Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$31,768
$32 in 24h
Trades
706
Unique wallets
156
Liquidity
$28,780
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-13 09:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.0¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $2.8K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $20.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $562 | $8.1K | $7.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $3.3K | $4.4K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 50 | $466 | $2.8K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 57 | $205 | $605 | $400 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1.2K | $1.6K | $440 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $2.0K | $6.0K | $4.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $68 | $919 | $851 |
| Median | 13 | $3 | $312 | $309 |
| Below median | 15 | $76 | $354 | $278 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $191 | $248 | $58 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $190 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $383 | $1.2K | $801 |
| unranked | 82 | $423 | $4.0K | $3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +8,041 | $1,720 | $1,720 | 27 | 08-12 15:47 |
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,730 | $922 | $1,444 | 15 | 07-03 12:27 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $4,370 | $4,370 | 1 | 06-02 15:10 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,500 | $1,265 | $1,265 | 3 | 07-20 18:06 |
| Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | +1,100 | $869 | $869 | 4 | 08-10 16:55 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +620 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 07-27 02:09 |
| Frozen-Dialogue 0x81d9…60f1 | No | +619 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-05 21:51 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +518 | $409 | $409 | 1 | 07-25 14:40 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +500 | $386 | $1,032 | 3 | 08-05 01:37 |
| Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | +487 | $371 | $582 | 12 | 08-12 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +484 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | +472 | $362 | $362 | 2 | 07-14 10:21 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +399 | $305 | $305 | 8 | 07-30 10:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +313 | $76 | $282 | 20 | 08-11 02:13 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +297 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-05 06:31 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +294 | $223 | $274 | 9 | 08-12 15:47 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +258 | $202 | $202 | 4 | 08-08 06:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +240 | $184 | $208 | 11 | 08-06 11:28 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +209 | $167 | $489 | 15 | 08-10 16:55 |
| Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | +200 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 07-04 23:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +186 | $33 | $33 | 7 | 08-03 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b00…c9fd | Yes | +168 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-02 16:48 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +163 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-03 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +159 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 07-24 00:38 |
| United-Mover 0x309c…aee1 | No | +122 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-20 08:46 |
| Euphoric-Stereo 0x6e00…d035 | No | +108 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-31 02:38 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-10 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4005…4cd5 | No | +100 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 07-10 13:14 |
| Dim-Waterwheel 0x350e…ed02 | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 3 | 07-10 02:32 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +83 | $19 | $67 | 11 | 08-12 15:47 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +83 | $68 | $144 | 5 | 08-02 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +73 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-21 18:56 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:23 |
| Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | +59 | $46 | $368 | 19 | 08-03 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | +56 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f2…bece | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +54 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-14 13:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +54 | $35 | $947 | 42 | 08-13 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x388a…4002 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-12 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-02 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0e8…2371 | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 07-27 15:02 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $55 | 10 | 08-03 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-31 02:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +31 | $-2 | $139 | 27 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +14 | $-0 | $123 | 15 | 08-05 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | +11 | $3 | $42 | 8 | 08-10 08:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 09:49:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x25c569… |
| 08-13 09:49:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x25c569… |
| 08-13 09:49:49 | Clean-Therapy 0xb442…d6ee | No | BUY | 31 | 80¢ | $25 | 0x25c569… |
| 08-12 16:42:24 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | No | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xdddd1a… |
| 08-12 16:42:24 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xdddd1a… |
| 08-12 15:57:06 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xa21552… |
| 08-12 15:57:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 80 | 78¢ | $63 | 0xa21552… |
| 08-12 15:57:06 | Limp-Fingerling 0x0184…4c30 | No | BUY | 12 | 78¢ | $9 | 0xa21552… |
| 08-12 15:57:06 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 35 | 78¢ | $27 | 0xa21552… |
| 08-12 15:57:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xa21552… |
| 08-12 15:47:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x3f01ca… |
| 08-12 15:47:45 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 20¢ | $26 | 0x3f01ca… |
| 08-12 15:47:45 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x3f01ca… |
| 08-12 15:47:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0xe841d2… |
| 08-12 15:47:31 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0xe841d2… |
| 08-12 15:47:31 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 20¢ | $35 | 0xe841d2… |
| 08-12 15:47:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xe841d2… |
| 08-12 15:47:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xe841d2… |
| 08-11 02:13:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 19¢ | $11 | 0xb30e8b… |
| 08-11 02:13:13 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 19¢ | $11 | 0xb30e8b… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 300 | 79¢ | $236 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 16:55:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x78e573… |
| 08-10 08:44:46 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x79a483… |
| 08-10 08:44:46 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x79a483… |
| 08-10 08:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x79a483… |
| 08-10 08:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x79a483… |
| 08-09 12:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x2b62…23d8 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x6d182f… |
| 08-09 12:01:21 | Nippy-Kneejerk 0x59db…f35f | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x6d182f… |
| 08-08 06:51:54 | (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | SELL | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x0fddd6… |
| 08-08 06:51:54 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x0fddd6… |
| 08-07 08:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x5948…6b4c | No | SELL | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x3588a6… |
| 08-07 08:06:31 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x3588a6… |
| 08-07 07:42:01 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xa8e37a… |
| 08-07 07:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xf8bc…2c08 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xa8e37a… |
| 08-06 11:28:51 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x82673a… |
| 08-06 11:28:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x82673a… |
| 08-06 11:18:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xd4ddda… |
| 08-06 11:18:51 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xd4ddda… |
| 08-06 10:18:54 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xf7868e… |
| 08-06 10:18:54 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xf7868e… |
| 08-06 00:06:24 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 112 | 77¢ | $87 | 0x81f719… |
| 08-06 00:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x4326…8750 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x81f719… |
| 08-06 00:06:24 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 107 | 77¢ | $83 | 0x81f719… |
| 08-05 23:56:09 | (anonymous) 0xce72…c9ba | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x5f8c5f… |
| 08-05 23:56:09 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x5f8c5f… |
| 08-05 14:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xffe6…2d7b | No | BUY | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0xe182f4… |
| 08-05 14:58:39 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xe182f4… |
| 08-05 14:58:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xe182f4… |
| 08-05 01:37:09 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 500 | 81¢ | $405 | 0x1c9970… |
| 08-05 01:37:09 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 530 | 19¢ | $100 | 0x1c9970… |
| 08-05 01:37:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x1c9970… |
| 08-04 00:16:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x0dc068… |
| 08-04 00:16:36 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x0dc068… |
| 08-03 23:58:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdd9a76… |
| 08-03 23:58:59 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xdd9a76… |
| 08-03 23:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xecb5f3… |
| 08-03 23:58:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xecb5f3… |
| 08-03 23:58:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x2ff1ff… |
| 08-03 23:58:48 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x2ff1ff… |
| 08-03 23:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x06a06e… |
| 08-03 23:58:47 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 101 | 85¢ | $86 | 0x06a06e… |
| 08-03 23:58:47 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 51 | 85¢ | $43 | 0x06a06e… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | SELL | 1,291 | 16¢ | $201 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 163 | 15¢ | $25 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | SELL | 380 | 85¢ | $323 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 70 | 81¢ | $57 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-03 23:27:53 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 462 | 85¢ | $391 | 0xefa8a1… |
| 08-02 21:46:03 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x79216e… |
| 08-02 21:46:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x79216e… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 200 | 79¢ | $157 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 484 | 21¢ | $100 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 21¢ | $15 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 21:10:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xbc6e34… |
| 08-02 15:26:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd4bba6… |
| 08-02 15:26:56 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xd4bba6… |
| 08-02 15:26:56 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 19¢ | $9 | 0xd4bba6… |
| 08-02 10:07:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xf11e57… |
| 08-02 10:07:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xf11e57… |
| 08-02 08:09:29 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x3f7387… |
| 08-02 08:09:29 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x3f7387… |
| 08-02 07:37:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x75de0a… |
| 08-02 07:37:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x75de0a… |
| 08-02 07:37:27 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x75de0a… |
| 08-02 04:43:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x4356cf… |
| 08-02 04:43:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x4356cf… |