Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215adb…f6254c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
41
Trades
24,216
lifetime
Volume
$694.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$17.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
60% 50% +$998
Other
35% 53% +$208
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 798 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -3,332 $-3,185 96¢ $-3187 $-2 06-08 09:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,451 $2,209 68¢ $2.4K +$155 06-09 16:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2,438 $-1,629 90¢ $-2207 $-577 06-07 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -1,959 $-1,712 76¢ $-1489 +$223 06-09 11:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -1,958 $-1,041 72¢ $-1400 $-359 06-08 06:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1,411 $1,236 94¢ $1.3K +$83 06-09 06:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -645 $-619 98¢ $-630 $-11 06-09 19:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -1,012 $-475 49¢ $-496 $-21 06-09 19:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes -387 $-380 99¢ $-382 $-2 06-07 19:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -1,362 $-512 24¢ $-320 +$191 06-09 21:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes -670 $-334 46¢ $-305 +$29 06-08 10:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -324 $-269 89¢ $-289 $-20 06-08 12:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -303 $-263 94¢ $-285 $-21 06-07 18:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +722 $314 38¢ $271 $-44 06-07 21:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +268 $261 100¢ $268 +$6 06-08 01:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +348 $83 62¢ $218 +$135 06-07 21:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -219 $-215 99¢ $-218 $-3 06-08 09:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +676 $176 32¢ $213 +$37 06-08 22:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No -284 $-112 72¢ $-206 $-94 06-08 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -268 $-306 70¢ $-189 +$117 06-07 17:58
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +256 $156 72¢ $186 +$29 06-09 19:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +165 $119 92¢ $151 +$32 06-01 17:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No -491 $-50 30¢ $-150 $-99 06-09 14:01
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -157 $-143 89¢ $-139 +$3 06-07 21:12
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -161 $-112 68¢ $-110 +$2 06-08 05:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -1,135 $-219 8¢ $-94 +$125 06-07 19:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -110 $-88 82¢ $-90 $-2 06-08 16:37
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -98 $-133 90¢ $-89 +$44 06-07 21:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -81 $-98 86¢ $-70 +$27 06-08 00:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -162 $-57 38¢ $-61 $-4 06-07 22:23