Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,344
$16 in 24h
Trades
466
Unique wallets
145
Liquidity
$1,156
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 10:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-59.1¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $192
vs crowd: 60% YES on $5.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $542 | $604 | $62 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $1.6K | $590 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $808 | $295 | +$513 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 77 | $154 | $592 | $438 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2 | $189 | $187 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $1.1K | $609 | +$442 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $90 | $359 | $269 |
| Median | 21 | $389 | $40 | +$349 |
| Below median | 20 | $114 | $113 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $44 | $42 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $199 | $12 | +$187 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $114 | $141 | $27 |
| unranked | 64 | $1.1K | $574 | +$575 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | +902 | $378 | $378 | 4 | 07-15 15:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +649 | $325 | $443 | 17 | 07-20 01:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +536 | $229 | $254 | 21 | 07-19 02:38 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | +314 | $63 | $308 | 10 | 07-16 09:34 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +303 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 05-28 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1733…9411 | Yes | +253 | $158 | $158 | 5 | 07-16 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7833…d56c | Yes | +220 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 07-15 13:32 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | +215 | $99 | $260 | 15 | 07-21 00:04 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +208 | $142 | $142 | 2 | 07-14 20:41 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +200 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-15 17:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +183 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-21 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc111…a00c | No | +159 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-16 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db3…744b | No | +139 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xadae…74d7 | No | +137 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Fair-Record 0x477a…2d8e | Yes | +131 | $26 | $561 | 7 | 06-05 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9574…a119 | No | +130 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-13 13:46 |
| Sizzling-Electronics 0x1960…b36e | No | +123 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-15 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +120 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 07-17 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +120 | $52 | $52 | 6 | 07-15 18:14 |
| Only-Authenticity 0xa3a8…8d63 | No | +100 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 07-20 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +100 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-17 01:04 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +68 | $4 | $617 | 8 | 07-15 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +60 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-15 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | +50 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-16 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 07:48 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 07:48 |
| Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | +40 | $23 | $23 | 7 | 07-14 21:52 |
| True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | +38 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-14 20:41 |
| Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | Yes | +32 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-15 18:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $18 | $33 | 7 | 07-16 02:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +29 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-09 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-17 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x179e…530f | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-22 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-15 18:06 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 20:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-20 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +12 | $2 | $22 | 11 | 07-21 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +11 | $8 | $11 | 3 | 06-30 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +10 | $2 | $18 | 8 | 07-22 10:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-05 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b41…14f6 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-16 12:17 |
| Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 06:51 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-16 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-16 02:42 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-15 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe884…2651 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x52e2…1423 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 14:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bc3…d392 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 21:18 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 15:40 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 15:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 10:39:39 | Famous-Juice 0x2a31…764c | No | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xea1f64… |
| 07-22 10:39:39 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xea1f64… |
| 07-21 00:04:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 118 | 28¢ | $33 | 0x3105d6… |
| 07-21 00:04:51 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | Yes | SELL | 177 | 29¢ | $51 | 0x3105d6… |
| 07-21 00:04:51 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x3105d6… |
| 07-21 00:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x3105d6… |
| 07-21 00:04:51 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 35 | 71¢ | $25 | 0x3105d6… |
| 07-20 13:04:39 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x4107cc… |
| 07-20 13:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x4107cc… |
| 07-20 13:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x44fa63… |
| 07-20 13:04:36 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x44fa63… |
| 07-20 13:04:33 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x7a30e3… |
| 07-20 13:04:33 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x7a30e3… |
| 07-20 13:04:33 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x7a30e3… |
| 07-20 11:49:40 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x4b4573… |
| 07-20 11:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x5339…3900 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x4b4573… |
| 07-20 09:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xb22008… |
| 07-20 09:29:43 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xb22008… |
| 07-20 09:29:43 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xb22008… |
| 07-20 02:34:57 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xa16b4a… |
| 07-20 02:34:57 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xa16b4a… |
| 07-20 01:48:33 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | Yes | BUY | 167 | 60¢ | $100 | 0xa9adc7… |
| 07-20 01:48:33 | Glum-Sprinter 0xc6c2…1b0d | Yes | SELL | 167 | 60¢ | $100 | 0xa9adc7… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Only-Authenticity 0xa3a8…8d63 | No | BUY | 99 | 41¢ | $41 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | SELL | 272 | 43¢ | $118 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 17 | 46¢ | $8 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 121 | 45¢ | $55 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Glum-Sprinter 0xc6c2…1b0d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 01:46:49 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xf75a4c… |
| 07-20 00:28:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x389d24… |
| 07-20 00:28:45 | Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | No | SELL | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x389d24… |
| 07-19 17:32:27 | Spirited-Lie 0xc779…9ca3 | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x33f2a0… |
| 07-19 17:32:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x33f2a0… |
| 07-19 15:19:06 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x69c551… |
| 07-19 15:19:06 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x69c551… |
| 07-19 15:19:06 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | BUY | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x8b52df… |
| 07-19 15:19:06 | Modest-Odometer 0xbdad…3ef7 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0x8b52df… |
| 07-19 02:38:09 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xcfcb10… |
| 07-19 02:38:09 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xcfcb10… |
| 07-19 02:38:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xcfcb10… |
| 07-19 00:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xb1a343… |
| 07-19 00:17:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xb1a343… |
| 07-18 06:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x505c…01f6 | No | SELL | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xe73f5b… |
| 07-18 06:41:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xe73f5b… |
| 07-18 00:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xad7111… |
| 07-18 00:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x1484…e37d | No | SELL | 13 | 56¢ | $7 | 0xad7111… |
| 07-18 00:22:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xad7111… |
| 07-17 19:56:45 | (anonymous) 0x505c…01f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xccdbf9… |
| 07-17 19:56:45 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xccdbf9… |
| 07-17 18:52:06 | Strident-Soot 0x64b4…b21e | Yes | SELL | 43 | 22¢ | $9 | 0xff6bdb… |
| 07-17 18:52:06 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 23 | 79¢ | $18 | 0xff6bdb… |
| 07-17 18:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xff6bdb… |
| 07-17 10:06:37 | (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x0d0992… |
| 07-17 10:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x0d0992… |
| 07-17 09:43:09 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 122 | 56¢ | $68 | 0xf17aa8… |
| 07-17 09:43:09 | Any-Cayenne 0x9985…6afa | No | SELL | 122 | 56¢ | $68 | 0xf17aa8… |
| 07-17 09:43:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 46¢ | $46 | 0xa523c1… |
| 07-17 09:43:04 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 101 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xa523c1… |
| 07-17 09:43:00 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x8a0998… |
| 07-17 09:43:00 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x8a0998… |
| 07-17 09:42:55 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9db1f4… |
| 07-17 09:42:55 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9db1f4… |
| 07-17 02:00:34 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | BUY | 175 | 57¢ | $100 | 0xe9c4a5… |
| 07-17 02:00:34 | Total-Hug 0x7e47…a510 | No | SELL | 133 | 57¢ | $76 | 0xe9c4a5… |
| 07-17 02:00:34 | Any-Cayenne 0x9985…6afa | No | SELL | 43 | 57¢ | $24 | 0xe9c4a5… |
| 07-17 01:04:50 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xcade09… |
| 07-17 01:04:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xcade09… |
| 07-17 01:04:50 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xcade09… |
| 07-17 01:03:02 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 53¢ | $45 | 0x201f84… |
| 07-17 01:03:02 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | BUY | 85 | 47¢ | $40 | 0x201f84… |
| 07-16 20:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 53¢ | $7 | 0xb33ade… |
| 07-16 20:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xb33ade… |
| 07-16 20:50:07 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0xb33ade… |
| 07-16 18:06:55 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x730d55… |
| 07-16 18:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x730d55… |
| 07-16 15:40:05 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xa69b90… |
| 07-16 15:40:05 | (anonymous) 0xb46c…c34d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xa69b90… |
| 07-16 12:17:44 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x60a73b… |
| 07-16 12:17:44 | Rotating-Softening 0x6ae9…14fe | No | SELL | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x60a73b… |
| 07-16 12:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x1b41…14f6 | No | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x60a73b… |
| 07-16 11:52:28 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3733d0… |
| 07-16 11:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3733d0… |
| 07-16 09:49:14 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x929987… |
| 07-16 09:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x929987… |
| 07-16 09:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x1733…9411 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xe459cb… |
| 07-16 09:41:35 | Only-Authenticity 0xa3a8…8d63 | No | BUY | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0xe459cb… |
| 07-16 09:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | BUY | 26 | 41¢ | $11 | 0xa8014b… |
| 07-16 09:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x1733…9411 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 59¢ | $15 | 0xa8014b… |
| 07-16 09:34:47 | (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | BUY | 24 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x9a8268… |
| 07-16 09:34:47 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 60¢ | $15 | 0x9a8268… |
| 07-16 07:51:13 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | BUY | 76 | 60¢ | $45 | 0x5dd12a… |
| 07-16 07:51:13 | Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | Yes | SELL | 76 | 60¢ | $45 | 0x5dd12a… |
| 07-16 05:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x1733…9411 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 59¢ | $79 | 0x83ac9f… |
| 07-16 05:29:10 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x83ac9f… |
| 07-16 05:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x83ac9f… |
| 07-16 05:29:10 | (anonymous) 0xc111…a00c | No | BUY | 159 | 41¢ | $65 | 0x83ac9f… |
| 07-16 04:18:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x2c47a5… |
| 07-16 04:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x49a8…188d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x2c47a5… |
| 07-16 03:30:25 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x768972… |