Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215adb…f6254c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.15K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
41
Trades
30,419
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$29.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% +$998
Other
30% 53% +$208
Tech
8% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 798 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +6,170 $2,856 100¢ $6.1K +$3,292 06-19 17:08
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -3,332 $-3,185 100¢ $-3323 $-139 06-08 09:23
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,775 $2,590 100¢ $2.8K +$182 06-30 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2,438 $-1,629 99¢ $-2425 $-795 06-07 18:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -2,408 $-2,391 100¢ $-2398 $-7 06-16 19:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -1,958 $-1,042 100¢ $-1953 $-911 06-14 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -1,959 $-1,798 82¢ $-1616 +$182 06-12 09:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2,519 $-1,377 48¢ $-1196 +$180 06-25 14:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -948 $-936 100¢ $-947 $-10 06-18 19:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -685 $-658 100¢ $-683 $-25 06-10 05:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -707 $-562 95¢ $-671 $-109 06-13 16:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,240 $594 14¢ $572 $-21 06-29 17:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -1,781 $-716 29¢ $-508 +$209 06-20 00:38
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +463 $313 77¢ $358 +$45 06-29 13:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -546 $-238 60¢ $-325 $-87 06-15 20:35
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -324 $-269 100¢ $-323 $-54 06-08 12:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -303 $-263 100¢ $-302 $-39 06-07 18:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +571 $280 52¢ $300 +$20 06-24 06:41
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -309 $-265 87¢ $-269 $-3 06-18 10:54
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +256 $156 99¢ $253 +$97 06-09 19:29
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +236 $191 100¢ $236 +$45 06-25 23:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +210 $188 100¢ $210 +$22 06-12 01:43
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -192 $-133 100¢ $-192 $-59 06-19 01:11
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No -2,101 $-100 9¢ $-188 $-88 06-25 22:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -268 $-325 62¢ $-165 +$160 06-18 16:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +165 $119 100¢ $164 +$45 06-01 17:01
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -161 $-98 100¢ $-161 $-63 06-22 11:44
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -157 $-143 91¢ $-142 +$0 06-07 21:12
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +130 $-1 99¢ $128 +$129 06-04 17:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -148 $-60 72¢ $-106 $-46 06-19 17:31