Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
13
Trades
7,178
lifetime
Volume
$9.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$363
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-10 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
54% 0% $-20
Other
23% 50% $-1
Sports
20% 43% +$2
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +81 $80 99¢ $80 $-0 06-09 18:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $51 68¢ $48 $-3 06-08 23:16
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +42 $42 99¢ $42 +$0 06-09 02:58
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +34 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 06-08 18:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 +$0 06-07 18:32
Trump out as President by June 30? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-06 18:00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +19 $18 94¢ $18 +$0 06-09 22:41
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-09 18:57
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-09 20:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 $-0 06-09 00:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 $-0 06-08 14:44
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 $-0 06-09 18:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +15 $5 32¢ $5 $-0 06-08 22:41
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-09 10:10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-09 19:42
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 $-0 06-08 14:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-05 21:17
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-06 05:28
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $-0 06-08 21:16
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $-0 06-09 16:10
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-07 16:22
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-07 15:37
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-08 09:11
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-06 11:46
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 06-06 17:49
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 06-09 14:45
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 06-09 12:29
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 06-05 21:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-07 16:45