Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$567
Trades
21
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,204
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-26 04:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $512 | $512 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $22 | — | +$22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $418 | $416 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $12 | $94 | $82 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $21 | — | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +449 | $418 | $418 | 3 | 07-22 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | +300 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-21 03:16 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 20:48 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-09 13:17 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-22 20:48 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 04:54:43 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-26 04:54:43 | Neighboring-Xylophone 0x0da8…54af | Yes | SELL | 121 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-26 04:54:43 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-26 04:54:43 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-26 04:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-26 04:54:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x14d704… |
| 07-22 20:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcfe45e… |
| 07-22 20:48:30 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 118 | 95¢ | $112 | 0xcfe45e… |
| 07-22 20:48:30 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xcfe45e… |
| 07-21 03:16:54 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3ea023… |
| 07-21 03:16:54 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 115 | 90¢ | $103 | 0x3ea023… |
| 07-21 03:16:54 | Neighboring-Xylophone 0x0da8…54af | Yes | BUY | 121 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x3ea023… |
| 07-21 03:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcaca4e… |
| 07-21 03:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xcaca4e… |
| 07-21 03:16:30 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 216 | 94¢ | $203 | 0xcaca4e… |
| 07-09 13:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0b6e36… |
| 07-09 13:17:01 | Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x0b6e36… |
| 05-31 12:03:21 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdf4e36… |
| 05-31 12:03:21 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdf4e36… |
| 05-31 12:03:21 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xdf4e36… |
| 05-31 12:03:21 | Quiet-Prostacyclin 0x7334…8be8 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xdf4e36… |