Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$160
Hit rate
29.2%
Resolved
2
Trades
267
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.15K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% 50% $-16
Politics
19%
Sports
4%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,185 $873 32¢ $688 $-185 06-02 11:31
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -380 $-364 98¢ $-371 $-7 06-07 19:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +30 $20 88¢ $26 +$6 05-28 04:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-25 64¢ $-24 +$1 06-06 11:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $11 53¢ $11 $-1 06-02 17:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +70 $8 12¢ $9 +$0 06-09 00:38
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +20 $3 34¢ $7 +$4 06-01 18:27
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +10 $7 64¢ $6 $-1 06-04 14:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes -38 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-04 01:41
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +15 $2 15¢ $2 $-0 06-03 11:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -32 $-2 $-2 +$0 05-29 08:40
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 67¢ $1 +$0 05-29 07:59
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Yes -62 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 16:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +30 $2 $0 $-1 05-30 01:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +60 $2 $0 $-1 05-27 21:23
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 07:06
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 06-09 18:57
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -30 $-24 $-0 +$24 05-30 12:06