Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved
3,518
Trades
10,658
lifetime
Volume
$19.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$35
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-19 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
68% 11% -$1,384
Politics
23% 8% +$855
Pop-Culture
3% 9% -$117
Crypto
2% 16% -$341
Sports
2% 30% -$94
Tech
1% 6% -$102
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -30 -$9 28¢ $-8 +$1 07-14 20:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +17 $2 42¢ $7 +$5 05-15 01:08
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +25 $2 25¢ $6 +$5 06-02 17:48
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +30 $2 18¢ $6 +$4 06-09 10:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 21¢ $1 +$1 06-01 22:08
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-15 16:23
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +1 $0 72¢ $1 +$1 06-02 21:06
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +464 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 06-02 10:04
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +8 $1 7¢ $1 $0 06-06 22:22
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +15 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 06-12 06:10
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +9 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 06-28 03:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +40 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-19 16:25
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +9 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-01 02:42
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? No +9 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 06-16 08:29
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +1 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-30 02:09
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +2 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-06 13:46
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +49 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-19 15:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 05-20 08:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-02 03:20
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-28 10:52
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-01 22:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-01 22:08
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +69 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-16 06:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +9 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-27 07:24
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-13 22:14
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-19 17:26
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +16 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-19 21:14