Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
open
Total volume
$192
Trades
40
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$4,178
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-24 17:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $22 | $28 | $6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $8 | $42 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Median | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $26 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $42 | $38 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-05 01:43 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +44 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-24 17:48 |
| Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | +42 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-21 23:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 15:09 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 01:35 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +29 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-05 11:56 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-17 05:24 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +13 | $-0 | $6 | 6 | 06-24 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 08:03 |
| Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 15:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $56 | 4 | 06-24 17:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-24 17:48:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x83e302… |
| 06-21 23:23:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7160ce… |
| 06-21 23:23:47 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7160ce… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-21 23:23:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbc41da… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:09:19 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb34276… |
| 06-17 15:06:29 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e7736… |
| 06-17 15:06:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e7736… |
| 06-17 07:06:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x930238… |
| 06-17 07:06:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x930238… |
| 06-17 05:24:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcce44f… |
| 06-17 05:24:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcce44f… |
| 06-14 13:52:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x7f468a… |
| 06-14 13:52:22 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f468a… |
| 06-12 08:03:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x51c8d0… |
| 06-12 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x51c8d0… |
| 06-12 01:35:25 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2149c0… |
| 06-12 01:35:25 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2149c0… |
| 06-12 01:00:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xecd406… |
| 06-12 01:00:34 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xecd406… |
| 06-05 11:56:24 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5d3dd0… |
| 06-05 11:56:24 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5d3dd0… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | BUY | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 11:55:28 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c0ec8… |
| 06-05 01:43:28 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 65 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xe3fe10… |
| 06-05 01:43:28 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 20¢ | $13 | 0xe3fe10… |
| 06-05 01:43:27 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x7a1fd0… |
| 06-05 01:43:27 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x7a1fd0… |
| 05-28 01:24:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x011c4b… |
| 05-28 01:24:42 | Sane-Pompom 0x2ff9…05ef | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x011c4b… |
| 05-28 01:23:13 | Sane-Pompom 0x2ff9…05ef | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x790d39… |
| 05-28 01:23:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x790d39… |