Delayed-Vanadyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

33,111

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

58% 50% +$998

Other

35% 53% +$208

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	319	$34.1K	76,060	43,059	+33,001	open	—	06-15 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	222	$28.1K	18,945	21,657	-2,712	open	—	05-28 20:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	66	$25.4K	30,853	13,987	+16,867	open	—	07-31 18:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	50	$25.4K	15,000	14,800	+200	open	—	07-02 12:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	118	$19.6K	30,407	12,868	+17,538	open	—	06-20 08:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	99	$19.4K	20,432	12,416	+8,016	open	—	05-25 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	192	$19.0K	10,808	13,780	-2,972	open	—	05-24 14:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	184	$18.1K	24,616	23,854	+762	open	—	06-18 04:38
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	38	$18.1K	17,476	2,476	+15,000	open	—	07-09 12:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	75	$17.6K	13,985	8,608	+5,377	open	—	08-03 07:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	96	$16.6K	12,156	12,376	-221	open	—	06-01 01:35
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	58	$15.9K	16,949	3,989	+12,960	open	—	07-20 19:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	51	$15.5K	8,333	8,123	+210	open	—	06-12 01:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	183	$13.6K	18,868	16,962	+1,907	open	—	05-30 23:55
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	153	$12.8K	23,074	16,566	+6,508	open	—	06-15 05:53
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	86	$12.6K	8,549	8,199	+350	open	—	06-18 12:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	58	$12.3K	7,427	7,329	+97	open	—	06-12 16:23
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	50	$11.4K	15,137	5,964	+9,172	open	—	08-06 11:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	76	$11.2K	8,060	9,344	-1,284	open	—	05-23 20:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	143	$10.7K	15,634	10,564	+5,070	open	—	06-20 23:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	144	$10.2K	14,708	16,400	-1,691	open	—	06-14 23:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	204	$9.7K	12,589	9,650	+2,938	open	—	07-01 20:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	75	$9.6K	20,024	8,124	+11,900	open	—	06-15 02:46
Iran leadership change by June 30?	47	$9.2K	6,014	5,812	+202	open	—	06-15 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	140	$9.1K	11,447	18,165	-6,719	open	—	05-28 20:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	30	$8.6K	5,326	5,275	+52	open	—	06-12 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	60	$8.2K	5,221	7,179	-1,959	open	—	06-14 22:28
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	92	$8.1K	12,003	6,996	+5,007	open	—	06-18 20:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	42	$7.8K	3,000	5,408	-2,408	open	—	06-16 19:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	44	$7.7K	4,977	4,977	+0	open	—	08-02 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:47:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	349	14¢	$49	0xffeec3…
08-10 13:49:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	235	15¢	$35	0x6c88e5…
08-10 12:27:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	732	59¢	$432	0x0c343d…
08-10 12:15:54	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0xe3c946…
08-10 11:14:07	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	139	28¢	$39	0x633345…
08-10 08:52:18	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x31478e…
08-10 06:22:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	366	18¢	$66	0xfbad10…
08-10 01:04:04	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x93db08…
08-10 00:43:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	357	16¢	$57	0x68fd47…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	319	69¢	$219	0xf35944…
08-09 19:43:03	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0x5fcc21…
08-09 17:17:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	385	48¢	$185	0x65a489…
08-09 17:14:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0xbcf60d…
08-09 17:03:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	725	31¢	$225	0x337f5c…
08-09 14:14:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	224	78¢	$174	0x87e772…
08-09 14:13:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	208	52¢	$108	0x460a9e…
08-09 12:55:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	543	8¢	$43	0xb0e6e4…
08-09 11:55:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	124	34¢	$42	0x7e25fc…
08-09 11:43:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	2,469	19¢	$469	0xc035b9…
08-09 11:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	417	76¢	$317	0x237811…
08-09 11:40:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0xf9a3e2…
08-09 11:05:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	77	35¢	$27	0xf9142f…
08-09 10:55:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	556	46¢	$256	0x9cfdff…
08-09 10:43:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x371eb6…
08-09 08:36:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	345	13¢	$45	0x918da7…
08-09 04:45:55	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	BUY	214	6¢	$14	0xccdc04…
08-09 00:53:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	870	77¢	$670	0x4a1fe8…
08-09 00:00:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xeeaf03…
08-08 23:25:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x26d356…
08-08 22:39:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x935f77…
08-08 22:28:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x6991a2…
08-08 22:06:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3f8362…
08-08 22:05:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7ad815…
08-08 20:32:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	101	14¢	$14	0x20af5e…
08-08 17:18:43	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	208	4¢	$8	0xd9a399…
08-08 13:52:33	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	926	46¢	$426	0x8891f0…
08-08 08:28:42	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	1,019	2¢	$19	0x71f271…
08-08 08:17:21	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x7de1c7…
08-08 07:41:45	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	196	57¢	$111	0x7564ab…
08-08 06:34:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	714	86¢	$614	0xff258e…
08-08 06:07:46	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	532	6¢	$32	0x0bbf87…
08-08 00:57:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	559	24¢	$135	0x23040b…
08-08 00:57:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	69	24¢	$17	0x1d534f…
08-08 00:56:34	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb830a6…
08-08 00:56:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0ddf7f…
08-08 00:56:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7d66b8…
08-08 00:56:13	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x686f1d…
08-08 00:56:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x866ec9…
08-08 00:09:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbd17d1…
08-08 00:08:01	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0xf66ad4…
08-07 23:26:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	411	27¢	$111	0x91f517…
08-07 21:15:27	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xa8dc7b…
08-07 17:37:19	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	82	45¢	$37	0x2223aa…
08-07 16:35:45	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	532	15¢	$80	0x4de465…
08-07 16:31:52	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x9d5f5c…
08-07 16:31:46	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	144	31¢	$44	0xfdb2d2…
08-07 14:29:34	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$99	0xabcfc4…
08-07 13:57:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	96	48¢	$46	0xfb548c…
08-07 13:34:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	323	7¢	$23	0xe9f014…
08-07 12:25:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x7c0cf0…
08-07 07:42:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x1d3843…
08-06 21:22:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	568	12¢	$68	0xed3008…
08-06 21:14:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	595	16¢	$95	0x4fd6ff…
08-06 19:08:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xcda7ad…
08-06 19:05:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	847	41¢	$347	0x9960dc…
08-06 18:13:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	359	75¢	$269	0xc15810…
08-06 18:02:50	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	159	37¢	$59	0x092ef7…
08-06 16:45:29	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x022a40…
08-06 15:45:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	122	59¢	$72	0x67c380…
08-06 14:45:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xeef71f…
08-06 14:45:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x34c07b…
08-06 14:45:23	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8a57b0…
08-06 14:45:23	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2697a8…
08-06 14:07:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	348	14¢	$48	0xdebd76…
08-06 11:44:38	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	5,071	1¢	$71	0xe2f083…
08-06 03:19:24	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x1dc926…
08-06 01:47:02	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x3c21df…
08-05 23:36:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0xde298f…
08-05 20:14:00	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0xdf3b5c…
08-05 19:48:54	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	1,031	3¢	$31	0x68af34…
08-05 17:46:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x9f5a58…
08-05 15:21:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	599	50¢	$299	0x3a2579…
08-05 14:31:48	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x9bbabd…
08-05 14:06:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	856	47¢	$401	0xdeac4b…
08-05 14:05:41	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	139	28¢	$39	0x72c0aa…
08-05 12:31:03	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0x90af09…
08-05 08:20:41	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	139	64¢	$89	0x7063d5…
08-05 05:39:47	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x568939…
08-05 05:38:51	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x256113…
08-05 05:02:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	96	67¢	$64	0x6fe180…
08-05 03:38:12	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x1852d4…
08-05 03:32:23	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	333	10¢	$33	0x406490…
08-05 03:05:21	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	309	86¢	$265	0xed6276…
08-05 02:02:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0x8b5f93…
08-05 02:01:48	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	86	42¢	$36	0x82bf95…
08-05 01:35:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	213	53¢	$113	0x09b772…
08-04 20:21:21	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	417	52¢	$217	0x650c9b…
08-04 19:42:57	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	1,282	61¢	$782	0x928eb2…
08-04 19:31:59	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	227	56¢	$127	0x56254c…
08-04 19:28:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	521	54¢	$281	0x850cab…