Will the next elected US president be a woman?
open
Total volume
$1,273
Trades
80
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$9,306
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-20 15:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.5¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $56
vs crowd: 33% YES on $931)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $21 | $185 | $164 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $144 | $113 | +$31 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $67 | $281 | $215 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $71 | $47 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $21 | $35 | $14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $54 | — | +$54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | $15 | $24 | $9 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $16 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $185 | $185 |
| unranked | 16 | $209 | $351 | $142 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncomfortable-Special 0xc2de…6781 | Yes | +542 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 08-12 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | +384 | $239 | $239 | 8 | 08-18 16:20 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +129 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 06-26 01:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +84 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 08-13 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +62 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-20 15:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 08-12 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d4c…9d4d | Yes | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-13 12:49 |
| Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aac…dfad | Yes | +49 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-30 15:35 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +47 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 08-13 04:57 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-20 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-20 15:50 |
| Trustworthy-Unblinking 0x5e7a…500c | Yes | +29 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-10 16:36 |
| Stale-River 0xb7a1…e821 | Yes | +27 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-13 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 08-13 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7d9…911a | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-20 13:53 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-12 23:05 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-13 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfb…5ee8 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-20 15:50 |
| Blind-Ideology 0x3c28…0a4a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-07 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4dd…994c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 11:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 15:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x00e4…7f67 | Yes | SELL | 179 | 26¢ | $46 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 36 | 66¢ | $24 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 15:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 22¢ | $14 | 0xec3a59… |
| 08-20 13:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xa7d9…911a | No | BUY | 22 | 65¢ | $14 | 0xf78696… |
| 08-20 13:53:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 22 | 65¢ | $14 | 0xf78696… |
| 08-18 16:20:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 58 | 72¢ | $42 | 0x3956d5… |
| 08-18 16:20:19 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0x3956d5… |
| 08-18 16:20:19 | (anonymous) 0x00e4…7f67 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 28¢ | $50 | 0x3956d5… |
| 08-18 03:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x4a42a7… |
| 08-18 03:05:42 | Mysterious-Street 0x66dd…fd27 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x4a42a7… |
| 08-17 10:20:25 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x09c8f0… |
| 08-17 10:20:25 | (anonymous) 0xb4c6…a797 | No | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x09c8f0… |
| 08-14 02:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 77 | 72¢ | $55 | 0x64acf0… |
| 08-14 02:49:28 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 77 | 72¢ | $55 | 0x64acf0… |
| 08-13 12:52:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 14 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xc44c67… |
| 08-13 12:52:30 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 14 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xc44c67… |
| 08-13 12:51:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 36 | 53¢ | $19 | 0xc58aaa… |
| 08-13 12:51:39 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 36 | 53¢ | $19 | 0xc58aaa… |
| 08-13 12:50:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 36 | 52¢ | $19 | 0x72fa6d… |
| 08-13 12:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 36 | 52¢ | $19 | 0x72fa6d… |
| 08-13 12:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…2573 | No | BUY | 98 | 51¢ | $50 | 0x16189b… |
| 08-13 12:49:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x16189b… |
| 08-13 12:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x16189b… |
| 08-13 12:49:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 36 | 51¢ | $18 | 0x16189b… |
| 08-13 09:34:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xb3434d… |
| 08-13 09:34:21 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xb3434d… |
| 08-13 04:57:51 | Stale-River 0xb7a1…e821 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0xb6490a… |
| 08-13 04:57:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0xb6490a… |
| 08-13 00:56:22 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb9d82c… |
| 08-13 00:56:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xb9d82c… |
| 08-12 23:05:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0xf4e14a… |
| 08-12 23:05:48 | (anonymous) 0xc0b6…d8a1 | No | SELL | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0xf4e14a… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | Yes | SELL | 201 | 21¢ | $42 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 77 | 79¢ | $61 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 43 | 21¢ | $9 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 122 | 79¢ | $96 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | (anonymous) 0xc0b6…d8a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x574810… |
| 08-12 23:05:43 | Uncomfortable-Special 0xc2de…6781 | Yes | BUY | 542 | 21¢ | $114 | 0x574810… |
| 08-10 16:36:48 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 29 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xb65b0c… |
| 08-10 16:36:48 | Trustworthy-Unblinking 0x5e7a…500c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xb65b0c… |
| 08-10 05:33:12 | Blind-Ideology 0x3c28…0a4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbd5868… |
| 08-10 05:33:12 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbd5868… |
| 08-05 09:31:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xb7ac09… |
| 08-05 09:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb7ac09… |
| 07-30 15:35:56 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x93c1af… |
| 07-30 15:35:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x93c1af… |
| 07-30 15:35:56 | Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aac…dfad | Yes | BUY | 49 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x93c1af… |
| 07-30 15:35:56 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x93c1af… |
| 07-30 15:35:56 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x93c1af… |
| 07-28 01:18:46 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9eae6c… |
| 07-28 01:18:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9eae6c… |
| 07-07 11:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xb9d410… |
| 07-07 11:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xb4c6…a797 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xb9d410… |
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Bustling-Alarm 0xf375…f105 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-29 19:01:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xadce8e… |
| 06-26 01:23:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7a9d10… |
| 06-26 01:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xe35f…2e6c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7a9d10… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x1d4c…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-25 06:43:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xc18212… |
| 06-10 11:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x1cfb…5ee8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xb6f1e4… |
| 06-10 11:53:33 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xb6f1e4… |
| 06-07 12:35:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xd7e258… |
| 06-07 12:35:15 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xd7e258… |
| 06-07 12:34:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x4c6a7d… |
| 06-07 12:34:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x4c6a7d… |
| 06-01 19:28:03 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x13db0b… |
| 06-01 19:28:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x13db0b… |
| 05-30 21:15:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda6fcd… |
| 05-30 21:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x43b6…77a7 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda6fcd… |
| 05-29 11:00:51 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x60d58a… |
| 05-29 11:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xa4dd…994c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x60d58a… |