Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
open
Total volume
$869
Trades
52
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$5,437
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 11:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+72.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $62
vs crowd: 28% YES on $441)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $67 | $153 | $86 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $55 | $156 | $101 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $62 | — | +$62 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 11 | $45 | $309 | $264 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | Yes | +200 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-04 02:21 |
| Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | +200 | $138 | $138 | 2 | 06-07 13:19 |
| Jumpy-Dashboard 0xdf45…b1ec | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 13:19 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 11:17 |
| Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 11:17 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +6 | $3 | $15 | 3 | 06-07 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3d6…b56f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 13:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 13:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 11:17:15 | Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x9b7c18… |
| 06-11 11:17:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x9b7c18… |
| 06-08 13:17:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3776eb… |
| 06-08 13:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3d6…b56f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3776eb… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Jumpy-Dashboard 0xdf45…b1ec | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | BUY | 29 | 69¢ | $20 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Unfortunate-Tangerine 0x300d…ab3d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 31¢ | $62 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | BUY | 171 | 69¢ | $118 | 0xb4881c… |
| 05-31 03:23:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xba544b… |
| 05-31 03:23:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xba544b… |
| 05-29 07:59:01 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xbb3613… |
| 05-29 07:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xbb3613… |
| 05-29 07:58:47 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x014eda… |
| 05-29 07:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x014eda… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | SELL | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 35 | 77¢ | $27 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x27893b… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x27893b… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x82a281… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x82a281… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 35 | 78¢ | $27 | 0x418b12… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x5200a1… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x418b12… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x5200a1… |
| 05-28 18:58:23 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x5fc018… |
| 05-28 18:58:23 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5fc018… |
| 05-28 18:58:14 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xc5b6ba… |
| 05-28 18:58:14 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xc5b6ba… |
| 05-28 18:58:07 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xdb85fd… |
| 05-28 18:58:07 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdb85fd… |
| 05-28 18:57:58 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x3cac0c… |
| 05-28 18:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3cac0c… |
| 05-28 18:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xb1ab82… |
| 05-28 18:57:49 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xb1ab82… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x2ea0d2… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x0cffa4… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2ea0d2… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x0cffa4… |
| 05-28 18:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xb9cf87… |
| 05-28 18:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb9cf87… |
| 05-28 18:53:29 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xaa2d7a… |
| 05-28 18:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xaa2d7a… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 133 | 79¢ | $105 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Evergreen-Yogurt 0x6410…4dbb | Yes | SELL | 196 | 21¢ | $42 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Jaunty-Double 0x0535…fd35 | No | SELL | 56 | 78¢ | $43 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x32b785… |