Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$25,255
$32 in 24h
Trades
483
Unique wallets
127
Liquidity
$28,780
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-25 14:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+19.5¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $2.8K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $16.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $320 | $7.4K | $7.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $2.9K | $2.3K | +$654 |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $420 | $2.7K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $111 | $415 | $304 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1.2K | $1.6K | $440 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $1.7K | $5.0K | $3.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $47 | $717 | $670 |
| Median | 8 | — | $232 | $232 |
| Below median | 14 | $59 | $232 | $173 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $191 | $224 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $131 | $1.0K | $877 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $214 | $735 | $522 |
| unranked | 63 | $256 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,730 | $922 | $1,444 | 15 | 07-03 12:27 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +6,373 | $1,411 | $1,411 | 18 | 07-23 11:45 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $4,370 | $4,370 | 1 | 06-02 15:10 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,500 | $1,265 | $1,265 | 3 | 07-20 18:06 |
| Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | +891 | $196 | $196 | 2 | 07-06 05:32 |
| Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | +800 | $633 | $633 | 3 | 07-23 09:24 |
| Frozen-Dialogue 0x81d9…60f1 | No | +619 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-05 21:51 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +518 | $409 | $409 | 1 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | +472 | $362 | $362 | 2 | 07-14 10:21 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +297 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-05 06:31 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +294 | $224 | $224 | 7 | 07-20 08:16 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +251 | $200 | $423 | 12 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +251 | $61 | $236 | 16 | 07-23 11:44 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +210 | $160 | $160 | 2 | 07-21 10:51 |
| Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | +200 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 07-04 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b00…c9fd | Yes | +168 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-02 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +159 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 07-24 00:38 |
| United-Mover 0x309c…aee1 | No | +122 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-20 08:46 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +120 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +101 | $18 | $76 | 15 | 07-24 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4005…4cd5 | No | +100 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 07-10 13:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +100 | $76 | $100 | 3 | 07-06 01:38 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Dim-Waterwheel 0x350e…ed02 | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 3 | 07-10 02:32 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +80 | $18 | $48 | 7 | 07-23 10:29 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +80 | $66 | $142 | 4 | 07-06 01:38 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +75 | $14 | $82 | 10 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +73 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-25 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +73 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-21 18:56 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | +56 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f2…bece | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +54 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-14 13:50 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | +50 | $20 | $104 | 10 | 07-25 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x388a…4002 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-12 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-02 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | +40 | $9 | $25 | 4 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | +40 | $9 | $54 | 8 | 07-25 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x26db…6191 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-29 10:18 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +34 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-20 05:45 |
| Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | +30 | $23 | $243 | 14 | 07-25 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $18 | 3 | 07-25 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +24 | $17 | $561 | 26 | 07-25 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8762…07a1 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-15 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | +11 | $10 | $90 | 9 | 07-18 04:54 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $21 | 3 | 07-25 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-16 19:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 14:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x93894c… |
| 07-25 14:54:12 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x93894c… |
| 07-25 14:47:18 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x097074… |
| 07-25 14:47:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x097074… |
| 07-25 14:47:15 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xaf7c00… |
| 07-25 14:47:15 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xaf7c00… |
| 07-25 14:47:15 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaf7c00… |
| 07-25 14:42:55 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x5c21a5… |
| 07-25 14:42:55 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x5c21a5… |
| 07-25 14:40:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x5e9602… |
| 07-25 14:40:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x22ec4b… |
| 07-25 14:40:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 20¢ | $15 | 0x5e9602… |
| 07-25 14:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x22ec4b… |
| 07-25 14:40:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 20¢ | $18 | 0x5e9602… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 518 | 79¢ | $409 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 28 | 79¢ | $22 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 21¢ | $19 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x497304… |
| 07-25 14:40:57 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x497304… |
| 07-24 12:22:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x3abdac… |
| 07-24 12:22:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x3abdac… |
| 07-24 00:38:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 20¢ | $12 | 0xdc73f3… |
| 07-24 00:38:13 | (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | BUY | 60 | 80¢ | $48 | 0xdc73f3… |
| 07-23 15:10:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x803c81… |
| 07-23 15:10:42 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x803c81… |
| 07-23 11:45:12 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 21¢ | $21 | 0x3d78b7… |
| 07-23 11:45:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x3d78b7… |
| 07-23 11:45:04 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x8124de… |
| 07-23 11:45:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 118 | 79¢ | $93 | 0x8124de… |
| 07-23 11:44:52 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 21¢ | $18 | 0x490f77… |
| 07-23 11:44:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 21¢ | $16 | 0x490f77… |
| 07-23 11:44:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x490f77… |
| 07-23 11:44:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xbf917d… |
| 07-23 11:44:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 34 | 80¢ | $27 | 0xbf917d… |
| 07-23 11:44:43 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xbf917d… |
| 07-23 11:44:43 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 20¢ | $15 | 0xbf917d… |
| 07-23 11:44:31 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x334642… |
| 07-23 11:44:31 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x334642… |
| 07-23 10:30:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xad9814… |
| 07-23 10:30:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xad9814… |
| 07-23 10:30:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xb4879b… |
| 07-23 10:30:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 82¢ | $37 | 0xb4879b… |
| 07-23 10:30:09 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb4879b… |
| 07-23 10:29:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 79¢ | $36 | 0xae80a7… |
| 07-23 10:29:49 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 21¢ | $13 | 0xae80a7… |
| 07-23 10:29:49 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 21¢ | $22 | 0xae80a7… |
| 07-23 10:29:36 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xa09ddf… |
| 07-23 10:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xa09ddf… |
| 07-23 10:28:34 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x5fb836… |
| 07-23 10:28:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x5fb836… |
| 07-23 10:27:58 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x0b6db0… |
| 07-23 10:27:58 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x0b6db0… |
| 07-23 10:27:36 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 20¢ | $34 | 0xcb35e7… |
| 07-23 10:27:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 20¢ | $24 | 0xcb35e7… |
| 07-23 10:27:36 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0xcb35e7… |
| 07-23 09:41:09 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x0d062e… |
| 07-23 09:41:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x0d062e… |
| 07-23 09:24:49 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 43 | 80¢ | $34 | 0x6bf4cd… |
| 07-23 09:24:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x6bf4cd… |
| 07-23 09:24:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 20¢ | $18 | 0x08ef83… |
| 07-23 09:24:48 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xdb758b… |
| 07-23 09:24:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 20¢ | $18 | 0x08ef83… |
| 07-23 09:24:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xdb758b… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 27 | 79¢ | $22 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xf0202f… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 46 | 80¢ | $36 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 21¢ | $19 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 166 | 21¢ | $35 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 727 | 79¢ | $575 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xf0202f… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-23 09:24:45 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x7fa4c9… |
| 07-22 01:34:21 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xf88b6e… |
| 07-22 01:34:21 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 46 | 78¢ | $36 | 0xf88b6e… |
| 07-21 19:51:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x3734f1… |
| 07-21 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…8bbb | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x3734f1… |
| 07-21 18:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 73 | 76¢ | $56 | 0xe9f7c2… |
| 07-21 18:56:33 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | SELL | 73 | 76¢ | $56 | 0xe9f7c2… |
| 07-21 10:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x0ba5…4abd | No | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xa662c4… |
| 07-21 10:51:19 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xa662c4… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 85 | 20¢ | $17 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 132 | 80¢ | $105 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 436 | 20¢ | $89 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | BUY | 73 | 80¢ | $58 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 08:30:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xebe720… |
| 07-21 05:09:00 | Juvenile-Cube 0x2be7…cad9 | No | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x1a7acb… |