Fuzzy-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,008

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-09 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

82% 83% $-14

Politics

11% 20% $-3

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	11	$1.1K	856	790	+67	open	—	02-04 11:42
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	10	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	02-04 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	28	$816	406	431	-25	open	—	04-26 07:10
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 13c	31	$810	416	416	+0	open	—	04-23 14:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	20	$704	343	395	-53	open	—	04-22 13:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?	12	$682	351	351	+0	open	—	04-24 16:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	13	$552	291	291	+0	Down	$-9	05-11 13:28
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$403	210	210	+0	open	—	04-27 13:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$386	210	210	+0	open	—	01-31 06:42
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	13	$380	196	196	+0	open	—	04-22 13:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	17	$378	201	201	+0	Up	$-16	05-11 19:05
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	2	$361	270	270	+0	open	—	02-05 15:27
open up or down on april 23 2026	6	$356	182	181	+0	open	—	04-23 19:22
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	8	$340	172	172	+0	open	—	04-25 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	8	$331	167	167	+0	open	—	04-26 08:06
lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 5c	23	$319	161	161	+0	open	—	04-23 08:01
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	8	$314	162	162	+0	open	—	04-28 08:22
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	2	$302	162	162	+0	open	—	02-02 15:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	11	$299	152	152	+0	open	—	04-28 19:21
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$293	153	153	+0	open	—	02-02 15:29
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 18corhigher	21	$279	154	137	+17	open	—	04-22 20:04
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 14c	4	$269	137	137	+0	open	—	04-23 05:07
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	7	$260	133	133	+0	open	—	04-26 05:40
lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	4	$250	151	151	+0	open	—	04-24 10:46
msft up or down on april 20 2026	6	$243	150	149	+1	open	—	04-20 10:20
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	3	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	04-24 11:40
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on April 25?	13	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	04-25 08:02
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	4	$212	108	108	+0	open	—	04-23 13:40
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	7	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	04-25 10:20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	7	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	04-27 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:10:36	wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xde6f4e…
06-09 20:48:43	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xdee914…
06-09 20:46:37	wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x87d661…
06-09 19:00:25	spy closes above 720 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xd39507…
06-09 18:52:03	will serena williams win return doubles match at hsbc championships 20260609151543890	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe439de…
06-09 16:58:51	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x8761d2…
06-09 16:56:36	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x658f4d…
06-09 09:46:55	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8e1e16…
06-09 09:46:10	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f37e9…
06-09 09:43:31	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3991d1…
06-09 05:32:31	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x743bdc…
06-09 05:13:33	nba finals will there be a breen bang in game 3 20260608184838833	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x89bd12…
06-09 05:07:01	nba finals will there be a breen bang in game 3 20260608184838833	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaeedf1…
06-09 03:45:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x288ba6…
06-09 03:45:01	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xeecf89…
06-09 02:23:46	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 10 20260607232624534	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5d8502…
06-09 02:22:28	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x490e0c…
06-09 02:12:00	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 10 20260607232624534	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x880344…
06-09 02:10:25	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5cbe7c…
06-08 22:23:24	will trump say iran during tele rally 20260608165428972	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdbf436…
06-08 22:10:04	will trump say iran during tele rally 20260608165428972	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5267ec…
06-08 21:12:33	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x7c7fd8…
06-08 20:59:24	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x468f82…
06-08 20:44:13	wti closes above 95 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5c3f82…
06-08 20:04:51	ng up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x821028…
06-08 19:44:51	spy closes above 730 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfbc27d…
06-08 18:33:04	ng up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x82b5ce…
06-06 12:51:27	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap fut 3pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x736379…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfcbf2a…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfcbbbc…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd5c621…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd33100…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcafb0f…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb3a677…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa3ef77…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3642f…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8f2272…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8bfafd…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8bd094…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8710db…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x80b29f…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x804ca9…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x601f8a…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57c714…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x543746…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x453bff…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4118a1…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2dd940…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1dcb9e…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x170dc8…
06-06 12:40:07	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcf4066…
06-06 12:40:07	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8b5c9a…
06-06 12:40:07	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7fe2d5…
06-06 12:40:07	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	paiN	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f2a7c…
06-06 12:10:54	cs2 js1 1win 2026 06 06	1WIN	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xe258d4…
06-06 12:10:54	cs2 js1 1win 2026 06 06 game2	1WIN	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x7e5c95…
06-06 11:59:01	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap 9z 3pt5	FlyQuest	SELL	157	0¢	$0	0x87b6a0…
06-06 11:58:34	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap 9z 3pt5	FlyQuest	BUY	157	0¢	$0	0x18eaca…
06-06 11:28:21	cs2 ast10 gl1 2026 06 06 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xddb3fe…
06-06 11:27:21	cs2 ast10 gl1 2026 06 06 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x1566f6…
06-06 11:20:19	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xac10d5…
06-06 01:38:27	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5e5988…
06-05 22:33:37	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0b8f6a…
06-05 22:27:06	mlbb aterio tsaw 2026 06 05	Aterion Esports	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x4c01e1…
06-05 22:23:12	mlbb aterio tsaw 2026 06 05	Aterion Esports	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x94f13a…
06-05 22:21:54	will trump say child during wisconsin events 20260602174202001	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x21f439…
06-05 22:19:54	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during wisconsin events 20260602174202006	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0cc140…
06-05 22:17:55	will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe21915…
06-05 22:17:49	will trump say percent 13 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201994	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9d8f89…
06-05 22:03:06	will trump say soybean during wisconsin events 20260602174202015	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8f0bdd…
06-05 22:03:01	will trump say egg during wisconsin events 20260602174202014	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd58010…
06-05 22:02:55	will trump say iowa during wisconsin events 20260602174202013	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x02745d…
06-05 22:02:49	will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc11747…
06-05 22:02:39	will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xebed2b…
06-05 21:52:42	will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x85ba91…
06-05 21:45:58	will trump say drug during wisconsin events 20260602174202016	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xaee4b9…
06-05 21:44:43	will trump say iowa during wisconsin events 20260602174202013	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1b1e1e…
06-05 21:39:28	will trump say soybean during wisconsin events 20260602174202015	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x514a7c…
06-05 21:39:10	will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x36df99…
06-05 21:36:27	will trump say drug during wisconsin events 20260602174202016	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb9be27…
06-05 21:30:15	will trump say president xi during wisconsin events 20260602174202017	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe0533e…
06-05 21:28:39	will trump say president xi during wisconsin events 20260602174202017	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb45bdc…
06-05 21:27:04	will trump say egg during wisconsin events 20260602174202014	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x219b2c…
06-05 21:26:12	codmw tor c9ny 2026 06 05 game2	Cloud9 New York	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x80b621…
06-05 19:55:34	mlbb tst hardgr 2026 06 05 game2	The Soulless Team	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xdab524…
06-05 17:51:16	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x1e84e4…
06-05 14:30:19	xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe05781…
06-05 14:22:15	xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x66a605…
06-05 14:17:42	xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d3396…
06-05 14:13:34	xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf5c2c7…
06-05 13:49:27	xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd20ea0…
06-05 11:30:06	lol mvk gam 2026 06 05 game3	MVK Esports	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xfb80dc…
06-05 09:49:01	lol al lgd 2026 06 05 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x3d7f47…
06-05 09:40:39	mlbb vam btr 2026 06 05	Bigetron MY by VIT	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xe6938a…
06-05 09:39:48	mlbb vam btr 2026 06 05	Bigetron MY by VIT	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x2a7a9a…
06-05 07:20:28	will wti dip to 80 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xecee97…
06-05 06:28:15	dota2 xctn rnx 2026 06 05	Execration	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xbce02d…
06-04 21:56:45	will wti dip to 80 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x093f17…
06-04 21:41:48	will trump say fossil or fuel during coal announcement 20260604130800085 346	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x43615f…
06-04 21:36:12	will trump say job 10 times during coal announcement 20260604130800069	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xfb8d36…