Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
119
Trades
278
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$3.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
71% 56% -$82
Politics
29% 71% +$6
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +614 $563 97¢ $596 +$33 07-16 22:54
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +525 $500 98¢ $513 +$13 07-16 22:26
russia coup attempt in 2026 No +328 $302 96¢ $315 +$13 07-16 22:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +320 $300 97¢ $311 +$11 06-20 21:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +276 $250 94¢ $258 +$8 06-20 21:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +233 $200 82¢ $191 -$9 07-01 19:29
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +160 $149 98¢ $156 +$7 06-21 18:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +132 $120 97¢ $128 +$8 06-14 15:47
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +105 $101 97¢ $102 +$1 08-13 15:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +70 $61 94¢ $65 +$4 07-16 22:30
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +66 $60 92¢ $60 +$0 07-01 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +65 $52 90¢ $59 +$7 10-02 03:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +55 $50 95¢ $52 +$2 06-11 20:11
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +50 $49 97¢ $48 $0 10-02 03:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $44 80¢ $41 -$3 06-24 21:28
New pandemic in 2026? No +40 $38 97¢ $39 +$1 10-07 17:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +38 $30 94¢ $36 +$6 06-14 15:49
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -38 -$27 85¢ $-32 -$5 06-04 23:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +24 $20 95¢ $23 +$3 06-05 17:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +21 $19 96¢ $21 +$2 06-24 21:16
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 83¢ $17 +$1 10-05 15:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 92¢ $16 +$6 06-05 16:20
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +20 $10 82¢ $16 +$6 06-02 03:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 10-18 02:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-14 23:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-12 01:48
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-07 01:35
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:18
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-24 21:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +8 $5 81¢ $7 +$1 10-01 04:29