Squiggly-Waiting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,325

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-19 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

70% 25% +$1

Politics

22% 0% $-9

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	4	$877	4,239	1,239	+3,000	open	—	03-29 02:00
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 26c	7	$826	909	906	+3	open	—	03-23 08:41
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	3	$448	909	909	+0	open	—	03-26 04:59
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70 and 75	2	$306	356	356	+0	open	—	03-23 13:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	3	$241	2,165	2,165	+0	open	—	03-26 04:49
mlb al nl 2026 07 14	10	$220	224	224	+0	open	—	07-15 00:31
will benfica advance to the round of 16	2	$196	478	478	+0	open	—	02-02 17:00
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	5	$191	420	420	+0	open	—	03-26 20:54
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	8	$182	162	162	+0	open	—	07-15 03:00
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	14	$182	253	253	+0	open	—	07-15 01:42
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	7	$181	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 21:21
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	1	$150	397	0	+397	open	—	03-26 05:24
will bodglimt advance to the round of 16	2	$144	265	265	+0	open	—	01-29 02:00
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	8	$143	120	120	+0	open	—	07-15 02:16
highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 25c	3	$141	278	278	+0	open	—	03-29 17:39
will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	6	$116	120	120	+0	open	—	07-15 02:05
will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	2	$110	130	130	+0	open	—	07-19 19:33
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	3	$102	138	1	+137	open	—	03-30 01:00
will marvel studios announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131272	3	$96	140	140	+0	open	—	07-14 22:47
bitboy convicted	4	$92	2,592	2,592	+0	open	—	03-27 06:41
will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	2	$91	130	130	+0	open	—	07-19 19:33
will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 85k at auction 20260713233758305	2	$91	200	0	+200	open	—	07-14 20:37
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	4	$86	88	88	+0	open	—	05-22 05:10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	1	$84	0	92	-92	open	—	06-09 08:14
will a trailer for the lord of the rings the rings of power season 3 premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810628	2	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 22:47
will a trailer for avengers doomsday premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810623	2	$74	130	130	+0	open	—	07-19 19:33
will a trailer for god of war laufey premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810626	2	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 22:47
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	4	$65	185	185	+0	open	—	03-29 21:06
will a24 announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131279	1	$64	130	0	+130	open	—	07-14 22:26
will prime video announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131276	3	$54	54	10	+44	open	—	07-15 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:33:45	will a trailer for avengers doomsday premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810623	No	SELL	130	12¢	$16	0xda427e…
07-19 19:33:45	will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	Yes	SELL	130	21¢	$27	0xb98095…
07-19 19:33:43	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	Yes	SELL	130	36¢	$47	0x4d3653…
07-15 03:10:02	will prime video announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131276	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x197032…
07-15 03:08:13	will a trailer for marvels wolverine premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810625	No	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xde92bf…
07-15 03:07:58	will prime video announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131276	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8ac560…
07-15 03:03:56	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182136409	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x6e3bd6…
07-15 03:02:40	will a trailer for marvels wolverine premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810625	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x5d1ed2…
07-15 03:02:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xba9efb…
07-15 03:02:02	will prime video announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131276	No	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0xac5479…
07-15 03:01:37	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182136409	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x563231…
07-15 03:01:32	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x953034…
07-15 03:00:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xcbbf29…
07-15 02:55:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	103	54¢	$56	0x0cff87…
07-15 02:54:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xe1cca1…
07-15 02:54:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9d5094…
07-15 02:53:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x3c9449…
07-15 02:53:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0x5ea167…
07-15 02:35:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	54	57¢	$31	0x463d1a…
07-15 02:33:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	54	58¢	$31	0xdf6e9e…
07-15 02:16:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	54	56¢	$30	0x2ab8a1…
07-15 02:14:31	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	54	58¢	$31	0x93177f…
07-15 02:05:34	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x954a25…
07-15 02:00:47	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x13e4aa…
07-15 01:42:11	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xe4b6c8…
07-15 01:41:52	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x2e55b3…
07-15 01:39:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x214072…
07-15 01:35:17	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	162	31¢	$50	0xd22e12…
07-15 01:35:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0x58c947…
07-15 01:32:28	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xb8bb25…
07-15 01:32:22	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$13	0x6eae18…
07-15 01:29:52	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0x329b49…
07-15 00:42:17	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x2ff0c9…
07-15 00:42:02	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	SELL	112	46¢	$52	0x7f0ddd…
07-15 00:40:23	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xa80517…
07-15 00:40:01	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0xa31f92…
07-15 00:40:01	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x3c966f…
07-15 00:39:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x1497e7…
07-15 00:32:19	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x1289b1…
07-15 00:32:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x0d6b31…
07-15 00:31:49	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	SELL	56	42¢	$24	0xe599a0…
07-15 00:30:58	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x6909ce…
07-15 00:30:19	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	National League	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0x9a9110…
07-15 00:30:08	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	National League	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xf1a1f9…
07-15 00:29:34	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xa4b049…
07-15 00:29:16	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x89ac6f…
07-15 00:28:35	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x779f76…
07-15 00:26:23	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	National League	SELL	56	55¢	$31	0x25bcaa…
07-15 00:25:37	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	National League	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x49cac2…
07-15 00:21:02	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xd288c5…
07-15 00:20:49	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	SELL	46	44¢	$20	0x79e448…
07-15 00:18:38	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x566645…
07-15 00:17:25	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xfd4979…
07-15 00:14:58	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x418235…
07-15 00:14:37	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaa35f9…
07-14 23:40:07	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x466531…
07-14 23:40:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	No	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0xfddde0…
07-14 23:40:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	44	62¢	$27	0x908cae…
07-14 23:29:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x713551…
07-14 23:29:08	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xe8791d…
07-14 23:15:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xdb7378…
07-14 23:11:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf04508…
07-14 23:09:46	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x293286…
07-14 23:06:17	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xc13379…
07-14 22:47:22	will marvel studios announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131272	No	SELL	140	22¢	$31	0x47d776…
07-14 22:47:19	Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x44a003…
07-14 22:47:17	Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xf50cd5…
07-14 22:47:16	will a trailer for god of war laufey premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810626	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x0bc115…
07-14 22:47:13	will a trailer for the lord of the rings the rings of power season 3 premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810628	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x79122e…
07-14 22:47:10	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x671432…
07-14 22:47:05	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x9e371b…
07-14 22:47:04	will florence pugh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553831	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf49dc8…
07-14 22:47:01	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x8feab1…
07-14 22:43:04	will taylor swift appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553837	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x2b8e9c…
07-14 22:42:47	will robert downey jrpt appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553818	No	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xc8d783…
07-14 22:34:17	will mrbeast say race during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829398	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x85ef70…
07-14 22:33:32	will a trailer for god of war laufey premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810626	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xecff82…
07-14 22:32:49	will no mrbeast gaming video be posted 20260713152829412	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe4cdd4…
07-14 22:32:46	will mrbeast say win or winner during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829405	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x54ebd5…
07-14 22:26:11	will a24 announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131279	Yes	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0xdcbb0d…
07-14 22:25:58	will mrbeast say fortnite during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723134	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x76472e…
07-14 22:25:23	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	Yes	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0x30e9df…
07-14 22:25:20	will a trailer for avengers doomsday premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810623	No	BUY	130	45¢	$58	0xecee28…
07-14 22:24:28	will marvel studios announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131272	No	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0xd3c44a…
07-14 22:23:38	will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	Yes	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0xe37fbb…
07-14 22:07:04	will a trailer for the lord of the rings the rings of power season 3 premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810628	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x1dea10…
07-14 20:52:11	xrp above 1pt1 on july 15 2026	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x694d5c…
07-14 20:52:11	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x57bcf7…
07-14 20:52:11	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x02eec8…
07-14 20:52:10	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xe0aa9e…
07-14 20:52:10	Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x2e7c07…
07-14 20:52:08	Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9a6a37…
07-14 20:52:07	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd38a1e…
07-14 20:52:07	mamdani opens city owned grocery store by december 31 20260628213717626	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xa63475…
07-14 20:52:05	will tom cruise be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x846486…
07-14 20:52:05	will ian murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533219	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x6f54db…
07-14 20:52:04	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xfd39bf…
07-14 20:52:04	will pat mcfadden be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533206	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x81cdb3…
07-14 20:52:02	will steve reed be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533210	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xe25055…
07-14 20:52:02	will john cornyn vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821983	No	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x398189…