Melodic-Cria 0xf9712c…a40a57
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
158
Trades
79,807
lifetime
Volume
$1.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
73% 38% $-606
Politics
14% 100% +$461
Sports
10% 78% +$387
Crypto
2% 0% $-191
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 728 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -576 $-288 50¢ $-285 +$3 06-23 02:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -258 $-249 97¢ $-250 $-1 07-21 21:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -199 $-103 68¢ $-134 $-31 07-19 23:07
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -318 $-156 38¢ $-119 +$37 06-02 20:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +300 $70 16¢ $49 $-21 05-31 18:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +50 $35 94¢ $47 +$12 07-16 12:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +139 $81 32¢ $45 $-36 07-06 20:43
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +51 $26 50¢ $26 $-0 06-20 08:55
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? Yes +187 $17 11¢ $21 +$4 07-21 07:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $24 6¢ $16 $-7 07-10 07:38
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -49 $-14 30¢ $-14 $-0 06-02 21:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +108 $11 12¢ $12 +$2 07-19 21:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -286 $-16 3¢ $-9 +$7 07-20 05:08
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes -156 $-8 4¢ $-7 +$1 06-07 18:31
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +94 $4 4¢ $4 +$1 07-19 23:31
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Dune 3 -124 $-62 3¢ $-4 +$58 05-31 02:32
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-14 22:36
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -4 $-7 35¢ $-1 +$5 06-26 00:55
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-11 50¢ $-1 +$10 07-08 00:14
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 06-05 13:34
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 02:18
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-5 94¢ $1 +$6 07-18 07:31
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +1 $-13 62¢ $0 +$13 07-06 17:27
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -0 $-54 84¢ $-0 +$54 05-31 18:20
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-9 38¢ $0 +$9 07-09 15:42
US recession by end of 2026? No +0 $-11 88¢ $0 +$12 07-19 03:17
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +0 $-0 50¢ $0 +$1 06-26 20:46
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $25 12¢ $0 $-25 07-07 16:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1 $-11 6¢ $0 +$11 07-21 22:59
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 $-14 88¢ $0 +$14 07-14 16:56