Fuzzy-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,474

lifetime

Volume

$31.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-20 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

76% 83% $-14

Politics

13% 20% $-3

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	11	$1.1K	856	790	+67	open	—	02-04 11:42
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	10	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	02-04 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	28	$816	406	431	-25	open	—	04-26 07:10
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 13c	31	$810	416	416	+0	open	—	04-23 14:51
iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	8	$753	400	400	+0	open	—	06-28 08:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	20	$704	343	395	-53	open	—	04-22 13:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?	12	$682	351	351	+0	open	—	04-24 16:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	13	$552	291	291	+0	Down	$-9	05-11 13:28
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$403	210	210	+0	open	—	04-27 13:20
will the announcers say corner 15 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716808	3	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 01:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$386	210	210	+0	open	—	01-31 06:42
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	13	$380	196	196	+0	open	—	04-22 13:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	17	$378	201	201	+0	Up	$-16	05-11 19:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	7	$371	200	187	+13	open	—	06-18 17:26
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	2	$361	270	270	+0	open	—	02-05 15:27
open up or down on april 23 2026	6	$356	182	181	+0	open	—	04-23 19:22
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	8	$340	172	172	+0	open	—	04-25 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	8	$331	167	167	+0	open	—	04-26 08:06
lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 5c	23	$319	161	161	+0	open	—	04-23 08:01
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	8	$314	162	162	+0	open	—	04-28 08:22
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	2	$302	162	162	+0	open	—	02-02 15:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	11	$299	152	152	+0	open	—	04-28 19:21
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$293	153	153	+0	open	—	02-02 15:29
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 18corhigher	21	$279	154	137	+17	open	—	04-22 20:04
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 14c	4	$269	137	137	+0	open	—	04-23 05:07
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	7	$260	133	133	+0	open	—	04-26 05:40
lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	4	$250	151	151	+0	open	—	04-24 10:46
msft up or down on april 20 2026	6	$243	150	149	+1	open	—	04-20 10:20
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	3	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	04-24 11:40
spx up or down on june 29 2026	6	$237	122	122	+0	open	—	06-29 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 03:55:34	will anyone say space during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117498	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x0ae5dc…
07-20 03:43:48	will anyone say space during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117498	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xffb5ef…
07-19 23:15:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa7c154…
07-19 23:15:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xee1ea8…
07-19 23:15:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9989c1…
07-19 23:15:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x97235f…
07-19 23:15:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf24e8f…
07-19 23:15:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9d8533…
07-19 23:15:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x31f8cd…
07-19 23:15:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x09182b…
07-19 22:00:28	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403315	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x994964…
07-19 20:13:24	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x36feac…
07-19 19:26:12	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403315	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc0d233…
07-19 10:13:12	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 21 2026 20260717130414632	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x350b60…
07-19 00:00:36	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xe6ca25…
07-18 23:59:12	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x5cbbd4…
07-18 23:36:19	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740621	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6ad160…
07-18 22:17:57	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Kane	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xad2e59…
07-18 20:22:46	will the match not air 20260716160757341	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x321303…
07-18 05:02:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x73508d…
07-18 02:18:24	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4c67d7…
07-17 20:15:19	will coin dip to 147 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x421322…
07-17 20:15:07	will ewy reach 186 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xfed0e1…
07-17 20:09:09	will rklb reach 86 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xad89cd…
07-17 19:47:52	will googl dip to 340 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2192d6…
07-17 19:38:51	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rikuya hoshino	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xfdf881…
07-17 19:10:16	will amzn dip to 228 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc70e01…
07-17 18:00:43	2026 the open championship top20 scott vincent	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x949a32…
07-17 17:57:21	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xda0325…
07-17 17:51:31	2026 the open championship top20 angel ayora	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x539af0…
07-17 13:41:19	will hood dip to 97 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x93a1fe…
07-17 02:03:04	will trump accuse venezuela of election interference by july 16	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8c8c74…
07-17 01:56:48	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1a0b08…
07-16 23:03:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa81f12…
07-16 19:23:29	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x59c980…
07-16 17:08:49	will the match not air 20260716160757341	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5f1496…
07-15 21:03:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x44506a…
07-15 14:30:34	wti closes above 84 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfe293c…
07-15 06:36:28	will aurlien tchouamni score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd8ad26…
07-15 06:36:23	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	86¢	$18	0x001927…
07-15 03:14:53	mlb al nl 2026 07 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x89b34c…
07-15 03:10:13	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	National League	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x12f0ba…
07-14 22:02:28	will the announcers say euro during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716370	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xac13d7…
07-14 21:18:04	will aurlien tchouamni score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe18d06…
07-14 20:58:40	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x789a8b…
07-14 20:53:47	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xff02c3…
07-14 20:53:47	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0xd6e6bc…
07-14 20:49:28	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba48b2…
07-14 20:49:28	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x8784f7…
07-14 20:46:05	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x85fa90…
07-14 20:41:56	wti closes above 77 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf1929f…
07-14 19:55:04	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf23ad7…
07-14 19:48:25	wti closes above 71 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x21bf7e…
07-14 10:53:13	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt15b	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x11e2e5…
07-14 01:51:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0fe4b7…
07-14 01:34:23	will junior caminero advance to the semifinals of the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709211856741	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb33ea6…
07-13 21:25:49	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb6f21b…
07-13 21:25:23	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x52d5bf…
07-12 04:37:56	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819063	No	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x00d77e…
07-11 21:46:50	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543748	No	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x68da59…
07-10 21:06:34	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901492	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9ac3a3…
07-10 16:24:56	nvda up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfda36f…
07-10 05:14:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x238b10…
07-10 05:03:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa778a0…
07-09 23:21:52	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420733	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc9839a…
07-09 20:00:20	wti closes above 77 on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x661c2a…
07-09 00:17:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6edb55…
07-09 00:16:02	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7f1c7…
07-09 00:14:55	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x90d288…
07-08 20:06:38	wti closes above 64 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x714431…
07-08 17:59:58	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x637f31…
07-08 04:20:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x0fc409…
07-08 04:14:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe8c02f…
07-08 04:12:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x656034…
07-08 04:12:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x1a6538…
07-08 04:11:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0x8ecfe9…
07-08 02:48:50	will the announcers say cleat during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736123	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf9e4bd…
07-07 23:03:56	wti closes above 68 on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xc3816d…
07-07 23:03:56	wti closes above 68 on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x890f82…
07-07 22:58:50	wti closes above 68 on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa0d10e…
07-07 22:57:10	wti closes above 68 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2a646e…
07-07 22:30:19	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd64b79…
07-07 19:58:22	spy closes above 745 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7cc7d8…
07-07 18:05:25	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8a01a4…
07-07 10:35:08	will the announcers say weather during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348890	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf42443…
07-07 10:33:08	will the announcers say weather during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348890	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb12d4a…
07-07 02:45:02	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348905	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1c648c…
07-07 02:09:56	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348884	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc69e88…
07-07 02:09:26	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348884	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x94686c…
07-07 01:44:43	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348903	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x6f5bd6…
07-07 00:46:11	will the announcers say energy during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348891	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfc327f…
07-07 00:09:14	will the announcers say history during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348899	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbd6751…
07-06 21:42:35	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659330	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x818d61…
07-06 21:10:02	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659344	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4b48e8…
07-06 20:58:37	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe337b…
07-06 20:48:40	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659344	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x6dd1c4…
07-06 20:43:53	wti closes above 64 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x597b31…
07-06 20:21:44	will the announcers say rival or rivalry during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659334	No	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xdfad32…
07-06 19:40:53	will the announcers say rival or rivalry during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659334	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4f81a9…
07-06 03:05:31	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0aba69…