Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$9,377
$32 in 24h
Trades
76
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$28,780
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 17:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+36.9¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $7.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $26 | $5.4K | $5.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $870 | $210 | +$660 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $20 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $93 | $220 | $127 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $849 | $860 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $4.5K | $4.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $12 | $58 | $47 |
| Median | 4 | — | $124 | $124 |
| Below median | 6 | $15 | $37 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $146 | $133 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $42 | $42 |
| unranked | 17 | $119 | $1.1K | $992 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +6,570 | $849 | $849 | 2 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $4,370 | $4,370 | 1 | 06-02 15:10 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,000 | $868 | $868 | 2 | 06-05 17:23 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +297 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-05 06:31 |
| Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | +266 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b00…c9fd | Yes | +168 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-02 16:48 |
| Vengeful-Plough 0xc002…6f57 | No | +147 | $119 | $119 | 3 | 06-02 16:48 |
| Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | +124 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 05-30 12:24 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-10 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +99 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-06 04:16 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +94 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 11:28 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +65 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | +56 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f2…bece | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-02 11:28 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +49 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-10 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x26db…6191 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-29 10:18 |
| Dense-Evaporation 0x4152…15aa | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +13 | $1 | $23 | 7 | 06-12 11:18 |
| Acrobatic-Spread 0x88c0…5a03 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 08:39 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +6 | $5 | $25 | 4 | 06-12 17:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6baf…e719 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 21:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 17:41:40 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x22e340… |
| 06-12 17:41:40 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x22e340… |
| 06-12 11:18:07 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xd42812… |
| 06-12 11:18:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd42812… |
| 06-12 11:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $9 | 0xddb737… |
| 06-12 11:14:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 60 | 86¢ | $51 | 0xddb737… |
| 06-11 21:03:39 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x7d9260… |
| 06-11 21:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x6baf…e719 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x7d9260… |
| 06-11 07:19:30 | (anonymous) 0xfee2…eee2 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xcdb257… |
| 06-11 07:19:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xcdb257… |
| 06-11 07:19:30 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xcdb257… |
| 06-10 14:05:43 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x657e8e… |
| 06-10 14:05:43 | Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x657e8e… |
| 06-10 05:51:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x2c60dc… |
| 06-10 05:51:21 | Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x2c60dc… |
| 06-10 01:22:42 | (anonymous) 0xf5a4…f737 | No | SELL | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x18b168… |
| 06-10 01:22:42 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | BUY | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x18b168… |
| 06-06 14:23:46 | Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 14¢ | $10 | 0xc4fc13… |
| 06-06 14:23:46 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $21 | 0xc4fc13… |
| 06-06 14:23:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xc4fc13… |
| 06-06 04:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | BUY | 99 | 87¢ | $86 | 0xd6cecf… |
| 06-06 04:16:33 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 99 | 87¢ | $86 | 0xd6cecf… |
| 06-05 17:23:03 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 401 | 87¢ | $349 | 0x7983f8… |
| 06-05 17:23:03 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 401 | 87¢ | $349 | 0x7983f8… |
| 06-05 16:29:55 | (anonymous) 0xf220…e924 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xcbb521… |
| 06-05 16:29:55 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xcbb521… |
| 06-05 06:31:16 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 599 | 87¢ | $519 | 0xd242f9… |
| 06-05 06:31:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x372740… |
| 06-05 06:31:16 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 189 | 13¢ | $25 | 0xd242f9… |
| 06-05 06:31:16 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x372740… |
| 06-04 13:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xf220…e924 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xbed1b8… |
| 06-04 13:35:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xbed1b8… |
| 06-04 01:38:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe8a188… |
| 06-04 01:38:09 | Meek-Cricketer 0xb8cb…4db4 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe8a188… |
| 06-03 13:21:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0xfcda4a… |
| 06-03 13:21:54 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 107 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xfcda4a… |
| 06-03 13:21:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xfcda4a… |
| 06-03 13:21:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xfcda4a… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 769 | 87¢ | $669 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-03 08:38:08 | Plush-Scorpion 0x73bd…3a97 | Yes | SELL | 950 | 13¢ | $124 | 0x75f2ca… |
| 06-02 16:48:19 | (anonymous) 0x8b00…c9fd | Yes | BUY | 168 | 25¢ | $41 | 0x2fe47a… |
| 06-02 16:48:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 65 | 76¢ | $50 | 0x2fe47a… |
| 06-02 16:48:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x2fe47a… |
| 06-02 16:48:19 | Vengeful-Plough 0xc002…6f57 | No | BUY | 96 | 75¢ | $72 | 0x2fe47a… |
| 06-02 15:10:38 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 86¢ | $860 | 0x70fa0f… |
| 06-02 15:10:38 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 6,500 | 13¢ | $840 | 0x70fa0f… |
| 06-02 15:10:38 | Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 87¢ | $4,370 | 0x70fa0f… |
| 06-02 11:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x177a83… |
| 06-02 11:28:02 | Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x177a83… |
| 06-02 11:28:02 | Unhappy-Bacon 0x49f9…32b0 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x177a83… |
| 06-02 11:28:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x177a83… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | BUY | 266 | 8¢ | $21 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3f2…bece | No | BUY | 55 | 92¢ | $51 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | Vengeful-Plough 0xc002…6f57 | No | BUY | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | BUY | 55 | 92¢ | $51 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | BUY | 56 | 92¢ | $52 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | Dense-Evaporation 0x4152…15aa | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 06-01 13:47:14 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x0b4dbe… |
| 05-30 12:24:50 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 63 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x00e910… |
| 05-30 12:24:50 | Plush-Scorpion 0x73bd…3a97 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x00e910… |
| 05-30 12:24:50 | Unhappy-Bacon 0x49f9…32b0 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x00e910… |
| 05-29 10:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x26db…6191 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0xd8de1d… |
| 05-29 10:18:28 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xd8de1d… |
| 05-29 00:14:54 | Punctual-Disease 0x657c…74a0 | No | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xf819ad… |
| 05-29 00:14:54 | Vengeful-Plough 0xc002…6f57 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xf819ad… |
| 05-29 00:06:21 | (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0xc29ee0… |
| 05-29 00:06:21 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc29ee0… |
| 05-28 08:39:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xe6e469… |
| 05-28 08:39:56 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe6e469… |
| 05-28 08:39:56 | Acrobatic-Spread 0x88c0…5a03 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xe6e469… |