Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?
open
Total volume
$237
Trades
30
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$397
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-31 16:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $73
vs crowd: 77% YES on $222)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $76 | $13 | +$64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $53 | $14 | +$39 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $17 | $24 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $73 | — | +$73 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $79 | $13 | +$66 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 3 | $17 | $14 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +96 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 07-15 10:07 |
| Harmless-Baseball 0x0224…292a | Yes | +87 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-13 19:59 |
| Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | +66 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-13 19:59 |
| Frosty-Leaf 0x856f…d64d | Yes | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-15 10:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +31 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-24 21:30 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | Yes | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-13 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +17 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-15 11:21 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-24 21:30 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bd6…0471 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 22:36 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | +5 | $-1 | $2 | 2 | 07-31 16:28 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $-8 | $11 | 4 | 07-13 19:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 16:28:30 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x6987e0… |
| 07-31 16:28:30 | Electric-Cantaloupe 0xa4d1…371b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x6987e0… |
| 07-15 11:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x235025… |
| 07-15 11:21:43 | Electric-Cantaloupe 0xa4d1…371b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x235025… |
| 07-15 10:07:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3d63cb… |
| 07-15 10:07:25 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3d63cb… |
| 07-15 10:07:25 | Frosty-Leaf 0x856f…d64d | Yes | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x3d63cb… |
| 07-13 19:59:46 | Harmless-Baseball 0x0224…292a | Yes | BUY | 87 | 84¢ | $73 | 0x6a1ac6… |
| 07-13 19:59:46 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 66 | 14¢ | $9 | 0x6a1ac6… |
| 07-13 19:59:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x6a1ac6… |
| 07-13 19:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x6a1ac6… |
| 07-13 19:37:17 | Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xcb5bd0… |
| 07-13 19:37:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xcb5bd0… |
| 06-24 21:30:01 | Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xeaee13… |
| 06-24 21:30:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xeaee13… |
| 06-20 22:36:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xcf20f6… |
| 06-20 22:36:20 | (anonymous) 0x5bd6…0471 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xcf20f6… |
| 06-20 20:15:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xff62ae… |
| 06-20 20:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | No | SELL | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xff62ae… |
| 06-20 20:04:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x256f64… |
| 06-20 20:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x256f64… |
| 06-20 20:04:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x256f64… |
| 06-20 19:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x605c08… |
| 06-20 19:35:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x605c08… |
| 06-20 19:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x80d611… |
| 06-20 19:19:02 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x80d611… |
| 06-20 19:12:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe8549b… |
| 06-20 19:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xe8549b… |
| 06-17 21:06:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa38528… |
| 06-17 21:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x9194…1a67 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa38528… |