Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
186
lifetime
Volume
$7.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
77%
Politics
23% 100% +$1
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +320 $300 95¢ $305 +$5 06-20 21:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +265 $240 90¢ $240 $-0 06-20 21:17
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +149 $139 94¢ $141 +$2 06-21 18:14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +148 $130 90¢ $133 +$3 06-14 15:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +132 $120 94¢ $124 +$4 06-14 15:47
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +119 $117 100¢ $118 +$1 06-27 23:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +54 $50 96¢ $52 +$2 06-02 03:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +55 $50 92¢ $51 +$1 06-11 20:11
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 06-24 21:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +55 $43 86¢ $47 +$4 06-11 19:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $44 82¢ $42 $-2 06-24 21:28
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +44 $31 78¢ $35 +$4 06-12 16:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +24 $20 85¢ $21 +$1 06-05 17:49
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-24 21:19
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? No +23 $20 84¢ $20 $-0 06-21 18:15
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +24 $20 77¢ $18 $-2 06-11 20:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +20 $10 60¢ $12 +$2 06-02 03:36
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-05 17:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-02 03:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-11 20:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 58¢ $11 +$1 06-05 16:20
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 06-11 20:09
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-07 15:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 06-14 23:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:18
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 06-11 20:22
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -8 $-6 70¢ $-6 +$0 06-04 23:49
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? No +10 $9 50¢ $5 $-4 06-24 21:30
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-11 20:23