Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$130,047
$1,231 in 24h
Trades
824
Unique wallets
311
Liquidity
$5,988
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-16 15:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $34 | $268 | $235 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $54 | $541 | $488 |
| 🐟 Fish | 38 | $105 | $10.6K | $10.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 233 | $4.8K | $50.2K | $45.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $45 | $228 | $183 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $172 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| Median | 14 | $222 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 22 | $285 | $2.7K | $2.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $162 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $29 | $69 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1 | $153 | $152 |
| unranked | 222 | $4.1K | $52.2K | $48.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +955 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 08-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | Yes | +526 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 08-16 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3cc…9e3b | Yes | +526 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 08-16 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | No | +526 | $493 | $493 | 1 | 08-16 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3cc…9e3b | No | +526 | $493 | $493 | 1 | 08-16 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc26d…10f1 | Yes | +516 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 08-16 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | Yes | +516 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 08-16 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | No | +516 | $483 | $483 | 1 | 08-16 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc26d…10f1 | No | +516 | $483 | $483 | 1 | 08-16 10:41 |
| Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | +190 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 07-20 15:45 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +165 | $19 | $29 | 5 | 06-17 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6980…7bef | No | +128 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-11 14:05 |
| Determined-Kilt 0x2c28…527c | No | +118 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-11 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1754…a415 | No | +115 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeb2…2de1 | No | +114 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-11 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e8d…6301 | No | +112 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f78…9b65 | No | +112 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x96c3…e387 | No | +110 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-13 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x63fc…daf7 | No | +110 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6f5…6695 | No | +110 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c21…8b0b | No | +107 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-17 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ce9…65d9 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-17 09:57 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +99 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 08-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +83 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 07-23 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +83 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 13:31 |
| Few-Behalf 0x2384…3e0b | Yes | +75 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Fussy-Defeat 0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-03 23:05 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +58 | $49 | $332 | 8 | 07-11 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xef5f…7334 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 08-03 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0beb…2602 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 08-11 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x135a…b4ed | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 08-03 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbad…2270 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-03 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 09:26 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | +38 | $3 | $6 | 5 | 07-11 10:58 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x67f7…b0a7 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-14 13:33 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $12 | 10 | 08-03 06:28 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-03 07:13 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3684…2208 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-14 13:31 |
| Euphoric-Squirrel 0xda7c…0925 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x07ba…5714 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x89d7…6c04 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-11 11:37 |
| Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 08-13 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x733a…907a | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-11 10:52 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-13 09:14 |
| Burdensome-Toga 0x7727…15a4 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 17:56 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +13 | $-12 | $33 | 5 | 08-14 12:35 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +10 | $-2 | $21 | 19 | 08-11 19:48 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 14:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xb3cc…9e3b | Yes | BUY | 526 | 6¢ | $34 | 0x2f1212… |
| 08-16 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | No | BUY | 526 | 94¢ | $493 | 0x2f1212… |
| 08-16 15:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xab53…664f | Yes | BUY | 526 | 6¢ | $34 | 0xe683ec… |
| 08-16 15:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xb3cc…9e3b | No | BUY | 526 | 94¢ | $493 | 0xe683ec… |
| 08-16 10:41:36 | (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | No | BUY | 516 | 94¢ | $483 | 0x219193… |
| 08-16 10:41:36 | (anonymous) 0xc26d…10f1 | Yes | BUY | 516 | 6¢ | $33 | 0x219193… |
| 08-16 10:41:30 | (anonymous) 0xbd1c…7fd5 | Yes | BUY | 516 | 6¢ | $33 | 0xa6dd3c… |
| 08-16 10:41:30 | (anonymous) 0xc26d…10f1 | No | BUY | 516 | 94¢ | $483 | 0xa6dd3c… |
| 08-14 12:35:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x31f18b… |
| 08-14 12:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x46a0…61b7 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x31f18b… |
| 08-13 13:25:33 | Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xb249cf… |
| 08-13 13:25:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xb249cf… |
| 08-13 13:25:12 | Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x362afe… |
| 08-13 13:25:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x362afe… |
| 08-12 14:07:40 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x82dbcb… |
| 08-12 14:07:40 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x82dbcb… |
| 08-12 12:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x4d3f56… |
| 08-12 12:33:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x4d3f56… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 49 | 95¢ | $46 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-12 12:33:00 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x65f6f9… |
| 08-11 19:48:40 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xc706c6… |
| 08-11 19:48:40 | Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | BUY | 213 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xc706c6… |
| 08-11 19:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x0beb…2602 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xc706c6… |
| 08-11 19:48:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc706c6… |
| 08-07 17:36:55 | (anonymous) 0x0beb…2602 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xfcc269… |
| 08-07 17:36:55 | Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xfcc269… |
| 08-07 15:32:24 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18c198… |
| 08-07 15:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18c198… |
| 08-06 15:00:21 | (anonymous) 0x0beb…2602 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x952e2a… |
| 08-06 15:00:21 | (anonymous) 0x5115…f1d2 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x952e2a… |
| 08-04 23:16:17 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x28b13a… |
| 08-04 23:16:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x28b13a… |
| 08-04 23:16:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd55ede… |
| 08-04 23:16:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd55ede… |
| 08-04 23:16:12 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x651116… |
| 08-04 23:16:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x651116… |
| 08-04 23:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x944f07… |
| 08-04 23:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x944f07… |
| 08-04 23:15:44 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x944f07… |
| 08-03 23:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x135a…b4ed | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xda647d… |
| 08-03 23:05:36 | Fussy-Defeat 0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xda647d… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xbbad…2270 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 312 | 7¢ | $22 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xef5f…7334 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | BUY | 533 | 6¢ | $30 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb84d8c… |
| 08-01 10:59:32 | Prickly-Passport 0x619d…b31c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x319f48… |
| 08-01 10:59:32 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x319f48… |
| 08-01 10:59:32 | Fussy-Defeat 0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x319f48… |
| 08-01 10:39:09 | Prickly-Passport 0x619d…b31c | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xec765e… |
| 08-01 10:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xef5f…7334 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xec765e… |
| 07-25 04:58:52 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3ce9d5… |
| 07-25 04:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3ce9d5… |
| 07-24 13:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x67f8e8… |
| 07-24 13:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x67f8e8… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x347f…702e | No | SELL | 91 | 98¢ | $89 | 0x079639… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | BUY | 83 | 98¢ | $81 | 0x079639… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x079639… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-17 10:21:51 | (anonymous) 0x63fc…daf7 | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0xfb15c4… |
| 07-17 10:21:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfb15c4… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xc6f5…6695 | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x3ce9…65d9 | No | BUY | 106 | 98¢ | $104 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x5c21…8b0b | No | BUY | 107 | 97¢ | $104 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x6e8d…6301 | No | BUY | 112 | 97¢ | $108 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | (anonymous) 0x2f78…9b65 | No | BUY | 112 | 96¢ | $108 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x9b10…588b | No | SELL | 328 | 95¢ | $312 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x3762…ede9 | Yes | SELL | 652 | 5¢ | $31 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x2c02…1205 | No | SELL | 324 | 95¢ | $308 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e87…1bbf | Yes | SELL | 652 | 5¢ | $31 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xa96c…7c4d | No | SELL | 312 | 95¢ | $297 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x714b…6669 | No | SELL | 340 | 95¢ | $324 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x23d4…1d88 | Yes | SELL | 678 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x07e4…d34e | No | SELL | 319 | 95¢ | $304 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x7a52…b285 | No | SELL | 359 | 95¢ | $342 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0xe13c…7ca7 | No | SELL | 329 | 95¢ | $313 | 0x9337ba… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x8f9d…1892 | Yes | SELL | 678 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x9337ba… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0xe478…17b1 | No | SELL | 349 | 95¢ | $332 | 0x9337ba… |