Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$127,252
$1,231 in 24h
Trades
766
Unique wallets
290
Liquidity
$5,988
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-25 04:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $58
vs crowd: 8% YES on $64.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $30 | $137 | $107 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $51 | $468 | $417 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $37 | $5.5K | $5.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 232 | $4.7K | $53.1K | $48.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $43 | $170 | $127 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $171 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| Median | 13 | $172 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| Below median | 17 | $278 | $2.7K | $2.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $164 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $29 | $69 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $1 | $59 | $59 |
| unranked | 209 | $4.0K | $50.0K | $46.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +312 | $9 | $11 | 3 | 07-17 02:40 |
| Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | +190 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 07-20 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +172 | $4 | $6 | 4 | 07-20 15:45 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +165 | $19 | $29 | 5 | 06-17 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6980…7bef | No | +128 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-11 14:05 |
| Determined-Kilt 0x2c28…527c | No | +118 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-11 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1754…a415 | No | +115 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeb2…2de1 | No | +114 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-11 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e8d…6301 | No | +112 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f78…9b65 | No | +112 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x96c3…e387 | No | +110 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-13 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x63fc…daf7 | No | +110 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6f5…6695 | No | +110 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-17 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c21…8b0b | No | +107 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-17 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ce9…65d9 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-17 09:57 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +88 | $1 | $13 | 13 | 07-25 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +83 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 07-23 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +83 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 13:31 |
| Few-Behalf 0x2384…3e0b | Yes | +75 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +58 | $49 | $332 | 8 | 07-11 11:31 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | +52 | $2 | $12 | 9 | 07-23 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | +38 | $3 | $6 | 5 | 07-11 10:58 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 21:26 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $8 | 5 | 07-17 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x67f7…b0a7 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-14 13:33 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-03 07:13 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3684…2208 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-14 13:31 |
| Euphoric-Squirrel 0xda7c…0925 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x07ba…5714 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x89d7…6c04 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-11 11:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x733a…907a | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-11 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x86d0…b93f | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-14 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xddc5…412a | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-03 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x064f…14e4 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-13 07:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-13 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xea26…ba33 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-13 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf5e…5ed6 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-13 07:31 |
| Burdensome-Toga 0x7727…15a4 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 17:56 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 22:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 14:52 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6de0…8b87 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 13:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 04:58:52 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3ce9d5… |
| 07-25 04:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3ce9d5… |
| 07-24 13:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x67f8e8… |
| 07-24 13:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x67f8e8… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | BUY | 83 | 98¢ | $81 | 0x079639… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x347f…702e | No | SELL | 91 | 98¢ | $89 | 0x079639… |
| 07-23 10:59:18 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x079639… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-20 15:45:49 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb941b6… |
| 07-17 10:21:51 | (anonymous) 0x63fc…daf7 | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0xfb15c4… |
| 07-17 10:21:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfb15c4… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xc6f5…6695 | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0x1faed0… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x3ce9…65d9 | No | BUY | 106 | 98¢ | $104 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:57:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6b7990… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x5c21…8b0b | No | BUY | 107 | 97¢ | $104 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:26:36 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x9a0871… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x6e8d…6301 | No | BUY | 112 | 97¢ | $108 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:57 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x91f1a6… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | (anonymous) 0x2f78…9b65 | No | BUY | 112 | 96¢ | $108 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 09:17:00 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x6c509b… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x9b10…588b | No | SELL | 328 | 95¢ | $312 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x2c02…1205 | No | SELL | 324 | 95¢ | $308 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x3762…ede9 | Yes | SELL | 652 | 5¢ | $31 | 0x30a602… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x714b…6669 | No | SELL | 340 | 95¢ | $324 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e87…1bbf | Yes | SELL | 652 | 5¢ | $31 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xa96c…7c4d | No | SELL | 312 | 95¢ | $297 | 0xf4ea50… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x7a52…b285 | No | SELL | 359 | 95¢ | $342 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x07e4…d34e | No | SELL | 319 | 95¢ | $304 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x23d4…1d88 | Yes | SELL | 678 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x0f551c… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0xe13c…7ca7 | No | SELL | 329 | 95¢ | $313 | 0x9337ba… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x8f9d…1892 | Yes | SELL | 678 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x9337ba… |
| 07-17 04:45:52 | (anonymous) 0xe478…17b1 | No | SELL | 349 | 95¢ | $332 | 0x9337ba… |
| 07-17 02:41:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x161681… |
| 07-17 02:41:06 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x161681… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xf86f…1660 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x4e87…1bbf | Yes | BUY | 312 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:30 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7e9c68… |
| 07-17 02:40:04 | (anonymous) 0xa96c…7c4d | No | BUY | 312 | 97¢ | $303 | 0x834b9f… |
| 07-17 02:40:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 312 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x834b9f… |
| 07-17 02:39:58 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x523aa7… |
| 07-17 02:39:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x523aa7… |
| 07-17 02:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x714b…6669 | No | BUY | 340 | 97¢ | $330 | 0xe9b5a8… |
| 07-17 02:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x4e87…1bbf | Yes | BUY | 340 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xe9b5a8… |
| 07-17 02:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x9b10…588b | No | BUY | 328 | 97¢ | $318 | 0xc41f98… |
| 07-17 02:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x3762…ede9 | Yes | BUY | 328 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xc41f98… |
| 07-17 02:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x2c02…1205 | No | BUY | 324 | 97¢ | $315 | 0x7164a4… |
| 07-17 02:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x3762…ede9 | Yes | BUY | 324 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x7164a4… |
| 07-17 02:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x07e4…d34e | No | BUY | 319 | 97¢ | $310 | 0xb3d227… |
| 07-17 02:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x23d4…1d88 | Yes | BUY | 319 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xb3d227… |
| 07-17 02:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x23d4…1d88 | Yes | BUY | 359 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xc919c0… |
| 07-17 02:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x7a52…b285 | No | BUY | 359 | 97¢ | $349 | 0xc919c0… |
| 07-17 02:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x8f9d…1892 | Yes | BUY | 329 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x57b59a… |
| 07-17 02:30:45 | (anonymous) 0xe13c…7ca7 | No | BUY | 329 | 97¢ | $319 | 0x57b59a… |
| 07-17 02:30:42 | (anonymous) 0x8f9d…1892 | Yes | BUY | 349 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xb86483… |
| 07-17 02:30:42 | (anonymous) 0xe478…17b1 | No | BUY | 349 | 97¢ | $339 | 0xb86483… |
| 07-14 13:34:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x04da53… |
| 07-14 13:34:29 | Euphoric-Squirrel 0xda7c…0925 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x04da53… |
| 07-14 13:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x67f7…b0a7 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xbee387… |
| 07-14 13:33:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbee387… |
| 07-14 13:31:59 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69a1ee… |
| 07-14 13:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x3684…2208 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x69a1ee… |
| 07-14 13:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x07ba…5714 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x1f8264… |
| 07-14 13:29:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1f8264… |
| 07-14 13:22:58 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xac1031… |
| 07-14 13:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x6de0…8b87 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xac1031… |
| 07-14 13:22:58 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xac1031… |
| 07-14 09:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd57cb5… |
| 07-14 09:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x86d0…b93f | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xd57cb5… |
| 07-14 09:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xf86f…1660 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd59d77… |
| 07-14 09:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x1754…a415 | No | BUY | 115 | 96¢ | $110 | 0xd59d77… |
| 07-14 09:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd59d77… |
| 07-14 09:26:01 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd59d77… |
| 07-14 01:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x71dc…aec2 | No | SELL | 101 | 95¢ | $96 | 0xd79bf8… |
| 07-14 01:04:05 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xd79bf8… |
| 07-14 01:04:05 | (anonymous) 0xf86f…1660 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd79bf8… |
| 07-13 11:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x71dc…aec2 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x07533c… |
| 07-13 11:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x07533c… |
| 07-13 11:49:31 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x07533c… |
| 07-13 11:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x022f…6e45 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x377090… |
| 07-13 11:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x377090… |
| 07-13 11:48:40 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x377090… |
| 07-13 11:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x61f329… |
| 07-13 11:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x96c3…e387 | No | BUY | 110 | 95¢ | $105 | 0x61f329… |
| 07-13 11:19:17 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x61f329… |
| 07-13 11:14:34 | (anonymous) 0xe9af…0f6c | Yes | SELL | 888 | 6¢ | $50 | 0x0b19d3… |
| 07-13 11:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x765b…f086 | No | SELL | 440 | 94¢ | $415 | 0x0b19d3… |