Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$83,269
$1,231 in 24h
Trades
462
Unique wallets
176
Liquidity
$5,988
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-03 14:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $58
vs crowd: 9% YES on $41.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $9 | $50 | $41 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $28 | $409 | $380 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $30 | $481 | $450 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 143 | $3.6K | $37.0K | $33.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $30 | $170 | $140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $93 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| Below median | 14 | $141 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $88 | $818 | $730 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $17 | $9 | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 120 | $3.3K | $30.8K | $27.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +165 | $19 | $29 | 5 | 06-17 22:10 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +84 | $72 | $309 | 7 | 07-02 19:58 |
| Few-Behalf 0x2384…3e0b | Yes | +75 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +65 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-03 05:53 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 21:26 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-03 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 07-03 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xddc5…412a | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-03 14:19 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 22:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 14:52 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-03 03:54 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 03:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 14:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7b3404… |
| 07-03 14:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xddc5…412a | No | BUY | 19 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x7b3404… |
| 07-03 08:04:52 | (anonymous) 0xe2cd…8b23 | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0x31488b… |
| 07-03 08:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x735e…03ba | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $425 | 0x31488b… |
| 07-03 08:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x5ef4…94b6 | No | SELL | 482 | 91¢ | $441 | 0x31488b… |
| 07-03 08:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x08dc…3470 | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0xb3b6d1… |
| 07-03 08:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xc9b6…d92a | No | SELL | 447 | 91¢ | $409 | 0xb3b6d1… |
| 07-03 08:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xf4e7…956e | No | SELL | 500 | 91¢ | $457 | 0xb3b6d1… |
| 07-03 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x0269…d1a2 | No | SELL | 476 | 91¢ | $435 | 0x09d6ca… |
| 07-03 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x7e68…7a79 | No | SELL | 471 | 91¢ | $430 | 0x09d6ca… |
| 07-03 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x2922…b3ce | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0x09d6ca… |
| 07-03 07:58:46 | (anonymous) 0xf552…7e03 | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0x452efc… |
| 07-03 07:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x3e3a…bc6e | No | SELL | 495 | 91¢ | $452 | 0x452efc… |
| 07-03 07:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x046b…b42a | No | SELL | 452 | 91¢ | $413 | 0x452efc… |
| 07-03 07:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x894a…92d9 | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0x5b2da2… |
| 07-03 07:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xf24b…9e4a | No | SELL | 510 | 91¢ | $466 | 0x5b2da2… |
| 07-03 07:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x0528…3595 | No | SELL | 437 | 91¢ | $399 | 0x5b2da2… |
| 07-03 07:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x65a5…ba24 | No | SELL | 478 | 91¢ | $437 | 0xabdc39… |
| 07-03 07:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x196b…7349 | No | SELL | 469 | 91¢ | $429 | 0xabdc39… |
| 07-03 07:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x9548…52a1 | Yes | SELL | 947 | 9¢ | $81 | 0xabdc39… |
| 07-03 07:23:05 | Near-Railway 0x34ea…d1c7 | No | SELL | 390 | 91¢ | $355 | 0x27b000… |
| 07-03 07:23:05 | Brilliant-Hacksaw-Estate 0x9e5f…a657 | Yes | SELL | 390 | 9¢ | $35 | 0x27b000… |
| 07-03 07:22:55 | Brilliant-Hacksaw-Estate 0x9e5f…a657 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x550d6b… |
| 07-03 07:22:55 | Grateful-Signature 0xb070…3bbc | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x550d6b… |
| 07-03 07:22:43 | Fixed-Man 0x748b…800e | No | SELL | 410 | 91¢ | $374 | 0x72a3a1… |
| 07-03 07:22:43 | Handsome-Support 0x6270…1ffb | Yes | SELL | 410 | 9¢ | $36 | 0x72a3a1… |
| 07-03 07:22:34 | Handsome-Support 0x6270…1ffb | Yes | SELL | 450 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x8ac964… |
| 07-03 07:22:34 | Nocturnal-Toffee 0xc289…e69c | No | SELL | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x8ac964… |
| 07-03 07:13:19 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xa1c8af… |
| 07-03 07:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa1c8af… |
| 07-03 06:42:25 | (anonymous) 0xf552…7e03 | Yes | BUY | 471 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xd1d394… |
| 07-03 06:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x7e68…7a79 | No | BUY | 471 | 91¢ | $428 | 0xd1d394… |
| 07-03 06:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xf552…7e03 | Yes | BUY | 476 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x302ad1… |
| 07-03 06:42:23 | (anonymous) 0x0269…d1a2 | No | BUY | 476 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x302ad1… |
| 07-03 06:41:58 | (anonymous) 0xe2cd…8b23 | Yes | BUY | 447 | 9¢ | $41 | 0xecee98… |
| 07-03 06:41:58 | (anonymous) 0xc9b6…d92a | No | BUY | 447 | 91¢ | $406 | 0xecee98… |
| 07-03 06:41:56 | (anonymous) 0xf4e7…956e | No | BUY | 500 | 91¢ | $454 | 0x8ec833… |
| 07-03 06:41:56 | (anonymous) 0xe2cd…8b23 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 9¢ | $46 | 0x8ec833… |
| 07-03 06:37:25 | (anonymous) 0xf24b…9e4a | No | BUY | 510 | 91¢ | $463 | 0xc5b4a7… |
| 07-03 06:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x9548…52a1 | Yes | BUY | 510 | 9¢ | $47 | 0xc5b4a7… |
| 07-03 06:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x0528…3595 | No | BUY | 437 | 91¢ | $397 | 0x59e07c… |
| 07-03 06:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x9548…52a1 | Yes | BUY | 437 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x59e07c… |
| 07-03 06:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x2922…b3ce | Yes | BUY | 495 | 9¢ | $46 | 0x8c7111… |
| 07-03 06:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x3e3a…bc6e | No | BUY | 495 | 91¢ | $449 | 0x8c7111… |
| 07-03 06:37:02 | (anonymous) 0x046b…b42a | No | BUY | 452 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x47d3b8… |
| 07-03 06:37:02 | (anonymous) 0x2922…b3ce | Yes | BUY | 452 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x47d3b8… |
| 07-03 06:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x5ef4…94b6 | No | BUY | 482 | 91¢ | $438 | 0x6be7da… |
| 07-03 06:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x894a…92d9 | Yes | BUY | 482 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x6be7da… |
| 07-03 06:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x735e…03ba | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $422 | 0x531291… |
| 07-03 06:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x894a…92d9 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x531291… |
| 07-03 06:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x08dc…3470 | Yes | BUY | 478 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x79b822… |
| 07-03 06:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x65a5…ba24 | No | BUY | 478 | 91¢ | $434 | 0x79b822… |
| 07-03 06:30:53 | (anonymous) 0x08dc…3470 | Yes | BUY | 469 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x05bf12… |
| 07-03 06:30:53 | (anonymous) 0x196b…7349 | No | BUY | 469 | 91¢ | $426 | 0x05bf12… |
| 07-03 06:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x2143…8f08 | Yes | SELL | 1,047 | 9¢ | $97 | 0x693394… |
| 07-03 06:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f29…01b0 | No | SELL | 528 | 91¢ | $479 | 0x693394… |
| 07-03 06:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x9e2c…e999 | No | SELL | 519 | 91¢ | $471 | 0x693394… |
| 07-03 06:21:10 | (anonymous) 0x3aee…4e56 | Yes | SELL | 1,047 | 9¢ | $97 | 0xde3ef8… |
| 07-03 06:21:10 | (anonymous) 0x634d…8c38 | No | SELL | 582 | 91¢ | $528 | 0xde3ef8… |
| 07-03 06:21:10 | (anonymous) 0xc0fe…18cf | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $422 | 0xde3ef8… |
| 07-03 06:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x058c…6f06 | No | SELL | 530 | 91¢ | $481 | 0xd6ac99… |
| 07-03 06:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x8b83…2d9b | Yes | SELL | 1,050 | 9¢ | $98 | 0xd6ac99… |
| 07-03 06:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x7ccf…d6a8 | No | SELL | 520 | 91¢ | $472 | 0xd6ac99… |
| 07-03 06:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x822f…3ba0 | No | SELL | 545 | 91¢ | $494 | 0xb6c41f… |
| 07-03 06:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xb60a…2234 | Yes | SELL | 1,050 | 9¢ | $98 | 0xb6c41f… |
| 07-03 06:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xe5b1…5e80 | No | SELL | 505 | 91¢ | $458 | 0xb6c41f… |
| 07-03 05:58:35 | Handsome-Support 0x6270…1ffb | Yes | BUY | 390 | 9¢ | $36 | 0x811dec… |
| 07-03 05:58:35 | Near-Railway 0x34ea…d1c7 | No | BUY | 390 | 91¢ | $354 | 0x811dec… |
| 07-03 05:58:01 | Grateful-Signature 0xb070…3bbc | No | BUY | 470 | 91¢ | $427 | 0xb2c0f1… |
| 07-03 05:58:01 | Handsome-Support 0x6270…1ffb | Yes | BUY | 470 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xb2c0f1… |
| 07-03 05:57:47 | Fixed-Man 0x748b…800e | No | BUY | 410 | 91¢ | $372 | 0x6cafe3… |
| 07-03 05:57:47 | Brilliant-Hacksaw-Estate 0x9e5f…a657 | Yes | BUY | 410 | 9¢ | $38 | 0x6cafe3… |
| 07-03 05:57:16 | Nocturnal-Toffee 0xc289…e69c | No | BUY | 450 | 91¢ | $409 | 0xe3222e… |
| 07-03 05:57:16 | Brilliant-Hacksaw-Estate 0x9e5f…a657 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 9¢ | $41 | 0xe3222e… |
| 07-03 05:53:55 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x5d0d70… |
| 07-03 05:53:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x5d0d70… |
| 07-03 05:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x44d5…2792 | No | SELL | 425 | 91¢ | $386 | 0xdc7086… |
| 07-03 05:51:07 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | SELL | 425 | 9¢ | $39 | 0xdc7086… |
| 07-03 05:50:41 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | SELL | 448 | 9¢ | $41 | 0xae8b1b… |
| 07-03 05:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x2482…a1aa | No | SELL | 448 | 91¢ | $407 | 0xae8b1b… |
| 07-03 05:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | SELL | 425 | 9¢ | $39 | 0xd5d148… |
| 07-03 05:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xaa6f…ee79 | No | SELL | 425 | 91¢ | $386 | 0xd5d148… |
| 07-03 05:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | SELL | 448 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x233c64… |
| 07-03 05:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x1dc1…d53d | No | SELL | 448 | 91¢ | $407 | 0x233c64… |
| 07-03 05:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x3aee…4e56 | Yes | BUY | 519 | 9¢ | $48 | 0xf299e6… |
| 07-03 05:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e2c…e999 | No | BUY | 519 | 91¢ | $471 | 0xf299e6… |
| 07-03 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x3aee…4e56 | Yes | BUY | 528 | 9¢ | $49 | 0x7c9a87… |
| 07-03 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x1f29…01b0 | No | BUY | 528 | 91¢ | $479 | 0x7c9a87… |
| 07-03 05:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x634d…8c38 | No | BUY | 582 | 91¢ | $528 | 0x6595ea… |
| 07-03 05:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x2143…8f08 | Yes | BUY | 582 | 9¢ | $54 | 0x6595ea… |
| 07-03 05:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x2143…8f08 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xf423f4… |
| 07-03 05:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xc0fe…18cf | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $422 | 0xf423f4… |
| 07-03 05:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x058c…6f06 | No | BUY | 530 | 91¢ | $481 | 0xc279a9… |
| 07-03 05:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xb60a…2234 | Yes | BUY | 530 | 9¢ | $49 | 0xc279a9… |
| 07-03 05:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xb60a…2234 | Yes | BUY | 520 | 9¢ | $48 | 0x0322de… |
| 07-03 05:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x7ccf…d6a8 | No | BUY | 520 | 91¢ | $472 | 0x0322de… |
| 07-03 05:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x822f…3ba0 | No | BUY | 545 | 91¢ | $495 | 0xa784b8… |
| 07-03 05:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8b83…2d9b | Yes | BUY | 545 | 9¢ | $50 | 0xa784b8… |
| 07-03 05:42:13 | (anonymous) 0xe5b1…5e80 | No | BUY | 505 | 91¢ | $459 | 0xf854b0… |
| 07-03 05:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x8b83…2d9b | Yes | BUY | 505 | 9¢ | $46 | 0xf854b0… |