Realized P&L
+$54.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.01K
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
745
Trades
5,989
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$69.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Crypto
53%
72%
+$48,096
Other
40%
70%
+$9,765
Sports
5%
77%
-$789
Tech
1%
50%
-$1,053
Politics
1%
33%
-$1,293
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk
• peak 152 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -11,562 | -$10,817 | 98¢ | $-11291 | -$474 | 10-15 13:20 | |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | +10,581 | $7,085 | 63¢ | $6.7K | -$419 | 10-29 00:28 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | No | +7,950 | $4,950 | 74¢ | $5.8K | +$893 | 10-29 17:37 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -7,670 | -$3,040 | 72¢ | $-5561 | -$2,521 | 10-24 04:39 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -5,346 | -$4,576 | 89¢ | $-4758 | -$182 | 10-29 12:15 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +6,000 | $4,320 | 77¢ | $4.6K | +$288 | 10-28 16:25 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +5,500 | $4,180 | 83¢ | $4.6K | +$385 | 10-15 19:33 | |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | -3,880 | -$3,422 | 94¢ | $-3657 | -$235 | 10-28 16:26 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +3,000 | $2,427 | 94¢ | $2.8K | +$378 | 10-22 09:50 | |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | +3,000 | $2,678 | 94¢ | $2.8K | +$127 | 10-22 00:06 | |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | -2,139 | -$1,605 | 89¢ | $-1903 | -$299 | 10-12 11:57 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | +1,980 | $1,807 | 92¢ | $1.8K | +$24 | 10-28 16:38 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +2,250 | $1,660 | 78¢ | $1.8K | +$106 | 10-09 15:02 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | No | +6,262 | $2,308 | 26¢ | $1.6K | -$679 | 10-29 14:29 | |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -1,639 | -$1,354 | 92¢ | $-1514 | -$160 | 09-10 10:51 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | No | +6,400 | $1,974 | 15¢ | $960 | -$1,014 | 10-29 00:27 | |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | +1,170 | $722 | 82¢ | $959 | +$237 | 09-01 03:44 | |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | +937 | $756 | 96¢ | $901 | +$145 | 10-27 21:39 | |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,100 | $763 | 75¢ | $821 | +$57 | 10-07 09:59 | |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +1,030 | $724 | 77¢ | $793 | +$69 | 10-20 23:02 | |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | No | +1,390 | $1,052 | 52¢ | $730 | -$322 | 10-15 03:41 | |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -692 | -$656 | 99¢ | $-686 | -$30 | 08-12 03:13 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | -2,365 | $660 | 22¢ | $-532 | -$1,192 | 08-29 15:26 | |
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | -437 | -$418 | 98¢ | $-431 | -$13 | 08-12 03:13 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | No | +16,000 | $2,866 | 2¢ | $400 | -$2,466 | 10-29 01:30 | |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | +373 | $227 | 93¢ | $348 | +$121 | 09-19 04:21 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +645 | $265 | 49¢ | $315 | +$51 | 10-28 13:42 | |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | +211 | $131 | 95¢ | $199 | +$68 | 09-15 18:52 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | +219 | $170 | 90¢ | $198 | +$28 | 09-01 18:35 | |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +176 | $150 | 94¢ | $165 | +$15 | 07-23 09:38 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 94 | $35.0K | 26,020 | 28,190 | -2,170 | No | +$12,595 | 03-24 13:55 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 18 | $29.2K | 15,060 | 23,737 | -8,678 | Yes | +$12,947 | 04-10 02:41 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 44 | $23.6K | 15,279 | 22,949 | -7,670 | open | — | 10-24 04:39 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 25 | $23.0K | 23,500 | 23,500 | +0 | No | -$1,064 | 09-09 19:22 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 110 | $22.5K | 43,795 | 40,638 | +3,156 | Yes | +$4,310 | 03-24 19:59 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 47 | $19.3K | 13,315 | 12,263 | +1,052 | No | +$731 | 04-30 13:44 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | 67 | $18.8K | 19,000 | 19,000 | +0 | Yes | -$188 | 09-07 22:02 |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | 69 | $17.9K | 18,550 | 7,969 | +10,581 | open | — | 10-29 00:28 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 42 | $17.4K | 15,300 | 11,941 | +3,359 | No | +$6,655 | 03-24 03:56 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 22 | $15.1K | 7,963 | 8,463 | -500 | No | -$21 | 04-27 05:20 |
| Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? | 23 | $15.0K | 8,496 | 8,425 | +71 | No | +$1,807 | 04-30 13:56 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 36 | $15.0K | 10,500 | 11,391 | -892 | No | +$5,067 | 02-03 09:37 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 57 | $14.4K | 9,302 | 9,051 | +250 | No | +$153 | 03-10 00:40 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 50 | $14.0K | 17,545 | 17,545 | +0 | Yes | +$1,770 | 02-27 20:41 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | 22 | $13.6K | 8,070 | 8,070 | +0 | open | — | 10-28 23:30 |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 46 | $13.4K | 24,557 | 24,391 | +166 | Yes | -$2,765 | 02-28 12:25 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | 26 | $12.7K | 8,280 | 8,280 | +0 | open | — | 10-28 16:36 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 45 | $12.2K | 8,998 | 8,882 | +117 | Yes | -$1,147 | 03-24 04:29 |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 26 | $11.8K | 11,484 | 12,188 | -704 | Yes | -$3,610 | 03-30 12:04 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 13 | $11.4K | 6,400 | 6,400 | +0 | No | +$663 | 09-10 16:16 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 26 | $11.1K | 11,000 | 11,000 | +0 | Yes | -$2,229 | 04-20 20:29 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 28 | $10.8K | 0 | 11,562 | -11,562 | open | — | 10-15 13:20 |
| over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192 | 42 | $10.5K | 8,566 | 8,566 | +0 | No | +$928 | 01-10 15:58 |
| Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | 18 | $9.9K | 6,086 | 6,000 | +86 | No | +$2,071 | 04-30 13:51 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 27 | $9.8K | 9,788 | 426 | +9,362 | No | +$421 | 03-21 00:54 |
| will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million | 5 | $9.7K | 10,164 | 0 | +10,164 | Yes | +$418 | 02-12 14:45 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 25 | $9.7K | 5,500 | 5,500 | +0 | No | -$93 | 09-09 09:39 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | 26 | $9.6K | 9,904 | 6,004 | +3,900 | Yes | -$865 | 04-23 16:22 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 28 | $9.6K | 6,750 | 6,750 | +0 | open | — | 10-20 05:41 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 37 | $9.5K | 9,000 | 9,000 | +0 | open | — | 10-08 09:02 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||