Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
30.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
5,325
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$183
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-19 19:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
70% 25% +$1
Politics
22% 0% $-9
Crypto
4%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +37 $2 48¢ $18 +$16 06-02 21:48
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? No -35 $-10 42¢ $-14 $-5 07-14 20:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -44 $-12 31¢ $-14 $-1 07-14 20:05
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Yes -99 $-16 14¢ $-13 +$3 07-14 20:05
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -66 $-3 14¢ $-10 $-7 07-14 20:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No -38 $-7 25¢ $-9 $-3 07-14 20:51
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes -12 $-3 77¢ $-9 $-5 07-14 20:51
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? Yes +17 $4 50¢ $8 +$5 06-09 23:17
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -30 $-9 24¢ $-7 +$2 07-14 20:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes -41 $-5 16¢ $-7 $-2 07-14 20:51
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? Yes +15 $2 41¢ $6 +$5 06-07 16:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? Yes +42 $2 12¢ $5 +$3 06-25 04:53
Will Big Tobacco buy Alp nicotine pouches? Yes +12 $2 42¢ $5 +$3 06-04 05:51
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? Yes +10 $2 43¢ $4 +$3 06-14 16:58
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026? Yes +11 $2 39¢ $4 +$2 07-05 16:56
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? No +10 $2 38¢ $4 +$2 06-24 21:14
Benedict Wong as Wong? No -10 $-2 40¢ $-4 $-2 07-14 20:51
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? Yes +10 $2 39¢ $4 +$2 06-24 21:23
Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027? Yes -6 $-2 62¢ $-4 $-2 07-14 22:47
Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026? Yes +14 $2 26¢ $4 +$2 06-03 07:12
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026? No +15 $1 24¢ $4 +$3 06-09 18:51
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? Yes +15 $2 23¢ $4 +$2 06-24 18:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? Yes +15 $2 22¢ $3 +$2 06-05 21:24
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +68 $1 $3 +$2 06-30 12:10
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -31 $-2 $-3 $-1 07-14 20:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +3 $-3 78¢ $3 +$6 06-23 06:57
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? Yes +37 $2 $3 +$1 06-10 12:21
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +9 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 07-14 09:31
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes -51 $-2 $-3 $-0 07-14 20:51
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026? Yes +15 $1 17¢ $3 +$1 06-19 03:24