Realized P&L
+$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
3,756
Trades
7,000
lifetime
Volume
$23.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-25 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Other
81% 8% +$678
Politics
10% 6% +$439
Crypto
7% 5% -$248
Sports
2% 15% +$158
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +33 $5 15¢ $5 $0 06-10 15:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +65 $8 6¢ $4 -$4 07-04 13:56
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +333 $2 1¢ $4 +$2 06-10 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-02 04:57
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +286 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 06-10 15:24
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -56 -$2 4¢ $-2 $0 09-20 08:45
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +91 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 07-26 07:10
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +29 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-05 17:10
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -333 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 10-14 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -21 -$3 6¢ $-1 +$2 07-17 07:06
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +184 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 10-25 16:26
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes -25 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-17 07:07
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +600 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-29 22:03
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -33 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 09-20 11:25
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -67 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 10-14 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:55
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 08-21 07:20
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-26 06:57
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -143 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 09-20 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-27 22:11
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +333 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 06-10 15:23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $1 1¢ $0 $0 08-20 06:48
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes -22 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 09-09 23:10
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -175 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 09-09 23:10
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-26 06:57
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +51 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-14 13:55
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -143 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-20 11:25
israeli airspace closed by october 31 2026 Yes +14 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-14 13:55
saudi airspace closed by october 31 2026 Yes +14 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-14 13:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-20 13:45