Realized P&L
-$1.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
224
Trades
1,200
lifetime
Volume
$37.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
79% 38% -$1,653
Politics
15% 42% -$213
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Sports
2% 52% +$105
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +1,256 $984 100¢ $1.3K +$267 09-27 21:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +391 $363 92¢ $362 -$2 09-18 11:12
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +120 $100 97¢ $117 +$17 05-10 18:59
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +120 $112 97¢ $116 +$5 08-26 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +990 $571 12¢ $114 -$457 10-07 00:57
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +107 $97 94¢ $101 +$4 09-29 14:10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +90 $47 79¢ $71 +$24 10-10 23:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $35 84¢ $51 +$16 10-21 13:35
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +50 $37 92¢ $46 +$9 08-19 00:50
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +52 $34 87¢ $45 +$12 06-12 16:15
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 No +40 $33 97¢ $39 +$6 08-21 15:36
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +40 $29 84¢ $33 +$4 08-14 18:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $32 60¢ $30 -$2 10-25 07:02
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 08-07 16:12
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +17 $14 72¢ $12 -$2 10-25 13:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $12 56¢ $11 -$1 10-28 07:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 96¢ $10 +$5 08-01 18:47
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 05-11 09:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -45 -$18 18¢ $-8 +$11 10-22 13:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +40 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 05-10 21:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +104 $11 6¢ $7 -$4 08-06 17:35
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -80 -$9 8¢ $-6 +$3 09-06 09:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +10 $6 62¢ $6 +$1 10-27 19:35
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +60 $6 10¢ $6 +$0 10-21 19:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +10 $5 58¢ $6 +$1 10-17 12:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -305 -$18 2¢ $-6 +$13 09-18 09:38
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +50 $8 9¢ $4 -$4 06-26 14:44
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes -100 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 10-27 14:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +28 $4 14¢ $4 +$0 07-08 20:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +40 $6 10¢ $4 -$2 05-11 06:03