 0xbced56… |
| 06-20 07:02:10 | Unequaled-Bowl 0xf410…ca73 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 18¢ | $30 | 0xbced56… |
| 06-20 07:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x802c87… |
| 06-20 07:01:49 | Unequaled-Bowl 0xf410…ca73 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x802c87… |
| 06-20 07:01:28 | Unequaled-Bowl 0xf410…ca73 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb93c06… |
| 06-20 07:01:28 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 207 | 18¢ | $37 | 0xb93c06… |
| 06-20 07:01:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xb93c06… |
| 06-20 07:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xb93c06… |
| 06-20 07:01:07 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xa636f3… |
| 06-20 07:01:07 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0xa636f3… |
| 06-20 07:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xcef87a… |
| 06-20 07:00:46 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0xcef87a… |
| 06-20 07:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xc5a291… |
| 06-20 07:00:23 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0xc5a291… |
| 06-20 07:00:04 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0xab1958… |
| 06-20 07:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xab1958… |
| 06-20 06:59:43 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0xff869a… |
| 06-20 06:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0xff869a… |
| 06-20 06:59:22 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x2cc15b… |
| 06-20 06:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x2cc15b… |
| 06-20 06:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x7aacb3… |
| 06-20 06:59:01 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x7aacb3… |
| 06-20 06:58:40 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x78b1d6… |
| 06-20 06:58:40 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x78b1d6… |
| 06-20 06:58:19 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x60572b… |
| 06-20 06:58:19 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x60572b… |
| 06-20 06:57:58 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 278 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x55d35c… |
| 06-20 06:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 278 | 82¢ | $228 | 0x55d35c… |
| 06-20 06:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 264 | 82¢ | $216 | 0x595e7d… |
| 06-20 06:57:37 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 104 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x595e7d… |
| 06-20 06:57:37 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 160 | 18¢ | $29 | 0x595e7d… |
| 06-20 06:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x00e5…17de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0dbe27… |
| 06-20 06:57:19 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x0dbe27… |
| 06-20 06:57:16 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 164 | 81¢ | $133 | 0xf4e912… |
| 06-20 06:57:16 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 96 | 19¢ | $18 | 0xf4e912… |
| 06-20 06:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 260 | 81¢ | $211 | 0xf4e912… |
| 06-20 06:49:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 57 | 80¢ | $45 | 0xb8db96… |
| 06-20 06:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 178 | 81¢ | $143 | 0xb8db96… |
| 06-20 06:49:31 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 121 | 81¢ | $98 | 0xb8db96… |
| 06-20 06:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x225b…9a83 | No | BUY | 41 | 80¢ | $33 | 0xeb7fb4… |
| 06-20 06:49:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 41 | 80¢ | $33 | 0xeb7fb4… |
| 06-20 05:11:44 | Double-Pinkie 0x4710…e68c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x97ab27… |
| 06-20 05:11:44 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x97ab27… |
| 06-20 03:57:58 | Specific-Ectoderm-Bookend 0x6edd…057a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf9c8c3… |
| 06-20 03:57:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xf9c8c3… |
| 06-20 03:12:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x6687f7… |
| 06-20 03:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x57ec…885b | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x6687f7… |
| 06-20 03:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xa3b8…2f72 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xaf7c4b… |
| 06-20 03:04:13 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 24 | 79¢ | $19 | 0xaf7c4b… |
| 06-20 02:50:37 | Excellent-Allegation 0x3123…c1d2 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x837b17… |
| 06-20 02:50:37 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x837b17… |
| 06-20 02:50:31 | Awkward-Precedent 0xa5e3…40e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xaaa493… |
| 06-20 02:50:31 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xaaa493… |
| 06-20 02:49:19 | Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x0b9b71… |
| 06-20 02:49:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x0b9b71… |
| 06-20 02:37:56 | Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe80304… |
| 06-20 02:37:56 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe80304… |
| 06-20 02:03:25 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x2efaf7… |
| 06-20 02:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x7fdd…9918 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x2efaf7… |
| 06-20 01:42:02 | (anonymous) 0xc037…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xfaaadc… |
| 06-20 01:42:02 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 48 | 79¢ | $38 | 0xfaaadc… |
| 06-20 00:25:11 | Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | BUY | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x2375b9… |
| 06-20 00:25:11 | Wiry-Dill 0x396f…4f2c | No | SELL | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x2375b9… |