Realized P&L
+$824
Unrealized P&L
+$1.67K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
474
lifetime
Volume
$923.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.95K
Open exposure
$130.4K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-19 11:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
72%
Other
28% 100% +$824
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +64,388 $60,388 95¢ $60.9K +$555 06-19 11:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +24,675 $23,041 94¢ $23.1K +$66 06-18 23:41
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +21,663 $18,734 91¢ $19.7K +$979 06-18 15:22
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +12,049 $11,342 94¢ $11.3K $-16 06-19 00:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +4,979 $4,914 100¢ $5.0K +$60 06-30 21:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3,459 $3,114 92¢ $3.2K +$52 06-19 00:40
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? No +2,325 $2,306 100¢ $2.3K +$14 06-05 01:37
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No +1,284 $1,277 99¢ $1.3K $-3 06-18 23:47
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -950 $-947 100¢ $-949 $-3 06-15 02:16
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +861 $827 94¢ $805 $-22 06-19 11:36
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +551 $547 99¢ $544 $-3 06-18 01:24
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? No +372 $370 100¢ $371 +$1 06-18 01:25
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026? No +316 $315 100¢ $316 +$1 06-19 00:42
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026? No +243 $242 100¢ $243 +$1 06-18 23:47
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No +145 $145 100¢ $145 +$0 06-18 23:08
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026? No +103 $103 100¢ $103 +$1 06-18 01:24
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 06-18 01:24
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -24 $-24 97¢ $-24 +$0 06-06 20:41
Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 06-05 14:58
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-19 00:42
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes +100 $20 $4 $-16 06-05 01:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 14:55