Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
51
Trades
82,556
lifetime
Volume
$273.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$157
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-22 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
57% 43% $-2
Politics
26% 64% +$37
Crypto
9% 62% +$23
Tech
6%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No -62 $-57 94¢ $-58 $-1 06-01 14:46
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? No -18 $-17 84¢ $-15 +$2 06-05 01:55
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-16 53¢ $-13 +$3 05-27 22:38
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-1 06-07 16:28
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -13 $-9 72¢ $-9 $-1 06-05 21:10
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -60 $-9 14¢ $-8 +$1 06-06 03:12
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-5 77¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 13:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 12¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 13:03
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-5 46¢ $-5 +$0 06-06 02:03
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 37¢ $-4 $-2 06-22 12:39
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes -27 $-3 13¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 21:39
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $-3 12¢ $-3 $-0 06-11 13:02
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes -15 $-4 16¢ $-2 +$2 06-01 03:55
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No -10 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-1 06-09 14:41
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 24¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 01:26
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -4 $-2 49¢ $-2 $-0 06-16 04:17
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes -45 $-1 $-2 $-0 05-31 05:00
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -25 $-2 $-1 +$0 05-31 23:27
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026? Yes -50 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-02 05:38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-22 17:54
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 16:00
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 16:22
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-08 03:41
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -6 $-0 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 23:03
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-02 17:35
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes -32 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-05 18:39
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-29 22:26
Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein? Yes -30 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-02 20:43
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 42¢ $-0 $-0 05-27 21:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -13 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 01:03