Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
1,127
lifetime
Volume
$1.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-01 12:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% +$10
Politics
15% 67% +$2
Crypto
9% 0% $-0
Sports
6% 100% +$1
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No -10 $-2 30¢ $-3 $-1 05-31 10:17
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $2 37¢ $3 +$0 06-13 11:32
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No -5 $-1 36¢ $-2 $-0 06-09 10:14
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 06-26 09:08
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-26 23:47
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 06-25 10:21
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-3 25¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 04:24
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 25¢ $1 $-0 06-25 23:13
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 05-31 09:25
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +2 $0 58¢ $1 +$1 06-22 14:00
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-23 01:55
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-14 14:22
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes -4 $-0 14¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 21:37
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-26 19:10
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-05 11:56
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 $-0 07-01 12:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-24 19:37
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 23¢ $0 +$0 06-28 11:44
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 30¢ $0 +$0 06-14 02:20
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-09 15:02
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 07:50
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 20¢ $0 +$0 06-24 18:36
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-16 07:15
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 04:55
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 16:02
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-03 11:25
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 12:16