Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,906
Trades
261
Unique wallets
89
Liquidity
$7,716
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-04 06:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $3.2K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $6.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $6 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $25 | $468 | $443 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $53 | $176 | $123 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 57 | $113 | $1.1K | $981 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $25 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $584 | $584 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $19 | $71 | $53 |
| Median | 9 | — | $402 | $402 |
| Below median | 11 | — | $332 | $332 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 48 | $153 | $1.1K | $983 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +3,211 | $3,040 | $3,040 | 10 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +1,834 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +876 | $43 | $63 | 40 | 08-03 20:27 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +522 | $491 | $491 | 2 | 07-05 18:20 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | +500 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 08-02 03:07 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +208 | $187 | $187 | 3 | 07-01 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0bc…95f6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-28 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe37…de4c | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x66f7…28a4 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-25 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a01…beba | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xeced…04f9 | No | +72 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | +71 | $67 | $121 | 6 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +63 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 08-02 22:26 |
| Grand-Someone 0xe575…99b4 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-12 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7ed…cf92 | No | +59 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-28 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3d0…9e78 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c63…a86f | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 07-25 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa28d…3572 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x061c…53cb | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x910b…c0dc | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f58…07bc | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 08-02 21:12 |
| Snoopy-Pitching 0xbc6c…287c | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-16 10:16 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +17 | $17 | $31 | 4 | 08-02 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 08-02 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c53…0109 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d00…605a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-02 03:08 |
| Delicious-Workforce 0xc9d5…f065 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2f2…d5b8 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 03:45 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 15:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:10:33 | Thrifty-Nonsense 0x9dc5…d6b7 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9e6503… |
| 08-04 06:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x0942…04ce | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9e6503… |
| 08-03 20:27:48 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc77cd5… |
| 08-03 20:27:48 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc77cd5… |
| 08-02 22:26:36 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4d8670… |
| 08-02 22:26:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x4d8670… |
| 08-02 21:12:09 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8705ed… |
| 08-02 21:12:09 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8705ed… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9a2709… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9a2709… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 1,834 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x061c…53cb | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x910b…c0dc | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x2a01…beba | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xa28d…3572 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xbe37…de4c | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xd7ed…cf92 | No | BUY | 59 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x4f58…07bc | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 95¢ | $950 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xeced…04f9 | No | BUY | 72 | 94¢ | $67 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xa3d0…9e78 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xe0bc…95f6 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 21:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xf7ef…67e5 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x190074… |
| 08-02 15:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x0942…04ce | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0cea09… |
| 08-02 15:08:48 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0cea09… |
| 08-02 15:08:18 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xeffda0… |
| 08-02 15:08:18 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeffda0… |
| 08-02 15:07:51 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d9e8b… |
| 08-02 15:07:51 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d9e8b… |
| 08-02 15:07:50 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc2e80d… |
| 08-02 15:07:50 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc2e80d… |
| 08-02 15:07:48 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x5d1b48… |
| 08-02 15:07:48 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 66 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x5d1b48… |
| 08-02 15:07:48 | csgod 0x8056…b64d | No | SELL | 101 | 95¢ | $96 | 0x5d1b48… |
| 08-02 07:56:17 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc8b1f8… |
| 08-02 07:56:17 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xc8b1f8… |
| 08-02 07:56:05 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf6853b… |
| 08-02 07:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf6853b… |
| 08-02 07:56:02 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xde88bf… |
| 08-02 07:56:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xde88bf… |
| 08-02 07:56:00 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9a8cb2… |
| 08-02 07:56:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9a8cb2… |
| 08-02 03:08:17 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xc38114… |
| 08-02 03:08:17 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc38114… |
| 08-02 03:08:15 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe95c20… |
| 08-02 03:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x6d00…605a | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe95c20… |
| 08-02 03:08:14 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x87ad27… |
| 08-02 03:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xbf72…2a2c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x87ad27… |
| 08-02 03:07:32 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x62cc02… |
| 08-02 03:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x62cc02… |
| 08-02 03:07:30 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfbc8a3… |
| 08-02 03:07:30 | (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xfbc8a3… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe3f7d5… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9ac0ca… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9ac0ca… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe3f7d5… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9f593b… |
| 08-02 03:07:27 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9f593b… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xe541…b524 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x03e28e… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8cc728… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x03e28e… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x8cc728… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x98b792… |
| 08-02 03:07:26 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x98b792… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 1,239 | 95¢ | $1,177 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,914 | 95¢ | $1,819 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 316 | 5¢ | $16 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | SELL | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x53ed…5f6d | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Affectionate-Woman 0x551a…86b9 | No | SELL | 73 | 95¢ | $70 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | (anonymous) 0xa65b…46c2 | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-02 03:07:24 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x1a4f1a… |
| 08-01 12:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xaec8…6a92 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe0a4eb… |
| 08-01 12:19:29 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe0a4eb… |
| 08-01 12:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xaec8…6a92 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x022715… |
| 08-01 12:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x022715… |
| 07-30 18:32:36 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x02f6b3… |
| 07-30 18:32:36 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x02f6b3… |
| 07-30 00:42:57 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x75b6dc… |
| 07-30 00:42:57 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x75b6dc… |
| 07-28 22:59:13 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 101 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xb3abaf… |
| 07-28 22:59:13 | csgod 0x8056…b64d | No | BUY | 101 | 95¢ | $96 | 0xb3abaf… |
| 07-28 02:27:42 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb6d06c… |
| 07-28 02:27:42 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xb6d06c… |
| 07-28 02:27:42 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 76 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xb6d06c… |
| 07-26 10:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xf7ef…67e5 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x742432… |
| 07-26 10:03:31 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x742432… |
| 07-25 17:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x43c6b6… |
| 07-25 17:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x5c63…a86f | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x43c6b6… |
| 07-25 17:22:15 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x43c6b6… |
| 07-25 17:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x66f7…28a4 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x43c6b6… |
| 07-25 17:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xa65b…46c2 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x43c6b6… |
| 07-22 18:24:06 | Little-Drummer 0xa42a…cb8e | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x6b0d5f… |
| 07-22 18:24:06 | (anonymous) 0x5c63…a86f | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x6b0d5f… |
| 07-21 14:41:51 | (anonymous) 0x5c63…a86f | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x39e488… |