Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
open
Total volume
$2,229
Trades
129
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$549
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 08-14 13:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+88.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $60
vs crowd: 12% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $78 | $317 | $239 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $35 | $346 | $311 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $68 | $624 | $556 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $60 | — | +$60 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $100 | $100 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $10 | +$1 |
| Median | 4 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Below median | 8 | $3 | $151 | $147 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | $108 | $100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $18 | $293 | $274 |
| unranked | 12 | $67 | $653 | $586 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +574 | $60 | $60 | 11 | 07-08 19:46 |
| Advanced-Petal 0xaa02…5b9a | No | +462 | $397 | $397 | 1 | 07-08 19:46 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +184 | $163 | $163 | 10 | 06-15 15:15 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | +122 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 08-14 13:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-08 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | No | +47 | $43 | $49 | 2 | 08-14 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-14 13:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +37 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-14 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-08 19:46 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $1 | $9 | 4 | 08-04 12:30 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-08 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +20 | $3 | $4 | 4 | 07-08 19:46 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-08 16:01 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-22 11:58 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 04:33 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-14 01:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-01 04:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +1 | $2 | $74 | 4 | 08-09 15:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 13:11:00 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 80 | 89¢ | $72 | 0x62f64b… |
| 08-14 13:11:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x62f64b… |
| 08-14 13:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x62f64b… |
| 08-14 13:11:00 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x62f64b… |
| 08-09 15:02:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 16 | 86¢ | $14 | 0x1ea284… |
| 08-09 15:02:10 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 16 | 86¢ | $14 | 0x1ea284… |
| 08-08 07:17:10 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x3bddd2… |
| 08-08 07:17:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x3bddd2… |
| 08-08 02:18:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x226d5c… |
| 08-08 02:18:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x226d5c… |
| 08-08 02:18:54 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x226d5c… |
| 08-04 12:30:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd9bae0… |
| 08-04 12:30:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd9bae0… |
| 08-01 04:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf3dd25… |
| 08-01 04:18:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf3dd25… |
| 07-31 15:43:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb40bc8… |
| 07-31 15:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb40bc8… |
| 07-14 01:51:02 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x5c9947… |
| 07-14 01:51:02 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x5c9947… |
| 07-14 01:51:02 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x5c9947… |
| 07-12 04:10:17 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x376ca2… |
| 07-12 04:10:17 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x376ca2… |
| 07-11 03:16:56 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xc0cd29… |
| 07-11 03:16:56 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xc0cd29… |
| 07-09 19:05:13 | (anonymous) 0xb36d…97c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x3fa1f0… |
| 07-09 19:05:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x3fa1f0… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Advanced-Petal 0xaa02…5b9a | No | BUY | 462 | 86¢ | $397 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 180 | 11¢ | $20 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 84 | 85¢ | $71 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:46:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x9d8afa… |
| 07-08 19:43:22 | (anonymous) 0xb36d…97c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xedc45a… |
| 07-08 19:43:22 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xedc45a… |
| 07-08 16:01:47 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 17 | 79¢ | $13 | 0xb5eb65… |
| 07-08 16:01:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xb5eb65… |
| 07-08 16:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xb5eb65… |
| 07-08 16:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xb5eb65… |
| 07-08 11:08:13 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x2c576b… |
| 07-08 11:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 173 | 11¢ | $19 | 0x2c576b… |
| 07-08 11:08:13 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x2c576b… |
| 07-08 11:06:47 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x861cee… |
| 07-08 11:06:47 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x861cee… |
| 07-08 11:06:14 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x6045cf… |
| 07-08 11:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x6045cf… |
| 07-08 11:05:44 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xc34bd2… |
| 07-08 11:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xc34bd2… |
| 07-08 11:05:20 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf915af… |
| 07-08 11:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf915af… |
| 07-08 11:04:46 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8959fc… |
| 07-08 11:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8959fc… |
| 07-08 11:04:32 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8f32c8… |
| 07-08 11:04:32 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8f32c8… |
| 07-08 11:04:02 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xc8bc51… |
| 07-08 11:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xc8bc51… |
| 07-08 11:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x573de2… |
| 07-08 11:03:31 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x573de2… |
| 07-08 11:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xa25eea… |
| 07-08 11:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0xa25eea… |
| 07-08 11:02:28 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeb903e… |
| 07-08 11:02:28 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeb903e… |
| 07-08 11:02:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x6df151… |
| 07-08 11:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x6df151… |
| 07-08 11:02:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x6df151… |
| 07-08 11:00:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x18ef6d… |
| 07-08 11:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x18ef6d… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 677 | 8¢ | $55 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-08 11:00:38 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe4f8bf… |
| 07-06 04:44:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xbd4d89… |
| 07-06 04:44:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbd4d89… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-01 01:41:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x34aa3a… |
| 07-01 01:41:43 | Unfit-Antiquity 0xe243…633b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x34aa3a… |
| 06-28 09:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x41bac4… |
| 06-28 09:43:13 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x41bac4… |
| 06-22 11:58:10 | Unfit-Antiquity 0xe243…633b | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6fcc4a… |
| 06-22 11:58:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6fcc4a… |
| 06-16 20:59:59 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd948f1… |
| 06-16 20:59:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd948f1… |
| 06-16 20:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7252b7… |
| 06-16 20:26:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7252b7… |
| 06-15 15:15:37 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa14b75… |