Realized P&L
-$315
Unrealized P&L
+$2.82K
Hit rate
39.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
665
lifetime
Volume
$146.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$220
Open exposure
$26.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-15
last 08-18 11:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
72% 38% +$2
Politics
28% 54% -$317
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +5,020 $4,553 93¢ $4.7K +$98 08-18 11:37
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +1,813 $1,518 100¢ $1.8K +$293 08-18 10:02
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +1,926 $1,253 88¢ $1.7K +$432 08-17 20:37
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,727 $1,599 97¢ $1.7K +$82 08-18 10:26
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +1,648 $1,385 76¢ $1.2K -$140 08-16 19:45
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +1,699 $887 71¢ $1.2K +$320 08-17 20:26
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +1,337 $836 85¢ $1.1K +$301 08-16 19:55
will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631 Yes +921 $308 98¢ $900 +$592 08-17 20:50
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +1,207 $832 72¢ $875 +$43 08-17 21:10
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +955 $648 91¢ $869 +$221 08-17 20:20
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +990 $683 82¢ $807 +$124 08-16 19:43
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +1,067 $473 64¢ $683 +$210 08-16 19:36
will hesai be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230557 No +789 $554 82¢ $643 +$90 08-16 19:38
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +658 $609 98¢ $642 +$33 08-18 10:20
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +636 $626 99¢ $632 +$6 08-17 21:06
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No +625 $622 100¢ $623 +$1 08-17 21:15
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +669 $401 91¢ $608 +$207 08-17 20:54
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +568 $541 96¢ $548 +$7 08-18 11:40
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +558 $514 93¢ $519 +$4 08-17 21:13
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +515 $491 98¢ $506 +$15 08-16 15:24
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +1,699 $813 29¢ $493 -$320 08-17 20:26
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +474 $426 92¢ $438 +$12 08-16 18:45
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 Yes +1,648 $264 24¢ $404 +$140 08-16 19:45
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 No +494 $341 80¢ $397 +$57 08-16 19:50
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +1,067 $594 36¢ $384 -$210 08-16 19:36
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551 No +453 $263 82¢ $372 +$109 08-16 19:06
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +517 $134 71¢ $367 +$233 08-16 19:54
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +4,964 $463 7¢ $365 -$98 08-18 11:44
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +488 $332 69¢ $337 +$5 08-16 20:15
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +1,207 $375 28¢ $332 -$43 08-17 21:10