Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
open
Total volume
$53
Trades
18
Unique wallets
8
Liquidity
$549
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-12 00:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $39 | $39 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +43 | $39 | $39 | 5 | 06-08 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-07 23:27 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 15:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 00:30:06 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x66c4c0… |
| 06-12 00:30:06 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x66c4c0… |
| 06-08 22:45:27 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x435128… |
| 06-08 22:45:27 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x435128… |
| 06-07 23:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0cf380… |
| 06-07 23:27:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0cf380… |
| 06-07 23:27:30 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x90e8cf… |
| 06-07 23:27:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x90e8cf… |
| 06-07 18:04:54 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x543f30… |
| 06-07 18:04:54 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x543f30… |
| 06-07 15:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x76415b… |
| 06-07 15:13:18 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x76415b… |
| 06-07 04:36:15 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x421e67… |
| 06-07 04:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x421e67… |
| 06-07 04:33:04 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x0250b6… |
| 06-07 04:33:04 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0250b6… |
| 06-07 03:06:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x241d40… |
| 06-07 03:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x241d40… |