(anonymous) 0x3a43a1…3b67dc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
4,194
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$639
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-16 23:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65% — —
Other
27% — —
Tech
8% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 452 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +76 $46 84¢ $64 +$18 07-14 13:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +102 $58 62¢ $63 +$5 07-14 13:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +72 $30 78¢ $57 +$27 06-20 16:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +142 $60 38¢ $55 $-5 07-14 13:14
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +28 $26 96¢ $27 +$1 07-09 15:05
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +28 $17 88¢ $25 +$8 06-24 12:45
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? No +34 $25 66¢ $22 $-3 07-13 11:28
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +34 $15 61¢ $21 +$6 07-13 16:37
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +24 $19 78¢ $19 $-0 07-09 14:16
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +25 $15 75¢ $19 +$4 07-08 19:47
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +24 $17 76¢ $18 +$2 07-09 10:48
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +24 $18 76¢ $18 $-1 07-14 12:36
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No +17 $16 97¢ $16 +$0 07-13 16:37
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +20 $14 69¢ $14 +$0 07-11 13:01
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? No +15 $12 92¢ $14 +$2 07-10 11:24
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +18 $14 74¢ $14 $-1 07-15 11:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +15 $13 91¢ $14 +$0 07-09 10:18
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +56 $12 24¢ $14 +$2 07-14 12:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +62 $34 22¢ $13 $-21 06-20 16:26
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 07-13 11:20
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 87¢ $13 $-1 07-15 11:22
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? Yes +25 $16 52¢ $13 $-3 07-13 11:35
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? Yes +18 $13 69¢ $13 $-0 07-15 11:23
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +35 $18 36¢ $13 $-5 07-13 16:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +17 $8 74¢ $13 +$5 07-14 13:31
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 07-09 16:07
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +15 $12 78¢ $12 $-1 07-09 09:44
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 76¢ $11 +$2 07-13 13:27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $7 88¢ $11 +$4 07-09 12:23
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +18 $12 54¢ $10 $-2 07-13 10:56