Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$932
$1,231 in 24h
Trades
73
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$5,988
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 13:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $6 | $4 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $19 | $172 | $153 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $25 | $187 | $162 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $35 | — | +$35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $30 | $159 | $129 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $12 | $9 | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $16 | $9 | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $187 | $186 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +226 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-05 21:53 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +185 | $165 | $209 | 3 | 06-05 21:53 |
| Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | +113 | $101 | $101 | 3 | 05-31 10:08 |
| Few-Behalf 0x2384…3e0b | Yes | +75 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +65 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +61 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-06 01:00 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 21:26 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $4 | 4 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 22:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 13:11:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x426564… |
| 06-12 13:11:28 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x426564… |
| 06-12 13:10:22 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x00816b… |
| 06-12 13:10:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x00816b… |
| 06-12 13:10:22 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x00816b… |
| 06-06 01:00:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xebaa78… |
| 06-06 01:00:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xebaa78… |
| 06-05 21:55:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xefdd22… |
| 06-05 21:55:48 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | SELL | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0xefdd22… |
| 06-05 21:55:48 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xefdd22… |
| 06-05 21:55:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xefdd22… |
| 06-05 21:53:01 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x214a67… |
| 06-05 21:53:01 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 121 | 90¢ | $109 | 0x214a67… |
| 06-05 21:53:01 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x214a67… |
| 06-05 21:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x214a67… |
| 06-05 21:53:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x214a67… |
| 06-02 23:51:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x626ab2… |
| 06-02 23:51:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x626ab2… |
| 06-02 22:29:55 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x985281… |
| 06-02 22:29:55 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x985281… |
| 06-02 22:29:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x985281… |
| 06-02 21:18:15 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf2ec87… |
| 06-02 21:18:15 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf2ec87… |
| 06-02 21:11:07 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x4be41d… |
| 06-02 21:11:07 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x4be41d… |
| 06-02 18:11:13 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd54c1b… |
| 06-02 18:11:13 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd54c1b… |
| 06-02 13:20:27 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xf00aee… |
| 06-02 13:20:27 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xf00aee… |
| 06-02 11:55:31 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xee89de… |
| 06-02 11:55:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xee89de… |
| 06-02 11:55:31 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xee89de… |
| 06-01 22:58:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x41ab5e… |
| 06-01 22:58:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x41ab5e… |
| 06-01 22:06:31 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd7ff79… |
| 06-01 22:06:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xd7ff79… |
| 06-01 22:06:31 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd7ff79… |
| 05-31 21:26:51 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9ded25… |
| 05-31 21:26:51 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x9ded25… |
| 05-31 21:26:51 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x9ded25… |
| 05-31 10:08:58 | Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | BUY | 49 | 90¢ | $44 | 0xd2cea4… |
| 05-31 10:08:58 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd2cea4… |
| 05-31 08:30:23 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x237384… |
| 05-31 08:30:23 | Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x237384… |
| 05-31 05:49:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdc958c… |
| 05-31 05:49:07 | Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | BUY | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xdc958c… |
| 05-29 19:24:26 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 65 | 89¢ | $58 | 0x4b43d2… |
| 05-29 19:24:26 | Few-Behalf 0x2384…3e0b | Yes | BUY | 75 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x4b43d2… |
| 05-29 19:24:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x4b43d2… |
| 05-29 06:12:16 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6d9eb0… |
| 05-29 06:12:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6d9eb0… |
| 05-29 06:12:13 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa67b7c… |
| 05-29 06:12:13 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa67b7c… |
| 05-29 06:12:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa67b7c… |
| 05-28 20:42:13 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xb99eb2… |
| 05-28 20:42:13 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb99eb2… |
| 05-28 20:42:13 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xb99eb2… |
| 05-28 17:10:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc51051… |
| 05-28 17:10:38 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 88 | 89¢ | $79 | 0xc51051… |
| 05-28 17:10:38 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc51051… |
| 05-28 17:10:38 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 11¢ | $15 | 0xc51051… |
| 05-28 16:44:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6979ed… |
| 05-28 16:44:00 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6979ed… |
| 05-28 14:44:45 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x34efde… |
| 05-28 14:44:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x34efde… |
| 05-28 14:23:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xfbff80… |
| 05-28 14:23:11 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xfbff80… |
| 05-28 01:37:08 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xca54b0… |
| 05-28 01:37:08 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xca54b0… |
| 05-27 23:41:15 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x9ea473… |
| 05-27 23:41:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x9ea473… |
| 05-27 23:21:49 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x871bc9… |
| 05-27 23:21:49 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x871bc9… |