Realized P&L
+$459
Unrealized P&L
-$909
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
11,761
Trades
89,546
lifetime
Volume
$7.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$62.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 294 days
Categories
Other
73%
70%
+$17,606
Sports
25%
70%
-$16,504
Politics
2%
59%
-$878
Crypto
0%
71%
+$231
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 704 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | -9,999 | -$9,869 | 99¢ | $-9874 | -$5 | 09-29 11:41 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | -10,000 | -$9,793 | 98¢ | $-9835 | -$42 | 10-03 14:39 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | -10,000 | -$9,700 | 96¢ | $-9615 | +$85 | 10-01 12:53 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +5,000 | $4,050 | 82¢ | $4.1K | +$25 | 10-22 05:54 | |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | Eternal Fire | +6,597 | $3,776 | 55¢ | $3.6K | -$181 | 10-28 08:44 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | +4,000 | $2,898 | 60¢ | $2.4K | -$504 | 10-21 09:29 | |
| Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | No | +2,218 | $1,767 | 98¢ | $2.2K | +$417 | 10-26 02:05 | |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | +6,000 | $3,420 | 32¢ | $1.9K | -$1,470 | 10-28 04:45 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | +2,000 | $1,640 | 91¢ | $1.8K | +$175 | 10-26 21:53 | |
| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | fnatic | +4,000 | $1,740 | 44¢ | $1.8K | +$40 | 10-28 06:57 | |
| Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? | No | +2,000 | $1,740 | 87¢ | $1.7K | +$1 | 10-27 18:55 | |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | Astralis | +2,000 | $1,040 | 84¢ | $1.7K | +$650 | 10-28 05:00 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +2,000 | $1,588 | 75¢ | $1.5K | -$88 | 10-09 02:39 | |
| Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | +1,530 | $1,336 | 92¢ | $1.4K | +$78 | 10-11 08:09 | |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | LYON | +4,000 | $1,340 | 34¢ | $1.3K | $0 | 10-28 06:54 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | Yes | +1,405 | $1,264 | 90¢ | $1.3K | +$7 | 10-28 11:08 | |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | No | +1,000 | $930 | 96¢ | $956 | +$26 | 08-03 00:43 | |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | Movistar KOI | +2,000 | $780 | 40¢ | $790 | +$10 | 10-28 11:28 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | +950 | $709 | 77¢ | $732 | +$23 | 10-05 07:55 | |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | +2,346 | $641 | 25¢ | $587 | -$54 | 10-24 13:37 | |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? | No | +1,000 | $690 | 55¢ | $550 | -$140 | 08-05 22:33 | |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | No | +602 | $465 | 82¢ | $497 | +$31 | 09-08 01:18 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | +479 | $393 | 91¢ | $436 | +$42 | 10-26 22:38 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -400 | -$394 | 98¢ | $-392 | +$2 | 10-13 14:17 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | -10,000 | -$291 | 4¢ | $-385 | -$94 | 10-02 18:59 | |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | No | +393 | $357 | 91¢ | $358 | +$1 | 10-10 10:03 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | -400 | -$348 | 88¢ | $-354 | -$6 | 10-18 19:50 | |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | No | +480 | $379 | 61¢ | $295 | -$84 | 10-15 09:23 | |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | Movistar KOI | +2,000 | $300 | 15¢ | $290 | -$10 | 10-28 05:00 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | -10,000 | -$320 | 2¢ | $-165 | +$155 | 07-27 20:27 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 315 | $199.9K | 108,228 | 128,228 | -20,000 | open | — | 10-03 14:39 |
| fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1 | 56 | $130.2K | 71,438 | 60,319 | +11,119 | No | +$669 | 07-09 21:35 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 128 | $111.8K | 56,000 | 56,000 | +0 | No | +$78 | 10-26 22:50 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 43 | $49.9K | 32,392 | 32,392 | +0 | open | — | 10-20 20:55 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 185 | $34.8K | 42,101 | 39,959 | +2,142 | Yes | +$811 | 05-29 17:53 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 425 | $29.7K | 10,000 | 29,999 | -19,999 | open | — | 09-29 11:41 |
| fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals johan manzambi gte1 | 17 | $29.7K | 29,905 | 0 | +29,905 | No | +$209 | 07-07 20:02 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 71 | $27.4K | 13,435 | 14,793 | -1,358 | Yes | +$0 | 03-08 20:35 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 167 | $24.6K | 34,908 | 35,049 | -142 | No | -$2,945 | 05-30 19:01 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | 76 | $24.1K | 37,500 | 23,614 | +13,886 | Yes | -$5,691 | 09-09 21:15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 27 | $22.0K | 17,000 | 12,000 | +5,000 | open | — | 10-22 05:54 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09? | 30 | $17.6K | 110,000 | 105,000 | +5,000 | No | -$2,370 | 09-09 18:49 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | 15 | $16.9K | 8,448 | 8,448 | +0 | No | +$16 | 05-18 20:47 |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina? | 36 | $16.8K | 17,000 | 0 | +17,000 | No | +$187 | 07-15 18:49 |
| will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be greenyellow | 336 | $14.9K | 11,313 | 11,018 | +294 | Yes | +$926 | 02-09 03:48 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 59 | $14.7K | 18,100 | 16,600 | +1,500 | No | +$279 | 02-27 23:09 |
| will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be redpink | 340 | $14.4K | 6,861 | 8,803 | -1,941 | No | +$236 | 02-08 23:26 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | 1 | $14.2K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Chiefs | +$5,800 | 09-20 20:33 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? | 199 | $14.0K | 7,186 | 7,186 | +0 | No | +$196 | 06-13 23:57 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal? | 49 | $13.7K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | No | +$245 | 06-16 20:55 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | 15 | $13.2K | 13,426 | 0 | +13,426 | No | +$235 | 07-19 14:44 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 13 | $12.9K | 8,000 | 10,000 | -2,000 | No | +$130 | 07-12 03:42 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? | 294 | $12.5K | 6,344 | 6,344 | +0 | No | +$94 | 06-13 23:50 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Senegal? | 70 | $11.9K | 6,000 | 6,000 | +0 | No | +$73 | 06-16 20:48 |
| will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 103 | $11.9K | 6,111 | 7,156 | -1,045 | No | +$624 | 02-17 12:38 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 38 | $11.6K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | No | +$10 | 05-26 09:31 |
| will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be orange | 317 | $10.8K | 9,766 | 10,830 | -1,064 | No | +$309 | 02-09 04:34 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? | 114 | $10.5K | 5,311 | 5,311 | +0 | No | +$52 | 06-13 23:37 |
| will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be blue | 534 | $10.4K | 16,871 | 16,905 | -35 | No | +$485 | 02-09 03:33 |
| will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026 | 110 | $10.3K | 7,500 | 5,500 | +2,000 | No | +$202 | 01-25 15:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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