Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$13,662
$32 in 24h
Trades
203
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$28,780
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 00:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+39.3¢
(top1%: 58% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $9.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $121 | $5.6K | $5.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $1.3K | $253 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $151 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $93 | $305 | $212 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1.2K | $860 | +$323 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $29 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $19 | $84 | $65 |
| Median | 6 | — | $200 | $200 |
| Below median | 8 | $20 | $37 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $164 | $119 | +$45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $55 | $74 | $19 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $57 | $146 | $89 |
| unranked | 32 | $146 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,730 | $922 | $1,444 | 15 | 07-03 12:27 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $4,370 | $4,370 | 1 | 06-02 15:10 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,000 | $868 | $868 | 2 | 06-05 17:23 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +297 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-05 06:31 |
| Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | +266 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b00…c9fd | Yes | +168 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-02 16:48 |
| Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | +124 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 05-30 12:24 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +120 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-10 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +99 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-06 04:16 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +70 | $19 | $45 | 3 | 06-30 13:13 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:23 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +58 | $8 | $30 | 8 | 07-04 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | +56 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f2…bece | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +54 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-14 13:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $38 | $62 | 2 | 06-26 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-02 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x26db…6191 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-29 10:18 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $11 | 3 | 07-03 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 17:14 |
| Acrobatic-Spread 0x88c0…5a03 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 08:39 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +7 | $7 | $94 | 14 | 06-26 14:13 |
| Far-Triangle 0x90ca…08a3 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 18:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbc4…16eb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x55a1…179b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ef2…45bb | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 20:28 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-25 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ba3…5856 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x664d…a848 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-16 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe49e…4f52 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f3…9ae3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6baf…e719 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 21:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 00:58:38 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x2e79f7… |
| 07-04 00:58:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2e79f7… |
| 07-04 00:58:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xcd7252… |
| 07-04 00:58:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xcd7252… |
| 07-04 00:58:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcd7252… |
| 07-03 12:29:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xa65706… |
| 07-03 12:29:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xa65706… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 18¢ | $17 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 1,697 | 85¢ | $1,441 | 0x88e226… |
| 07-03 12:27:50 | Reflecting-Clamp 0x3c1e…9514 | Yes | SELL | 2,013 | 16¢ | $312 | 0x88e226… |
| 06-30 13:13:13 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 18¢ | $44 | 0xecf559… |
| 06-30 13:13:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xecf559… |
| 06-30 13:13:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xecf559… |
| 06-30 13:13:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xecf559… |
| 06-30 07:31:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf1f06c… |
| 06-30 07:31:02 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xf1f06c… |
| 06-30 07:31:02 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xf1f06c… |
| 06-30 07:31:02 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xf1f06c… |
| 06-30 06:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x0e8edc… |
| 06-30 06:35:26 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x0e8edc… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 52 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x19fa56… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 14¢ | $17 | 0x19fa56… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x19fa56… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 38 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x19fa56… |
| 06-28 18:13:10 | Far-Triangle 0x90ca…08a3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8aa393… |
| 06-28 18:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8aa393… |
| 06-27 14:49:07 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x98c701… |
| 06-27 14:49:07 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x98c701… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 14¢ | $10 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:13:46 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 313 | 13¢ | $42 | 0xfc9daf… |
| 06-26 14:03:57 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3a3d9d… |
| 06-26 14:03:57 | Unhappy-Bacon 0x49f9…32b0 | No | SELL | 51 | 92¢ | $47 | 0x3a3d9d… |
| 06-26 14:02:39 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 223 | 10¢ | $22 | 0x1d7a96… |
| 06-26 14:02:39 | Dense-Evaporation 0x4152…15aa | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x1d7a96… |
| 06-26 14:02:39 | Vengeful-Plough 0xc002…6f57 | No | SELL | 193 | 90¢ | $173 | 0x1d7a96… |
| 06-26 14:01:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x60155d… |
| 06-26 14:01:49 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 37 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x60155d… |
| 06-26 14:00:40 | Dependent-Title 0xf3b8…0890 | No | SELL | 120 | 88¢ | $105 | 0xbb19ff… |
| 06-26 14:00:40 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 131 | 12¢ | $16 | 0xbb19ff… |
| 06-26 14:00:40 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xbb19ff… |
| 06-26 13:59:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x4675ac… |
| 06-26 13:59:46 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 158 | 13¢ | $21 | 0x4675ac… |
| 06-26 13:59:46 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 13¢ | $17 | 0x4675ac… |
| 06-26 13:58:36 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 13¢ | $14 | 0xf6da03… |
| 06-26 13:58:36 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xf6da03… |
| 06-26 13:58:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf6da03… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | SELL | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | SELL | 1,250 | 20¢ | $253 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 20¢ | $12 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | BUY | 600 | 20¢ | $120 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 37 | 80¢ | $29 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 38 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 20¢ | $32 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 103 | 20¢ | $21 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 20¢ | $21 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-26 13:58:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0xd8fd5a… |
| 06-25 15:49:47 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xcb25f3… |
| 06-25 15:49:47 | Growling-Counterforce 0x288b…44c6 | No | SELL | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0xcb25f3… |
| 06-25 15:49:47 | Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xcb25f3… |
| 06-24 17:58:01 | Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xac017c… |
| 06-24 17:58:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $43 | 0xac017c… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 14¢ | $23 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-24 17:14:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 74 | 86¢ | $64 | 0xe26333… |
| 06-23 07:45:07 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 1,068 | 13¢ | $138 | 0x33316b… |
| 06-23 07:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | SELL | 1,068 | 13¢ | $138 | 0x33316b… |
| 06-23 07:36:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf9073b… |
| 06-23 07:36:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xf9073b… |
| 06-23 07:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf9073b… |
| 06-23 07:36:47 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xf9073b… |
| 06-23 07:36:47 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 13¢ | $23 | 0xf9073b… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Sorrowful-Analysis 0xd588…cec0 | Yes | SELL | 348 | 12¢ | $40 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 12¢ | $21 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 17:28:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xebf764… |
| 06-22 16:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9eecef… |
| 06-22 16:24:52 | Starry-Modernist 0x86e5…bf21 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x9eecef… |
| 06-21 23:39:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 27 | 88¢ | $24 | 0x4f78a4… |
| 06-21 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4f78a4… |
| 06-21 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x6a97…395b | Yes | SELL | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x4f78a4… |
| 06-21 20:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbd5752… |
| 06-21 20:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x6a97…395b | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xbd5752… |