(anonymous) 0xff0931…ff25ab
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Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
13
Trades
8,905
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-27 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-20
Other
28% 50% $-1
Sports
18% 43% +$2
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +131 $130 100¢ $131 +$1 06-24 20:32
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +88 $88 100¢ $88 +$0 06-24 16:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +75 $75 100¢ $75 +$0 06-24 07:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +63 $63 100¢ $63 +$0 06-25 08:22
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -265 $-100 21¢ $-56 +$45 06-17 22:59
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +56 $55 100¢ $56 +$0 06-25 08:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 06-24 16:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 06-25 08:29
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 06-20 19:31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +45 $39 86¢ $39 $-0 06-25 07:32
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 06-27 07:15
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +37 $37 100¢ $37 +$0 06-25 08:20
Trump out as President by June 30? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 06-13 04:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 06-25 00:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 06-18 15:00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 06-25 08:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$4 06-22 12:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +23 $22 100¢ $23 +$1 06-22 19:10
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +23 $22 96¢ $22 +$0 06-17 02:53
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 06-25 08:08
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +38 $19 50¢ $19 +$0 06-23 15:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +114 $16 14¢ $15 $-1 06-24 10:25
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 06-14 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 06-25 02:58
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-24 09:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 +$0 06-27 07:20
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-25 05:38
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 06-25 04:04
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-25 02:49
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-24 16:12