Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

215

Trades

4,350

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

17 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 11-03 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Sports

41% 23% +$19

Other

33% 27% -$17

Politics

16% 8% -$16

Crypto

9% 50% +$12

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	+5	$3	97¢	$5	+$2	06-10 17:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+0	$1	90¢	$0	-$1	08-05 18:50
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+1	$1	11¢	$0	-$1	08-19 18:04
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	50¢	$0	-$1	09-19 20:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+2	$0	5¢	$0	$0	11-03 20:48
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	32¢	$0	$0	07-30 15:39
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$1	1¢	$0	$0	06-23 17:45
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	2¢	$0	$0	06-26 23:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	09-04 23:07
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	07-23 21:38
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	5¢	$0	$0	07-20 14:04
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	+0	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	09-02 05:15
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	06-20 12:13
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-10 15:27
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-23 11:50
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+1	-$5	0¢	$0	+$5	09-21 16:22
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	+0	$0	0¢	$0	$0	09-09 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,429	$893	42,682	42,682	+0	No	+$17	07-06 20:08
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	44	$138	132	130	+2	No	+$1	07-13 22:57
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	26	$118	113	111	+2	Yes	+$1	06-12 15:40
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	55	$113	307	307	+0	open	—	09-02 05:15
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	64	$110	381	380	+0	No	-$1	06-22 04:42
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	34	$67	159	159	+0	open	—	07-20 14:04
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	229	$66	3,860	3,859	+1	open	—	09-21 16:22
will bruno fernandes score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	28	$62	112	108	+4	No	+$7	06-29 01:23
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	156	$59	1,164	1,160	+4	No	$0	06-17 15:55
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	35	$57	546	546	+0	Yes	+$2	06-14 21:06
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	75	$57	2,851	2,851	+0	Yes	+$6	06-23 15:29
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	13	$45	39	38	+1	Yes	-$2	06-11 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$42	74	74	+0	open	—	08-05 18:50
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	15	$42	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 15:46
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	11	$40	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-20 16:15
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	26	$39	57	57	+0	open	—	07-30 15:39
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$38	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	08-05 17:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	82	$37	579	579	+0	No	$0	06-16 16:28
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$28	33	28	+5	open	—	09-28 15:12
will lisandro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	13	$26	77	76	+0	Yes	+$2	06-30 12:36
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	12	$25	80	80	+0	No	$0	06-21 04:55
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	9	$22	30	28	+3	No	-$2	06-30 03:04
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	12	$22	48	47	+2	open	—	06-26 23:38
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	71	$21	2,726	2,725	+1	No	+$3	06-15 05:18
Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?	14	$21	100	98	+3	No	+$12	06-20 11:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	10	$20	66	66	+0	No	$0	06-14 22:23
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	14	$20	40	39	+1	open	—	08-19 18:04
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	23	$18	120	120	+0	open	—	07-23 21:38
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	76	$18	709	541	+168	No	+$0	06-30 13:16
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	7	$18	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:48:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa14bad…
11-03 20:08:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x449e9d…
11-03 12:25:43	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x1124e7…
11-03 09:59:16	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x32261b…
11-03 01:39:37	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6a1a85…
11-02 23:14:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x3e2be0…
11-02 21:37:25	Will David Collenberg win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x055a28…
11-02 18:48:25	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf75262…
11-02 15:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9f6ea8…
11-01 23:16:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x11a187…
11-01 21:57:36	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x59db35…
11-01 21:52:30	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x417867…
11-01 21:18:13	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xb22227…
11-01 21:18:13	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0d8c4d…
11-01 21:15:52	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xaeb33f…
11-01 21:15:49	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2024e0…
11-01 19:58:42	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x681416…
11-01 19:12:09	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x9c9757…
11-01 18:33:43	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd78cc1…
11-01 16:24:00	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xe35794…
11-01 14:57:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4e5e2f…
11-01 12:12:39	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x0312b5…
11-01 12:07:31	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x96963f…
11-01 04:08:28	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x7cb989…
11-01 02:58:28	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x8a5f10…
11-01 02:58:27	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x66d265…
11-01 02:29:34	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x005a84…
10-31 19:14:43	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xb46e92…
10-31 16:56:30	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x55eeb6…
10-29 08:00:04	Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xa3ccc9…
10-27 03:01:57	Will David Collenberg win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4a898f…
10-18 22:03:27	Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xe19f6e…
10-18 18:45:45	Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x622c3d…
10-17 17:18:18	Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xec9a29…
10-15 15:21:02	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x0f88e0…
10-05 17:44:20	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x596841…
10-05 12:37:19	Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa9c93c…
10-05 01:10:13	Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xdee75f…
09-28 15:12:02	Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0xa8765f…
09-23 07:12:50	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x672be3…
09-21 16:22:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0x7a77d2…
09-21 09:03:03	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0xec567d…
09-20 14:24:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe5d65e…
09-20 13:11:22	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x87abe4…
09-19 20:31:54	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xb00e49…
09-19 20:31:11	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x709923…
09-19 15:07:23	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x876808…
09-18 09:54:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1f9903…
09-17 17:57:33	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf456da…
09-15 20:58:09	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xf3e8d6…
09-15 15:33:40	Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xa5c9c6…
09-13 14:00:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x423cab…
09-13 12:02:16	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfbcabe…
09-13 07:02:24	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb2f5ac…
09-11 13:15:10	Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe52d3e…
09-11 06:45:12	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	1¢	$2	0x8c71c5…
09-11 03:04:27	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x53597d…
09-11 02:55:12	Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xe6191e…
09-10 17:11:33	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xcf55e5…
09-09 03:11:00	Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x706339…
09-08 17:20:22	Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x5609b5…
09-08 13:40:37	Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xee0508…
09-07 23:04:06	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x74adec…
09-07 08:29:30	Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x93b124…
09-07 08:22:03	Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7cefa1…
09-07 03:41:33	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$0	0xe2cf22…
09-06 11:20:43	Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x76df42…
09-05 18:16:42	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf8cea9…
09-05 07:24:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x5fe10d…
09-05 06:14:15	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5caf19…
09-04 23:07:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xc5d039…
09-04 21:01:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x73ee9f…
09-04 20:02:33	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xb1e319…
09-04 11:59:55	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcf136d…
09-04 11:39:46	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3750ed…
09-04 11:39:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xce2854…
09-04 11:39:13	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x93aac1…
09-04 11:38:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x6cc30b…
09-04 11:38:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7f7ff6…
09-04 11:38:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x843855…
09-04 11:37:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xcb6c33…
09-04 11:37:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8fc89d…
09-04 11:37:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x7eef43…
09-04 04:04:51	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xd85544…
09-04 01:33:49	Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xde7222…
09-03 14:54:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x073433…
09-02 16:51:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd2f23a…
09-02 08:10:03	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x48f307…
09-02 06:26:54	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xd10e3a…
09-02 06:26:54	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb088b5…
09-02 05:15:24	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3f9c85…
09-02 04:57:28	Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf9cfe0…
09-01 16:42:34	Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8bfafd…
08-31 04:09:21	Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?	No	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x18cc83…
08-31 01:50:52	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xa0b4cd…
08-30 20:43:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$0	0x4c23e4…
08-30 14:31:52	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a31f2…
08-30 10:47:43	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x36b68a…
08-30 08:58:22	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xb48d28…
08-30 02:24:46	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x5c660c…