Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
13
Trades
9,978
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$523
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-20 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-20
Other
30% 50% $-1
Sports
17% 43% +$2
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 321 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +290 $144 50¢ $144 +$0 07-11 08:54
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -265 $-100 23¢ $-61 +$39 06-17 22:59
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +82 $41 50¢ $41 $-0 07-21 02:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-20 05:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +32 $30 92¢ $29 $-1 07-19 09:58
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +31 $29 95¢ $29 +$0 07-14 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +37 $19 56¢ $20 +$1 07-19 16:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +114 $16 15¢ $17 +$1 06-24 10:25
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 06-14 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 +$0 06-25 02:58
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 $-0 07-01 01:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +14 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 07-12 00:35
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +8 $8 95¢ $8 +$0 07-13 19:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 07-15 05:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -8 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-24 15:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 07-19 09:37
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-23 13:04
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 95¢ $7 +$0 07-14 09:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 07-11 19:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +11 $4 41¢ $4 +$0 07-14 10:41
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +8 $4 50¢ $4 +$0 06-23 08:47
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-14 16:07
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-02 20:26
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-20 23:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-05 21:17
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 07-08 10:41
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 07-14 09:16
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-25 06:07
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-01 01:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-20 13:52