(anonymous) 0x3a43a1…3b67dc
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$234
Unrealized P&L
+$193
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
515
Trades
4,272
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$711
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 10-30 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
65% 51% +$377
Other
27% 41% -$178
Tech
8% 55% +$22
Sports
0% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +105 $44 93¢ $98 +$54 06-20 16:25
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +76 $45 94¢ $72 +$27 07-13 19:49
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +85 $19 69¢ $59 +$40 07-14 12:31
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +48 $33 86¢ $41 +$8 07-13 13:27
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 No +45 $31 88¢ $39 +$8 07-13 11:13
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +31 $21 86¢ $26 +$6 07-13 13:01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +25 $22 97¢ $24 +$2 07-09 10:18
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +25 $8 95¢ $24 +$16 07-09 12:48
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +29 $14 80¢ $23 +$9 07-13 16:29
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +23 $16 94¢ $22 +$6 07-09 16:34
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +25 $16 82¢ $21 +$4 07-13 16:12
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +25 $20 80¢ $20 -$1 07-16 23:10
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$3 07-09 12:10
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 07-09 16:07
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 07-09 15:58
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +20 $12 91¢ $18 +$7 07-09 16:08
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 84¢ $17 +$5 07-09 12:23
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +18 $14 87¢ $16 +$2 07-15 11:18
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +15 $7 97¢ $15 +$8 07-13 17:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$2 07-13 11:20
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +15 $8 92¢ $14 +$6 06-29 13:44
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +44 $34 31¢ $14 -$21 07-14 12:36
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +90 $29 15¢ $13 -$16 07-13 13:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 07-11 11:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 06-26 11:59
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 06-26 11:58
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 06-30 15:52
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$1 06-29 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 88¢ $9 +$7 06-12 16:20
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +35 $6 21¢ $7 +$1 07-11 12:43