Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
open
Total volume
$2,109
$5 in 24h
Trades
183
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$474
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-20 13:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+36.5¢
(top1%: 63% YES on $4
vs crowd: 26% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $72 | $924 | $852 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $331 | $210 | +$122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $26 | $21 | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $25 | $108 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $34 | $9 | +$25 |
| Median | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Below median | 5 | $6 | $55 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $344 | $154 | +$190 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $10 | $905 | $895 |
| unranked | 10 | $51 | $118 | $66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +400 | $344 | $1,016 | 10 | 06-19 16:18 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +300 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-17 05:59 |
| Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | +276 | $15 | $511 | 73 | 06-20 13:12 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +228 | $191 | $191 | 13 | 06-17 00:48 |
| Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | +136 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 06-17 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa515…54d5 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 20:36 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 20:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +90 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-17 02:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-18 08:36 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 14:18 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +39 | $9 | $23 | 7 | 06-18 03:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +29 | $9 | $21 | 4 | 06-18 06:42 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +28 | $2 | $31 | 14 | 06-20 13:12 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-18 12:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +16 | $15 | $54 | 2 | 06-17 00:51 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 00:48 |
| Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | +15 | $6 | $11 | 2 | 06-17 01:33 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 00:52 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 21:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +5 | $10 | $91 | 5 | 06-17 16:47 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 09:54 |
| Silver-Angel 0x6cdb…8a82 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 01:32 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 09:01 |
| Responsible-Bidder 0xb10d…3797 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d38…2104 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 11:48 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 11:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 13:12:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x17f40c… |
| 06-20 13:12:23 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x17f40c… |
| 06-20 08:46:35 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 58 | 19¢ | $11 | 0xad300f… |
| 06-20 08:46:35 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xad300f… |
| 06-20 08:46:35 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xad300f… |
| 06-19 16:18:47 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9f48a6… |
| 06-19 16:18:47 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x9f48a6… |
| 06-19 13:03:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf671ab… |
| 06-19 13:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf671ab… |
| 06-18 12:15:55 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x979881… |
| 06-18 12:15:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x979881… |
| 06-18 12:15:55 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x979881… |
| 06-18 11:35:52 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xe219ec… |
| 06-18 11:35:52 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xe219ec… |
| 06-18 10:00:44 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x7103c3… |
| 06-18 10:00:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x7103c3… |
| 06-18 09:54:07 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5b066b… |
| 06-18 09:54:07 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5b066b… |
| 06-18 09:01:16 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xb7838e… |
| 06-18 09:01:16 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb7838e… |
| 06-18 08:36:31 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 197 | 84¢ | $165 | 0xe2e780… |
| 06-18 08:36:31 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 247 | 17¢ | $43 | 0xe2e780… |
| 06-18 08:36:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xe2e780… |
| 06-18 07:43:11 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xe953c1… |
| 06-18 07:43:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xe953c1… |
| 06-18 07:03:19 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa3457c… |
| 06-18 07:03:19 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa3457c… |
| 06-18 06:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x5358ea… |
| 06-18 06:42:32 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 29 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x5358ea… |
| 06-18 04:53:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x71a5f5… |
| 06-18 04:53:22 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x71a5f5… |
| 06-18 03:33:58 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xd3f5dc… |
| 06-18 03:33:58 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xd3f5dc… |
| 06-18 02:18:23 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5468cd… |
| 06-18 02:18:23 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x5468cd… |
| 06-18 00:58:07 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x405f06… |
| 06-18 00:58:07 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x405f06… |
| 06-18 00:58:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x405f06… |
| 06-17 22:54:29 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xf28454… |
| 06-17 22:54:29 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xf28454… |
| 06-17 22:54:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x0efbdb… |
| 06-17 22:54:16 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x0efbdb… |
| 06-17 22:54:08 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x70eba4… |
| 06-17 22:54:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x70eba4… |
| 06-17 16:47:29 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0e4059… |
| 06-17 16:47:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x0e4059… |
| 06-17 16:47:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x0e4059… |
| 06-17 16:43:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 51 | 74¢ | $38 | 0x282ced… |
| 06-17 16:43:14 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 51 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x282ced… |
| 06-17 14:20:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x76a149… |
| 06-17 14:20:43 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x76a149… |
| 06-17 14:20:22 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x854567… |
| 06-17 14:20:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x854567… |
| 06-17 14:19:02 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 430 | 19¢ | $84 | 0x379577… |
| 06-17 14:19:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x379577… |
| 06-17 14:19:02 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x379577… |
| 06-17 14:19:02 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x379577… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xb25f95… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 136 | 83¢ | $113 | 0xb25f95… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb25f95… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xb25f95… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 226 | 17¢ | $38 | 0xb25f95… |
| 06-17 06:20:05 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xa99a90… |
| 06-17 06:20:05 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 27 | 84¢ | $23 | 0xa99a90… |
| 06-17 05:59:37 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 405 | 16¢ | $65 | 0x353f9e… |
| 06-17 05:59:37 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 125 | 84¢ | $105 | 0x353f9e… |
| 06-17 05:59:37 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 280 | 16¢ | $45 | 0x353f9e… |
| 06-17 03:36:12 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6a730a… |
| 06-17 03:36:12 | (anonymous) 0xeb58…c62e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6a730a… |
| 06-17 02:38:49 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xdf5468… |
| 06-17 02:38:49 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xdf5468… |
| 06-17 02:24:27 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x06b3f0… |
| 06-17 02:24:27 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x06b3f0… |
| 06-17 02:24:16 | Worst-Body 0x3af9…b4bb | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x63503c… |
| 06-17 02:24:16 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x63503c… |
| 06-17 02:24:10 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa9457f… |
| 06-17 02:24:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa9457f… |
| 06-17 02:24:01 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x528a93… |
| 06-17 02:24:01 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x528a93… |
| 06-17 02:22:15 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0b1089… |
| 06-17 02:22:15 | Worst-Body 0x3af9…b4bb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x0b1089… |
| 06-17 02:22:15 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0b1089… |
| 06-17 02:21:31 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xca8a36… |
| 06-17 02:21:31 | Responsible-Bidder 0xb10d…3797 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xca8a36… |
| 06-17 02:15:06 | Sociable-Needle 0x9f2a…3706 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x8ae206… |
| 06-17 02:15:06 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x8ae206… |
| 06-17 02:15:04 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x2eb655… |
| 06-17 02:15:04 | Sociable-Needle 0x9f2a…3706 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x2eb655… |
| 06-17 02:12:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0fd991… |
| 06-17 02:12:49 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0fd991… |
| 06-17 02:11:30 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xb936d5… |
| 06-17 02:11:30 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xb936d5… |
| 06-17 02:11:24 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb4a880… |
| 06-17 02:11:24 | Worst-Body 0x3af9…b4bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb4a880… |
| 06-17 02:10:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2bc280… |
| 06-17 02:10:10 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2bc280… |
| 06-17 02:09:18 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x125bce… |
| 06-17 02:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x7437…6e31 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x125bce… |
| 06-17 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x7437…6e31 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0460c0… |
| 06-17 02:09:06 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0460c0… |