Realized P&L
-$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.09K
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
49
Trades
15,619
lifetime
Volume
$881.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$22.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
67% 68% $-784
Other
26% 65% +$78
Sports
4% 33% $-511
Crypto
1% 100% +$172
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,001 $2,551 100¢ $5.0K +$2,443 06-24 05:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $3,450 86¢ $3.4K $-30 06-29 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,700 $2,200 99¢ $2.7K +$480 06-25 12:55
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +1,971 $1,237 80¢ $1.6K +$330 06-30 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,000 $1,200 70¢ $1.4K +$190 06-29 12:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,390 $1,035 80¢ $1.1K +$83 06-28 04:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,205 $826 30¢ $673 $-153 06-30 23:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +693 $540 82¢ $565 +$24 06-27 20:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +600 $504 92¢ $549 +$45 06-02 23:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +625 $499 82¢ $509 +$10 06-28 14:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +700 $322 70¢ $494 +$172 06-20 13:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +500 $450 92¢ $458 +$8 06-29 14:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +420 $285 100¢ $420 +$135 06-09 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $300 86¢ $346 +$46 06-11 12:48
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +489 $307 69¢ $338 +$31 06-13 14:31
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +310 $194 100¢ $309 +$115 06-30 23:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +700 $282 42¢ $290 +$8 06-08 13:52
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $280 91¢ $274 $-6 06-27 01:11
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +319 $263 84¢ $269 +$6 06-30 04:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +200 $142 100¢ $200 +$58 06-24 14:39
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +210 $181 83¢ $174 $-7 06-29 19:34
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +200 $156 86¢ $173 +$17 06-20 11:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $152 84¢ $167 +$15 06-05 01:22
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -400 $-335 42¢ $-166 +$169 06-30 22:37
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +200 $170 81¢ $162 $-8 06-03 08:51
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +785 $186 20¢ $153 $-33 07-01 03:48
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +600 $176 26¢ $153 $-23 06-26 20:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +200 $132 76¢ $151 +$19 06-04 18:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +500 $209 30¢ $148 $-61 06-15 09:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +195 $129 70¢ $138 +$9 06-05 16:11