Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,927
$62 in 24h
Trades
100
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$18,658
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 15:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $11 | $166 | $155 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $60 | $709 | $648 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $110 | $10 | +$100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $63 | $34 | +$29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 8 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $56 | — | +$56 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $7 | $132 | $126 |
| unranked | 14 | $19 | $719 | $700 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | +813 | $700 | $700 | 3 | 06-11 21:43 |
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +309 | $40 | $40 | 8 | 06-20 14:19 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +300 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-01 18:45 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +173 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 05-30 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a42…d2db | No | +156 | $132 | $132 | 3 | 06-12 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +87 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 15:09 |
| Burdensome-Toga 0x7727…15a4 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 08:01 |
| Slim-Brotherinlaw 0xfad4…a210 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 21:43 |
| Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 05-30 09:41 |
| Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 16:14 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 09:56 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-11 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | Yes | +15 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 06-20 14:19 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | +11 | $-2 | $50 | 8 | 06-20 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a16…d185 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-19 16:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 15:09:14 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 87 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xb7cc6a… |
| 06-20 15:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 87 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xb7cc6a… |
| 06-20 14:19:58 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0df282… |
| 06-20 14:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0df282… |
| 06-20 14:19:47 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x48fcce… |
| 06-20 14:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x48fcce… |
| 06-19 16:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa480bc… |
| 06-19 16:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa480bc… |
| 06-19 16:14:04 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa65dbf… |
| 06-19 16:14:04 | Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa65dbf… |
| 06-19 16:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x364219… |
| 06-19 16:03:25 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x364219… |
| 06-19 16:03:25 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x364219… |
| 06-19 16:03:20 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 210 | 11¢ | $23 | 0xe14dfb… |
| 06-19 16:03:20 | Light-Pantologist 0x9783…ac60 | Yes | SELL | 288 | 11¢ | $33 | 0xe14dfb… |
| 06-19 16:03:20 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xe14dfb… |
| 06-19 16:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe14dfb… |
| 06-19 16:03:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 68 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xe14dfb… |
| 06-18 19:58:23 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xce3c4b… |
| 06-18 19:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | SELL | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xce3c4b… |
| 06-16 09:39:42 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xaf6119… |
| 06-16 09:39:42 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xaf6119… |
| 06-15 11:03:25 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xb0b0b7… |
| 06-15 11:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xbefb…09fe | Yes | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xb0b0b7… |
| 06-15 08:01:01 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 55 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x0c4992… |
| 06-15 08:01:01 | Burdensome-Toga 0x7727…15a4 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x0c4992… |
| 06-15 08:01:01 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0c4992… |
| 06-15 04:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xbefb…09fe | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x59c36b… |
| 06-15 04:47:57 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x59c36b… |
| 06-14 22:03:01 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x795775… |
| 06-14 22:03:01 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x795775… |
| 06-13 04:59:21 | (anonymous) 0x6023…7141 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xddacc6… |
| 06-13 04:59:21 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xddacc6… |
| 06-12 19:20:18 | (anonymous) 0x6023…7141 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd596d2… |
| 06-12 19:20:18 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd596d2… |
| 06-12 13:34:15 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xeb9e6d… |
| 06-12 13:34:15 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xeb9e6d… |
| 06-12 09:56:42 | Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x2725be… |
| 06-12 09:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x6a42…d2db | No | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x2725be… |
| 06-11 21:54:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xc38e94… |
| 06-11 21:54:16 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xc38e94… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 88 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 348 | 86¢ | $300 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | SELL | 60 | 86¢ | $52 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Hard-To-Find-Reveal 0xc87a…022e | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Slim-Brotherinlaw 0xfad4…a210 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-11 21:43:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0x4a6ecd… |
| 06-10 17:48:22 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x402131… |
| 06-10 17:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x402131… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xaca2e8… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xd94a…6bb1 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xaca2e8… |
| 06-09 08:42:49 | Uniform-Compass 0x6061…ec4b | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x370269… |
| 06-09 08:42:49 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x370269… |
| 06-07 11:39:15 | Evergreen-Interloper 0x3a9b…5e0d | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x3b0c4a… |
| 06-07 11:39:15 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3b0c4a… |
| 06-06 15:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x7344ac… |
| 06-06 15:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xceb6…d56e | No | SELL | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x7344ac… |
| 06-05 01:18:55 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc1f283… |
| 06-05 01:18:55 | Superb-Neighbour 0x2839…29a7 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xc1f283… |
| 06-04 23:13:30 | Light-Pantologist 0x9783…ac60 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x9ebecc… |
| 06-04 23:13:30 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x9ebecc… |
| 06-03 09:58:40 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1d8487… |
| 06-03 09:58:40 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1d8487… |
| 06-03 09:58:38 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x73f957… |
| 06-03 09:58:38 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x73f957… |
| 06-03 09:58:36 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x187924… |
| 06-03 09:58:36 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x187924… |
| 06-03 09:58:34 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfb0bcd… |
| 06-03 09:58:34 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfb0bcd… |
| 06-01 22:54:05 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xfd5e6d… |
| 06-01 22:54:05 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 14¢ | $12 | 0xfd5e6d… |
| 06-01 22:54:05 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 67 | 86¢ | $58 | 0xfd5e6d… |
| 06-01 19:24:59 | Intrepid-Mode 0x6afe…2aad | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x961d35… |
| 06-01 19:24:59 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x961d35… |
| 06-01 18:45:40 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 15¢ | $45 | 0xfe0e15… |
| 06-01 18:45:40 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 15¢ | $45 | 0xfe0e15… |
| 05-30 20:48:52 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x959120… |
| 05-30 20:48:52 | Phony-Chicory 0xa564…4d08 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x959120… |
| 05-30 18:03:33 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 233 | 86¢ | $200 | 0xe2b2dd… |
| 05-30 18:03:33 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 233 | 86¢ | $200 | 0xe2b2dd… |
| 05-30 09:41:18 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x73399e… |
| 05-30 09:41:18 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x73399e… |
| 05-30 09:41:18 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x73399e… |
| 05-30 09:38:26 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe42dad… |
| 05-30 09:38:26 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xe42dad… |
| 05-29 14:34:54 | Hard-To-Find-Reveal 0xc87a…022e | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x4b55dd… |
| 05-29 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x9a16…d185 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4b55dd… |
| 05-29 14:34:54 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4b55dd… |
| 05-29 06:12:08 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 233 | 86¢ | $200 | 0x47aaed… |
| 05-29 06:12:08 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 233 | 86¢ | $200 | 0x47aaed… |
| 05-28 12:00:55 | Earnest-Panic 0x46f4…5352 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xbaecb2… |
| 05-28 12:00:55 | Hard-To-Find-Reveal 0xc87a…022e | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xbaecb2… |
| 05-28 00:23:27 | Animated-Retrospect 0x2786…5cb0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x350470… |
| 05-28 00:23:27 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x350470… |
| 05-27 22:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x6a42…d2db | No | BUY | 67 | 85¢ | $57 | 0x088e2a… |
| 05-27 22:06:43 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x088e2a… |
| 05-27 22:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x6a42…d2db | No | BUY | 67 | 85¢ | $57 | 0xe4238c… |
| 05-27 22:06:27 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xe4238c… |