Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$14,277
Trades
270
Unique wallets
106
Liquidity
$2,463
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 22:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3.5K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $11.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $298 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $1.0K | $5.1K | $4.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $273 | $980 | $707 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 72 | $810 | $936 | $126 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $280 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $274 | $273 |
| Median | 10 | $64 | $700 | $636 |
| Below median | 17 | $222 | $22 | +$200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $197 | $107 | +$90 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $30 | $130 | $100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.2K | $759 | +$403 |
| unranked | 44 | $463 | $914 | $450 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | +4,433 | $3,192 | $3,192 | 37 | 06-09 22:01 |
| Frank-Flan 0x74a9…0dc7 | Yes | +3,053 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-31 16:40 |
| Glass-Court 0x41f0…3eeb | No | +1,286 | $908 | $908 | 20 | 06-02 09:31 |
| Boiling-Bin 0x4c5e…8819 | No | +1,267 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-01 16:03 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +1,036 | $733 | $733 | 15 | 06-01 02:11 |
| Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | No | +1,000 | $700 | $700 | 1 | 05-31 16:40 |
| Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | Yes | +429 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-06 09:01 |
| Wilted-Clip 0xd6f4…ef6a | Yes | +400 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 06-09 21:49 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +382 | $270 | $270 | 6 | 06-05 18:26 |
| Sugary-Price 0x15ff…7521 | Yes | +345 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-30 00:16 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +303 | $204 | $807 | 14 | 06-04 12:45 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +300 | $81 | $81 | 10 | 06-08 10:25 |
| Chilly-Surrounds 0x1d60…453d | Yes | +241 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 05-30 10:09 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +239 | $70 | $114 | 9 | 06-09 14:36 |
| Few-Waiver 0x1466…df0a | Yes | +235 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-02 01:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c79…a3d9 | Yes | +179 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-09 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a5…fb79 | Yes | +179 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 15:53 |
| Black-Tick 0xf24f…15b2 | Yes | +172 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-30 22:08 |
| Blond-Absence 0x5ac6…ca2d | Yes | +172 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-04 12:45 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | +157 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-04 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa325…ab29 | Yes | +129 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-03 03:34 |
| Rubbery-Paint 0x373a…f4c1 | No | +128 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 06-04 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x395b…24ff | Yes | +125 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-08 05:15 |
| Powerful-Mower 0x26ec…da98 | Yes | +103 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 01:29 |
| Official-Intention 0xaf2b…0728 | Yes | +100 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-28 14:11 |
| Married-Glider 0xc0eb…6d57 | No | +94 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-31 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd828…4cb1 | Yes | +86 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 21:42 |
| Sparkling-Filly 0x32d0…6070 | No | +84 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 06-07 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd35f…b9be | Yes | +71 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 00:27 |
| Upright-Intuition 0x7ac2…640e | Yes | +68 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8cc…5a82 | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-01 16:03 |
| Slushy-Printer 0x45e0…15cb | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-31 14:59 |
| Crushing-Surname 0x3d7b…715d | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-02 00:37 |
| Muddy-Shirt 0x703a…266c | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 20:00 |
| Clueless-Trash 0xfaa5…7cc9 | No | +52 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 06-03 14:27 |
| Reflecting-Soprano 0x9139…30a9 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 20:00 |
| Irritating-Shaw-Altitude 0x9ebc…f08b | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 08:52 |
| Separate-Vegetable 0x73c4…ddf1 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 20:32 |
| Steel-Infusion 0x903c…98f7 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x17a3…50a3 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 06:24 |
| Lustrous-Nose 0xe34d…ad51 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 21:29 |
| Powerless-Divide 0x3f81…fc4a | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-29 03:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-03 14:27 |
| Villainous-Craftsman 0x3a01…44f1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:01:40 | Noteworthy-Birch 0xb8b2…1e6f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb998fe… |
| 06-09 22:01:40 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xb998fe… |
| 06-09 21:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xe4b4…2994 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xbe647b… |
| 06-09 21:52:27 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0xbe647b… |
| 06-09 21:49:28 | Wilted-Clip 0xd6f4…ef6a | Yes | BUY | 400 | 28¢ | $112 | 0xa6bcf2… |
| 06-09 21:49:28 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 400 | 72¢ | $288 | 0xa6bcf2… |
| 06-09 20:17:12 | (anonymous) 0xbd84…1292 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xbb8c46… |
| 06-09 20:17:12 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0xbb8c46… |
| 06-09 19:39:21 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x114d94… |
| 06-09 19:39:21 | Tired-Pear 0xf2d0…44b9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x114d94… |
| 06-09 17:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x3b96…6226 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x56edae… |
| 06-09 17:23:48 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0x56edae… |
| 06-09 14:36:55 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 35 | 72¢ | $25 | 0xa03b9b… |
| 06-09 14:36:55 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xa03b9b… |
| 06-09 14:00:30 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xa786a5… |
| 06-09 14:00:30 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xa786a5… |
| 06-09 13:45:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x2df239… |
| 06-09 13:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xf88e…7f8d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x2df239… |
| 06-09 10:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xfd9d…80a3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x951c9f… |
| 06-09 10:59:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x951c9f… |
| 06-09 10:59:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x951c9f… |
| 06-09 10:57:16 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x1ab65e… |
| 06-09 10:57:16 | (anonymous) 0xfd9d…80a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x1ab65e… |
| 06-09 10:34:58 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xaf2b35… |
| 06-09 10:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xe9d1…6c7c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xaf2b35… |
| 06-09 08:10:18 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 179 | 72¢ | $129 | 0xbdc4ec… |
| 06-09 08:10:18 | (anonymous) 0x4c79…a3d9 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 28¢ | $50 | 0xbdc4ec… |
| 06-09 01:37:54 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xa55e93… |
| 06-09 01:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x138d…d8a1 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xa55e93… |
| 06-08 20:20:31 | Ultimate-Excuse 0xb07a…ec1f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x984181… |
| 06-08 20:20:31 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x984181… |
| 06-08 17:26:45 | Exalted-Pasta 0x5c66…1c98 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xcadedd… |
| 06-08 17:26:45 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xcadedd… |
| 06-08 17:26:27 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7ff054… |
| 06-08 17:26:27 | Filthy-Priest 0x938c…8df4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x7ff054… |
| 06-08 16:18:04 | Upright-Intuition 0x7ac2…640e | Yes | BUY | 68 | 28¢ | $19 | 0x44594a… |
| 06-08 16:18:04 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 68 | 72¢ | $49 | 0x44594a… |
| 06-08 15:01:10 | Brave-Keyboarding 0xa769…8a2a | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd5927a… |
| 06-08 15:01:10 | Athletic-Sunbonnet 0x6046…afc3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xd5927a… |
| 06-08 15:01:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xd5927a… |
| 06-08 12:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x0aad…3aa6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb49689… |
| 06-08 12:34:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xb49689… |
| 06-08 11:10:25 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x2a2c63… |
| 06-08 11:10:25 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 35 | 72¢ | $25 | 0x2a2c63… |
| 06-08 10:25:45 | (anonymous) 0xda43…d2ef | Yes | SELL | 36 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xbd6d7e… |
| 06-08 10:25:45 | Athletic-Sunbonnet 0x6046…afc3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xbd6d7e… |
| 06-08 10:25:45 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xbd6d7e… |
| 06-08 08:41:54 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xacaf0c… |
| 06-08 08:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xacaf0c… |
| 06-08 05:15:15 | (anonymous) 0x395b…24ff | Yes | BUY | 125 | 28¢ | $35 | 0x400ea1… |
| 06-08 05:15:15 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 125 | 72¢ | $90 | 0x400ea1… |
| 06-07 23:50:54 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 1,797 | 72¢ | $1,294 | 0x8480e2… |
| 06-07 23:50:54 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 1,797 | 72¢ | $1,294 | 0x8480e2… |
| 06-07 23:50:07 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 599 | 72¢ | $431 | 0xfa4c1d… |
| 06-07 23:50:07 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 599 | 72¢ | $431 | 0xfa4c1d… |
| 06-07 21:43:46 | (anonymous) 0xda43…d2ef | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x85904c… |
| 06-07 21:43:46 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x85904c… |
| 06-07 21:42:45 | (anonymous) 0xd828…4cb1 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 28¢ | $24 | 0xce8936… |
| 06-07 21:42:45 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 86 | 72¢ | $62 | 0xce8936… |
| 06-07 20:32:06 | Separate-Vegetable 0x73c4…ddf1 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x1408a6… |
| 06-07 20:32:06 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x1408a6… |
| 06-07 19:47:39 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 18 | 72¢ | $13 | 0xbf16e7… |
| 06-07 19:47:39 | (anonymous) 0xeeee…a9bb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xbf16e7… |
| 06-07 17:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xc422e0… |
| 06-07 17:56:42 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc422e0… |
| 06-07 17:36:48 | Sparkling-Filly 0x32d0…6070 | No | BUY | 84 | 73¢ | $61 | 0xaac521… |
| 06-07 17:36:48 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 84 | 27¢ | $23 | 0xaac521… |
| 06-07 08:52:58 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0xe67ced… |
| 06-07 08:52:58 | Irritating-Shaw-Altitude 0x9ebc…f08b | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xe67ced… |
| 06-07 00:27:57 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 71 | 72¢ | $51 | 0xf4b7f5… |
| 06-07 00:27:57 | (anonymous) 0xd35f…b9be | Yes | BUY | 71 | 28¢ | $20 | 0xf4b7f5… |
| 06-07 00:23:07 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x4566f6… |
| 06-07 00:23:07 | Steel-Infusion 0x903c…98f7 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x4566f6… |
| 06-06 22:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x8115…b225 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xc6dea1… |
| 06-06 22:53:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0xc6dea1… |
| 06-06 18:14:58 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xd0d78e… |
| 06-06 18:14:58 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xd0d78e… |
| 06-06 15:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 179 | 72¢ | $129 | 0xe14f5b… |
| 06-06 15:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x22a5…fb79 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 28¢ | $50 | 0xe14f5b… |
| 06-06 11:09:27 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 29 | 72¢ | $21 | 0x0d1209… |
| 06-06 11:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x0201…07d4 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x0d1209… |
| 06-06 09:21:10 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xedbd87… |
| 06-06 09:21:10 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xedbd87… |
| 06-06 09:01:27 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 429 | 72¢ | $309 | 0x45ce52… |
| 06-06 09:01:27 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | Yes | BUY | 429 | 28¢ | $120 | 0x45ce52… |
| 06-06 07:13:04 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x908823… |
| 06-06 07:13:04 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 35 | 72¢ | $25 | 0x908823… |
| 06-06 06:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x17a3…50a3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xff8d79… |
| 06-06 06:24:42 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0xff8d79… |
| 06-05 18:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x5305…e641 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x79a6ea… |
| 06-05 18:26:04 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x79a6ea… |
| 06-05 18:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x6cec…19dd | No | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x79a6ea… |
| 06-05 08:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x5305…e641 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x9510ba… |
| 06-05 08:24:49 | Damp-Origin 0x094a…e4a9 | No | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x9510ba… |
| 06-05 08:24:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x9510ba… |
| 06-05 02:52:58 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 83 | 27¢ | $22 | 0x1684ef… |
| 06-05 02:52:58 | (anonymous) 0x304d…31e9 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 27¢ | $22 | 0x1684ef… |
| 06-04 21:29:48 | Damp-Origin 0x094a…e4a9 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xb1eef3… |
| 06-04 21:29:48 | Lustrous-Nose 0xe34d…ad51 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0xb1eef3… |
| 06-04 21:29:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xb1eef3… |