Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215adb…f6254c
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$50.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.8K
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
4,001
Trades
52,665
lifetime
Volume
$2.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$102.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 293 days
Categories
Politics
55% 49% +$12,907
Other
40% 48% +$37,002
Tech
5% 48% +$710
Pop-Culture
0% 49% -$448
Sports
0% 25% +$4
Crypto
0% 33% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10,427 $6,039 90¢ $9.4K +$3,398 10-09 11:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,796 $10,639 55¢ $8.6K -$2,030 10-22 11:12
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7,911 $6,764 99¢ $7.8K +$1,044 10-28 02:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +6,935 $5,202 79¢ $5.5K +$277 10-21 23:28
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,744 $2,017 99¢ $4.7K +$2,679 10-05 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +4,756 $2,454 98¢ $4.7K +$2,207 09-29 18:36
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +14,925 $4,925 30¢ $4.6K -$373 10-03 04:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5,477 $3,589 82¢ $4.5K +$930 09-21 13:02
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,824 $3,333 99¢ $3.8K +$459 07-05 20:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,770 $2,270 79¢ $3.7K +$1,477 09-19 23:29
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +15,521 $3,867 22¢ $3.4K -$475 09-30 12:45
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +3,988 $2,626 82¢ $3.3K +$644 10-08 17:30
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 671 No +3,410 $2,038 88¢ $3.0K +$980 08-22 19:02
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,030 $2,930 99¢ $3.0K +$71 09-29 13:58
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +4,526 $2,526 64¢ $2.9K +$348 07-06 13:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +2,869 $958 98¢ $2.8K +$1,840 10-25 17:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,996 $1,013 46¢ $2.7K +$1,715 08-27 16:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,743 $1,783 95¢ $2.6K +$816 08-23 13:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,485 $3,306 57¢ $2.6K -$747 07-08 22:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,726 $726 94¢ $2.5K +$1,823 07-24 15:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,243 $4 84¢ $1.9K +$1,879 10-13 09:44
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +3,922 $1,922 46¢ $1.8K -$98 10-04 16:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,889 $1,020 94¢ $1.8K +$765 05-25 21:50
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +1,827 $1,555 97¢ $1.8K +$221 07-30 03:16
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,724 $1,674 100¢ $1.7K +$47 08-27 10:13
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +1,638 $1,036 100¢ $1.6K +$594 09-27 21:46
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,932 $1,430 82¢ $1.6K +$164 10-11 16:32
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,613 $1,180 97¢ $1.6K +$387 10-11 23:15
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +1,749 $984 89¢ $1.6K +$572 10-13 07:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,299 $1,299 66¢ $1.5K +$207 10-06 14:05