Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,340
$16 in 24h
Trades
175
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$1,156
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 10:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+39.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 61% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $89 | $161 | $72 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $321 | $85 | +$236 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $374 | $94 | +$280 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $91 | $230 | $139 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $382 | $229 | +$154 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $12 | $64 | $52 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $10 | $8 |
| Below median | 13 | $102 | $5 | +$97 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $15 | $13 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 31 | $360 | $237 | +$123 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp-Muscat 0x1370…2cfd | Yes | +696 | $313 | $313 | 7 | 06-05 02:51 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +303 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 05-28 12:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +273 | $84 | $94 | 11 | 07-01 10:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +178 | $97 | $215 | 7 | 06-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db3…744b | No | +139 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xadae…74d7 | No | +137 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Fair-Record 0x477a…2d8e | Yes | +131 | $26 | $561 | 7 | 06-05 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7833…d56c | Yes | +110 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-18 11:51 |
| Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | No | +93 | $67 | $79 | 2 | 07-01 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd147…4501 | Yes | +39 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-27 19:49 |
| Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | +35 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 06-11 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +35 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +29 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 09:01 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | +26 | $12 | $48 | 4 | 06-28 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 06-28 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x179e…530f | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-22 09:01 |
| Sociable-Fiber 0xd8e4…53bb | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 20:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +11 | $8 | $11 | 3 | 06-30 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-05 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-27 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe884…2651 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x52e2…1423 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf4b…7166 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 13:51 |
| Famous-Juice 0x2a31…764c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +2 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-27 19:49 |
| Spirited-Lie 0xc779…9ca3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +1 | $-3 | $26 | 6 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 10:32:41 | Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | No | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x89a632… |
| 07-01 10:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x9937…811a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x89a632… |
| 07-01 10:30:01 | (anonymous) 0x9937…811a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x6c9b79… |
| 07-01 10:30:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x6c9b79… |
| 06-30 15:24:14 | Famous-Juice 0x2a31…764c | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7be03e… |
| 06-30 15:24:14 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7be03e… |
| 06-29 14:47:49 | Sociable-Fiber 0xd8e4…53bb | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xb8b76f… |
| 06-29 14:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xb8b76f… |
| 06-29 14:47:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb8b76f… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 17 | 76¢ | $13 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xadae…74d7 | No | BUY | 137 | 73¢ | $100 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-28 20:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x4bf289… |
| 06-27 19:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xd147…4501 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x32c757… |
| 06-27 19:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x32c757… |
| 06-27 19:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x32c757… |
| 06-27 19:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x32c757… |
| 06-27 15:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x0db3…744b | No | BUY | 139 | 72¢ | $100 | 0xc1f508… |
| 06-27 15:28:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 33 | 72¢ | $24 | 0xc1f508… |
| 06-27 15:28:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 28¢ | $30 | 0xc1f508… |
| 06-27 01:17:08 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x74753f… |
| 06-27 01:17:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x74753f… |
| 06-27 01:17:08 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x74753f… |
| 06-26 04:11:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 51 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x2ba8ee… |
| 06-26 04:11:11 | Low-Dragonfly 0xb12e…2408 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 30¢ | $17 | 0x2ba8ee… |
| 06-26 04:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2ba8ee… |
| 06-24 14:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x13ce…f9ff | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x1bce94… |
| 06-24 14:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x1bce94… |
| 06-23 19:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xfe5680… |
| 06-23 19:53:23 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xfe5680… |
| 06-23 16:50:14 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x65c67d… |
| 06-23 16:50:14 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x65c67d… |
| 06-23 16:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x843f53… |
| 06-23 16:50:10 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x843f53… |
| 06-23 15:48:02 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa7f8ca… |
| 06-23 15:48:02 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa7f8ca… |
| 06-23 15:48:01 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa14db9… |
| 06-23 15:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa14db9… |
| 06-23 14:46:14 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf96389… |
| 06-23 14:46:14 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf96389… |
| 06-23 14:46:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf8d2df… |
| 06-23 14:46:11 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf8d2df… |
| 06-23 09:38:25 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x4b2e08… |
| 06-23 09:38:25 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x4b2e08… |
| 06-23 09:38:25 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x4b2e08… |
| 06-23 09:38:22 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xa778d5… |
| 06-23 09:38:22 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xa778d5… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x179e…530f | No | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x9660…067c | No | SELL | 99 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-22 09:01:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x205ab8… |
| 06-20 13:51:22 | (anonymous) 0xdf4b…7166 | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x5289be… |
| 06-20 13:51:22 | (anonymous) 0x20cf…0201 | No | SELL | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x5289be… |
| 06-18 11:51:28 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x3f241a… |
| 06-18 11:51:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 56¢ | $31 | 0x3f241a… |
| 06-18 11:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x7833…d56c | Yes | BUY | 110 | 44¢ | $48 | 0x3f241a… |
| 06-18 11:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 51 | 43¢ | $22 | 0x3f241a… |
| 06-17 16:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x881d…13f8 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x73f45d… |
| 06-17 16:12:07 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x73f45d… |
| 06-17 15:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x7889f8… |
| 06-17 15:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x881d…13f8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x7889f8… |
| 06-17 15:14:11 | (anonymous) 0x47c7…d1d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x45dc9e… |
| 06-17 15:14:11 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x45dc9e… |
| 06-17 15:14:11 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x45dc9e… |
| 06-16 05:25:10 | Timely-Deal 0xe69c…c699 | No | SELL | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xc8329a… |
| 06-16 05:25:10 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xc8329a… |
| 06-15 16:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xad2d…c7be | Yes | SELL | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa4f8b9… |
| 06-15 16:59:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 4 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xa4f8b9… |
| 06-14 04:30:07 | (anonymous) 0x8a31…f0b3 | No | SELL | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x5a02cc… |
| 06-14 04:30:07 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x5a02cc… |
| 06-14 04:30:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x5a02cc… |
| 06-12 00:54:19 | Sparse-Apartment 0xaa46…4a23 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xfa0741… |
| 06-12 00:54:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xfa0741… |
| 06-11 22:14:33 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x99e5a2… |
| 06-11 22:14:33 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x99e5a2… |
| 06-11 22:01:54 | Standard-Dedication 0x1a28…0d27 | No | SELL | 19 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x199055… |
| 06-11 22:01:54 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x199055… |
| 06-11 22:01:54 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x199055… |
| 06-11 01:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x74f3…7214 | No | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x381610… |
| 06-11 01:23:12 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x381610… |
| 06-10 09:02:22 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd66bee… |
| 06-10 09:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd66bee… |
| 06-09 02:27:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x3779ee… |
| 06-09 02:27:42 | (anonymous) 0x4893…58a3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x3779ee… |
| 06-08 16:54:00 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x454505… |
| 06-08 16:54:00 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x454505… |
| 06-08 12:07:51 | (anonymous) 0xe884…2651 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x344436… |
| 06-08 12:07:51 | Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x344436… |
| 06-07 23:20:06 | Squiggly-Uniformity 0xe5d6…4d05 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x582376… |
| 06-07 23:20:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x582376… |
| 06-07 23:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x582376… |
| 06-07 07:54:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd7ed18… |
| 06-07 07:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x52e2…1423 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xd7ed18… |
| 06-06 10:58:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x57ae47… |