Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
195
lifetime
Volume
$9.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$3.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-16 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
75%
Politics
24% 100% +$1
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +708 $699 99¢ $698 $-1 07-16 23:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +614 $563 92¢ $568 +$5 07-16 22:54
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +525 $500 96¢ $502 +$2 07-16 22:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +320 $300 96¢ $308 +$8 06-20 21:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +265 $240 90¢ $237 $-3 06-20 21:17
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +149 $139 95¢ $142 +$4 06-21 18:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +132 $120 94¢ $124 +$4 06-14 15:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +127 $110 70¢ $90 $-20 07-01 19:29
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +66 $60 97¢ $64 +$4 07-01 19:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +70 $61 86¢ $60 $-1 07-16 22:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +54 $50 97¢ $53 +$3 06-02 03:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +66 $50 78¢ $51 +$1 07-16 22:31
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +55 $50 93¢ $51 +$1 06-11 20:11
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 06-24 21:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +55 $43 86¢ $47 +$4 06-11 19:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $44 82¢ $42 $-2 06-24 21:28
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +44 $31 85¢ $38 +$7 06-12 16:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +24 $20 89¢ $22 +$2 06-05 17:49
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-24 21:19
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +24 $20 76¢ $18 $-2 06-11 20:38
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? No +23 $20 72¢ $17 $-3 06-21 18:15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +20 $10 70¢ $14 +$4 06-02 03:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 66¢ $12 +$2 06-05 16:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-02 03:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-14 23:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:18
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 23:49
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-11 20:23
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? No +10 $9 43¢ $4 $-4 06-24 21:30