Will the next elected US president be a woman?
open
Total volume
$117
Trades
20
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$9,306
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-29 19:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+30.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $21
vs crowd: 70% YES on $58)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $21 | $18 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +129 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 06-26 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d4c…9d4d | Yes | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 06:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-29 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfb…5ee8 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4dd…994c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 11:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Bustling-Alarm 0xf375…f105 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-26 01:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xe35f…2e6c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7a9d10… |
| 06-26 01:23:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7a9d10… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x1d4c…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-10 11:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x1cfb…5ee8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xb6f1e4… |
| 06-10 11:53:33 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xb6f1e4… |
| 06-07 12:35:15 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xd7e258… |
| 06-07 12:35:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xd7e258… |
| 06-07 12:34:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x4c6a7d… |
| 06-07 12:34:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x4c6a7d… |
| 06-01 19:28:03 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x13db0b… |
| 06-01 19:28:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x13db0b… |
| 05-30 21:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x43b6…77a7 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda6fcd… |
| 05-30 21:15:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda6fcd… |
| 05-29 11:00:51 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x60d58a… |
| 05-29 11:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xa4dd…994c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x60d58a… |