Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
30.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,858
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$231
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-30 17:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
70% 25% +$1
Politics
25% 0% $-9
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No -92 $-84 100¢ $-92 $-7 06-09 08:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No -17 $-15 100¢ $-17 $-1 06-09 01:07
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30? Yes +33 $2 26¢ $9 +$6 06-20 04:06
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No +19 $2 40¢ $8 +$6 06-11 13:42
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? Yes +17 $4 45¢ $8 +$4 06-09 23:17
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? Yes +29 $1 25¢ $7 +$7 06-09 09:52
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes +929 $2 $7 +$5 06-28 16:29
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? Yes +15 $2 37¢ $6 +$4 06-19 14:41
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30? No -6 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 06:14
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 95¢ $5 +$4 06-12 14:03
Will Big Tobacco buy Alp nicotine pouches? Yes +12 $2 40¢ $5 +$3 06-04 05:51
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? Yes +10 $2 44¢ $4 +$3 06-14 16:58
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$3 06-28 01:08
SPLC found guilty in 2026? No +10 $1 43¢ $4 +$3 06-09 18:02
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 06-24 21:23
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +8 $1 50¢ $4 +$3 06-09 10:02
Will Ariana Grande feature Olivia Rodrigo on Petal? Yes +8 $2 49¢ $4 +$2 06-01 15:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? Yes +42 $2 $4 +$2 06-25 04:53
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? Yes +9 $2 38¢ $4 +$2 06-01 18:24
Diddy released from custody in 2026? Yes +16 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 05-31 11:36
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +37 $2 $3 +$1 06-02 21:48
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026? No +28 $2 11¢ $3 +$1 06-02 23:33
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +371 $2 $3 +$1 06-24 01:17
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? No +6 $1 50¢ $3 +$2 06-20 19:19
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +12 $2 24¢ $3 +$1 06-24 17:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +3 $-3 85¢ $3 +$6 06-23 06:57
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $2 29¢ $3 +$1 06-06 18:59
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? Yes +11 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 06-05 17:51
Will Ariana Grande feature Billie Eilish on Petal? Yes +10 $2 28¢ $3 +$1 06-03 21:04
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? No +219 $2 $3 +$1 06-29 14:27