Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$4,115
$3 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$8,183
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-28 01:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.0¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $96
vs crowd: 8% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $15 | $108 | $93 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $300 | $160 | +$139 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $10 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $17 | $42 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $3 | $93 | $90 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $42 | $41 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $121 | $120 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $474 | $470 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $157 | $157 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $309 | $1 | +$308 |
| unranked | 9 | $14 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | +3,644 | $296 | $296 | 3 | 06-24 12:18 |
| lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | +3,000 | $2,761 | $2,761 | 2 | 06-23 12:06 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $455 | $455 | 1 | 06-24 12:18 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +185 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-03 23:13 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +123 | $114 | $114 | 23 | 07-27 07:52 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +109 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 21:37 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-12 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | +57 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-07 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cc9…e95d | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-03 23:13 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +48 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-24 19:37 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-07 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | +26 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 07:00 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-14 20:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +18 | $1 | $5 | 2 | 06-23 09:10 |
| Lopsided-Strength 0xdac1…7249 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 13:54 |
| Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 20:33 |
| Whole-Pineapple 0x4534…323e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 03:30 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +1 | $3 | $19 | 3 | 06-23 21:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 01:24:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x585371… |
| 07-28 01:24:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x585371… |
| 07-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0x838d…409c | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xe18f2d… |
| 07-27 07:52:00 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xe18f2d… |
| 07-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe18f2d… |
| 07-14 20:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xea1b1e… |
| 07-14 20:33:58 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea1b1e… |
| 07-07 23:12:14 | (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x63f5a7… |
| 07-07 23:12:14 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x63f5a7… |
| 07-03 09:32:02 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xde72e6… |
| 07-03 09:32:02 | Ultimate-Tuna 0x1018…7264 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xde72e6… |
| 07-01 10:54:17 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x3c1a93… |
| 07-01 10:54:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x3c1a93… |
| 07-01 04:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xf385…aa41 | No | SELL | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x78b19c… |
| 07-01 04:54:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x78b19c… |
| 07-01 04:54:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x78b19c… |
| 06-26 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5aa229… |
| 06-26 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5aa229… |
| 06-26 08:27:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xf2b253… |
| 06-26 08:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xf2b253… |
| 06-24 19:37:35 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb0dc2b… |
| 06-24 19:37:35 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb0dc2b… |
| 06-24 19:37:35 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 48 | 91¢ | $44 | 0xb0dc2b… |
| 06-24 19:37:35 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb0dc2b… |
| 06-24 19:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb0dc2b… |
| 06-24 12:18:01 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x53d1d7… |
| 06-24 12:18:01 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0x53d1d7… |
| 06-24 12:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x53d1d7… |
| 06-24 12:18:01 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 562 | 9¢ | $50 | 0x53d1d7… |
| 06-24 07:00:59 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2ff4cf… |
| 06-24 07:00:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2ff4cf… |
| 06-24 07:00:59 | Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2ff4cf… |
| 06-24 07:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2ff4cf… |
| 06-23 21:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x0a2eeb… |
| 06-23 21:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0a2eeb… |
| 06-23 21:37:23 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0a2eeb… |
| 06-23 21:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x0a2eeb… |
| 06-23 21:37:23 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x0a2eeb… |
| 06-23 12:06:19 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xa9f928… |
| 06-23 12:06:19 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 2,006 | 8¢ | $160 | 0xa9f928… |
| 06-23 12:06:19 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 92¢ | $1,840 | 0xa9f928… |
| 06-23 09:10:17 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x19e501… |
| 06-23 09:10:17 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 92¢ | $921 | 0x19e501… |
| 06-23 09:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x19e501… |
| 06-23 09:10:17 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x19e501… |
| 06-23 09:10:17 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 1,076 | 8¢ | $85 | 0x19e501… |
| 06-22 10:12:23 | Ultimate-Tuna 0x1018…7264 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa5f3ff… |
| 06-22 10:12:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa5f3ff… |
| 06-19 13:32:40 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xde617d… |
| 06-19 13:32:40 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xde617d… |
| 06-17 10:14:05 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xaa94b3… |
| 06-17 10:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x838d…409c | No | BUY | 36 | 92¢ | $33 | 0xaa94b3… |
| 06-17 10:14:05 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xaa94b3… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | Lopsided-Strength 0xdac1…7249 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 141 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x838d…409c | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-12 13:54:10 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5d4787… |
| 06-03 23:13:45 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 185 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x6f704c… |
| 06-03 23:13:45 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x6f704c… |
| 06-03 23:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x9cc9…e95d | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x6f704c… |
| 06-03 23:13:45 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x6f704c… |
| 06-03 23:13:45 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x6f704c… |
| 05-28 03:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2418d5… |
| 05-28 03:30:23 | Whole-Pineapple 0x4534…323e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2418d5… |