U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
open
Total volume
$163,155
$19 in 24h
Trades
1,154
Unique wallets
360
Liquidity
$14,462
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-11 20:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $69
vs crowd: 8% YES on $83.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $21 | $745 | $724 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 53 | $342 | $15.7K | $15.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 299 | $5.9K | $60.4K | $54.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $69 | $69 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $10 | $647 | $637 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $374 | $4.9K | $4.6K |
| Median | 16 | $345 | $126 | +$219 |
| Below median | 19 | $434 | $2.1K | $1.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $217 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | $23 | $18 |
| unranked | 283 | $4.9K | $66.3K | $61.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hateful-Miniskirt 0x98f8…bb19 | Yes | +1,040 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-02 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe567…0d3f | Yes | +1,040 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-02 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x7313…51a8 | Yes | +1,000 | $80 | $80 | 4 | 06-02 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5f3…e305 | No | +724 | $659 | $659 | 1 | 06-02 07:44 |
| Junior-Songbird 0xbf70…a566 | Yes | +718 | $57 | $201 | 3 | 06-02 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1199…5569 | No | +713 | $649 | $649 | 1 | 06-02 07:44 |
| Uniform-Jockey-Numeracy 0x3bc5…773e | Yes | +683 | $61 | $185 | 3 | 06-02 08:20 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +583 | $547 | $547 | 11 | 08-11 20:03 |
| Quixotic-Prosperity 0xb228…6840 | No | +530 | $482 | $482 | 1 | 06-02 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c05…c1c2 | No | +530 | $482 | $482 | 1 | 06-02 06:48 |
| Agreeable-Specification 0x9647…fa82 | No | +510 | $464 | $464 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| Kindly-Indigence 0x7bd6…03da | No | +510 | $464 | $1,265 | 3 | 07-01 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x355d…0116 | No | +508 | $467 | $467 | 2 | 06-02 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bec…ad9e | Yes | +505 | $40 | $119 | 5 | 06-02 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9bd…f8a9 | No | +505 | $465 | $465 | 2 | 06-02 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd94…ed7f | Yes | +503 | $35 | $125 | 5 | 06-02 03:31 |
| Calm-Pence 0x5814…40af | No | +503 | $463 | $463 | 2 | 06-02 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ba4…6e0c | No | +492 | $453 | $453 | 2 | 06-02 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ad3…8147 | Yes | +490 | $39 | $119 | 5 | 06-02 03:33 |
| Upbeat-Disadvantage 0xd251…75ed | No | +490 | $451 | $465 | 3 | 06-02 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | +103 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 08-04 13:50 |
| Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-09 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbced…84e9 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-17 23:46 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +72 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-15 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x542d…ad51 | Yes | +72 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-06 01:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +55 | $2 | $22 | 20 | 07-13 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 6 | 07-13 07:04 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-08 21:01 |
| 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-03 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +52 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-13 06:41 |
| Safe-Craft 0xdc76…6eda | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 01:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +44 | $42 | $71 | 5 | 07-18 15:05 |
| Wiry-Pail 0x2c2a…e698 | Yes | +42 | $-10 | $271 | 5 | 06-08 03:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | +35 | $33 | $33 | 9 | 08-06 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x511a…dd4d | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-17 23:46 |
| Noxious-Scholar 0xe466…9531 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…cd75 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fac…ca99 | No | +8 | $7 | $25 | 3 | 08-11 20:03 |
| Grotesque-Sack-Span 0x2452…45ae | No | +6 | $5 | $1,228 | 2 | 06-02 08:14 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-11 20:03 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-23 01:11 |
| Grumpy-Beetle-Hovel 0x37da…d2db | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-01 14:41 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-23 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-08 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6497…353f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 20:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 20:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x8fac…ca99 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-11 20:03:43 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 78 | 96¢ | $75 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-11 20:03:43 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 151 | 96¢ | $145 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-11 20:03:43 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-11 20:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-11 20:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x8f15…5fbd | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xc6a13b… |
| 08-06 15:21:21 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9c3536… |
| 08-06 15:21:21 | Mealy-Auction 0xb74a…171c | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9c3536… |
| 08-06 09:17:38 | Aromatic-Effect 0xaa68…f690 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x064b8d… |
| 08-06 09:17:38 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x064b8d… |
| 08-06 09:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc59507… |
| 08-06 09:08:59 | Passionate-Havoc 0xf2c1…d8ee | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc59507… |
| 08-06 09:00:35 | Self-Reliant-Chick 0xa97c…ef86 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x288ac0… |
| 08-06 09:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x288ac0… |
| 08-06 08:31:15 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x93a664… |
| 08-06 08:31:15 | Oval-Herb 0x0653…4de0 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x93a664… |
| 08-04 21:42:47 | Impractical-Pulse 0x311e…190e | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe35ec6… |
| 08-04 21:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe35ec6… |
| 08-04 19:29:05 | (anonymous) 0xba15…efa2 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x919981… |
| 08-04 19:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x919981… |
| 08-04 13:50:20 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe18954… |
| 08-04 13:50:20 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xe18954… |
| 08-04 05:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x8f15…5fbd | No | BUY | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0x743e95… |
| 08-04 05:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x743e95… |
| 08-04 05:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x743e95… |
| 08-02 23:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x8f15…5fbd | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xe6ab19… |
| 08-02 23:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…cd75 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe6ab19… |
| 07-27 09:31:43 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | SELL | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x520130… |
| 07-27 09:31:43 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x520130… |
| 07-27 09:31:43 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x520130… |
| 07-27 09:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x2ae9…aa1a | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x520130… |
| 07-21 15:10:09 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x3feb02… |
| 07-21 15:10:09 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x3feb02… |
| 07-20 22:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8a4a51… |
| 07-20 22:45:12 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | BUY | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0x8a4a51… |
| 07-18 15:05:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2a713b… |
| 07-18 15:05:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2a713b… |
| 07-17 23:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x511a…dd4d | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x65c017… |
| 07-17 23:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x2ae9…aa1a | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x65c017… |
| 07-17 23:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xbced…84e9 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x65c017… |
| 07-17 23:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x8fac…ca99 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x65c017… |
| 07-16 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x25ddf0… |
| 07-16 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x8fac…ca99 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x25ddf0… |
| 07-16 18:48:02 | Gummy-Sack 0xff47…d81f | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $21 | 0x25ddf0… |
| 07-16 02:02:20 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x73c5cb… |
| 07-16 02:02:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x73c5cb… |
| 07-15 22:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1f3bee… |
| 07-15 22:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1f3bee… |
| 07-15 22:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xd8a7…5c16 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1f3bee… |
| 07-15 22:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x1f3bee… |
| 07-15 22:05:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1f3bee… |
| 07-15 12:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa289ef… |
| 07-15 12:22:13 | Well-To-Do-Cable 0xee54…165a | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa289ef… |
| 07-15 11:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3a1b04… |
| 07-15 11:52:10 | Distant-Scheduling 0xed67…77c2 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3a1b04… |
| 07-15 04:27:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x622dd4… |
| 07-15 04:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x622dd4… |
| 07-14 06:49:05 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ead36… |
| 07-14 06:49:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8a7…5c16 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ead36… |
| 07-13 17:20:05 | Mealy-Auction 0xb74a…171c | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc8e146… |
| 07-13 17:20:05 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc8e146… |
| 07-13 07:10:01 | (anonymous) 0x5ffe…160e | No | SELL | 546 | 93¢ | $508 | 0x9a05fb… |
| 07-13 07:10:01 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | SELL | 546 | 7¢ | $38 | 0x9a05fb… |
| 07-13 07:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | SELL | 410 | 7¢ | $29 | 0xbeb1fd… |
| 07-13 07:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xa23b…f656 | No | SELL | 410 | 93¢ | $381 | 0xbeb1fd… |
| 07-13 07:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2dd0a2… |
| 07-13 07:08:55 | Female-Kettledrum 0x769c…747d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2dd0a2… |
| 07-13 07:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x28da…44c5 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $409 | 0xcbe8d4… |
| 07-13 07:08:28 | Lavish-Porpoise 0x133f…0091 | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $31 | 0xcbe8d4… |
| 07-13 07:08:17 | Lavish-Porpoise 0x133f…0091 | Yes | SELL | 450 | 7¢ | $32 | 0xa65d81… |
| 07-13 07:08:17 | (anonymous) 0xbd78…fef6 | No | SELL | 450 | 93¢ | $418 | 0xa65d81… |
| 07-13 07:07:31 | Female-Kettledrum 0x769c…747d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2f7da0… |
| 07-13 07:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x8ceb…e292 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x2f7da0… |
| 07-13 07:06:56 | Female-Kettledrum 0x769c…747d | Yes | SELL | 428 | 7¢ | $30 | 0xad87f0… |
| 07-13 07:06:56 | (anonymous) 0x7c79…f911 | No | SELL | 428 | 93¢ | $398 | 0xad87f0… |
| 07-13 07:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x7c79…f911 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x270288… |
| 07-13 07:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x270288… |
| 07-13 07:04:55 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | SELL | 506 | 7¢ | $35 | 0xd80fc0… |
| 07-13 07:04:55 | (anonymous) 0x8ceb…e292 | No | SELL | 519 | 93¢ | $483 | 0xd80fc0… |
| 07-13 07:04:55 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xd80fc0… |
| 07-13 07:04:49 | Leading-Vellum-Shed 0xd059…2ef6 | No | SELL | 450 | 93¢ | $418 | 0x9aa4f7… |
| 07-13 07:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | SELL | 450 | 7¢ | $32 | 0x9aa4f7… |
| 07-13 07:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xbf86…f820 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $409 | 0x7b0bd0… |
| 07-13 07:04:41 | Female-Kettledrum 0x769c…747d | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $31 | 0x7b0bd0… |
| 07-13 07:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xea030d… |
| 07-13 07:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xea030d… |
| 07-13 07:03:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xea030d… |
| 07-13 07:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | No | SELL | 491 | 94¢ | $462 | 0x6b6d36… |
| 07-13 07:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | SELL | 491 | 6¢ | $29 | 0x6b6d36… |
| 07-13 07:03:08 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | SELL | 458 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xea70d4… |
| 07-13 07:03:08 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | No | SELL | 458 | 94¢ | $431 | 0xea70d4… |
| 07-13 07:03:07 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdb40cf… |
| 07-13 07:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xdb40cf… |
| 07-13 07:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | SELL | 324 | 94¢ | $305 | 0xe49d93… |
| 07-13 07:02:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe49d93… |
| 07-13 07:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x6573…7571 | Yes | SELL | 956 | 6¢ | $57 | 0xe49d93… |
| 07-13 07:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | No | SELL | 625 | 94¢ | $588 | 0xe49d93… |
| 07-13 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x665840… |
| 07-13 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x93ae…d8e7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x665840… |
| 07-13 06:48:02 | (anonymous) 0xaba3…e88f | No | SELL | 430 | 93¢ | $400 | 0x56e069… |