Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
open
Total volume
$302
Trades
45
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$549
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-06 04:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $163 | $163 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $9 | $14 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $6 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $163 | $163 |
| unranked | 5 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +184 | $163 | $163 | 10 | 06-15 15:15 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +51 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-06 04:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 15:14 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-22 11:58 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 09:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 07-06 04:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 04:44:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbd4d89… |
| 07-06 04:44:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xbd4d89… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-06 04:43:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb27aeb… |
| 07-01 01:41:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x34aa3a… |
| 07-01 01:41:43 | Unfit-Antiquity 0xe243…633b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x34aa3a… |
| 06-28 09:43:13 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x41bac4… |
| 06-28 09:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x41bac4… |
| 06-22 11:58:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6fcc4a… |
| 06-22 11:58:10 | Unfit-Antiquity 0xe243…633b | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6fcc4a… |
| 06-16 20:59:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd948f1… |
| 06-16 20:59:59 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd948f1… |
| 06-16 20:26:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7252b7… |
| 06-16 20:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7252b7… |
| 06-15 15:15:37 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa14b75… |
| 06-15 15:15:37 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa14b75… |
| 06-15 15:14:57 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0xb54084… |
| 06-15 15:14:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0xb54084… |
| 06-15 15:14:15 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 34 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x6602de… |
| 06-15 15:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6602de… |
| 06-15 15:14:15 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x6602de… |
| 06-15 15:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x008ba2… |
| 06-15 15:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x008ba2… |
| 06-15 15:13:34 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 55 | 88¢ | $49 | 0x008ba2… |
| 06-13 03:07:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0d3408… |
| 06-13 03:07:19 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x0d3408… |
| 06-12 00:30:06 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x66c4c0… |
| 06-12 00:30:06 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x66c4c0… |
| 06-08 22:45:27 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x435128… |
| 06-08 22:45:27 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x435128… |
| 06-07 23:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0cf380… |
| 06-07 23:27:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0cf380… |
| 06-07 23:27:30 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x90e8cf… |
| 06-07 23:27:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x90e8cf… |
| 06-07 18:04:54 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x543f30… |
| 06-07 18:04:54 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x543f30… |
| 06-07 15:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x76415b… |
| 06-07 15:13:18 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x76415b… |
| 06-07 04:36:15 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x421e67… |
| 06-07 04:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x421e67… |
| 06-07 04:33:04 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x0250b6… |
| 06-07 04:33:04 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0250b6… |
| 06-07 03:06:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x241d40… |
| 06-07 03:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x241d40… |