Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.05K

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

3,546

Trades

59,534

lifetime

Volume

$616.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10.6K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-26 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

79% 39% -$10,454

Politics

17% 20% -$1,409

Tech

2% 7% -$148

Sports

1% 40% -$25

Crypto

1% 6% -$65

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 6486 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+920	$833	98¢	$906	+$74	10-25 09:47
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+750	$502	83¢	$623	+$120	10-26 01:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+986	$633	61¢	$601	-$31	10-23 21:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+1,375	$486	39¢	$536	+$51	10-26 17:52
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	+737	$482	70¢	$512	+$30	10-26 03:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+687	$469	68¢	$470	+$1	10-26 06:13
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	+489	$418	90¢	$443	+$25	10-26 11:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+502	$359	88¢	$439	+$81	10-26 02:26
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+501	$418	86¢	$429	+$11	10-26 20:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+441	$413	95¢	$420	+$7	10-25 21:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+541	$312	64¢	$349	+$37	10-26 19:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+370	$249	84¢	$309	+$60	10-22 21:15
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+396	$316	77¢	$305	-$11	10-26 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+418	$255	70¢	$295	+$40	10-26 06:03
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	+300	$286	98¢	$293	+$8	10-09 19:10
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+294	$110	99¢	$291	+$181	10-18 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+314	$210	92¢	$290	+$81	10-26 15:33
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	+868	$247	30¢	$265	+$18	10-26 20:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+450	$248	58¢	$264	+$15	10-26 19:47
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+275	$251	94¢	$258	+$8	10-24 18:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+277	$205	91¢	$253	+$48	10-18 08:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	+592	$235	42¢	$246	+$11	10-26 19:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+309	$249	78¢	$240	-$8	10-18 12:38
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	+629	$217	38¢	$239	+$22	10-26 16:22
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+380	$248	62¢	$236	-$12	10-25 00:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+247	$183	93¢	$230	+$47	10-15 06:10
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	No	+232	$211	92¢	$212	+$1	10-21 18:37
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+646	$230	32¢	$204	-$27	10-25 01:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+200	$190	100¢	$199	+$9	10-23 00:21
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+200	$40	98¢	$196	+$156	10-24 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	38	$6.2K	5,344	4,584	+760	open	—	10-26 06:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	55	$5.6K	5,091	3,994	+1,097	open	—	10-26 06:01
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	135	$4.6K	5,897	4,293	+1,605	open	—	10-26 20:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	67	$4.5K	6,426	4,065	+2,361	open	—	10-26 17:52
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	132	$3.0K	3,350	2,622	+728	Yes	-$307	10-12 15:32
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	26	$2.9K	3,847	2,545	+1,301	open	—	10-26 01:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	49	$2.8K	4,099	4,032	+68	open	—	10-26 08:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	42	$2.7K	3,453	2,511	+941	open	—	10-26 19:41
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	21	$2.6K	2,096	1,696	+400	open	—	10-24 00:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	16	$2.6K	1,424	1,424	+0	open	—	10-24 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	13	$2.4K	2,851	2,111	+740	open	—	10-23 00:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	28	$2.4K	2,567	2,162	+405	open	—	10-25 23:29
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	16	$2.2K	2,365	1,669	+695	open	—	10-26 11:22
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	92	$2.1K	3,265	2,222	+1,043	Yes	-$100	10-17 13:54
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	81	$2.0K	1,753	1,578	+175	open	—	10-26 13:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	31	$2.0K	2,626	1,293	+1,333	open	—	10-26 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	112	$1.9K	2,639	1,672	+967	No	-$24	10-22 13:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	23	$1.9K	2,209	1,639	+570	open	—	10-26 19:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	27	$1.8K	1,350	1,046	+303	open	—	10-26 09:31
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	71	$1.7K	1,748	840	+908	open	—	10-26 20:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	53	$1.7K	1,890	1,272	+619	open	—	10-18 12:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	58	$1.7K	1,847	1,641	+205	open	—	10-18 12:38
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	50	$1.7K	2,118	1,109	+1,009	open	—	10-26 16:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	73	$1.6K	1,585	1,318	+267	open	—	10-26 09:48
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	23	$1.6K	4,092	2,253	+1,840	open	—	10-26 00:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$1.5K	1,558	1,482	+76	open	—	10-18 12:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	18	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$79	10-21 04:40
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	31	$1.4K	1,589	1,234	+355	open	—	10-26 19:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	34	$1.4K	1,219	1,182	+37	Yes	-$57	10-18 12:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	32	$1.4K	1,125	1,001	+124	open	—	10-18 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:52:47	Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x018264…
10-26 20:52:41	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x57f7f7…
10-26 20:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x77b6d1…
10-26 20:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x378d42…
10-26 20:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf85d1c…
10-26 20:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1e4dac…
10-26 20:49:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7a716e…
10-26 20:49:30	Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3ef3a5…
10-26 20:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x99893d…
10-26 20:47:56	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x437a93…
10-26 20:47:51	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x982bcf…
10-26 20:47:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x74be8c…
10-26 20:47:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x4a8404…
10-26 20:47:14	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa5adde…
10-26 20:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb1096b…
10-26 20:46:33	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xdef7db…
10-26 20:45:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x51fedf…
10-26 20:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1588eb…
10-26 20:44:15	Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x1067ef…
10-26 20:44:05	Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3e40cf…
10-26 20:43:59	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf12a1a…
10-26 20:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x35b5f4…
10-26 20:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa38949…
10-26 20:40:44	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x66ca79…
10-26 20:37:17	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa83ae4…
10-26 20:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd91175…
10-26 20:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x7fcba6…
10-26 20:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd61aa1…
10-26 20:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x66635d…
10-26 20:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xbf3555…
10-26 20:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xb87d55…
10-26 20:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x848cbd…
10-26 20:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f1a71…
10-26 20:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x306a98…
10-26 20:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x81abae…
10-26 20:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7d294…
10-26 20:35:15	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x30082f…
10-26 20:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x52a9dc…
10-26 20:34:27	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xf11c68…
10-26 20:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x71e85a…
10-26 20:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4b579a…
10-26 20:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xc5d18e…
10-26 20:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x290f2c…
10-26 20:31:48	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x31e4a7…
10-26 20:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa65938…
10-26 20:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4237a0…
10-26 20:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x24b0dd…
10-26 20:30:51	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$3	0xfa4438…
10-26 20:29:51	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xab0d29…
10-26 20:29:06	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc00ccf…
10-26 20:28:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x6adba4…
10-26 20:28:09	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xc285ea…
10-26 20:27:56	Will Manta be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x440816…
10-26 20:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x008c0b…
10-26 20:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7dde53…
10-26 20:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xbd5101…
10-26 20:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9bf8ac…
10-26 20:24:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5063e3…
10-26 20:23:33	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xd50e03…
10-26 20:23:20	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x163c27…
10-26 20:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x152312…
10-26 20:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf789c6…
10-26 20:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9db557…
10-26 20:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x383b43…
10-26 20:22:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xe0285f…
10-26 20:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x567d01…
10-26 20:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xcc0214…
10-26 20:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x542640…
10-26 20:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc3184f…
10-26 20:19:29	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x59c8a0…
10-26 20:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x025d6f…
10-26 20:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0aacab…
10-26 20:16:47	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x621de2…
10-26 20:15:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xb0c68a…
10-26 20:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xbedee4…
10-26 20:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x04e9a9…
10-26 20:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x7d983f…
10-26 20:13:59	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xf90416…
10-26 20:13:33	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe98ac7…
10-26 20:13:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xde87ce…
10-26 20:13:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb8a216…
10-26 20:13:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x8ec04a…
10-26 20:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x6e9324…
10-26 20:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x9057ff…
10-26 20:12:42	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6a915d…
10-26 20:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x957caa…
10-26 20:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x7baf3c…
10-26 20:11:41	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x63ce23…
10-26 20:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xff6dc6…
10-26 20:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5108e5…
10-26 20:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0e06d8…
10-26 20:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7c1f77…
10-26 20:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x470a21…
10-26 20:08:53	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xffc620…
10-26 20:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd7f27d…
10-26 20:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfc1bd5…
10-26 20:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa4feac…
10-26 20:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x013a55…
10-26 20:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xef5a49…
10-26 20:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbb206f…