Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$12,417
$16 in 24h
Trades
623
Unique wallets
180
Liquidity
$1,156
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-12 06:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-48.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $312
vs crowd: 49% YES on $8.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $853 | $2.3K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $1.9K | $559 | +$1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $1.0K | $576 | +$452 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 90 | $290 | $797 | $507 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $2 | $309 | $307 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $1.2K | $675 | +$482 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $107 | $194 | $87 |
| Median | 24 | $497 | $44 | +$453 |
| Below median | 20 | $115 | $115 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $102 | $42 | +$60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $308 | $99 | +$210 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $317 | $1.8K | $1.5K |
| unranked | 83 | $1.5K | $995 | +$496 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | +2,317 | $1,651 | $1,651 | 1 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | +902 | $378 | $378 | 4 | 07-15 15:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +685 | $280 | $305 | 29 | 08-06 08:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +659 | $331 | $449 | 18 | 08-04 10:28 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +562 | $58 | $671 | 12 | 08-12 06:48 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +332 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +330 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | +314 | $63 | $308 | 10 | 07-16 09:34 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +303 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 05-28 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1733…9411 | Yes | +253 | $158 | $158 | 5 | 07-16 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7833…d56c | Yes | +220 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 07-15 13:32 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +208 | $142 | $142 | 2 | 07-14 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | +200 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +200 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +200 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-15 17:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +183 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-21 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc111…a00c | No | +159 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-16 05:29 |
| Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | +154 | $48 | $152 | 4 | 08-09 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db3…744b | No | +139 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xadae…74d7 | No | +137 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Fair-Record 0x477a…2d8e | Yes | +131 | $26 | $561 | 7 | 06-05 02:50 |
| Sizzling-Electronics 0x1960…b36e | No | +123 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-15 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +120 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 07-17 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +120 | $52 | $52 | 6 | 07-15 18:14 |
| Only-Authenticity 0xa3a8…8d63 | No | +100 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 07-20 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +100 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-17 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7879…e071 | No | +78 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 08-06 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d08…3f18 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-10 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2414…a4a4 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-10 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +60 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-15 23:17 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +52 | $-6 | $44 | 10 | 08-09 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | +50 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-16 09:35 |
| Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d | Yes | +46 | $36 | $76 | 3 | 08-10 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x547a…12a3 | No | +45 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-06 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +43 | $16 | $123 | 2 | 08-09 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 07:48 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 07:48 |
| Delectable-Makeup 0x961a…73ac | No | +40 | $23 | $23 | 7 | 07-14 21:52 |
| Esteemed-Swamp 0x7090…a5ff | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-12 01:13 |
| True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | +38 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-14 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | +37 | $2 | $22 | 7 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +37 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-30 15:53 |
| Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | Yes | +32 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-15 18:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $16 | $53 | 10 | 08-06 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b04…30fc | No | +27 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-06 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +21 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 08-05 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-17 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-09 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x179e…530f | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-22 09:01 |
| Colorless-Rite 0x45e7…d77c | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-05 08:22 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 02:47 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 20:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xab79…9c70 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-05 06:33 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-31 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +11 | $8 | $11 | 3 | 06-30 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 01:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-05 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b41…14f6 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-16 12:17 |
| Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | No | +7 | $9 | $162 | 4 | 08-09 23:50 |
| Imperturbable-Knife 0xb387…a0a8 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-01 19:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:48:31 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2dfeaf… |
| 08-12 06:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x2dfeaf… |
| 08-12 01:13:51 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xaec79e… |
| 08-12 01:13:51 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xaec79e… |
| 08-12 01:13:30 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xa34408… |
| 08-12 01:13:30 | Esteemed-Swamp 0x7090…a5ff | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xa34408… |
| 08-12 01:13:30 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xa34408… |
| 08-10 05:31:04 | Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa27d4f… |
| 08-10 05:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x2414…a4a4 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa27d4f… |
| 08-10 05:12:34 | Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa3aabc… |
| 08-10 05:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x1d08…3f18 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa3aabc… |
| 08-10 05:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xa3aabc… |
| 08-10 02:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xda25e6… |
| 08-10 02:47:55 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xda25e6… |
| 08-10 00:05:19 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x7a680f… |
| 08-10 00:05:19 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x7a680f… |
| 08-09 23:52:52 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xc2457e… |
| 08-09 23:52:52 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xc2457e… |
| 08-09 23:50:43 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 195 | 24¢ | $47 | 0xf126b8… |
| 08-09 23:50:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 24¢ | $48 | 0xf126b8… |
| 08-09 23:50:43 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf126b8… |
| 08-09 23:50:39 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 233 | 11¢ | $26 | 0x6e72ea… |
| 08-09 23:50:39 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | Yes | SELL | 300 | 13¢ | $40 | 0x6e72ea… |
| 08-09 23:50:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 23¢ | $11 | 0x6e72ea… |
| 08-09 23:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6e72ea… |
| 08-09 23:50:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9c8b83… |
| 08-09 23:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x9c8b83… |
| 08-09 23:50:37 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x9c8b83… |
| 08-09 23:50:36 | Sick-Tell-Ecology 0x3749…4094 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 27¢ | $47 | 0xfcf997… |
| 08-09 23:50:36 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 27¢ | $47 | 0xfcf997… |
| 08-09 23:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 198 | 27¢ | $53 | 0xca29ef… |
| 08-09 23:50:34 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 198 | 27¢ | $53 | 0xca29ef… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 330 | 29¢ | $96 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | BUY | 2,317 | 71¢ | $1,651 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 29¢ | $58 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 28¢ | $56 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 332 | 28¢ | $93 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | No | SELL | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 241 | 29¢ | $70 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Writhing-Shoreline 0x0cbb…b9d1 | No | SELL | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Sick-Tell-Ecology 0x3749…4094 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 29¢ | $50 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 29¢ | $58 | 0x305377… |
| 08-09 23:50:33 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | Yes | BUY | 300 | 29¢ | $87 | 0x305377… |
| 08-07 16:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x9e91f3… |
| 08-07 16:52:28 | Striking-Program 0x4dd4…979e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x9e91f3… |
| 08-07 16:00:07 | Surprised-Rumor 0x993e…7c69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xa35760… |
| 08-07 16:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xa35760… |
| 08-07 16:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xa35760… |
| 08-06 22:03:45 | Glum-Sprinter 0xc6c2…1b0d | Yes | SELL | 90 | 31¢ | $28 | 0x421422… |
| 08-06 22:03:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x421422… |
| 08-06 22:03:45 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | No | SELL | 53 | 69¢ | $37 | 0x421422… |
| 08-06 22:03:45 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x421422… |
| 08-06 19:15:54 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x915f29… |
| 08-06 19:15:54 | Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x915f29… |
| 08-06 15:30:47 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | No | SELL | 33 | 67¢ | $22 | 0x8625ff… |
| 08-06 15:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x547a…12a3 | No | BUY | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x8625ff… |
| 08-06 15:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x8625ff… |
| 08-06 14:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x00c652… |
| 08-06 14:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xe2ff…dab5 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x00c652… |
| 08-06 08:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x2848…1044 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xcf0a61… |
| 08-06 08:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xcf0a61… |
| 08-06 08:18:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 35¢ | $10 | 0xac969a… |
| 08-06 08:18:33 | (anonymous) 0x0b04…30fc | No | BUY | 27 | 65¢ | $18 | 0xac969a… |
| 08-06 07:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x2848…1044 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x6c9330… |
| 08-06 07:42:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x6c9330… |
| 08-06 06:15:09 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x4a12b4… |
| 08-06 06:15:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4a12b4… |
| 08-06 06:14:56 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x8dc76b… |
| 08-06 06:14:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x8dc76b… |
| 08-06 06:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x7c29b1… |
| 08-06 06:14:38 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x7c29b1… |
| 08-06 05:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x7879…e071 | No | BUY | 15 | 63¢ | $9 | 0x4f5488… |
| 08-06 05:48:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x4f5488… |
| 08-06 05:48:44 | (anonymous) 0x7879…e071 | No | BUY | 63 | 63¢ | $40 | 0xc3ddef… |
| 08-06 05:48:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 37¢ | $23 | 0xc3ddef… |
| 08-05 08:22:24 | Colorless-Rite 0x45e7…d77c | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x35adb3… |
| 08-05 08:22:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x35adb3… |
| 08-05 06:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xab79…9c70 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x2873a4… |
| 08-05 06:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x2873a4… |
| 08-05 06:33:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x2873a4… |
| 08-04 10:28:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x8e5227… |
| 08-04 10:28:48 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x8e5227… |
| 08-04 08:07:00 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | No | SELL | 19 | 65¢ | $12 | 0x21b42b… |
| 08-04 08:07:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x21b42b… |
| 08-01 19:46:17 | Imperturbable-Knife 0xb387…a0a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x4e1175… |
| 08-01 19:46:17 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x4e1175… |
| 07-31 20:27:47 | Striking-Rainstorm 0xcd73…f7ad | No | BUY | 119 | 72¢ | $85 | 0x2b5e04… |
| 07-31 20:27:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x2b5e04… |
| 07-31 20:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x9574…a119 | No | SELL | 130 | 72¢ | $94 | 0x2b5e04… |
| 07-30 15:53:24 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7e3e3c… |
| 07-30 15:53:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7e3e3c… |
| 07-30 15:53:14 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7ff4db… |
| 07-30 15:53:14 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7ff4db… |
| 07-30 15:53:02 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x56de7d… |
| 07-30 15:53:02 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x56de7d… |
| 07-30 15:53:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x56de7d… |
| 07-30 15:52:56 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x226382… |