Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$139
Hit rate
29.2%
Resolved
2
Trades
364
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$984
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% 50% $-16
Politics
19%
Sports
4%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,185 $873 26¢ $557 $-316 06-02 11:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $220 82¢ $326 +$106 06-11 21:54
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-25 62¢ $-23 +$2 06-06 11:02
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$1 06-16 13:39
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 06-15 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3,281 $-75 $-8 +$67 07-01 18:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $11 38¢ $8 $-4 06-02 17:46
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +50 $8 15¢ $8 $-1 06-26 14:44
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes -85 $-7 $-6 +$1 06-17 08:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +70 $8 $6 $-2 06-09 00:38
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -18 $-10 26¢ $-5 +$6 06-11 01:30
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +40 $2 $2 $-0 07-02 11:57
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 05-29 07:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -32 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-29 08:40
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 07:06