(anonymous) 0xff0931…ff25ab
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
660
Trades
11,022
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$501
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-15 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Politics
48% 69% +$587
Other
30% 75% +$268
Sports
17% 64% +$69
Crypto
4% 60% +$85
Tech
1% 100% +$22
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +84 $78 96¢ $80 +$2 09-14 00:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -427 -$111 18¢ $-75 +$36 05-18 18:59
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +41 $39 95¢ $39 $0 08-15 00:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -236 -$82 16¢ $-37 +$46 06-17 22:59
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +33 $31 96¢ $32 +$1 07-23 04:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +32 $28 85¢ $27 -$1 09-19 00:42
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +23 $21 97¢ $22 +$1 08-03 15:50
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 98¢ $17 +$1 06-14 21:28
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -336 -$17 5¢ $-16 +$0 10-15 23:53
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 06-25 02:58
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 09-20 00:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 08-02 02:10
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 $0 07-23 09:26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 08-29 00:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 94¢ $9 +$3 04-29 13:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 05-13 01:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -9 -$8 97¢ $-8 $0 07-15 05:12
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 07-13 19:04
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 08-10 00:27
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +8 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 06-23 13:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +102 $15 6¢ $7 -$9 08-17 00:02
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +6 $3 96¢ $6 +$3 08-01 03:59
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 08-18 00:24
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-02 21:12
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 09-25 00:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +39 $20 11¢ $4 -$16 08-10 00:09
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 08-02 18:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-05 21:17
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-25 05:27
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-13 09:32