Realized P&L
+$23.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.2K
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
93
Trades
1,641
lifetime
Volume
$2.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.29K
Open exposure
$404.8K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
60% 73% +$13,427
Politics
39% 88% +$9,503
Tech
1% 100% +$554
Crypto
0% 100% +$8
Sports
0% 33% -$82
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +195,830 $185,150 98¢ $191.8K +$6,665 09-17 02:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +88,436 $83,250 96¢ $84.9K +$1,605 10-26 22:42
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +42,587 $40,285 98¢ $41.8K +$1,494 07-02 17:01
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +36,492 $32,586 97¢ $35.4K +$2,849 10-09 17:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20,059 $18,376 96¢ $19.2K +$811 07-01 14:53
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +9,630 $8,561 99¢ $9.6K +$992 07-29 00:05
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +6,352 $6,162 97¢ $6.2K +$25 10-22 19:03
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -5,076 -$4,723 98¢ $-4977 -$254 09-19 05:47
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,185 $3,011 95¢ $3.0K +$14 09-09 21:58
Will Alberta join the US? No +2,289 $2,174 99¢ $2.3K +$92 05-26 09:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,700 $900 94¢ $1.6K +$698 10-26 22:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $870 98¢ $978 +$108 07-01 07:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $940 94¢ $935 -$5 09-09 23:47
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +955 $883 97¢ $922 +$39 05-14 03:27
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +522 $491 97¢ $506 +$15 07-05 18:20
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +253 $210 86¢ $218 +$8 09-30 18:29
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +170 $149 95¢ $162 +$13 09-14 02:59
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +155 $139 97¢ $151 +$12 07-03 06:19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +140 $130 96¢ $135 +$5 09-09 23:09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -85 -$1,098 99¢ $-84 +$1,015 06-05 14:55