Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$284
Trades
68
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1,994
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-12 08:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +34.9¢ (top1%: 100% YES on $28 vs crowd: 65% YES on $144)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 3 $28 — +$28
🐬 Dolphin 8 $36 $19 +$17
🐟 Fish 6 $6 $13 $7
🦐 Shrimp 10 $24 $18 +$6
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 2 $28 — +$28
🏆 Top 5% 2 $3 — +$3
✅ Top 10% 2 — — +—
Median 4 $21 $13 +$8
Below median 5 $23 — +$23
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — — +—
🔻 Bottom 5% 4 $15 $19 $4
💀 Bottom 1% 3 $2 — +$2
unranked 4 $2 $18 $16
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe Yes +180 $13 $13 5 07-12 08:52
Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 Yes +40 $3 $3 3 07-11 12:26
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf No +20 $18 $18 1 06-12 16:00
(anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 No +20 $18 $18 4 07-11 12:14
Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 Yes +19 $2 $3 3 07-11 12:26
Fantastic-Country 0x80a1…fd66 Yes +18 $2 $2 1 05-28 02:11
(anonymous) 0xd577…d2da No +14 $13 $13 1 06-10 08:49
(anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a Yes +10 $1 $1 2 07-12 01:06
Infatuated-Spider 0x8b02…b95f No +1 $1 $1 1 06-25 04:04