Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
open
Total volume
$206
Trades
60
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$4,178
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 22:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $23 | $28 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $9 | $42 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $28 | $24 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $26 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $42 | $38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-05 01:43 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +73 | $2 | $7 | 8 | 07-15 23:17 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +44 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-24 17:48 |
| Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | +42 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-21 23:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 15:09 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 01:35 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +29 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-05 11:56 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 22:18 |
| Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-21 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 15:09 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +1 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 07-15 23:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $56 | 4 | 06-24 17:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 22:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4ce1ea… |
| 07-21 22:18:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4ce1ea… |
| 07-21 22:17:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3217f8… |
| 07-21 22:17:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3217f8… |
| 07-21 22:17:51 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3217f8… |
| 07-21 22:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x004b70… |
| 07-21 22:17:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x004b70… |
| 07-21 22:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x004b70… |
| 07-15 23:17:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x486403… |
| 07-15 23:17:47 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x486403… |
| 07-09 09:56:04 | Unwilling-Pronoun 0xd0a3…962f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x99642d… |
| 07-09 09:56:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x99642d… |
| 07-09 06:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcadd55… |
| 07-09 06:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcadd55… |
| 07-07 09:52:05 | (anonymous) 0x286e…2b47 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xad54b4… |
| 07-07 09:52:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xad54b4… |
| 07-05 07:19:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x346b25… |
| 07-05 07:19:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x346b25… |
| 07-03 19:19:59 | Unwilling-Pronoun 0xd0a3…962f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0cef4f… |
| 07-03 19:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0cef4f… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-21 23:23:47 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7160ce… |
| 06-21 23:23:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7160ce… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:06:29 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e7736… |
| 06-17 15:06:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e7736… |
| 06-17 07:06:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x930238… |
| 06-17 07:06:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x930238… |
| 06-17 05:24:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcce44f… |
| 06-17 05:24:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcce44f… |
| 06-14 13:52:22 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f468a… |
| 06-14 13:52:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x7f468a… |
| 06-12 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x51c8d0… |
| 06-12 08:03:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x51c8d0… |
| 06-12 01:35:25 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2149c0… |
| 06-12 01:35:25 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2149c0… |
| 06-12 01:00:34 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xecd406… |
| 06-12 01:00:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xecd406… |
| 06-05 11:56:24 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5d3dd0… |
| 06-05 11:56:24 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5d3dd0… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | BUY | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 01:43:28 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xe3fe10… |
| 06-05 01:43:28 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 65 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xe3fe10… |
| 06-05 01:43:27 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x7a1fd0… |
| 06-05 01:43:27 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x7a1fd0… |
| 05-28 01:24:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x011c4b… |
| 05-28 01:24:42 | Sane-Pompom 0x2ff9…05ef | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x011c4b… |
| 05-28 01:23:13 | Sane-Pompom 0x2ff9…05ef | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x790d39… |
| 05-28 01:23:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x790d39… |