(anonymous) 0x3a43a1…3b67dc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,554
lifetime
Volume
$6.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$282
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-30 18:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76% — —
Other
13% — —
Tech
12% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +72 $30 70¢ $51 +$21 06-20 16:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +47 $38 97¢ $46 +$7 06-30 12:13
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +28 $17 77¢ $22 +$4 06-24 12:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +62 $34 30¢ $18 $-16 06-20 16:26
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 06-27 16:21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +14 $9 64¢ $9 +$0 06-29 19:30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 +$0 06-30 15:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$1 06-12 16:21
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-25 12:59
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +8 $6 89¢ $7 +$1 06-25 21:00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +8 $4 68¢ $5 +$1 06-26 12:00
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +8 $3 67¢ $5 +$2 06-22 14:10
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +22 $6 23¢ $5 $-1 06-24 12:46
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$0 06-27 00:20
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-24 10:13
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-22 14:44
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-27 16:12
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-30 14:45
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$0 06-30 12:38
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-16 14:55
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-25 09:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-26 11:59
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 06-25 16:16
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +5 $2 83¢ $4 +$2 06-30 12:26
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +11 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 06-29 19:20
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 $-0 06-29 19:19
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 06-22 16:05
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-25 22:32
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +5 $2 75¢ $4 +$2 06-09 08:58
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? No +11 $5 33¢ $4 $-2 06-23 12:22