Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
open
Total volume
$2,256
Trades
98
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$5,437
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-15 18:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $266
vs crowd: 22% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $6 | $206 | $200 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $65 | $9 | +$56 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $91 | $383 | $292 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $131 | $430 | $299 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $62 | $205 | $143 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
| Below median | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 21 | $195 | $791 | $596 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7371…ecaf | No | +297 | $225 | $225 | 2 | 08-15 18:41 |
| Speedy-Excellence 0x0c3c…5eea | No | +246 | $205 | $205 | 2 | 08-03 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | Yes | +182 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-15 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6c6…0eca | Yes | +116 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-15 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7371…ecaf | Yes | +116 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-15 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6c6…0eca | No | +116 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 08-15 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | Yes | +105 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-15 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xae49…6ac9 | Yes | +105 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-15 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xae49…6ac9 | No | +105 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 08-15 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | No | +105 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 08-15 12:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +49 | $7 | $23 | 4 | 08-03 09:21 |
| Jumpy-Dashboard 0xdf45…b1ec | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 13:19 |
| Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-23 02:48 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-21 18:15 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-05 08:47 |
| Lovable-Death 0x6594…ab24 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-08 17:33 |
| Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 08-06 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3d6…b56f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 13:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 13:17 |
| Worrisome-Fresco 0x1b2a…705f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-03 15:03 |
| Busy-Alibi 0xe7b8…c60a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 07:12 |
| Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 14:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 18:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x7371…ecaf | No | BUY | 182 | 74¢ | $135 | 0x4da7cb… |
| 08-15 18:41:37 | (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 26¢ | $47 | 0x4da7cb… |
| 08-15 13:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x7371…ecaf | Yes | BUY | 116 | 22¢ | $25 | 0xb3098d… |
| 08-15 13:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xf6c6…0eca | No | BUY | 116 | 78¢ | $90 | 0xb3098d… |
| 08-15 13:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xf6c6…0eca | Yes | BUY | 116 | 22¢ | $25 | 0xa8ef5c… |
| 08-15 13:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x7371…ecaf | No | BUY | 116 | 78¢ | $90 | 0xa8ef5c… |
| 08-15 12:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | No | BUY | 105 | 77¢ | $81 | 0x63b523… |
| 08-15 12:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xae49…6ac9 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 23¢ | $24 | 0x63b523… |
| 08-15 12:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | Yes | BUY | 105 | 23¢ | $24 | 0x8d8831… |
| 08-15 12:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xae49…6ac9 | No | BUY | 105 | 77¢ | $81 | 0x8d8831… |
| 08-08 17:33:30 | Lovable-Death 0x6594…ab24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x18dbb3… |
| 08-08 17:33:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x18dbb3… |
| 08-06 19:10:09 | Lovable-Death 0x6594…ab24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa888ea… |
| 08-06 19:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa888ea… |
| 08-05 08:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb804e0… |
| 08-05 08:47:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xb804e0… |
| 08-05 08:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb804e0… |
| 08-05 08:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xb804e0… |
| 08-03 15:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x72da05… |
| 08-03 15:03:20 | Worrisome-Fresco 0x1b2a…705f | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x72da05… |
| 08-03 09:21:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x06638a… |
| 08-03 09:21:36 | Speedy-Excellence 0x0c3c…5eea | No | BUY | 46 | 76¢ | $35 | 0x06638a… |
| 08-03 09:21:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x06638a… |
| 08-02 11:50:39 | Unsung-Portrait 0xf7b8…d761 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6a22fe… |
| 08-02 11:50:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6a22fe… |
| 07-22 06:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x6a5c…444c | No | SELL | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x1b3930… |
| 07-22 06:04:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x1b3930… |
| 07-10 00:51:40 | Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x596071… |
| 07-10 00:51:40 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 177 | 88¢ | $156 | 0x596071… |
| 07-10 00:51:40 | Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | Yes | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x596071… |
| 07-06 14:42:43 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x5833c8… |
| 07-06 14:42:43 | Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x5833c8… |
| 07-05 02:34:11 | Speedy-Excellence 0x0c3c…5eea | No | BUY | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xb8b2ff… |
| 07-05 02:34:11 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xb8b2ff… |
| 07-01 22:28:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x22699a… |
| 07-01 22:28:16 | Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x22699a… |
| 06-27 17:28:47 | (anonymous) 0x3f31…1dad | Yes | SELL | 107 | 12¢ | $13 | 0x2bfc88… |
| 06-27 17:28:47 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 88 | 88¢ | $78 | 0x2bfc88… |
| 06-27 17:28:47 | Giving-Eviction 0xcbac…732c | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x2bfc88… |
| 06-23 02:48:08 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe49a7d… |
| 06-23 02:48:08 | Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe49a7d… |
| 06-21 18:15:49 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xeb4f19… |
| 06-21 18:15:49 | Giving-Eviction 0xcbac…732c | No | SELL | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xeb4f19… |
| 06-21 18:15:49 | Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xeb4f19… |
| 06-18 07:12:11 | Busy-Alibi 0xe7b8…c60a | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc4d131… |
| 06-18 07:12:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc4d131… |
| 06-11 11:17:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x9b7c18… |
| 06-11 11:17:15 | Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x9b7c18… |
| 06-08 13:17:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3776eb… |
| 06-08 13:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3d6…b56f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3776eb… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | BUY | 29 | 69¢ | $20 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-07 13:19:13 | Jumpy-Dashboard 0xdf45…b1ec | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x599ec9… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Unfortunate-Tangerine 0x300d…ab3d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 31¢ | $62 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb4881c… |
| 06-04 02:21:34 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | BUY | 171 | 69¢ | $118 | 0xb4881c… |
| 05-31 03:23:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xba544b… |
| 05-31 03:23:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xba544b… |
| 05-29 07:59:01 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xbb3613… |
| 05-29 07:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xbb3613… |
| 05-29 07:58:47 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x014eda… |
| 05-29 07:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x014eda… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | SELL | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 35 | 77¢ | $27 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:57:48 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x8cf0cb… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x27893b… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x82a281… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x27893b… |
| 05-29 07:54:39 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x82a281… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x5200a1… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x418b12… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x5200a1… |
| 05-29 07:53:48 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 35 | 78¢ | $27 | 0x418b12… |
| 05-28 18:58:23 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5fc018… |
| 05-28 18:58:23 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x5fc018… |
| 05-28 18:58:14 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xc5b6ba… |
| 05-28 18:58:14 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xc5b6ba… |
| 05-28 18:58:07 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdb85fd… |
| 05-28 18:58:07 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xdb85fd… |
| 05-28 18:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3cac0c… |
| 05-28 18:57:58 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x3cac0c… |
| 05-28 18:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xb1ab82… |
| 05-28 18:57:49 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xb1ab82… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x2ea0d2… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2ea0d2… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x0cffa4… |
| 05-28 18:54:28 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x0cffa4… |
| 05-28 18:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb9cf87… |
| 05-28 18:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xb9cf87… |
| 05-28 18:53:29 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xaa2d7a… |
| 05-28 18:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xaa2d7a… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Evergreen-Yogurt 0x6410…4dbb | Yes | SELL | 196 | 21¢ | $42 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Jaunty-Double 0x0535…fd35 | No | SELL | 56 | 78¢ | $43 | 0x32b785… |
| 05-28 04:40:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 133 | 79¢ | $105 | 0x32b785… |