Realized P&L
-$22.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.17K
Hit rate
48.1%
Resolved
7,925
Trades
124,969
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$14.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 11-15 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
79% 41% -$20,486
Politics
17% 26% -$1,328
Tech
2% 9% -$287
Sports
2% 42% -$38
Crypto
1% 20% -$139
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 6486 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,878 $1,393 100¢ $1.9K +$478 11-09 20:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,043 $780 74¢ $769 -$11 11-06 05:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +913 $602 81¢ $743 +$140 11-15 16:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +834 $487 86¢ $713 +$226 11-07 00:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +992 $446 68¢ $670 +$224 11-15 06:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +860 $501 74¢ $641 +$139 11-09 01:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +636 $460 94¢ $601 +$141 11-07 01:13
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +650 $598 92¢ $600 +$2 11-14 18:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +660 $460 84¢ $554 +$94 11-15 09:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +596 $496 88¢ $528 +$32 11-12 21:03
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +534 $469 96¢ $510 +$41 11-03 15:43
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +536 $438 88¢ $472 +$34 11-13 18:13
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +574 $441 79¢ $454 +$13 11-13 21:46
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +554 $377 78¢ $435 +$58 11-15 19:39
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +551 $390 76¢ $416 +$26 11-09 08:00
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +400 $370 96¢ $382 +$12 11-12 16:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +454 $308 81¢ $368 +$60 11-15 12:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +369 $357 98¢ $363 +$6 11-12 01:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +376 $340 96¢ $359 +$18 11-03 21:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +366 $296 94¢ $345 +$49 11-09 15:10
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +372 $285 92¢ $340 +$55 11-15 18:21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +621 $348 54¢ $332 -$16 11-15 19:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +370 $249 88¢ $327 +$79 10-22 21:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +334 $310 97¢ $323 +$13 11-04 01:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +314 $272 100¢ $314 +$42 11-09 18:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +340 $277 92¢ $311 +$34 11-15 18:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +945 $535 32¢ $307 -$227 11-12 17:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +309 $249 96¢ $296 +$48 10-18 12:38
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +326 $109 88¢ $289 +$180 11-08 22:38
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +294 $110 98¢ $288 +$179 10-18 12:38