Realized P&L (24h)
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved (24h)
14
Trades (24h)
0
10,658 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$19.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$69
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-19 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
68% 11% -$1,434
Politics
23% 8% +$845
Pop-Culture
3% 9% -$117
Crypto
2% 16% -$341
Sports
2% 30% -$94
Tech
1% 6% -$102
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +8 $2 94¢ $8 +$6 06-06 02:04
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -30 -$9 26¢ $-8 +$2 07-14 20:20
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +30 $2 18¢ $6 +$4 06-09 10:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +17 $2 26¢ $4 +$3 05-15 01:08
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? Yes +8 $1 50¢ $4 +$3 06-09 12:33
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +25 $2 14¢ $3 +$2 06-02 17:48
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination? Yes +41 $2 7¢ $3 +$1 06-20 16:41
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +21 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 06-02 20:56
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +4 $0 62¢ $2 +$2 06-19 14:41
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? Yes +6 $1 41¢ $2 +$1 06-09 08:12
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +62 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 06-02 23:02
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? Yes +116 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 06-22 21:32
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +10 $0 18¢ $2 +$1 06-02 23:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +9 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-06 01:43
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +31 $2 5¢ $2 $0 05-24 07:40
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +39 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 06-02 11:14
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +39 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 06-02 00:11
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $0 06-24 21:23
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? Yes +15 $2 9¢ $1 $0 06-07 04:33
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-14 09:31
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes — +5 $2 21¢ $1 -$1 07-14 20:52
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +25 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 06-19 13:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 20¢ $1 +$1 06-01 22:08
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 05-19 08:55
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +25 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 05-26 21:23
will franois hollande advance to the second round of the next french presidential election Yes +21 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-02 07:15
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Yes +1 $0 72¢ $1 +$1 05-21 18:37
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +60 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 06-03 13:02
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year? Yes +19 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-22 15:56
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +2 $0 40¢ $1 +$0 06-15 01:51