Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf0850…82cf97 Create alert
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$189
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
5,574
Trades
83,673
lifetime
Volume
$280.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-26 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
57% 41% +$1,078
Politics
26% 49% +$2,525
Crypto
9% 50% +$378
Tech
6% 45% +$297
Sports
1% 43% +$263
Pop-Culture
1% 28% -$88
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -85 -$62 93¢ $-79 -$17 05-15 12:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -68 -$41 92¢ $-62 -$21 05-11 02:34
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -62 -$59 99¢ $-61 -$2 05-15 11:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -79 -$59 71¢ $-56 +$3 05-11 09:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -73 -$47 68¢ $-50 -$3 05-11 14:18
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -56 -$36 80¢ $-45 -$8 05-12 18:28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -45 -$43 99¢ $-45 -$1 05-11 07:58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -49 -$38 88¢ $-44 -$6 05-14 10:21
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No -44 -$31 98¢ $-43 -$12 05-19 13:35
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -44 -$39 97¢ $-42 -$3 05-15 14:45
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No -53 -$22 78¢ $-42 -$19 05-13 20:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -40 -$25 99¢ $-40 -$14 05-12 13:41
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$32 97¢ $-39 -$6 05-11 20:12
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No -40 -$38 94¢ $-37 +$0 05-11 09:22
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -61 -$26 60¢ $-37 -$11 05-14 09:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -43 -$36 86¢ $-37 -$1 05-12 16:54
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -40 -$29 90¢ $-36 -$7 05-13 06:06
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No -36 -$34 98¢ $-35 -$2 05-14 21:43
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$32 99¢ $-35 -$2 05-11 11:51
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -34 -$32 97¢ $-33 -$1 05-12 00:39
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$26 92¢ $-32 -$7 05-11 09:53
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -32 -$28 98¢ $-31 -$4 05-11 14:34
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -32 -$16 96¢ $-31 -$14 05-11 20:00
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -46 -$23 66¢ $-30 -$7 05-22 09:07
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -30 -$26 98¢ $-30 -$3 05-12 05:25
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -30 -$29 99¢ $-30 $0 05-15 19:55
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$24 95¢ $-28 -$5 05-12 17:00
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -35 -$30 81¢ $-28 +$1 05-17 19:05
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -29 -$20 96¢ $-28 -$8 05-11 16:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 90¢ $-27 -$8 05-11 19:35